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Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line. Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games
(41-20 since 1997.) (67.2%, +43.3 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1 +9 units).
To metaphorically sum up MLB's worst teams, the sun eventually shines on a dog's ass now and then; even cellar dwellers make a run now and then. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 in April and in early May, yet hasn't matched that since; therefore, we believe the stars are aligned in favor of Pittsburgh delivering tonight; after all, they're facing a struggling Phillies team that's had trouble at Pittsburgh (1-4), 0-4 as a road favorite of -110 to -150, and just 1-9 on the road when the 'total' is set at 7 to 8'. And the only bright spot on Ohlendorf's resume for Pitt is that he is 6-2 as a home dog in this price range. And throw in the fact that Pitt 's only favorable stat is that they're 5-3 in game 2 of a series following a win and the Buc's may get sun where the sun doesn't usually shine.
10000 Units Mets/Washington under the total
5000 Units LA Dodgers over Arizona
5000 Units KC/Angles under the total
5000 Units White Sox/Texas over the total
Matchup: Chi. White Sox at Texas
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) GARCIA, F vs. (R) LEWIS, C
Play: Chi. White Sox (ML +165)
The White Sox have cooled off a little since their double digit winning streak, but I like their chances of scoring the upset win tonight. Freddy Garcia is on fire for the visitors, and a big part of that hot streak has been the veteran righty's outstanding control. He's just not walking anyone, and that means it's necessary for teams to string together multiple hits to get their runs against Garcia right now. Colby Lewis has done a terrific job for the Rangers. But the fact that Texas bumped him back a couple days off a poor outing suggests he may be in one of those dead arm periods. The Rangers are traveling back from a critical series at Anaheim, while the White Sox got a day off on Thursday. Even though the Rangers have been monsters at home, this looks like a tough spot for them tonight. At the big dog odds, I think the White Sox are an excellent value play.
Stan Sharp | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/02/10 - 10:05 PM —
double-dime bet 916 SDP (-160) Bodog vs 915 HOU
Analysis: Stan is Betting SAN DIEGO today. Stan notes that the Padres have been a solid back bounce team all season as following a loss this season they are 22-11 in their next game. Stan also notes that Roy Oswalt was shelled in his last start. Latos has been virtually untoucha‚ble last 3 starts. TAKE SAN DIEGO as STAN'S 2* VEGAS WISE GUY GAME.
VEGAS RUNNER
2* MLB* LATE STEAM* Washington Nationals, +105 ML
2* SOCCER* MORNING MOVES* FUTURE BET* Argentina, +400 ML TO WIN 2010 WORLD CUP
3* MLB* TRUE STEAM OF THE WEEK* Houston Astros, Under 6
LINE PREDICTION* MLB* MORNING MOVES* Pittsburgh Pirates , +145 ML
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