5-27-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-27-10

JB SPORTS
3* NBA* Los Angeles Lakers,

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-27-10

papayagang

50* Minnesota twins ML
20* Boston redsox ML
20* Tampa Bay ML

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

PICK 'N' ROLL

Thursday's Best NBA Bet

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers (-7.5, 217.5)

You're familiar with the expression about riding a hot horse until it drops dead? This one still seems to have some legs.

The first four games of this series have gone over the posted total and until Tuesday night's Game 4, when the Suns' 115-106 victory topped the total by a point and a half, they haven't been close.

It's a safe play if you consider the Suns haven't scored less than 107 in their last eight games while the Lakers haven't tallied fewer than 104 during that span. Even on a bad night their offenses are still pretty good.

The first three meetings between these offensive-minded clubs beat the number by margins of 24.5, 20 and 7.5 points, so over bettors have been able to enjoy the fourth quarters without much concern.

With trends like that, surely the posted total has trended higher throughout the series? Actually, no, perhaps because the Lakers are talking about turning up the defensive heat on the Suns when they return to L.A.

"Our defense could have been much better, I think," Bryant said after Game 4. "Coming up here, we lost a sense of urgency defensively. I think our concentration was focused on how to attack the zone. And I think it kind of flipped our attention to detail defensively. Our focus was on the other side of the floor, which doesn't win championships. So we need to get back to ground zero when it comes to that."

Thursday's total opened at 219, a half-point lower than the previous two meetings in Phoenix, but the number quickly dropped to 217.5. Call me skeptical, but I've got to see it before I believe it or bet it.

Pick: Over

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, MAY 27

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE

Phoenix (10-4 SU and ATS) at L.A. Lakers (10-4, 8-6 ATS)

The Lakers return to Staples Center looking to get back on track in the Western Conference finals when they face the revived Suns in Game 5.
After posting double-digit victories in Games 1 and 2 at home, Los Angeles dumped Games 3 and 4 in Phoenix. On Tuesday night, the Lakers fell 115-106 as a 1½-point road favorite, their second consecutive SU and ATS setback after an eight-game winning streak (7-1 ATS). Kobe Bryant piled up 38 points, along with 10 assists, but although he hit 6 of 9 from three-point range, L.A. finished just 9 of 28 from beyond the arc (32.1 percent). Phoenix won the battle of the benches in Game 3, with its reserves outscoring L.A.’s subs 54-20, though starters Amare Stoudemire (21 points, eight rebounds) and Steve Nash (15 points, eight assists) still led the way. The Suns also posted a huge 53-36 rebounding edge, and Alvin Gentry’s troops hit 22 of 32 from the free-throw line, while L.A. got to the free-throw line just 13 times, making seven. Los Angeles is still 5-3 SU and ATS in eight meetings with Phoenix this season. The home team has cashed in nine of the last 10 meetings, and the chalk is 4-1 ATS in the last five matchups. These squads also met in the first round in 2006 and 2007, with Phoenix taking both series, rallying from a 3-1 deficit in ’06 while going 4-3 ATS, and rolling in five games in ’07 (2-3 ATS). The SU winner is 15-1 ATS in the last 16 Lakers-Suns clashes (8-0 this year). Also, the SU winner has cashed in 23 straight games for Phoenix (including all 14 playoff contests), and the SU winner is 12-2 ATS in Los Angeles’ 14 playoff games this year. Los Angeles is 41-7 inside Staples Center this season, but just 21-25-2 ATS. The Lakers are 7-0 SU (5-2 ATS) at home in the playoffs. Phoenix is 26-22 SU (27-21 ATS) on the highway (4-3 SU and ATS in the postseason). The Lakers sport positive pointspread streaks of 7-3 overall (5-1 last six) and 5-2 at home (all as a favorite), but they are also 4-13 ATS in their last 17 starts following one day of rest. The Suns are 2-4 ATS in their last five conference finals outings, but the pointspread streaks are all positive from there, including 35-16-1 overall, 6-1 after a SU win, 5-2 as a ‘dog, 20-7-1 after an ATS victory and 36-15-1 after a day off. Los Angeles is on “over” surges of 10-1-1 overall (7-0-1 last eight), 5-0 at home, 6-1 in the conference finals (5-0 last five), 6-0-1 after a day off and 7-2 as a favorite. Likewise, Phoenix is on “over” stretches of 7-1 overall (5-0 last five), 5-1 in conference finals and 5-1 after either a SU or an ATS win, though the under is 7-3-1 in the Suns’ last 11 roadies. Finally, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this rivalry, including 4-0 in this series, and the total has gone high in 13 of the last 17 clashes between these Pacific Division rivals. Plus, the over has been the play in 10 of the last 13 meetings at Staples Center (including five of the last six).

