6-17-10

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NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl!!

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Re: 6-17-10

King Creole | NBA Sides Thu, 06/17/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 714 LAL -7.0 (-110) Sportbet vs 713 BOS
Analysis:
Thursday, June 17th / Round Four / Game Seven / 9:00pm ET
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers
3** BEST BET on: LOS ANGELES LAKERS mi‚nus the points

HOME team in a Game SEVEN = money in the bank. Not only that, but the LAKERS are playing with the extra motivation of REVENGE.... from their 2008 NBA Finals loss to the same Celtics. Let's first query some Game Seven situations and scenarios which all point to the Purple and Gold winning by a large margin on Thursday night.

6-0 ATS since 2001: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN home favorites > 4 points (Lakers) playing off a SU Game 6 win. The average point spread in these games is -6.5 points for the host... and the average winning margin has been a WHOPPING +19.1 points per game!

6-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN home favs of 6 > points playing with ONE day of REST (Lakers)... when the OU line is > 173 points.

4-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN home favs of 6 > points (Lakers) when the OU line falls in the range of 180 to 190 points.

4-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN teams (Lakers) who allowed 70 or LESS points in their last game.

In the FINAL ROUND (Rd 4), GAME SEVEN hosts (Lakers) have gone a PERFECT 2-0 ATS since the 1991 season.

If you have followed our plays over the last 10 days, then you know that our King Creole service have gone "UNDER" in each of the last 4 games of these NBA Finals... and we've been fortunate to cash WINNERS in each of those 4 games. While looking for an OU "angle" for Thursday's Game Seven, I queried the Playbook database for Playoff games that have gone UNDER in the last 4 games of a particular series. There was not much that jumped out at us from an Over / Under perspective. So we'll pass on the OU play. But there's a couple of Side Play tendencies that DID jump out at us:

0-6-1 ATS since 2003: All NBA Playoff FINAL ROUND (Rd 4) road teams playing off 4 or more 'Unders' in a row (Celtics).

9-1-1 ATS since 2001: All NBA Playoff favorites (ANY round) in Games 5, 6, or 7 (Lakers) who are playing off 4+ 'Unders' in a row. If we eliminate ROUND ONE from this query, the results have been a PERFECT 5-0-1 ATS for our home team (Lakers).

Now, let's run a database query for the results of the last 3 games of this series. Boston comes in off a double-digit SU loss in Game Six... and BB SU wins in Games Four and Five respectively.

0-4 ATS last 6 years: All NBA Playoff GAME 5, 6, or 7 road teams (Celtics) playing off a DD SU loss... and BB SU wins.

0-3 ATS since 2000: All NBA Playoff FINAL ROUND teams who scored 70 or LESS points in their last game (Celtics).

THREE key ATS Systems that pertain to this particular Day of the Week seals the deal for us....
3-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN home teams on a THURSDAY (Lakers)...

8-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff THURSDAY home favs of 6 > points playing off a SU win of 15 > points (Lakers).

12-2 ATS: All NBA Playoff FINAL ROUND home teams on a THURSDAY (Lakers). If favored by -2 or MORE points, these hosts have gone 11-1 ATS.

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Re: 6-17-10

Marc Lawrence | NBA Sides Thu, 06/17/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 714 LAL -7.0 (-110) BetUS vs 713 BOS
Analysis: Play On: L.A. Lakers (Game 714)
Note: When the Lakers ho€st the Celtics in the seventh and deciding game of this NBA Championship series Thursday night in Los Angeles they will do so knowing that home teams in Game Seven of a playoff series are 15-3 SU and 12-6 ATS when hosting a No. 4 or lower seed. If the host won 40 or more games last season they improve to 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS in these games, including 5-0 SU and ATS when they are favored by six or more points in this contest. With the Lakers motivated by a championship series loss they suffered to the Celtics in 2008, look for Phil Jackson to improve to 48-0 in a playoff series in which his team won Game One with another convincing win here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on the Lakers

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Re: 6-17-10

DCI

Season
Straight Up: 869-378 (.697)
ATS: 664-621 (.517)
ATS Vary Units: 1594-1499 (.515)
Over/Under: 636-656 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 824-860 (.489)

NBA Playoffs, Finals
Game 7, best-of-7 series
L.A. LAKERS 98, Boston 93

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Re: 6-17-10

Mike Hook biggest golf wager of the year 06/17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TIGER OVER 68.5 at (-150)


