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Re: 5-28-10
Rocky Atkinson
MLB | May 28
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants -131
Arizona @ San Francisco 10:15 PM EST
Play On: San Francisco -135 (Jackson/Cain) Listed
San Francisco is 32-11 last 3 years as a home favorite of -125 to -150. Arizona has lost 4 games in a row heading into tonight's action. This Arizona bullpen has been terrible this year with a 7.42 ERA overall and an 8.39 ERA on the road this season. San Francisco is 15-9 at home this season. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.60 ERA overall this year and a 1.82 ERA at home this season. Edwin Jackson is 3-5 with a 6.28 ERA overall this year and 1-2 with a 7.97 ERA on the road this season. Matt Cain has a 2.88 ERA overall this year and a 3.05 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Tom Freese
MLB | May 28
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners -105
Seattle starter Cliff Lee has a 19-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. The Mariners are 13-6 their last 19 games as road favorites. Seattle is of a two game sweep of Detroit at home. The Angels starter Scott Kazmir 17 runs in his last 23.1 innings of work. Los Angeles is 1-4 their last 5 starts made by Kazmir. The Halos are 1-4 with Kazmir after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. PLAY ON SEATTLE - Lee vs. Kazmir
Mikey Sports
MLB | May 28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays -180
Free MLB Play
Jack Jones
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +100
Scott Kazmir has seen his fair share of success against the Seattle Mariners throughout his career. Kazmir is 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in 8 career starts vs. Seattle, and he's rounding into form just in time to face this team again Friday. Kazmir has gone 7 strong innings in each of his last 2 starts, both on the road against the likes of Texas and St. Louis. Mariners' starter Cliff Lee was rocked for 7 earned runs and 11 hits in 6.1 innings in his last start against the Padres.
This play also falls under a system that is 64-33 (66%) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on home teams (LA ANGELS) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing. Kazmir is 27-9 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. The Angels are 13-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. Seattle is 6-15 on the road this season, hitting .234 and scoring 3.4 RPG away from home. Bet the Angels Friday.
Black Widow
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins -128
1* on Minnesota Twins -128
We're getting a good price with the Twins at home Friday as a slim home favorite over the Texas Rangers. In his last road start, Rangers' starter Colby Lewis allowed 5 earned runs on 3 hits, 4 walks and 1 home run in 5.2 innings of a 2-5 loss to the Blue Jays. Lewis has started to come back to reality of late after overachieving to start the season. Kevin Slowey doesn't have overpowering stuff for the Twins, but he just continues getting the job done witha 5-3 record and 4.53 ERA this season. The Twins are 10-1 in Slowey's last 11 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Slowey has faced the Rangers once in his career, allowing 1 earned run and 4 hits in 6 innings while striking out 7 of a 5-4 Twins' victory. Slowey's biggest strength is his ability to find the strike zone and not give away free passes. He is certainly finding the strike zone of late, allowing just 1 walk total in his last 2 starts. Slowey is 13-1 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997, and his teams are winning these spots by 3.8 runs/game. Twins' players love playing defense behind Slowey because he keeps the game moving along at a nice pace. Minnesota is 18-5 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Rangers are 0-8 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-7 in Lewis' last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. It's safe to say this is not a good spot for the Rangers.
