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Re: 6-29-10
Baseball Prophet
Braves RL
Baseball Prophet
Braves RL
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Re: 6-29-10
MIKE HOOK
MLB ML - Tuesday, Jun 29 2010 8:10PM
ML 976 MIN (-140) Bodog vs 975 DET single-dime bet
Analysis: The Minnesota Twins -140 is the 1 Unit Buried Treasure for Tuesday, June 29th!Comment
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Re: 6-29-10
NEWYORK SPORTS INVESTORS
Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, June 29 is:
L.A.Angels/Texas Rangers Under 9.5
Rated a 4* selection
(based on a 1? to a 10? Rating)
Win yesterday(reds)Comment
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Re: 6-29-10
MARC LAWRENCE COMP
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
PICK: Los Angeles Angels
The Angels and Rangers open a three-game set in Anaheim Tuesday night when Joel Pineiro matches serves with Scott Feldman. Pineiro takes the mound with four straight team starts wins in a row and is also 5-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last five starts at home. On the other side of the coin, Feldman enters off an 'inside-out' performance in his last start when he lasted six innings while allowing 13 men on base and five runs in a 6-5 win. Stay at home with Pineiro and the Halos here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on the Angels.Comment
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Re: 6-29-10
Gill Alexander
Free play
CWS (-125) vs KAN
Floyd has posted a 0.93ERA in his last 4 starts. Opponents are batting .155 against him over that stretch. He has 6 quality starts in his last 7 outings. Bannister is coming off 6 5-hit shutout innings v Was. You almost never read anything from me about day/night splits w starters, but in the case of Bannister, I make an exception. Way back in April, we successfully backed Bannister based on exceptional daytime pitching statistics. Sure enough, his tremendous performances in daytime ballgames has held form in 2010. but so has his pedestrian nature at night. Bannister's 7.66ERA at night is tough not to ignore, especially for someone who so consistently follows such a pattern. Right-handed batters are raking him this season, as well, hitting .314 against the KC righty. As I wrote a couple of days ago, the Sox are a right-handed laden lineup that hits right-handed hitters better than they do lefties. But, all that aside,it's the advanced stats that I turn to for real confirmation in any lean. Here, they corroborate the value on the ChiSox. Floyd has a 3.47FIP (20th best in MLB) and 3.77xFIP. His 1.33 ERA-FIP is the 3rd widest discrepancy in all of baseball to the positive side, a significant indicator of embedded value in this line. Plus, he has a .331BABIP, the 14th unluckiest mark in MLB, meaning there's more stellar outings to come from Floyd. In short, he's a sabermetrics perfect storm. Bannister has a 5.10FIP and 4.61xFIP. This is a must play on Chicago at such an affordable price.Comment
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Re: 6-29-10
TOM FREESE
10* Chicago White SoxComment
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Re: 6-29-10
Info Plays
3* on Colorado Rockies +115
Reasons the Rockies win:
1.) System Play. We'll Play Against - Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season. This is a 32-14 ML System hitting 69.6% since 1997.
2.) Starter Jason Hammel is 4-0 in his last 6 starts, allowing a total of 7 earned runs in 40.2 innings for a 1.55 ERA during this time. Wade LeBlanc is just 2-5 over his last 8 starts, and has allowed at least 7 hits in 5 of his last 6 starts along with at least 1 walk in 10 straight starts. LeBlanc sports a 1.500 WHIP for the season which is well above the league average. This is a huge series for the Rockies who are looking to gain ground on the Padres in the NL West, and we have them winning tonight behind Hammel.Comment
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Re: 6-29-10
BestHandicappers
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NYY under 7.5 ( 4* ) MLB
Won with the Cardinals yesterdayComment
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Re: 6-29-10
VEGAS EXPERTS
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
The Braves are 14-0 as a favorite after a 5+ run win and it is not the first game of a series. The Nationals are 0-6 as a dog when they blew a lead in their starter's last start and lost and 0-6 after a loss in which they were shut out in the last 6 innings. Finally, the revenge-minded Derek Lowe has produced nine straight wins at home when the Braves lost the last time he started vs this opponent. Consider laying the price or taking Atlanta on the run line.
Play on: Atlanta BravesComment
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Re: 6-29-10
Dan Bebe
Free play
MIN (-142) vs DET
For those who get the Paid Package, you'll see that one play that was originally going to be a Freebie had some very nice line movement that bumped it into the Paid Package.
This play was the one that escaped the package, and became a Freebie. Why? Well, we missed the best line, but I still love the play.
This one opened at -120, and for those avid blog readers, you probably saw how much I liked Minnesota last night. Of course, this will happen from time to time when you wait on line moves before locking plays in. At this current price, it's not a wildly favorable deal, but it's still a winning proposition.
Armando Galarraga is a ticking time bomb, and though he's been able to put together more strong starts than bad ones, the Minnesota Twins have beat him up throughout his career (see blog for numbers).
On top of that, the Tigers have been miserable on the road, and won yesterday, which basically means they're done winning for this road series. Okay, that's a tad bit of an exaggeration, but rarely does Detroit truly play strong baseball on the road, and they very nearly gave back what appeared to be a pretty comfortable winner, yesterday.
Minnesota is a very good home team, as well, so the odds that Detroit beats them two times in a row at new Target Field are rather steep.
And I know what everyone is thinking, but Nick Blackburn has been a totally different pitcher at home than on the road, and he's always fared just fine against the Tigers. This line jumped 20 cents for a reason, and that reason is because the Twins should take this one handily.
Play on Minnesota.Comment
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Re: 6-29-10
RIGHT ANGLE SPORTS (RAS)
WNBA
Tulsa Shock +7
New York Liberty -1.5
NY Liberty/LA Sparks over 155Comment
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John Morrisons Sports Buffet
Standard Buffet:
The Ultimate Bet Of The Day Today Is On: Laa Angels! (12:2 ratio!)
Best Bets:
Atlanta Braves 8:1
St Louis Cardinals 10:2
NY Yankees 10:2
Chicago White Sox 11:3
LA Angels 12:2
Good Bets:
Minnesota Twins 5:1
Oakland Athletics 5:2
Toronto Blue Jays 5:1
Milwaukee Brewers 4:0Comment
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Re: 6-29-10
Greg Shaker | MLB 06/29/10 8-1 Run
MIN (-123)
BOS (-118)Comment
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Re: John Morrisons Sports Buffet
Originally posted by NYGIANTS24Comment
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Re: 6-29-10
ATS LOCK CLUB
5 UNIT Boston Red Sox -110
4 UNIT LA Angels -120Comment
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