6-21-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Mon, 06/21/10 - 10:05 PM

double-dime bet 956 OAK (-125) Bodog vs 955 CIN
Analysis:
Play on Oakland at 10:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Andre Gomes | MLB Money Line Mon, 06/21/10 - 7:05 PM

dime bet 952 WAS (-110) Bodog vs 951 KAN
Analysis:
World Cup Soccer - Spain vs Honduras

*TRIPLE Dime Play*


I’m taking Spain today in a blowout win as my Triple Dime Play.
Split the wager:

Pick: 4 units on Spain (-1.5) @ -190 on 5 Dimes
Pick: 1 units on Spain (-2) @ -115 on 5 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

"John Morrison's pick(s) for June 21 2010


Spain - 900 This game is against Honduras at 2:30 PM EDT"

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

NY PLAYERS CLUB

2* Oakland -125 over Cincy

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Dan Bebe

Oak (-122)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Indian Cowboy MLB


Under 9 in kc/wash

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Scott Rickenbach

6* Oakland / Cincinnati Over 7.5

Mike Leake has great numbers on the road this season. However, most all of that was achieved early in the season and Leake has not been nearly as effective of late. His most recent two starts saw him allow five earned runs in each outing. Overall, in his last five starts (dating back to late last month), Leake has given up 44 hits in his last 30.2 innings of work. He’s lucky his ERA is not higher than where it is on the season and we feel the five earned runs he’s allowed in each of his last two starts is absolutely a sign of things to come the Red right-hander. The 22 year old rookie is looking to get back on track at Oakland but the A’s, despite not scoring a lot of runs recently, have averaged 10 hits per game in their last 12 games! The Athletics pounded out 11 hits in their win over the Cardinals yesterday and they should pound Leake and a weak Reds bullpen.

Cincinnati’s bats were real quiet as the Reds got swept in their three game set at Seattle. However, look for the change of venue to do Cincy some good! The Reds are still the top hitting team in the National League on the season and we expect them to bounce back and enjoy success against Gio Gonzalez and a mediocre A’s bullpen. We are well aware of the fact that Gonzalez has produced exceptional numbers at home this season. However, the southpaw comes into this start having allowed at least three earned runs in 7 of his last 9 starts. The total on this game has dropped to a 7.5 as of early Monday morning and we just don’t see him shutting down a Reds lineup that was thrilled to get out of Seattle yesterday after their weekend of frustration at Safeco Field. They are happy to be in Oakland – just as the A’s lineup will be happy to be returning home – and we look for the bats to respond here. Note that Gonzalez has given up 18 earned runs on 33 hits in his last 28.2 innings of work. As you can see from those numbers that is far from being dominant. Simply put, we see exceptional value here with the low total and two pitchers who are not nearly as dominant as their current respective home/road numbers would lead you to believe. One final note, the Reds had averaged 10.4 hits per game in their last 8 games before struggling in Seattle. Cincinnati can hit, the A’s have been hitting, and this one flies over the low posted number. Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *6* Regular Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Dave Cokin

Matchup: Cincinnati at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) LEAKE, M vs. (L) GONZALEZ, G

Play: Oakland (ML -120)

The Reds head to Oakland following a lost weekend at Seattle. Not only was Cincinnati swept by the lowly Mariners, they were completely shut down, scoring just one run total in the three games. Now they have to face Gio Gonzalez, who hasn't been good on the road but is doing some good work at home. The A's have been mostly inhospitable hosts this season, and while they're off a losing series at St. Louis, they at least return to Oaktown off a win in the series finale. Mike Leake has not been sharp in his last pair of starts for the Reds, and might be hitting that proverbial rookie wall as the innings begin to pile up. I see this number being about a quarter more than it is, so I'm going ahead and playing the A's tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Bob Balfe

Chile +110

The one thing that the entire world knows is that South America dominates the sport of soccer. Chile is almost as good as Brazil and could do some major damage in the later rounds. Look for Chile to win the battle of possession and get the big win to take control of their group.


Honduras +2

It doesn't matter what the matchup is in this tournament; two goals is a lot to lay with how hard scoring has been. Spain has yet to score a goal in the World Cup so let's take our chances today with Honduras getting the cover getting two points.


