5-21-10

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

INSIDER ANGLES
While most of the betting world will be focusing on the first day of interleague play Friday, we see nice value in this good old fashioned National League matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Tim Hudson looks as good as he ever has for the Braves, while Ross Ohlendorf has looked good in his two starts back, tossing his first Quality Start of the season vs. the Chicago Cubs in his last outing. Add in two struggling offenses, and these teams do not expect to light up the scoreboard.

Hudson is 4-1 on the young season with a very nice 2.61 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. He is a perfect eight for eight in Quality Starts, while even more impressively allowing three runs just once and two runs or less in the other seven appearances. Hudson has also tossed 14 scoreless innings while allowing only seven hits in his last two starts vs. the Pirates, and he is facing a Pittsburgh lineup that is batting just .237 for the year including .190 vs. righties in the last 10 games.

Ohlendorf allowed two earned runs in five innings in his seasonal debut back on April 7, but he injured himself in that outing and then missed a month. He is showing no ill effects though, as he allowed one run on three hits in four innings while on a pitch count in his return and then allowed two runs on four hits in six innings vs. Chicago. He now gets to face an Atlanta lineup that is averaging only 4.05 runs per game with a .231 team average on the road.

The Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these teams, and this pitching matchup suggests that pattern continues here on Friday.

MLB Free Pick: Braves, Pirates Under 8.5

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

VEGAS EXPERTS
The New York Yankees have the best record in Interleague play since its inception in 1997 with a 133-95 record. The New York Mets tied for the N.L.’s worst Interleague record at 5-10 last season. The Yankees swept the three-game series at Citi Field outscoring the Mets 18-3 in those games. The Mets will start their 35-year old left-handed rookie for the very first time against the Yankees. The Yankees are scoring 5.8 runs per game and add that with a three-game losing streak which makes them a dangerous team. Go with the Yankees.

Play on: New York Yankees

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Randall the Handle MLB

Toronto +1.49 over ARIZONA
Play: Toronto +1.49 (Risking 2 units).

OAKLAND +1.05 over San Francisco
Play: Oakland +1.05 (Risking 2 units).

L.A. Angels +1.36 over ST. LOUIS
Play: L.A. Angels +1.36 (Risking 2 units).

MINNESOTA –1½ +1.23 over Milwaukee
Play: Minnesota –1½ +1.23 (Risking 2 units).

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Heavy Hitter Team

MLB "'TOTAL'"CRUSHER
- 5 Star Hit -

LA ANGELS VS. ST. LOUIS 8:15 EST
UNDER TOTAL 8
Don't look for many runs in St. Louis. Angels have had offensive problems all season. St. Louis has an excellent control pitcher with B. Penny. J. Pineiro returns to face his old team, and the beteran has an 0.84 ERA in his last 3 starts.

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

JOYCE STERLING

Cleveland +103 vs Cincinnati XX Play
Houston +167 vs Tampa Bay
Kansas City +108 vs Colorado

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

James Patrick Sports 5/21


5* Rays
3* Twins

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

the shark 05/21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Shark


Baseball
We Have them hot for you today!
It' the AL vs the NL and we've got a BIG DOG winner straight up!
PLUS two other winner's to keep it company.




Toronto +155 what a price to get with this guy pitching for us





Texas -141 easy money





Tampa bay -1 1/2 runs -110 wins this in a laugher

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Derek Mancini 05/11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Derek Mancini
Today's Winner... First-ever 100 Dime career release on the Oakland Athletics with Cahill over the Giants and Zito. You must specnfy both pitchers or this play is null and void. As this play is releasedd at 2:30 AM Eastern. the A's are about a +105 to +110 home underdog depending on where you look in Las Vegas or offshore.



Analysis

Don't believe the hype. While Barry Zito has finally started to earn some of that mega-deal he signed back in late 2006, he's still got a ways to go, and oddsmakers are telling you that much with this line. Despite his numbers this season (6-1, 2.15 ERA) the Giants are only a small favorite here - and with good reason - this is a much tougher match up than most people are anticipating.

You can't deny his history against his former club, going 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA in 3 career starts. And you also can't deny the tremendous difference in home/road play we've seen from the Athletics, who are now 15-9 at the Coliseum this year. Back-to-back losses to Detroit only adds more significance to this game for the home team. They've also hit lefties well at home this season, batting .280 driving in a decent 4.4 runs per game.

But the real equalizer is Trevor Cahill (1-2, 4.37 ERA) who's been just as good (if not better) than Zto over his last 3 starts. He's 1-1 with a 2.55 ERA (WHIP of 1.08) over that span, and more importantly, it came against one of the better offenses in baseball (Texas twice, and the Angels are no slouch either). He's seen the Giants only once, but was great in the win (1 run on 4 hits over 7 innings June 22nd). If there's one place you can trust Cahill its at the Coliseum, and he'll delivder again Friday.

