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On Sunday the Free MLB System play is on the LA. Angels. Game 972 at 3;35 eastern. The Angles qualify in a decent 10-3 system that plays on certain home favorites off a home favored win by 2 or more runs, provided they were a home faorite of -140 or higher and 4 or less runs and 4 or less hits. If the opponent is off a road dog loss and scored 2 or less runs the system cashes 10 of 13 times. The Angles are one of the best Day teams in the majors. They have a long term 85.36 day time record and average over 5 runs per game when the sun is up. They also have cashed 19 of 26 times when the total is 8 to 8.5. The Rockies are just 3-7 as a road dog in this range and hit for a lower average in day games than they do at night. Look for the Angels to win this one. On Sunday I have an Early 90% MLB System total that averages nearly 12 rpg and has lost just once. I also have a 13-0 MLB Power system Blowout side that goes later on. Jump on and Cash big. We are a 19 games over .500 in bases and will continue the damage on Sunday. For the free play take the Angels. GC
1.) System Play. We'll Play Against - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL. This is a 46-9 ML System hitting 83.6% since 1997.
2.) Jamie Garcia is 7-3 with a 1.79 ERA this season. The lefty has been the Cardinals best starter. Both starters are south paws, and the Cards are scoring 4.7 RPG against lefty starters this season while the Royals are scoring 4.0 RPG against left-handed starters. The Cards are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings with K.C. and 19-7 in their last 26 road meetings in this series. Bet St. Louis on the road.
A pair of aces take the mound in Atlanta on Sunday afternoon as the Braves host the Tigers. Atlanta’s Tommy Hanson is coming off the worst start of his career giving up nine runs in just 3.7 innings of work. At home, Hanson is 3-2 with a 4.46 ERA this season. He'll be facing a Tigers team that has scored only 19 runs in their last six games. Not a single Detroit hitter has faced the righty which gives him a slight advantage here. Detroit will most likely be without Magglio Ordonez for this one which certainly makes the Tigers’ lineup less effective.
Detroit’s Justin Verlander is also coming off a bad outing where he gave up five runs and five hits in two innings to the Mets. He's 4-3 with a 5.03 ERA on the road this season, and he'll be facing the Braves for just the second time in his career. He struck out 11 Atlanta hitters in seven innings in a 2-1 win back in 2007. Melky Cabrera (2-11), Brian McCann (0-3), and Eric Hinske (0-2) all struggle against the righty. Jason Heyward is most likely out of this game as he deals with an ailing thumb. Atlanta has gone Under in four straight games scoring only nine runs over that span, and Detroit has gone Under in four of their last six games. With both offenses struggling and possibly missing two solid hitters, we’ll recommend a play on the Under between the Tigers and Braves this afternoon.
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I am now on a 33-14-1 run with my last 48 free selections after cashing on Saturday with the Rangers on the run line.
I also scored a solid 40 dime winner on the White Sox against the Cubs.
I'm going back to the run line for my Sunday free play, but this time taking +1 1/2 on the run line with the Arizona Diamondbacks against Tampa Bay.
The Rays aren't scoring enough to get away with laying 1 1/2 runs and the pitching matchup isn't strong in their favor.
The Rays would be 2-13 if you attached a -1 1/2 run line to their past 15 games. And two of those wins were by two runs.
Tampa Bay is 2-4 in its last six games. The Rays have scored 16 runs in their last six games, an average of 2.6 runs per game during this span. They are 6-for-47 with runners in scoring position during their last five games.
Carl Crawford has missed the past two games with a sore shoulder.
The pitching matchup is Rodrigo Lopez versus Wade Davis. Lopez has a 4.59 ERA. He's a veteran pitcher, who held the Yankees to three runs in eight innings during his last start this past Monday.
Davis is a rookie who has hit the wall. He's dropped all four of his starts this month and is having trouble finding the strike zone. Davis threw just 58 strikes out of 103 pitches in his last start, giving up five hits and walking four in 4 1/3 innings at home against the Padres this past Tuesday. He has failed to go six innings during six of his last nine starts. His 4.90 ERA is worse than Lopez's.
2? ARIZONA RUN LINE
Sunday’s complimentary selection in interleague baseball comes from the South Side of Chicago, as I’ll take the host White Sox over the Cubs.
Start with the obvious, which is that the White Sox are riding a season-best 11-game winning streak during which they’ve more than doubled the scoring output of their opponents (51-24), batted .282 as a team and posted a ridiculous 2.05 team ERA. Conversely, the Cubs are 2-6 in their last eight games and 8-16 over the past month. And that includes four losses in five games against their rivals to the south.
Lefty John Danks gets the for the home team here, and all he’s done in eight starts at U.S. Cellular Field this year is give up only 15 earned runs in 56 innings (2.41 ERA). Over his last three outings, Danks is 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA, and after getting horrendous run support in his first 12 starts of the season, Danks has seen his offense put up 16 runs in his last two trips to the mound. In fact, the Sox have scored five runs or more in four of Danks’ last six starts, and they’re 4-2 during this stretch.
As for Danks’ history against the Cubs, it can be summed up in one word: SICK! In three starts (one in 2008, two in 2009), Danks has allowed a total of two runs, 14 hits and 4 walks while striking out 19 in 20 innings (0.90 ERA).
The White Sox have been the best interleague team in 2010, going 15-2, part of an overall 17-5 run. They’re also 36-17 in their last 53 interleague home games. The Cubs? They’ve dropped 16 of 20 games in A.L. parks, not to mention 10 of 14 to the White Sox over the past three seasons.
4? CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Sure hope you listened to my advice and backed the Dodgers yesterday, as they dismantled A.J. Burnett as I said they would. Vin Scully went home happy last night, as did I. Not only did the Dodgers take care of business, but I won for the sixth straight day and continued to dominate the MLB world as the No. 1 baseball handicapper in the world.
