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double-dime bet 957 PIT / 958 ATL Over 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: Stan is Betting PITTSBURGH/ATLANTA OVER today. Stan notes that this Duke just faced the Braves in a low scoring pitching gem. Zach Duke hasn't enjoyed that kind of success historically against Atlanta. Expect a high scoring game in Atlanta as neither Lowe or Duke will see the 7th inning stretch. TAKE PITTSBURGH/ATLANTA OVER as STAN'S MLB GAME OF THE WEEK
PREDICTION MACHINE
No Normal play today
weak play Orlando
17-15-1 playoff record
Against the Spread Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS
East Orlando Magic Boston Celtics 3.5 (1.6) 53.3% Calc -->
Straight-Up Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Favorite Underdog Points For Points Against Win% SU
East Boston Celtics Orlando Magic 95.5 93.9 52.7%
Over/Under Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Better Seed Worse Seed Line Total Points Pick Pick%
East Orlando Magic Boston Celtics 188.5 189.5 OVER 51.9% Calc -->
Key
65%+ 3X Normal Play
62% - 65% 2X Normal Play
57% - 62% Normal Play
53% - 57% Weak Play (but playable)
< 53% No Pick
Kendrick Perkins is a big part of what Boston does defensively. After he was bounced Wednesday night,the Celtics' defense unraveled. Tonight, Perkins, as expected, got his suspension lifted and will play; moreover, Glen Davis, who is battling a concussion sustained in Game 5, will play. Therefore, we look at the higher scoring in Game 4 (OT) and 5 of this series as an aberration and not necessarily as an emerging trend. This series has gone "under" in 10 of its last 13 meetings and 5 of its last 6 meetings in Boston. Orlando has heavy "under" trends as a traveler(17-30 O/U) while Boston is 0-4 O/U after allowing 100+. We'll look for Boston to re-establish their defensive dominance here and cool off the heating up perimeter game of Orlando
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