Price is right for the A's, who come into this game looking to bounce back, and facing a pitcher they've dominated in the past. Zito's been great (thus far), but this contist takes on a life of it own for him, and clearly its thrown him off his game in the past. Athletics (Cahill) over Giants (Zito).

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Foxsheets
Super Situations

MLB/ SFO at OAK

Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL)
45-21 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.2% | 25.5 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -0.9 units )


Situational Power Trends

LAA at STL
LA ANGELS are 22-9 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: LA ANGELS (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Dave Cokin

TOUGH LOSS LAST NITE IN THE 9th WITH TORONTO. ONE NOTE ON PLAY'S BELOW, HE SUGGESTS IN WRITE-UP PLAYING THESE BIG CHALKS AS A PARLAY AS WELL. UP TO U BUT LIKE TO PROVIDE A CAPPER'S STRATEGY WHEN PERTINENT TO PLAY(S)

Matchup: Baltimore at Washington
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) HERNANDEZ, D vs. (L) OLSEN, S

Play: Washington (ML -155)

Note that I am recommending a two-team parlay on my two member plays this evening. I feel this is a better strategy when utilizing multiple high-priced chalk in baseball.

I very rarely play any big chalk, but every once in awhile it's simply the right move. Tonight, I'm willing to lay the lumber as the Nationals play host to the Orioles. Baltimore continues to be horrible on the road, and their shaky bullpen was forced to work major innings the last couple nights in losses to Texas. Don't expect David Hernandez to provide a respite. Hernandez is on a 1-13 run dating back to last season, and the O's 3-16 in his last 19 appearances. Hernandez is basically just taking up a spot at the back of the Baltimore rotation until one of their two top prospects are ready, and he should be meat against the surprisingly dangerous Nationals attack. Scott Olsen is on a great run for the Nats, and is absolutely deserving of being the big favorite tonight. I'm on the Nationals to roll to the win this evening.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Matchup: Milwaukee at Minnesota
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BUSH, D vs. (R) BLACKBURN, N

Play: Minnesota (ML -152)

Here's the second half on my parlay tonight. The Twins are laying a substantial price tonight, but it's justified. Milwaukee finally won a game on Thursday, but this team is not good right now and they're sending out a guy in Dave Bush who's had little success against the Twins. Bush, in fact, hasn't had much success against anyone lately and I expect him to have lots of trouble against the lefty-loaded Minnesota lineup. The Twins are happy to be back home following a tough road trip, and they usually give Nick Blackburn loads of run support. The Twins are 23-9 at home when Blackburn starts. Minnesota has also been incredibly successful in Interleague play, winning 54 of their 73 vs. the NL. The Brewers have the bats to turn this into a shootout, but I like the bullpen edge on the Twins side if it's a barnburner and the home field edge puts me over the top. Go with the Twins to come out on top.

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Scott Pritchard

Matchup: Atlanta at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) HUDSON, T vs. (R) OHLENDORF, R

Play: Pittsburgh (ML +148)

Major league baseball Friday, the Pittsburgh Pirates are in Atlanta taking on the Braves. I like Pittsburgh as a very respectable dog. This price is simply too high as the Pirates will give Atlanta all they want and then some. The value is with Pittsburgh. Play the Pirates and see the cashier.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup: Tampa Bay at Houston
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) GARZA, M vs. (R) MYERS, B

Play: Houston (ML +170)

Major league baseball Friday, the Houston Astros are at home vs. the Tampa Bay Rays. I like the home team Astros to pull off the upset. I love what the Rays have done on the road up to this point. This is an overlay as the Rays are simply getting too much respect. Play the Astros and see the cashier.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup: L.A. Angels at St Louis
Time: 8:15 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) PINEIRO, J vs. (R) PENNY, B

Play: L.A. Angels (ML +145)

Major league baseball Friday, the Los Angeles Angels are in St. Louis taking on the Cardinals in interleague play. I like the Angels on the money-line. This will be a good game between these two teams and there is real value on the money-line with Los Angeles. Play the Angels and see the cashier.

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

LV INVESTMENTS
SF Giants ml -115

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

DALLAS DAVE SPORTS
MLB Daily Package:

Cincinnati(+1.5) -156 1 Unit
Florida(+1.5) -114 1 Unit

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

PLATINUM SPORTS INVESTING
PSIC Value System Starting 5/17 (+4.7 Units )

Line1: X-14-14-X
Line2: X-14-14-X

On line 1 risk 39 to win 28 on Texas -140
On line 1 risk 28 to win 42 on Toronto +150

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

GREG SHAKER

MLB Money Line Fri, 05/21/10 - 8:10 PM

dime bet 915 FLA (+100) BetUS vs 916 CWS
Analysis: MLB: Florida Marlins at Chicago White Sox - Marlins (Nolasco/Buehrle) 100 | Unit Value: 1
Game Date: 5/21/2010