Washington Nationals -150

The Royals are not a good team on the road while the Nationals do play good home ball and should get a big win with Hernandez on the mound, who has been pitching very well this year. Look for Washington to get a big win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Monday Baseball

100* Play NY Yankees (-160) over Arizona Game starts at 9:40 PM EST Arizona has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have also lost 11 of the last 15 games as an underdog of +150 or higher. Rodrigo Lopez has lost 3 consecutive games when pitching on a Monday and he is 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.00.


50* Play Cincinnati (+110) over Oakland Game starts at 10:00 PM EST Cincinnati has won 23 of the last 36 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and pitcher, Mike Leake is 2-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 1.67.

Monday World Cup Soccer

50* Play Portugal over North Korea

50* Play Switzerland (+.5 goal) over Chile

50* Play Spain (-2 goals) over Honduras

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Matt Rivers, Senior Handicapper at OffshoreInsiders.com has a free MLB betting pick Monday on the Kansas City Royals playing at Washington Nationals. They are getting 130 at the sportsbooks.

Bruce Chen is far from a guy that I can trust but he actually has been alright of late and it does appear that Livan Hernandez is coming back down to Earth after the shockingly great start to the season. The old Cuban seemed to be defying everything including being probably about 45 years and looking great. But that can only last so long and Hernandez is starting to really be having some issues, especially on the road.

Washington is at home here which is an advantage for El Duque's half brother and the Royals are not good at all but the Nationals were just swept at home by the mediocre White Sox and seem to be resorting back a bit to their poor 2009 form. Granted the Nats are a decent enough club to back led by bashers in Zimmerman and Dunn when getting a pretty penny back but right now to lay a price, even against the lowly Royals and a bad hurler in Chen, is a semi must fade.

There is no way that I can go gaga on the visitors from Kansas City for obvious reasons with the main one being they are not good but on this small Monday slate I'll take the price back with the American Leaguers in a comp type play.

The pick: Kansas City +130

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Frank patron

10000 unit interleague lock
over 10.5 runs new york at arizona
burnett vs lopez

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

BIGFELLA

4* Washington Nationals -138

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

MIKE HOOK
BURIED TREASURE
1 UNIT Cincinnati Reds +112 ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-21-10

Benton

A’s

Both these teams are in a funk right now, with Cincinnati losing three in a row, six of seven and seven of nine and Oakland dropping four of five and seven of nine. The one caveat, though, is Oakland’s 2-7 slump came entirely on the road (where they’re just 13-24 on the season). At home, the A’s have been a completely diffarent team, going 21-13 while getting it done both on the mound (2.90 ERA) and at the plate (.271 team average).

Conversely, the Reds’ 2-7 rut started when they lost two of three each to the Royals and Dodgers at home, followed by a disastrous weekend in Seattle, where Cincinnati got swept by the pathetic Mariners – not only swept, but outscored 7-1 (the Reds lost a pair of 1-0 contests). Cincinnati is now a sub-.500 team on the highway this season at 14-16, including 2-5 in the last seven. And their team stats on the road mirror their mediocere record (.253 average; 4.32 ERA).

Even though the main numbers don’t show it, the pitching matchup favors the A’s, too. Cincinnati’s Mike Leake is 5-1 with a 3.02 ERA in 13 starts, but in his last two outings he’s allowed 10 runs, 20 hits and seven walks in 10 1/3 innings (he started out 5-0 with a 2.22 ERA). Oakland’s Gio Gonzalez is just 6-5 with a 4.21 ERA overall, but at home he’s 4-2 with a 2.90 ERA in six starts. The fact Gonzalez is a southpaw is key, too, because the Reds have lost five of their last six games to lefty starters, 13 of 16 on the road against lefties, and 22 of 30 against lefties when playing in A.L. ballparks.

Furthermore, the Reds are just 17-35 in their last 52 interleague roadies and 7-21 in their last 28 against A.L. West competioion. Compare that to Oakland, which is 69-33 in its last 102 interleague home games, 84-37 in its last 121 interleague games as a favorite and 7-0 when Gonzalez takes the mound as a chalk.

Finally, although these teams don’t meet every season, it’s interesting to note that the A’s have won eight of nine against Cincinnati overall, including five of the last six in Oakland. Combined score in those nine head-to-head meetings: Oakland 73, Cincinnati 32!