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS and OVER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

Philadelphia (26-19) at N.Y. Mets (24-23)

Cole Hamels (5-2, 3.92 ERA) shoots for his fourth straight victory and tries to snap his team’s four-game losing skid when he matches up against the streaking Mets and Mike Pelfrey (6-1, 2.86) in the finale of a three-game series at Citi Field. New York has blanked Philadelphia in the first two games of this series, following up Tuesday’s 8-0 win with Wednesday’s 5-0 victory. The Phillies have followed up a four-game winning streak and a 10-2 hot streak by losing six of their last eight games, including the last four in a row. The offense has gone stone cold, getting shutout three times in the last four games while managing just five runs in their last six losses. The Mets have rebounded from a 3-10 slump by winning four in a row, all at home. They’re now 18-9 at Citi Field compared with 6-14 on the road. Also, while the Phillies’ offense has stumbled, New York has tallied 24 runs during the four-game winning streak and 35 runs in the last six games (five wins). The Mets now trail the Phillies by just three games in the N.L. East. The Mets now hold a slim 3-2 edge in the season series, but the Phillies are still 13-5 in the last 18 clashes in this N.L. East rivalry, going 5-3 in the last eight in New York. That said, the host has won 14 of the last 21 meetings. Philadelphia’s last win came on Friday when Hamels held the Red Sox to a run on three hits and one walk while striking out eight en route to a 5-1 home victory. The Phillies have won five straight games in back of Hamels, with the lefty posting a 2.36 ERA in his last four outings. Also, Philadelphia is 3-1 when Hamels pitches on the road, even though the San Diego native has given up 14 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings (5.32 ERA) on the highway. Hamels is 2-4 with a 4.12 ERA in nine career starts against the Mets, with Philadelphia going 2-4 in the last six. He faced New York a combined five times in 2008 and 2009 and gave up exactly four runs in the first four contests before a dominating 4-2 win last September (one run allowed in 6 2/3 innings). In two games at Citi Field, he’s allowed eight runs and 21 hits in 10 innings (7.20 ERA), getting a no-decision in one game (Philly won 5-4) and losing 4-2 in the other. Pelfrey is coming off consecutive wins over the Braves (two runs allowed in 7 2/3 innings of a 3-2 road victory) and Yankees (one run allowed in six innings of a 5-3 home triumph). Including a one-inning relief stint in a 20-inning game at St. Louis on April 17, the Mets are 8-2 with Pelfrey on the hill this season, and the right-hander has given up two earned runs or fewer in six of his nine starts. Pelfrey is 4-0 with a 2.43 ERA in six home starts this season and 4-3 with a 5.43 ERA in 10 starts against Philadelphia. In his last two versus the Phillies – both in Philadelphia – Pelfrey surrendered a combined 14 runs (all earned) on 18 hits (four home runs) in 10 innings, with the Mets winning 10-9 (last September) and losing 10-0 (on May 1 of this season). In fact, his worst start of this season came in that May 1 contest (six runs allowed in four innings). The Phillies are on a 5-1-1 “under” streak, and they’ve stayed under the total in Hamels’ last four starts overall after topping the total in four of his first five outings. Also, the under cashed in Hamels’ last two outings against the Mets after six of his first seven versus New York topped the total. The Mets have stayed low in six of their last nine games overall, but the over is 4-1 in Pelfrey’s last five starts overall (3-0 at home) and 4-1 in his last five starts against Philadelphia. Finally, the under is 12-4 in the last 16 Mets-Phillies battles, including 6-1 in the last seven at Citi Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (28-18) at Minnesota (26-20)

