6-28-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

NY v. Florida 7:10pm
PICK: M9ts ML -105 Game Best bet of the day#1

Toronto v. Cleveland 7:05pm
PICK: 7ndians ML +142 Game

Philadelphia v. Cincinnati 7:10pm
PICK: Phillies ML +125 Game 8

Washington v. Atlanta 7:10pm
PICK: 8raves ML -110

Pittsburgh v. Chicago 8:05pm
PICK: Cu8s RL (-1.5) +110 Game

Colorado v. San Diego 10:05pm
PICK: 9adres ML +135 Game Best bet of the day #2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

JOHN MORRISON SPORTS PICK BUFFET

ULTIMATE BET OF THE DAY
Toronto Blue Jays! (10:0 ratio!)

BEST BETS
Chicago White Sox 12:1
Toronto Blue Jays 10:0
Colorado Rockies 15:4
St Louis Cardinals 13:3
Atlanta Braves 14:2

GOOD BETS
Minnesota Twins 7:2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

ROBERT FERRINGO

SIDES
3-Unit Play. Take #921 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Kansas City (8 p.m., Monday, June 28)
The home team has been the play in this series, winning 9 of 14 in this matchup. And the bottom line is that Mark Buehrle is an automatic play against the Royals. He has won 20 of 27 starts against them and in his last three starts he has gone 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA. When hes got it going, hes got it going. The White Sox have been playing the best that they have been all season and the Royals are still just 16-40 against a lefty starter. Gotta go with Buehrle here.

3-Unit Play. Take #920 Minnesota (-160) over Detroit (8 p.m., Monday, June 28)
Great home team against a weak road team. The Tigers are 18-40 as a road dog and were unimpressive against the National League. Minnesota has beaten Jeremy Bonderman six of the last eight meetings and the Twins are 4-0 when Frank Liriano starts against the Tigers. This one should be higher scoring today and I think that will favor the home team. After a tough road swing I think that the Twins are happy to be in their cozy confines and they are 65-28 in their last 93 home games against the Tigers.

3-Unit Play. Take #917 Toronto (-155) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Monday, June 28)
The Jays have been one of the few teams in the league with a winning road record while the Indians have a losing home record. Also, the Tribe has been on an extended road trip and could have a bit of trouble adjusting. The Jays lit up Jake Westbrook the last time they saw him and this team has slammed right-handed pitching all year. Toronto has won five of seven in this matchup and I think that after a tough homestand against St. Louis and Philly a test against Cleveland is just what they need. The Jays are 25-8 as a favorite and the Indians are 10-23 against a lefty starter and 5-13 when Westbrook starts at all.

2-Unit Play. Take #906 Atlanta (-110) over Washington (7 p.m., Monday, June 28)
Ill take the home team, the better team, and the better pitcher. I know that everyone is ga-ga over Steve Strasburg. But he hasnt faced anyone yet. He hasnt pitched against a quality lineup (the White Sox, ranked in the 20s all year in batting, are the best hes seen) and he hasnt pitched in this type of environment yet. The Braves will be ready. They are 31-14 in their last 45 games and are one of the best teams in the N.L. The Nationals are sagging, and the Braves dont have to beat one guy they have to beat the whole team.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #902 Florida (+100) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Monday, June 28)
I always like to fade a mediocre pitcher off a complete game or a career game. Hey, I love what R.A. Dickey has been doing. But the reality is that knuckleballers are always enigmas. And I think that going to Puerto Rico could snap the Marlins out of their funk. They always play the Mets tough, especially when not much is expected, and I think that Ricky Nolasco continues to control this New York lineup. We have two teams going in opposite directions here, but Im actually going to step out and go on the other side here with a nice price on the dog. I think the Mets have peaked.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #903 Philadelphia (+120) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Monday, June 28)
The Phillies are starting to hit the ball. And when they do, they are really, really, really tough to beat. And I think that they are in the midst of a serious run. The Reds have been up and down over the last couple weeks. They are still a very good team. But this price isnt a good reflection on where these teams are at right now. Philly is always good in Game 1 of a series as they like to strike first. They are 43-20 against teams from the Central an they are 10-4 in their last 14 in Cincinnati. I think they score one as a dog today.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #908 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +110) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Monday, June 28)

1-Unit Play. Take #916 San Francisco (-110) over L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Monday, June 28)

1-Unit Play. Take #912 St. Louis (-170) over Arizona (8 p.m., Monday, June 28)

TOTALS
1-Unit Play. Take Over 8.0 Detroit at Minnesota (8 p.m., Monday, June 28)

0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 6.5 Washington at Atlanta (7 p.m., Monday, June 28)

0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.5 Philadelphia at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Monday, June 28)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

MIKE HOOK

MLB ML - Monday, Jun 28 2010 7:05PM
ML 902 FLA (-105) Bodog vs 901 NYM single-dime bet


Analysis: The Florida Marlins -105 is the 1 Unit Buried Treasure for Monday, June 28th!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

TEDDY COVERS

NY Mets
Philadelphia Phillies/Cincinnati Reds over 9.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

jeff benton monday


Monday's Winners ... 15 DIME selection on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES over the Cincinnati Reds in the opener of a three-game series from Great American Ballpark. As I publish today’s plays at about 12:35 p.m. Eastern, the Phillies are a +115 to +125 underdog both here in Las Vegas and offshore. Note that Kyle Kendrick must start this game for Philadelephia or this play is VOID!

5 DIME selection on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the opener of a three-game series from AT&T Park in San Francisco. As I publish today’s plays, the line in this game is raning from a pick-em to the Giants as a slight favorite of -115 both here in Las Vegas and offshore. Note that Barry Zito must start this game for San Francisco, or this play is VOID.


