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Both teams have been hit hard by the injury bug, which hurts the Ivory Coast more because Portugal (the #3 ranked team in the world) has a lot more depth. Ronaldo has not scored a goal in forever, but this team is good enough to win without him. This game should be close for a while, but Portugal will break through eventually to pick up the win. Take Portugal.
Brazil -2.5
Brazil will definitely win this game...it's just a question of by how many goals. With 9 out of 10 games so far failing to score more than 2 goals combined, I believe this is that break out game where it looks like men are playing against boys. Although it may seem tough for a soccer team to win by 3 goals, Brazil is the best team in the world and they definitely want to make their presence felt. North Korea is a defensive-minded team but, if you let Brazil attack for 90+ minutes, they are going to do some major damage. Take Brazil -2.5 (+115).
Florida Marlins -155
Texas is not a good team on the road and boast a respectable record because they really take advantage of their home park. Florida's Josh Johnson is an awesome pitcher and matched Roy Halladay pitch for pitch in both matchups this year. Look for Johnson to throw at least 7 solid innings and the Marlins to give him enough run support to pick up the win. Take Florida.
Los Angeles Lakers -6.5
The Lakers actually outplayed the Celtics in every catagory in Game 5 except the scoreboard (which obviously matters the most) but the Celtics, who are not a great shooting team, really shot way above their average. I do not see them replicating their Game 5 performance and the Lakers will be ready to redeem themselves tonight to push this to a Game 7. Look for L.A. to get out to a big lead early and to never look back. Take the Lakers.
gill alexander | MLB Money Line Tue, 06/15/10 - 8:10 PM
double-dime bet 969 HOU (+105) Bookmaker.com vs 970 KAN
Analysis:
What? Recommending a 2* on the Houston Astros? You got it. And here’s why. Paulino has a 1.75ERA in his last 5 starts, all quality outings. In fact, he’s gone 8 innings deep in all 3 of his last appearances. He’s coming off 8 innings of 2-ru„n ball v Colorado in which he threw 74 of his 116 pitches for strikes, reportedly mixing up a mid-to-upper 90s heater with a filthy slider. He may be the best pitcher in baseball that no one knows about. Davies has a 8.62ERA in his last 3 starts. But, because the Royals have averaged 6.8 R/G in their last 4G and because Paulino has only gotten 2.0 runs of support in his last 5 outings, KC finds themselves as favorites in this matchup. That latter point is a function of bad fortune and the former...well, let’s just say the Royals haven’t faced Paulino in those last 4 ballgames. Paulino has the 16th best FIP in MLB at 3.28. That’s better than the FIP of Tommy Hanson, Roy Oswalt, Shaun Marcum, Clay Buchholz, Johan Santana, and Felix Hernandez, just to name several bigger names. His xFIP is 4.42. Davies has a FIP of 4.48 and xFIP of 5.21 (5th worst in MLB). I like for these hurlers’ recent trends to continue today. Paulino’s amazing reliability should rule the day over the shakiness of Davies. And as a slight dog, I dig the value on the Astros.
He is 35-27 +1737 (all 100 plays) YTD. He is 12-3 his last 15 with only 2 faves.
Matchup: Texas at Florida
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) WILSON, C.J. vs. (R) JOHNSON, J
Play: Florida (-1.5 +145)
I really like the Florida Marlins @ home in this game vs the Texas Rangers...J.Johnson has simply been sensational especially @ home this year winning seven of his eight starts...his only loss was a 1-0 shutout to R.Halladay in which Halladay tossed a perfect game...the Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter...24-4 in Johnsons last 28 starts with 4 days of rest...rookie M.Stanton has made a big impact already on the Fish lineup...I like the Fish run line...Fish on
Matchup: Chi. White Sox at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) GARCIA, F vs. (R) LINCOLN, B
Play: Chi. White Sox (ML -120)
Brad Lincoln makes his second big league start for the Pirates tonight. He's a legit prospect but I'm not sold that Lincoln is ready just yet. He had good moments in his debut but also made some mistakes in the middle of the strike zone, so his command may be still lacking at this point. Freddy Garcia is doing some better than expected work for the visitors, and while he remains healthy, the old pro may actually be an under the radar value play. The Chisox had a good weekend against the Cubs and have a little momentum, while the hapless Bucs have dropped eight in a row. I'll have to risk the reasonable road favorite odds tonight and back the White Sox.
Matchup: Baltimore at San Francisco
Time: 10:15 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) ARRIETA, J vs. (R) MARTINEZ, J
Play: San Francisco (ML -143)
Based on the pitchers, this is actually a spot where the miserable Orioles would have a shot. Rookie Jake Arrieta is a legit prospect, although his control issues will no doubt cause him some headaches for now. But he certainly has a higher ceiling than Joe Martinez, who's basically an emergency starter here for the Giants. Nevertheless, San Francisco is my choice tonight. The O's are in the throes of a brutal slump even by their low standards. The Giants have won four on a row and have become considerably more potent offensively since the arrival of sensational rookie Buster Posey, as he has transformed the lineup along with a healthy Freddy Sanchez. The bottom line here is the price. Whatever starting pitcher edge may be owned by the Orioles is more than offset by the wide advantage in the bullpen on the Giants side, and the fact that this price is simply too low. I'll go ahead and lay it with the Giants.
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