The Yankees look to complete a three-game sweep of the Twins at new Target Field, where Javier Vazquez (3-4, 6.69) is set to pitch for the visitors opposite Nick Blackburn (5-1, 4.50). Monday’s opener of this series was suspended after five innings because of rain, and when the game resumed Tuesday, Derek Jeter hit a home run in the sixth and that was all New York needed as it held on for a 1-0 victory. The Yankees then got a solo homer from Nick Swisher in the ninth inning to break a 2-2 tie and prevail 3-2. Despite taking two on Wednesday, the Yankees are still just 7-10 in their last 17 games (4-6 on the road), which comes on the heels of a six-game winning streak. Still, the defending champs are on several positive runs, including 104-49 overall and 41-15 against the A.L. Central. The Twins are just 5-9 in their last 14 games – including losing four of five to the Yankees – but they’re still 14-9 through 23 games at Target Field. Going back to their days in the Metrodome, the Twins have won 24 of 35 home games. On the flip side, they’ve lost 49 of 71 to A.L. East opponents. Not only have the Twins lost four of five to New York this season, but they’re 17-54 in the last 71 meetings (playoffs included). The Yankees have won six straight in Minnesota, including a victory in the deciding Game 3 of last year’s best-of-5 divisional playoff series at the Metrodome. Vazquez started out his second tour of duty with New York by going 1-3 with a 9.78 ERA in his first five starts this season, but he’s been much better in his last two starts, allowing just two runs on six hits in 13 innings. On Friday, he picked up a 2-1 victory at the Mets, scattering a hit and two walks over six innings, striking out seven. That victory came four days after Vazquez pitched one-third of an inning in relief against the Red Sox, and he was credited with a victory when New York scored four times in the bottom of the ninth inning to turn a 9-7 deficit into an 11-9 home win. With the victory at the Mets on Friday, Vazquez improved to 2-3 with a 5.86 ERA in his five road starts this season. Also, he’s made six career starts against Minnesota, going 6-6 with a 5.11 ERA. Going back to 2007, the Twins are 1-5 the last six times they’ve faced the veteran right-hander. The Twins are 6-0 in Blackburn’s last six starts, with the right-hander delivering a quality outing in each of the last four (nine total runs allowed in 30 1/3 innings for a 2.67 ERA). Most recently, he matched up against the Brewers on Friday at home and was staked to a 7-0 first-inning lead and cruised to the 15-3 victory, surrendering all three runs in 7 1/3 innings. Blackburn is 3-0 with a 3.49 ERA in four starts at Target Field, with Minnesota winning all four while scoring 31 runs. He also pitched the Twins to a 6-3 win at Yankee Stadium on May 16, giving up three runs on nine hits in seven innings. He’s now 1-1 with a 4.65 ERA in six career starts against New York, including a no-decision in his team’s 4-3, 11-inning loss in the Bronx in last year’s playoffs. New York has topped the total in six of nine overall, but otherwise the Yanks are on “under” streaks of 7-2 on the road and 8-1 against the A.L. Central. Also, New York has stayed low in Vazquez’s last two starts following a 4-1 “over” surge. However, the over is 6-0-1 in Vazquez’s last seven starts against the Twins.
Minnesota is on “under” tears of 10-3 at home, 25-7-3 against the A.L. East and 25-7-2 following a loss. Also, the under is 3-1 in Blackburn’s last four trips to the mound, and his last two starts against New York fell short of the posted total. Lastly, the under has cashed in seven of the last eight Twins-Yankees battles, including the last four in a row.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

The Vegas Killers

John Harrison - San Diego Padres -1.5 +170
Nolan Fernandez - Los Angeles Dodgers +110
Dave Eckstein - Colorado Rockies +111
Chad Greene - Atlanta Braves -110 (2 UNITs)
Richie Parker - Oakland Athletics -120

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

CAPPERS ACCESS
Suns
Cubs

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

GAMBLERS DATA
Reds -1.5 +116

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 9 runs bet. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

Grad betting

HJK Helsinki - FC Honka,
HJK Helsinki 0, (AH)@1.925-bet365

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

igz1 sports

Free play from mlb Card
3* Houston +115 (Myers)

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

JB SPORTS
3* NBA* Los Angeles Lakers

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

Lance's Lock


Pick: The Lakers -7'

Overall: 963-855-35
Current Streak: 4 wins

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

Chris Jordan
THURSDAY WINNERS ...

100? Thursday Trifecta
COLORADO ROCKIES
ATLANTA BRAVES
L.A. LAKERS - FIRST HALF

[spook]

Re: 5-27-10

Bobby Maxwell

Thursday's winner...
300-Unit ---- LOS ANGELES LAKERS