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The New York Yankees will look to their most consistent left hand pitcher Andy Pettiite who is two and zero lifetime versus the Los Angeles Dodgers. The left hander has been lights out in his last five starts stingily allowing nine runs on twenty six hits in thirty six frames. Dodger starter Kershaw had a dreadful outing in his last start giving up five runs on thirteen hits in fourteen innings. Play: New York
dime bet 976 SFG (-112) BetUS vs 975 BOS
Analysis: MLB: Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants - Giants (Lester/Lincecum) -112 | Unit Value: 1
Game Date: 6/27/2010
This was going to be a second premium play today, but I know how anal some people get about cappers releasing "high line plays." So I'm just making this a freebie, but I'm betting this the same as my paid play. I personally don't have a -130 or -150 cut-off for MLB wagers. I'm not afraid to lay some heavy juice in the right situation.
The popular gut reaction here is to grab Roy Oswalt at this big dog price. Even if Oswalt does pitch well today, that alone will not be enough. Oswalt is 0-4 with a 4.81 ERA in his last five outings in the series. Texas is hitting .331 against Oswalt in that stretch, with a few Rangers having great success against Oswalt, including Max Ramirez (2-for-3 with a HR), Michael Young (.306 with 4 2B in 36 AB), and Ian Kinsler (6-for-13 with a 2B, 3B & HR). Texas is batting .308 and scoring 6.4 runs per game at home against righties this season.
Tommy Hunter has pitched very well in all three of his home starts for Texas, posting a 2.14 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with a 15/3 K/BB ratio. Houston has never faced Hunter, so there's a nice edge for Texas. The 'Stros are only batting .234 and scoring 3.4 runs per game on the road against righties this season, and they've given Oswalt just 2.8 runs per game to work with.
Then there's the Houston pen, which owns a 5.11 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, and .305 BAA on the road this season. The Texas pen owns a 3.33 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and .233 BA at home this season. They've been extremely tough of late, sporting a 1.40 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, and a .137 BAA in their last 10 games.
Bottom line: I'm looking past the name "Oswalt" and going with what I see. Texas has too much "O" and they've had past success against Oswalt. Houston doesn't have nearly enough "O" and they've never faced Hunter. We also have a HUGE bullpen edge. I'll gladly take Texas/Hunter over Houston/Oswalt tonight.
Our Selection: Yankees Opponent: Dodgers Line: -108
Analysis: At 8:05 pm, our Interleague Sunday Night Game of the Year is on the New York Yankees over the Los Angeles Dodgers. One of the best older lefthanders in the American League will face off against one of best younger lefthanders in the National League when Andy Pettitte and Clayton Kershaw take the mound in Dodger Stadium in the ESPN prime time game tonight. There may be 16 years difference in their age, but so far in 2010 there is very little difference in their numbers. Both Pettitte and Kershaw are having fabulous 2010 campaigns, putting up great win percentages, low ERAs (although Pettitte's is absurd at 2.48) and decent strikeouts to walks ratio. Kershaw is much more of a power pitcher who still tends to put too many men on base via free passes, something which could bite him hard tonight against the Yankees. Still, it wouldn't surprise too many if this game goes the way of Friday night's showdown, a 2-1 Yankee victory. You might think with the many years that Pettitte has put in - and with three of those seasons over in the National League - that he would have a bunch of starts at Dodger Stadium, so it may be surprising to know that he's only started three times here. But he's made the most of those starts, going 2-0 with 15 strikeouts and just three walks in 20 innings. Los Angeles also has a losing record vs. lefties this season (including that 2-1 defeat Friday vs. Sabathia), and are 4-10 in interleague play. Finally, the Dodgers are a poor 14-19 at night with Kershaw on the mound, while the Yankees are 25-9 at night behind Pettitte. Take the Yankees.
SUNDAY BASEBALL CHAMPIONSHIP CLUB WINNER!
Our Selection: Rangers Opponent: Astros Line: -160
Analysis: At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers over the Houston Astros. This is the classic case of a really good pitcher (Roy Oswalt) simply pitching for an inferior team. The veteran righthander has been outstanding this season but despite his heroics, he has a record (5-9) that pretty much reflects the record of the really bad team for which he is a member. And after all, it's not like the starter that Texas is sending to the hill - righthander Tommy Hunter - is a slouch. The 23-year-old has been every bit as good as Oswalt this season, albeit in a much shorter period of time. But the key for him in this game is that he pitches for one of the hottest teams in baseball and there likely won't be much that Oswalt will be able to do about that. The battle of the Lone Star State has been a bit of a mis-match this season as the Rangers are 4-1 in 2010 heading into the final game between these two and 9-2 in the last 11 played. Indeed the only positive thing Houston can go into this game with (besides the fact that they have their ace heading to the hill) is that they are the only team to have beaten the Rangers in their last 12 games heading into this evening. Can lightning strike twice in a three-game series? Highly unlikely. Championship Club play on the Rangers.
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