Tiger Woods First Round Score @ The 2010 US Open Championship - June 17th @ 10:10 am EST

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Re: 6-17-10

Big Al

Celtics

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Re: 6-17-10

Ben Burns

10* LA Lakers -7

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Re: 6-17-10

Game of the day: Celtics at Lakers
By Matt Fargo

The numbers

The Lakers are set as 7-point favorites for Game 7of the NBA Finals. Game 6's closing line was Los Angeles -6 and this game opened at -6.5, so the number is being shaded toward the favorite. The total is at 187, which is the lowest number in this series and for good reason. The under is 5-1-1 and in some cases 6-1 with four straight coming in.

Another blowout?

For a series that has gone the distance, it hasn’t been very entertaining.

The smallest margin of victory has been seven points - a 96-89 Boston win in Game 5 - while the average margin of victory has been 10.7 points per game. You would think that the finals would produce more close finishes and important last-second possessions, but that has not been the case.

What does this mean for Game 7?

It means we are overdue for a fantastic finish. The entire 2010 playoffs owe us as from the start, as it has been pretty much a dud. Who knows if we will actually get it but if you like playing the odds of it happening, you have to like the Celtics to bounce back from a dreadful Game 6.

Looking purely at probabilities, Boston has a 75 percent chance of covering based on the four different outcomes that can take place. If we do see a blowout, the Lakers or Celtics can be on the winning side, therefore a split cover. Should we see a close game, the Lakers or Celtics can again be on the winning side outright but the Celtics would cover in both instances.

Rebounding

When it comes to winning basketball games, any number of factors comes into play such as shooting, turnovers and free throws. In this series, the biggest factor has been rebounding.

The winning team has had the edge on the glass in all six games so far. The average margin of the boards per game is 7.1, so it is safe to say who wins the battle of the boards in Game 7 will be the NBA champion.

If only it were that easy. The issue now is injuries. The Lakers have had a hobbled Andrew Bynum throughout the series, so the inside advantage they were thought to have heading in ended up being negated. The Celtics have their own problems now that Kendrick Perkins sprained his knee in Game 6 and is doubtful for the season finale.

“He’s a guy that cleans the paint up, let’s say, and not having him there made the Lakers awful long,” Celtics head coach Doc Rivers told reporters. “He's one of our guys that I think gives us great spirit, gives us a lot of toughness and size. You know, I hope he can play. It would be tough if he can't.”

Game 7 history lesson

Only 16 previous NBA Finals have gone to a decisive Game 7 and it has happened only three times since the Lakers and Celtics went the distance in 1984.

Home-court advantage is obviously big now when it comes to the decisive game and history definitely proves that. Overall, the home team has won 13 of 16 Game 7s in the NBA Finals. Tightening that up, since the 2-3-2 playoff format of the NBA Finals was instituted in 1985, there have been three Game 7s and the home team has won all three.

Those three wins were by an average of only 5.3 points per game.

While players and coaches will be treating this game like all others, it is not the same and there are some big names that have never experienced this. This is the first NBA Finals Game 7 for Kobe Bryant and Derek Fisher, who have played in 393 combined playoff games. Maybe most surprising, neither has Phil Jackson, who has coached in 322 postseason games and won 10 championships.

The 2010 Finals will be the fifth Lakers-Celtics series to go seven games and in the previous four instances, the Celtics have beaten the Lakers by an average of just four points a game.

Kobe’s legacy

Kobe Bryant is a future Hall of Famer and one of the greatest players to ever step on an NBA floor. This Game 7 could go a long way in determining exactly where he ranks.

As mentioned, he has never played in Game 7 in the NBA Finals. But neither did Michael Jordan. Therefore, winning a championship in a decisive Game 7 will give Bryant an additional stat that Jordan does not have on his résumé. A win would also give Bryant his fifth NBA title, tying him with Magic Johnson and trailing Jordan by only one.

Should the Lakers lose, Bryant will have gone down three times compared to Jordan having never lost when going to the NBA Finals. It many not seem like much but it is a pretty big difference and one that Bryant will be compared to forever.

While this game will determine where Bryant currently ranks among the best ever, he isn’t taking it any different.