John Martin
NBA | May 28
Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics
Total 189 ov-110
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Magic/Celtics O 189
Matt Fargo
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals +143
We are only just over a quarter of the way into the season but the fact that Washington is still sitting at .500 is very impressive. The Nationals did not win their 24th game until July 4th of last season which just shows the incredible turnaround that is taking place. As mentioned, it is early but Washington is just three games back in the Wild Card standings and while it means little at this point, it does mean we are getting a solid price with a solid team. The Padres may be an even bigger surprise as they are leading the National League West by two games over the Dodgers. They had their four-game winning streak snapped last night by the Cardinals as the offense was once again shutdown. San Diego fifth worst in baseball in average, ninth worst in on-base percentage, fourth worst in slugging percentage and ninth lowest in runs scored. San Diego is not going to win many games with that anemic offense and so far it has been the pitching that has carried it. For how long though? Clayton Richard is a name few know about but he is having a very solid season since coming over in the Jake Peavy deal. Richard has a 2.73 ERA on the season as he has allowed three runs or fewer in all nine of his starts. That is exceptional but what has been unexceptional is his 1.36 WHIP. He has been allowing a lot of baserunners but he has been fortunate to not get into more trouble. He goes up against John Lannan who has been up and down so far this year. Only three of his nine starts have been quality outings but looking at the opposition tells the story. Two-thirds of his starts have come against teams ranked in the top half of baseball in average so he has been victimized by bad scheduling. He was great in his first two full seasons in 2008 and 2009 and he is much better than what his numbers may show. Those numbers are getting better and he now faces a poor offense and one that he has posted a 3.12 ERA in four career starts against. 3* Washington Nationals
Scott Spreitzer
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Friday, May 28th, 2:20 ET
I'm laying the price with the Cardinals on Friday afternoon. St. Louis may be ready to make a bit of a run after finally busting out last night in an 8-3 win over San Diego. Albert Pujols ripped Padre pitching after struggling for most of May. Whether Pujols is in the lineup or not today, I expect a big-time performance at the plate, and more importantly, on the mound. Chris Carpenter loves pitching against the Cubs, whether home or away. His numbers are strong again this season, sporting a 5-1 record with a 3.09 ERA & 1.13 WHIP. More importantly, the Cards are 8-2 in his 10 outings. Randy Wells has pitched well, but he's been nothing special in his couple of outings against the Redbirds. Finally, the Cards are 14-2 in Carpenter's last 16 starts on four days rest, and they're 42-13 when he toes the rubber against teams with a losing record. Look for the Cardinals to cash the ticket on Friday afternoon. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Play on: St. Louis Cardinals
Vegas Experts Tip of the Day
Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
Friday, May 28th, 7:10 ET
The Cincinnati Reds will start rookie right-hander Sam Lecure. He is filling in for injured Homer Bailey. Lecure has been the Reds best pitcher at the AAA level with a 5-2 record and a 2.55 ERA. Cincinnati has won all three meetings this season in Houston. Now in Cincinnati the Reds are in a more famimliar place where they are 17-10 on the season. Houston is just 7-13 on the road this season and just 12-25 against right-handed starters this season. Go with the Reds here tonight.
Play on: Cincinnati Reds
Rocky Atkinson
MLB | May 28
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants -131
Arizona @ San Francisco 10:15 PM EST
Play On: San Francisco -135 (Jackson/Cain) Listed
San Francisco is 32-11 last 3 years as a home favorite of -125 to -150. Arizona has lost 4 games in a row heading into tonight's action. This Arizona bullpen has been terrible this year with a 7.42 ERA overall and an 8.39 ERA on the road this season. San Francisco is 15-9 at home this season. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.60 ERA overall this year and a 1.82 ERA at home this season. Edwin Jackson is 3-5 with a 6.28 ERA overall this year and 1-2 with a 7.97 ERA on the road this season. Matt Cain has a 2.88 ERA overall this year and a 3.05 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Tom Freese
MLB | May 28
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners -105
Seattle starter Cliff Lee has a 19-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. The Mariners are 13-6 their last 19 games as road favorites. Seattle is of a two game sweep of Detroit at home. The Angels starter Scott Kazmir 17 runs in his last 23.1 innings of work. Los Angeles is 1-4 their last 5 starts made by Kazmir. The Halos are 1-4 with Kazmir after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. PLAY ON SEATTLE - Lee vs. Kazmir
Mikey Sports
MLB | May 28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays -180
Free MLB Play
Jack Jones
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +100
Scott Kazmir has seen his fair share of success against the Seattle Mariners throughout his career. Kazmir is 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in 8 career starts vs. Seattle, and he's rounding into form just in time to face this team again Friday. Kazmir has gone 7 strong innings in each of his last 2 starts, both on the road against the likes of Texas and St. Louis. Mariners' starter Cliff Lee was rocked for 7 earned runs and 11 hits in 6.1 innings in his last start against the Padres.
This play also falls under a system that is 64-33 (66%) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on home teams (LA ANGELS) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing. Kazmir is 27-9 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. The Angels are 13-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. Seattle is 6-15 on the road this season, hitting .234 and scoring 3.4 RPG away from home. Bet the Angels Friday.