Phillies

Before we get to the Phillies, let’s focus on Reds right-hander Johnny Cueto, who has had a roller-coaster ride of a season.

It started off pretty ugly, as he went 1-1 with a 5.33 ERA in five April contests, then turned things around and went 4-0 with a 1.59 ERA in five starts in May. Then June hit and had three straight disastraus performances (17 runs allowed in 17 innings before coming up big in his last two starts (one run allowed in 12 2/3 innings).

However, it’s important to look at Cueto’s competition. For instance, during his dominant May, he faced the Pirates (twice), Brewers, Indians and Mets (before the Mets got hot). Then he got cuffed around by three pretty good hitting teams (St. Louis, San Francisco and Kansas City) before mowing down the offensively challenged Mariners and A’s in his last two outings.

Tonight, Cueto runs up against Rollins, Utley, Howard and the Phillies. It’s a daunting lineup for any pitcher, but it’s especially scary for Cueto. He’s faced Philadelphia twice in his young career – both times last year – and not only did he lose both games, he gave up 13 runs in 7 2/3 innings. That includes a 22-1 loss on July 6, when Cueto lasted just 2/3 of an inning in Philly and gave up nine runs!

Well, Philadelphia comes into this game swinging the heavy lumber again. The Phillies have tallied six runs or more in eight of their last 11 games, including nine runs or more six times in their last nine contests. Over this 11-game stretch, the Phillies are 8-3, and they’re batting nearly .290. By comparison, the Reds’ offense is slumpeing, hitting just .239 in its last 10 games.

That’s good news for Phillies right-hander Kyle Kendrick, who like Cueto has had a bit of an up-and-down season. But Philadelphia is 7-2 in his last nine trips to the mound, including 3-1 on the road. In fact, Kendrick has been much better on the highway this year (2-0, 3.20 ERA) than at home (2-2, 6.62 ERA). The last time Kendrick pitched on the road was 12 days ago at Yankee Stadium, and he dominated the Bronx Bombers in a 7-1 victory, allowing just a run on four hits in seven innings, with Philadelphia cashing as a +200 underdog.

One last note about Kendrick: He’s made three starts against the Reds in his career, and while he gave up four runs in all three contests, the Phillies won all three games by scores of 5-4, 8-4 and 11-4. That’s not much of a surpoise because Philadelphia has had Cincinnati’s number recently, winning 14 of the last 20 meetings overall and 10 of the last 14 at Great American Ballpark. The Phillies are also on upticks of 4-1 on the road and 43-20 against N.L. Central opponents


Giants

The Dodgers are a complete disaster right now. After blowing a 6-2, ninth-inning lead last night and losing to the Yankees 8-6 in 10 innings – easily their worst loss of the season – the Dodgers have now dropped 11 of their last 15 games (including six of their last seven on the road).

Granted, the Giants – who fell 5-1 to Boston on Sunday and cost me my 20 Dime Best Bet – have been spinning their wheels, too, lately (4-7 last 11 games). However, they’re still 15-6 in their last 21 home games and 25-14 at AT&T Park on the season (conversely, the Dodgers are 16-20 away from L.A.).

San Francisco has a solid pitching advantage here, too, with Barry Zito (7-4, 3.45 ERA) matching up against Chad Billingsley (6-4, 4.34 ERA). Billingsley is coming off a two-week stint on the disabled list, which was preceded by four shaky starts in which he gave up 16 runs and 32 hits in 25 innings (5.76 ERA), including a 10-1 home loss to the Angels on June 11 (seven runs allowed in 5 2/3 innings).

Zito has been a beast at home this season (2.82 ERA) and he’s finally figured out the Dodgers (2.29 ERA last three starts against them). Of course, most lefties have had their way with L.A. this season, as the Dodgers are batting just .248 against southpaws, which is why they’ve lost four of their last five overall against left-handed starters and 11 of 16 on the road against lefty starters.

This is a huge game for San Francisco, which has yet to play the Dodgers at home this season and it leads L.A. by a half-game as both teams try to catch the first-place Padres. Given the emotional state of the Dodgers after last night’s debacle against the Yankees, given the uncertainty of Billingsley coming off the DL and given Zito’s success at home in 2010, this is a very reasonable price to lay with the Giants.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

CRAIG DAVIS
ROAD WARRIOR
40 DIME Colorado Rockies ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

MIKE LINEBACK
4.5* BEST BET Mets/Marlins Over 8.5

[rgs]

Re: 6-28-10

Confirmed baseball prophet:
Milwaukee -rl (+110)

confirmed pick from "original bp picks source"
toronto -rl (+105)

It is getting to be a problem to confirm the play. The Brewers were the first play and then also Toronto.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT Washington Nationals +100

[rgs]

Re: 6-28-10

Deano

[906] Atlanta |5*|-110|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

[920] Minnesota |5*|-151|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST

[912] St. Louis |5*|-162|B+0|Network N/A|8:15 pm EST

[rgs]

Re: 6-28-10

Win or Lose POD 6/28

White Sox ML

[rgs]

Re: 6-28-10

I read an e-mail that was supposed to have come from Baseball Prophet. He confirmed that his only play today is on the Brewers -1.5. I was already heavy on the game.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

AL DeMARCO
5 DIME TRIFECTA

5 DIME SL Cardinals -1.5 over ARI
5 DIME Colorado Rockies over SD Padres
5 DIME Atlanta Braves over Washington Nationals

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-28-10

C Jordan
300 cards -1 1/2
300 padres
300 minn -1 1/2