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Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins
Pick: Minnesota Twins +108
Minnesota had game one of this series in its grasp yesterday, before blowing the lead late and losing, 5-4, in extra frames. Look for them to bounce back tonight.
Bounce back is also what Minnesota starter Scott Baker will be looking to do tonight, and thankfully he’s been consistently good at it. In his last outing, he lasted just four and a third innings and 23 batters, allowing 11 hits in a loss to the Mets. The Twins are 10-0 since May 08, 2009 when Scott Baker starts after facing 25 or fewer hitters and they lost in his previous start for a net profit of $1000. Also, the Twins are 10-1 since May 08, 2009 when Scott Baker starts at home after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $810.
David Price hasn’t been able to keep up his torrid early season pace but is still pitching well recently. Strikeouts have been a strong key for Price along the way. However, the Twins have the third fewer strikeouts in the Major Leagues. The Rays are 0-3 since April 20, 2010 when David Price starts vs a team that has averaged fewer than six strikeouts per game. for a net profit of $520 when playing against.
In that series opener yesterday, left just eight on base individually in the loss. The Twins are 19-2 since July 28, 2009 after a game in which they left fewer than 10 men on base for a net profit of $1035.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: MINNESOTA 4, Tampa Bay 2
[quote="BKK"]The Football Jesus text play is Under in Devil Rays-Twins[/quonot real familier with him....are his text plays solid or are they considered like a free play??
triple-dime bet 915 HOU / 916 SDP Over 6 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
MLB: Houston Astros at San Diego Padres - Over 6 (Oswalt/Latos)(Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game„ Date: 7/2/2010
Note: I am going to be very brief here and not bore you with a bunch of stats. I will bore you with the following. OVER is 9-1 the last 10 here at Petco, and this park has seen 6 runs or more at 15-1 the last 16 here with the only one not doing that producing 5 across the plate. That lone game actually saw 19 hits and ton's of stranded runners. The fact is, this play is nothing more than taking advantage of a High percentage chance that we will see 6 or more and based on the fact that Oddsmakers continue to throw out very small Petco Numbers. The most interesting thing about tonight's contest is the Wind Direction which will be for the first time in 36 games here, blowing out to rightfield. That is significant in that it usually has a direction across the Diamond toward first base and that makes these fences hard to reach. This direction is the absolute worst scenerio for rightsided throwers and we do have 2 of them going tonight. Both of these squads are not known for their offense and part of the reason why we are seeing such a low number. Bettors are buying into it as welll with early Under numbers at the books. But these teams are scoring runs right now. Latos showed us some signs of fatigue in his last effort with just 5.2 innings thrown, 4 BB's and one of his highest pitch counts this year. Roy was even worse than that with 100 throws in just 4.2 innings of work. He too had trouble spotting the ball, with 3 BB's and 2 Dingers allowed. While Oswalt has had extreme success verses the Padres, we did see 7 runs in that first game and we have seen 7 or more the last 6 of 7 played between these two. I am simply not buying into these lower than usual totals being put out here, and have already capitilized on them a few times in the last couple of weeks.
Greg Shaker | MLB Total Fri, 07/02/10 - 8:10 PM
double-dime bet 909 SFG / 910 COL Over 8 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
MLB: San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies - Over 8 (Lincecu„m/Chacin) -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 7/2/2010
Note: I have stated this before but this time of the year offers us a few nice things here at this Park and at any park. Number one is the fact that both starters and relievers are stretched to the Max as we head to the Allstar Break and pitching numbers are going to be affected by this fact. Already the Colorado Bullpen is dragging a lot and not producing. Both of these starters have relatively good numbers over their last 3 games but both have shown signs of slowing down their efforts. Lincecum is coming off a very poor performance and Chacin has been putting a lot of people on base via the BB. 8 to be exact in his last two thrown. Because of this, both starters have not WHIP-ed well at all recently and this park is not one that you want to see a lot of runners on base. That is because of the other thing we start seeing this time of the year. Coors Field becomes a Hitter's Dream as Wind Patterns change and temps get higher. Let's consider these two facts. The Wind direction tonight is one that we have seen 7 times here this year. In those games OVER is 6-1. This direction is the absolute worst for righthanded throwers and we also have to note that both teams will be in their Best Hitting Posture facing the righty. This line is going to climb so I am cutting this one short. You don't need to wait as this one might go upward...
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