Black Widow
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins -128
1* on Minnesota Twins -128
We're getting a good price with the Twins at home Friday as a slim home favorite over the Texas Rangers. In his last road start, Rangers' starter Colby Lewis allowed 5 earned runs on 3 hits, 4 walks and 1 home run in 5.2 innings of a 2-5 loss to the Blue Jays. Lewis has started to come back to reality of late after overachieving to start the season. Kevin Slowey doesn't have overpowering stuff for the Twins, but he just continues getting the job done witha 5-3 record and 4.53 ERA this season. The Twins are 10-1 in Slowey's last 11 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Slowey has faced the Rangers once in his career, allowing 1 earned run and 4 hits in 6 innings while striking out 7 of a 5-4 Twins' victory. Slowey's biggest strength is his ability to find the strike zone and not give away free passes. He is certainly finding the strike zone of late, allowing just 1 walk total in his last 2 starts. Slowey is 13-1 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997, and his teams are winning these spots by 3.8 runs/game. Twins' players love playing defense behind Slowey because he keeps the game moving along at a nice pace. Minnesota is 18-5 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Rangers are 0-8 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-7 in Lewis' last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. It's safe to say this is not a good spot for the Rangers.
John Martin
NBA | May 28
Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics
Total 189 ov-110
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Magic/Celtics O 189
Matt Fargo
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals +143
We are only just over a quarter of the way into the season but the fact that Washington is still sitting at .500 is very impressive. The Nationals did not win their 24th game until July 4th of last season which just shows the incredible turnaround that is taking place. As mentioned, it is early but Washington is just three games back in the Wild Card standings and while it means little at this point, it does mean we are getting a solid price with a solid team. The Padres may be an even bigger surprise as they are leading the National League West by two games over the Dodgers. They had their four-game winning streak snapped last night by the Cardinals as the offense was once again shutdown. San Diego fifth worst in baseball in average, ninth worst in on-base percentage, fourth worst in slugging percentage and ninth lowest in runs scored. San Diego is not going to win many games with that anemic offense and so far it has been the pitching that has carried it. For how long though? Clayton Richard is a name few know about but he is having a very solid season since coming over in the Jake Peavy deal. Richard has a 2.73 ERA on the season as he has allowed three runs or fewer in all nine of his starts. That is exceptional but what has been unexceptional is his 1.36 WHIP. He has been allowing a lot of baserunners but he has been fortunate to not get into more trouble. He goes up against John Lannan who has been up and down so far this year. Only three of his nine starts have been quality outings but looking at the opposition tells the story. Two-thirds of his starts have come against teams ranked in the top half of baseball in average so he has been victimized by bad scheduling. He was great in his first two full seasons in 2008 and 2009 and he is much better than what his numbers may show. Those numbers are getting better and he now faces a poor offense and one that he has posted a 3.12 ERA in four career starts against. 3* Washington Nationals
Scott Spreitzer
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Friday, May 28th, 2:20 ET
I'm laying the price with the Cardinals on Friday afternoon. St. Louis may be ready to make a bit of a run after finally busting out last night in an 8-3 win over San Diego. Albert Pujols ripped Padre pitching after struggling for most of May. Whether Pujols is in the lineup or not today, I expect a big-time performance at the plate, and more importantly, on the mound. Chris Carpenter loves pitching against the Cubs, whether home or away. His numbers are strong again this season, sporting a 5-1 record with a 3.09 ERA & 1.13 WHIP. More importantly, the Cards are 8-2 in his 10 outings. Randy Wells has pitched well, but he's been nothing special in his couple of outings against the Redbirds. Finally, the Cards are 14-2 in Carpenter's last 16 starts on four days rest, and they're 42-13 when he toes the rubber against teams with a losing record. Look for the Cardinals to cash the ticket on Friday afternoon. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Play on: St. Louis Cardinals
Vegas Experts Tip of the Day
Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
Friday, May 28th, 7:10 ET
The Cincinnati Reds will start rookie right-hander Sam Lecure. He is filling in for injured Homer Bailey. Lecure has been the Reds best pitcher at the AAA level with a 5-2 record and a 2.55 ERA. Cincinnati has won all three meetings this season in Houston. Now in Cincinnati the Reds are in a more famimliar place where they are 17-10 on the season. Houston is just 7-13 on the road this season and just 12-25 against right-handed starters this season. Go with the Reds here tonight.
Play on: Cincinnati Reds
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