“It's no different to me,” he told the media. “I don't mean to be a buzz kill, but it's not. I know what's at stake but I'm not tripping. It's a game we've got to win, simple as that. I'm not going crazy over it.”

Trends

- The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss.
- The Lakers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS win.
- The Over is 13-6 in the Celtics last 19 games following a double-digit loss.
- The Over is 7-2-2 in the Lakers last 11 games following a straight up win.
- The Celtics are 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

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Re: 6-17-10

Celtics at Lakers - Game 7
By Kevin Rogers

For the first time since 2005, the NBA Finals will see a Game 7 after the Lakers rocked the Celtics on Tuesday night. Los Angeles wasn't ready to have its season end as the defending champs beat down Boston, 89-67 in Game 6, easily covering as six-point home favorites. These two rivals get together on Thursday night for the last game of the Finals at Staples Center, trying to win a title and solidify legacies.

The Celtics shot a blistering 56% from the floor in the Game 5 victory, but things changed drastically for Doc Rivers' team in the Game 6 embarrassment by shooting only 33% from the field. Boston's big four combined for 75 points in Game 5, while totaling 54 points in Tuesday's loss. The Lakers didn't shoot great in Game 6 (41%), but jumped out to a 51-31 halftime lead and never looked back. Boston got to the free-throw line 10 times in Game 6, while getting outrebounded by Los Angeles, 52-39, the first time in the series either team has grabbed at least 45 rebounds in a game.

Kobe Bryant continued to carry the Lakers with his 26-point, 11-rebound effort on Tuesday, his 17th straight game with at least 20 points. Pau Gasol put together his fourth double-double of the series by scoring 17 points and pulling down 13 boards, redeeming himself for a less than stellar effort in the 2008 NBA Finals. Lamar Odom stayed out of foul trouble and contributed with eight points and 10 rebounds, while Ron Artest tied his series-high with 15 points in Game 6.

Boston had plenty of problems shooting in Game 6, but it was a complete team effort with Rajon Rondo, Paul Pierce, and Kevin Garnett combining to go 17-43 (39%). Ray Allen led the C's with 19 points (7-14), while Rasheed Wallace failed to register a point on 0-7 shooting from the field. It didn't help matters either for the Celtics when center Kendrick Perkins was lost for the game in the opening quarter with a knee injury. Perkins' status for Game 7 is 'doubtful,' but we'll see if the big man gives it a go to provide Boston some much-needed bulk in the middle.

Phil Jackson has led his teams (Bulls and Lakers) to 13 Finals appearances since 1991, and this is the first time his club will play in a Game 7 of the NBA Finals. There have been just two Game 7's in the last 20 seasons in the championship round, with the home team winning each time (Houston, 1994 and San Antonio, 2005). Only 21 teams have picked up road victories in Game 7 of the playoffs all-time, with the last occurrence coming last season when Orlando won at Boston in the second round, 101-82.

The Lakers closed out the Rockets in a Game 7 blowout, 89-70 in last season's second round at home. Under Jackson, Los Angeles is 3-1 in Game 7's, with the lone loss coming in the first round at Phoenix in 2006. The Celtics have played in four Game 7's in the Rivers era, with all four games at home. Boston eliminated Atlanta and Cleveland in 2008, before disposing of Chicago in the first round of the 2009 playoffs. The only blemish on Boston's record in this span was the 19-point defeat to Orlando in last season's conference semifinals.

My colleague Chris David points out that the Celtics own a dreadful 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS mark in close-out games on the road since their 2008 championship season. The sole victory came at Detroit in the Eastern Conference Finals in 2008, as the Celtics outscored the Pistons, 29-13 in the final quarter to win their first conference championship since 1987.

The 'under' has hit in each of the last four games in this series, and would be 5-1 if not for Bryant's late three-pointer to put the finishing touches on a 102-89 victory in Game 1. Boston is 6-4-1 to the 'over' on the road in the playoffs, while L.A. is 6-4-1 to the 'over' at Staples Center in the postseason. The Lakers are 3-0-1 to the 'under' in close-out games of the playoffs, while compiling a 4-0 ATS mark in potential series clinchers.

Los Angeles is listed as a seven-point favorite in most spots, while the total is set at 187. The game tips off at 9:05 PM EST, with the game nationally televised on ABC.

vegasinsider.com

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Re: 6-17-10

LADY LUCK

Thursday's Best WNBA Bet

Seattle Storm at Indiana Fever (-2.5, 145.5)

The Indiana Fever have been nearly untouchable inside Conseco Fieldhouse, going 4-1 at home season. That home mark gets put to the test when the WNBA’s top team, the Seattle Storm, visit Thursday night.

