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Re: 6-8-10
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Tue, 06/08/10 - 9:00 PM
double-dime bet 705 LAL / 706 BOS Under 193.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
*Double Dime Play*
I have to admit that this play was already on my mind before the series started just because this is a strong spot for both teams struggle to score so it’s just a matter of grading the play into a Single, Double or Triple Dime Play. Luckily for us, game 2 ended with the Over cashing so for game 3 we are getting a better line (193 points) than in game 1 and 2.
The Lakers defense has doing a good overall job in defending the Celtics. In game 1 the Celtics shot 43.3% from the field while scoring just 30 points in the paint, in game 2 the Celtics shot 42.9% from the field and scored 36 points in the paint. However the Celtics went from scoring 89 points in G1 for 103 points G2, the X factor was obviously Ray Allen and his “treys” as the Celtics shot 11-16 behind the arc with Allen connecting a NBA Finals record of 8-11. It’s hard (however I can’t say impossible) for Allen to have such incredible numbers and so it will be tough for the Celtics to score against the Lakers defense.
On the other end the Celtics defense showed up in game 2 after being pounded in the first game. After allowing 48 points in the paint and being completely outrebounded and outmuscled they bounced back and gave up only 26 points in the paint while they dominated the glass. It’s even more impressive if we take in account that due to foul trouble Kevin Garnett played only 24 minutes and their four frontcourt players KG, Perkins, Wallace and Davis had all 4 personal fouls at the end of the 3rd quarter so I have to say as well that it will be tough for the Lakers to score against the Celtics defense.
Saying this I believe that we have two strong factors that we can add to the discussion and both will favor a low scoring outcome:
1) The referees were blasted for their performance in the first two games of the series, basically there are whistling too much. Kobe Bryant’s “fouls” got the attention from the media but we should not forget that the Lakers went to the charity line 41 times in game 2! The Celtics went a respectable mark of 26 times as well! These are strange numbers because we are dealing with two terrific defensive teams that usually don’ foul much. I expect the referees to be more “conservative” in this contest which will turn the game more physical and less prone to the free throws.
2) The Finals schedule. Ok, both teams had 4/5 days to prepare for game 1 and then 2 days to prepare game 2. Now that they have to travel from LA to Boston in a huge trip they have only 1 day to rest! A quick look for the game 2’ minutes logged:
Derek Fisher 34:40
Kobe Bryant 34:18
Pau Gasol 41:58
Ron Artest 40:31
Andrew Bynum 39:00
Ray Allen 43:30
Rajon Rondo 41:58
Paul Pierce 40:01
Kevin Garnett 23:43
Kendrick Perkins 31:47
As you can see both coaches aren’t using the bench as all the starters (besides Kevin Garnett due to foul trouble) received heavy minutes. For this contest I expect both teams to have tired legs and I believe that we will be dealing with a physical and ugly game.
Curiously we had a similar spot in the 2008 Finals in game 3 between these two teams and I was with the Under in that game. The totals line was 195.5 points and the final score was…87-81!
NOTE: I’m taking the Under as my Double Dime Play but there is a chance for this play to be upgraded into a Triple Dime Play. We might also have a side play but the decision will be made only tomorrow - 05PM EST, thanks
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on Under 193
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Tue, 06/08/10 - 9:00 PM
double-dime bet 705 LAL / 706 BOS Under 193.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
*Double Dime Play*
I have to admit that this play was already on my mind before the series started just because this is a strong spot for both teams struggle to score so it’s just a matter of grading the play into a Single, Double or Triple Dime Play. Luckily for us, game 2 ended with the Over cashing so for game 3 we are getting a better line (193 points) than in game 1 and 2.
The Lakers defense has doing a good overall job in defending the Celtics. In game 1 the Celtics shot 43.3% from the field while scoring just 30 points in the paint, in game 2 the Celtics shot 42.9% from the field and scored 36 points in the paint. However the Celtics went from scoring 89 points in G1 for 103 points G2, the X factor was obviously Ray Allen and his “treys” as the Celtics shot 11-16 behind the arc with Allen connecting a NBA Finals record of 8-11. It’s hard (however I can’t say impossible) for Allen to have such incredible numbers and so it will be tough for the Celtics to score against the Lakers defense.
On the other end the Celtics defense showed up in game 2 after being pounded in the first game. After allowing 48 points in the paint and being completely outrebounded and outmuscled they bounced back and gave up only 26 points in the paint while they dominated the glass. It’s even more impressive if we take in account that due to foul trouble Kevin Garnett played only 24 minutes and their four frontcourt players KG, Perkins, Wallace and Davis had all 4 personal fouls at the end of the 3rd quarter so I have to say as well that it will be tough for the Lakers to score against the Celtics defense.
Saying this I believe that we have two strong factors that we can add to the discussion and both will favor a low scoring outcome:
1) The referees were blasted for their performance in the first two games of the series, basically there are whistling too much. Kobe Bryant’s “fouls” got the attention from the media but we should not forget that the Lakers went to the charity line 41 times in game 2! The Celtics went a respectable mark of 26 times as well! These are strange numbers because we are dealing with two terrific defensive teams that usually don’ foul much. I expect the referees to be more “conservative” in this contest which will turn the game more physical and less prone to the free throws.
2) The Finals schedule. Ok, both teams had 4/5 days to prepare for game 1 and then 2 days to prepare game 2. Now that they have to travel from LA to Boston in a huge trip they have only 1 day to rest! A quick look for the game 2’ minutes logged:
Derek Fisher 34:40
Kobe Bryant 34:18
Pau Gasol 41:58
Ron Artest 40:31
Andrew Bynum 39:00
Ray Allen 43:30
Rajon Rondo 41:58
Paul Pierce 40:01
Kevin Garnett 23:43
Kendrick Perkins 31:47
As you can see both coaches aren’t using the bench as all the starters (besides Kevin Garnett due to foul trouble) received heavy minutes. For this contest I expect both teams to have tired legs and I believe that we will be dealing with a physical and ugly game.
Curiously we had a similar spot in the 2008 Finals in game 3 between these two teams and I was with the Under in that game. The totals line was 195.5 points and the final score was…87-81!
NOTE: I’m taking the Under as my Double Dime Play but there is a chance for this play to be upgraded into a Triple Dime Play. We might also have a side play but the decision will be made only tomorrow - 05PM EST, thanks
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on Under 193
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