Today I am coming strong with my second-biggest MLB release of the season, a 600? play on the Nationals-Orioles, my second-straight 600? winner on the heels of a 5-0 win with the Mets over the Tigers this past Wednesday.
As for your free winner, I am going to have to side with the hottest baseball team right now, though the ship may have sailed and I could be jumping on this team a little late, I'll play the White Sox.
After falling behind the Twins in the American League Central by 9-1/2 games, the Pale Hose are just 1-1/2 back thanks to a 15-1 run, including 11 straight by Ozzie Guillen's bunch.
And what's most impressive with this team is not an overpowering display at the plate, but the balance across the board. The South Siders are averaging 4.6 runs during their streak, while their starting rotation has been tremendous, going 8-0 with a 2.16 ERA.
Today's starter, John Danks, has been super in his last six Interleague starts, going 5-1 with a 1.93 ERA and has been lights out in this Windy City series, going 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in three career outings.
The White Sox have won seven of eight at U.S. Cellular Field against the Cubbies, and should have no trouble jumping on Ryan Dempster, who hs given up 13 runs to the Sox the past two seasons - on the same exact date each time, June 27.
All signs point to another White Sox win.
4? CHICAGO White Sox (LISTING DANKS AND DEMPSTER)
G-Man gave it a go with the Cubs as the comp play on Saturday to no avail, and I am not about to pick the spot where the White Sox actually lose another game this season.
With 11 wins in a row on their side, and a 19-7 mark their last 26, the Pale Hose are the team to watch in the AL Central, and the G-Man will ride their band wagon this Sunday to notch another win.
John Danks has won his last 3 starts, and he has also dominated the Cubs in interleague ball going 2-0 his last 3 starts against them, with just 2 runs allowed in 20 innings of work.
The Cubs have now dropped 6 of their last 8, and are just 14-24 on the road this year. They are also 1-7 the last 8 meetings on the south side of Chicago - which is the baddest part of town, by the way! - and are just 3-8 overall the last 11 meetings against the White Sox.
Too many positive numbers on the White Sox side in this one to ignore.
Nice hit with the Angels over the Rockies 4-2 Saturday! I'm taking another home chalk Sunday, and like the Halos yesterday, this line stands out for being a little too fishy for my liking.
Think about it... Why would oddsmakers make it so cheap to take a pitcher as hot as Jason Vargas (6-2, 2.66 ERA) has been? He's 2-0 with a 1.31 ERA in his L3 starts, and being opposed by a pitcher who's ERA hovers at almost 6 runs (5.76 to be exact)? It just doesn't add up, that is, until you dig a little deeper.
One stat of note is Vargas' ERA on the road, which rises a full run from 2.30 at Safeco to 3.31 anywhere else. And on the opposite end, while he's had his ups and downs, Chris Narveson (6-4, 5.76 ERA) has been effective in his L2 home starts (5 runs allowed in 12 innings).
But the real difference this afternoon comes at the plate. Its no secret that most of Narveson's issues come in the 1st inning. Luckily, he's be facing an offense as anemic as they come, as Seattle averages 3.5 runs per game vs lefties. Unlike the Mariners, the Brewers have hit lefties well, averaging 5.2 runs per game against them. Throw in the fact the Mariners bullpen will be short-handed today, and I'm expecting the Brew Crew to get back on track this afternoon. Milwaukee (Narveson) over Seattle (Vargas) Sunday.
2? MILWAUKEE
I was all over it on Saturday, delivering a FREE winner with the White Sox as they took out the Cubs in that city rivalry. Improved my comp record to 114-97-3 and it'll get even better today as I go with the Giants at home to down the Red Sox.
This one has all the making of a great pitching matchup as these two teams play the rubber-match of their three-game set. It’s the Red Sox lefty Jon Lester (8-3, 3.03 ERA) going up against the Giants’ Tim Lincecum (8-2, 2.86 ERA) in San Francisco and I’m going with the Giants today.
Boston lost a big piece of their heart and soul on Saturday when Dustin Pedroia went down with a broken foot. That injury is going to linger for a while with these guys as they have to get somebody to step up and deliver with the bat.
Lincecum has been outstanding lately, winning each of his last three outings with a 1.64 ERA. He baffled the Astros in Houston on Tuesday, allowing one unearned run in eight innings of a 3-1 victory. His last interleague start was June 16 when he held the Orioles to two runs in six innings, striking out 10 en route to a 6-3 victory.
Lester has a 4.26 ERA in his last three games and he’s 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA on the road. He was good against the Rockies in Colorado on Tuesday, allowing one run in six innings, but the offense didn’t deliver and the Sox lost 2-1. His previous roadie was June 10 when the Indians got him for six runs in six innings of an 8-7 loss.
San Francisco is 9-2 in interleague home games, 4-0 on Sundays, 50-22 as a home favorite, 25-9 when Lincecum is the home favorite, 13-5 when he starts at home and 7-3 when he’s on the hill at home against a winning team. Boston is just 2-5 on the road, 14-27 on the road against winning teams and 1-4 when Lester is a road ‘dog.
I’ll pay the slight price to side with Lincecum and the Giants at home in this one. Play San Francisco.
4? SAN FRANCISCO
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Hondo, still fired up about his Astronomical score Friday night, knocked another chunk off the deficit in The Big Citi yesterday when the American Idle did a number on the Metamucils to lower the flabby fig ure to 855 lemongellos.
Today, he expects Niese to make nice and muzzle Minny -- 10 units on the Mets. Also, he'll take a shot with Roy Harvey Oswalt -- 10 units on the 'Stros.
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