Indiana added to its solid record at home with a 77-67 win over the Connecticut Sun last Sunday, covering as a 5.5-point favorite. The Fever have covered in three of their five home games this year and boast an even 5-5 record against the spread.

"I think it was a big win in the sense that it was Connecticut , who we're chasing and who is up there with Atlanta," forward Tammy Sutton-Brown told The Examiner about Sunday’s win. "We need to take care of our home court."

Defense has been the name of the game in Conseco for Indiana. They’ve allowed opponents only 66 points per home contest this season and tops in the WNBA in points against (69.8) and opposing field goal percentage (39.9 percent).

"We're an energy defensive team," coach Lin Dunn told reporters last week.

Seattle has rolled to five straight wins since losing on the road to the Chicago Sky at the end of May. The Storm have a profitable 6-3-1 ATS record but have gone just 2-1-1 ATS on the road.

These two teams split their meetings last season, with the Fever taking a 73-66 win at home while covering as 2.5-point favorites.

Pick: Indiana

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Re: 6-17-10

Hammer The Book

NBA FINALS GAME #7
4-UNITS on the LA LAKERS -7
4-UNITS on the UNDER-187

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Re: 6-17-10

JIM FEIST COMP
(963) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
(964) NEW YORK YANKEES
Take "Under"
Andy Pettitte has had success against the Phillies, with a 3.67 ERA against them. And he's in one of the best grooves of his long career, with a 2.46 ERA. Pettitte improved to 8-1 by holding the Astros to three runs -- two earned -- on four hits over 7.1 innings on Friday night. He struck out four and walked one in the outing, trimming his ERA to 2.46. Both teams have very good pens and the Yankees have never faced Phillies starter Kyle Kendrick, who has a 3.00 ERA his last three starts. Play the Phillies/Yankees Under the total.

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Re: 6-17-10

Jimmy Moore
4*

Sport: NBA
Game: Boston @ L A Lakers
Date/Time: 6/17/2010 9:05PM EST
Pick: UNDER 187
Reason: Jimmy is thanking everyone for a successful NBA season by giving away a 4* rated winner in game 7 of the Finals. With this game being for the all the marbles both teams will be focused on defense and nobody will be giving up any easy baskets. This has been an under series and this will be the last chance to win on the under

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Re: 6-17-10

Jack Clayton
Free play

Sport: MLB
Game: Astros at Royals
Date/Time: 6/17/2010 8:00PM EST
Pick: Under the total

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Re: 6-17-10

Mike Hook biggest golf wager of the year 06/17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TIGER OVER 68.5 at (-150)


Tiger Woods First Round Score @ The 2010 US Open Championship - June 17th @ 10:10 am EST

Mike Hook biggest golf wager of the year 06/17

TIGER OVER 68.5 at (-150)

Tiger Woods First Round Bogeys @ The 2010 US Open Championship (Double Bogey or worse equal one Bogey) - June 17th @ 10:10 am EST

Woods OVER 1.5 BOGIES OR WORSE -138

Jim Furyk to finish in the Top 20 +120

Luke Donald to finish in the Top 20 +130



PHIL MICKELSON: 7-1. I'd wait to make a wager on this, but he's playing too strong right now. I had to lock in 7-1. Small.

LUKE DONALD: 33-1. Been talking about him all week long.

BEN CRANE: 60-1. If you don't have multiple books, you can't line shop. It's a must.

NICK WATNEY: 66-1. Love this selection. Again, think he's primed to be the next Lucas Glover

RYAN MOORE: 90-1.

I've also got Top 10 wagers on these players:

HEATH SLOCUM +900

GRAEME MCDOWELL +600

MATT KUCHAR +600

KEVIN NA +1400

My 2 favorite Player Props for the Week. I went large on these two.

JIM FURYK TO FINISH 20th or BETTER +120

LUKE DONALD TO FINISH 20th or BETTER +130

Tournament Head to Heads playing small:

PHIL MICKELSON -140 Tiger Woods

BEN CRANE -115 Sean O'Hair

ZACH JOHNSON -115 Ian Poulter