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Re: 7-8-2010
PAUL LEINER
100* Phi/Cin Over 9
50* Blue Jays -120
25* Hou/Pitt Over 7
PAUL LEINER
100* Phi/Cin Over 9
50* Blue Jays -120
25* Hou/Pitt Over 7
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Re: 7-8-2010
Wunderdog
Game: Pittsburgh at Houston (2:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7 -110
The Pittsburgh Pirates are a complete road disaster. When you put them against right-hand pitching the suffering worsens. The Pirates, in their last 51 road games vs. a right-hand pitcher, have scored a grand total of 126 runs. That is a 51-game stretch of averaging 2.47 runs per game. They now face not only a righthander on the road, but a tough one in Roy Oswalt. The Pirates go with Ross Olendorf who has had a lot of success within the division, leading the Pirates to a 15-2 mark to the UNDER vs. the NL Central. Oswalt has now gone 11-2 to the UNDER in his last 13 starts following a quality start his last time out. I'll go with the UNDER here.Comment
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Re: 7-8-2010
Marco DeAngelo : whiteSoxComment
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Re: 7-8-2010
bkk have you stumbled across football jesus text yet?Comment
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Re: 7-8-2010
OVER in Fla/ArizOriginally posted by harley1Comment
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Re: 7-8-2010
thanks bud!Originally posted by BKKComment
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Re: 7-8-2010- THURSDAY MLB PLAY-GC
On Thursday the free play is on the St. Louis Cardinals. Game 905 at 3:10 eastern. The Cards were the victims of back to back walk off losses the past 2 nights here in Colorado. Today they have their ace on the mound in Chris Carpenter. In 21+ innings vs the Rockies he has allowed just 2 runs. He has a 2.73 road era this year and a 4-1 career mark with a 0.75 era vs Colorado. The Rockies have their ace U. Jimenez on this hill today. Jimenez has been hit real hard of late with a 8.66 era over his past 3 starts and he has a 3.94 home era this season and a 1-3 4.32 era vs the Cardinals. For a technical approach consider playing against certain home favorites off a 1 run home win if their opponent is off a 1 run road loss and both teams scored 5 + runs on 10+ hits. These home favorites are under .500 the past 7 seasons. You may not see this type of value with Carpenter again for awhile. St. Louis is the free play tonight. GCComment
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Re: 7-8-2010
ROBERT FERRINGO
SIDES
1.5-Unit Play. Take #923 N.Y. Yankees (-155) over Seattle
1-Unit Play. Take #907 San Diego (-155) over Washington
0.5-Unit Play. Take #916 Chicago White Sox (-115) over L.A. Angels
0.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Tampa Bay (-1.5, +100) over Cleveland
0.5-Unit Play. Take #909 Cincinnati (-105) over Philadelphia
0.5-Unit Play. Take #922 Texas (-1.5, -120) over Baltimore
0.5-Unit Play. Take #911 Florida (-115) over Arizona
TOTALS
3-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 L.A. Angels at Chicago White Sox
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 10.0 Florida at ArizonaComment
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Re: 7-8-2010
Dan Bebe | MLB Total Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:05 PM
dime bet 917 MIN / 918 TOR Over 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: I've been extremely patient with totals this year, but I do believe this is one where everything lined up just right to pull the trigger.
First, the public is all kinds of nuts about the Under. I can't quite put my finger on why, exactly, but they do.
Second, on the Twins side we have Scott Baker, another in a long line of "road issues" that the Twins have run into so far this year. His ERA on the road is over 6.5, and even more troublesome is that Baker's road WHIP is hovering near 1.610, so it's not like he's getting unlucky and making one mistake. He's putting a ton of runners on base, and that is an absolutely recipe for disaster against most teams, even moreso against the homer-happy Blue Jays. A walk, an infield single, and one bad pitch later, and you're down by 3. Baker will probably fare similarly to Slowey did yesterday, going a bit deeper than our handicapping shows, but giving up 3-4 runs along the way, and giving the ball to a suddenly shaky Twins pen, that had been very reliable up to this point in the year.
Third, on the Jays side, Brett Cecil takes the hill. I'm not too pleased that the Jays have a lefty, since if Cecil can do a better job of neutralizing the O-dog, who did a large portion of the Twins' damage yesterday, being a lefthanded starter becomes a huge advantage. Morneau is questionable for today, as is Delmon Young, so we'll see how the lineup shakes out. In any case, we're going to go on Cecil's poor home numbers. He's had 3 very good home starts tha„t are actually keeping his home numbers from looking too ugly, but also had a couple of complete implosions at home, and that's what we're going to hope for, here. His home ERA is 6.15, almost as high as Baker's, and Cecil's home WHIP is 1.36, almost 3/10 of a runner higher than on the road. He's not the world's worst home pitcher, but he sure as heck isn't the same as on the road.
I happen to think the Twins, in a severe pitching slump right now, continue on that same trend heading into the break, and they rarely ever pitch well in Toronto, anyway. They've been in the first 2 games of the series only because of Orlando Hudson's hot bat, and I think they keep putting runners on base and getting some of them home. I also think the Jays pen has been shaky this series, and aside from retiring the Twins late last night, things looked almost as bad.
I think the finale of this series brings out the best in Toronto's bats -- I think Cecil pitches marginally but surrenders a handful, and I think Baker continues to be mediocre on the road and stellar at home, where, perhaps, we'll consider backing the Twins again. Not here, not in Canada. Toronto takes the series with a win tonight behind some powerful lumber.
And plus, it doesn't hurt that we got the key number of 9 back thanks to the public money bringing this total down a half point.
Play on the Over!Comment
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Re: 7-8-2010
Stan Sharp | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 9:40 PM
double-dime bet 912 ARI (+110) BetUS vs 911 FLA
Analysis: Stan is Betting ARIZONA today. Stan notes that Arizona's Rodrigo Lopez last start was misleading. It looks like he was rocked but the truth is that he was the victim of poor defense that made the loss loss look so bad.Lopez was chased in the 4th inning after giving up 9 runs but only 2 runs were earned. In his 3 starts before that Lopez gave up 3 runs or less in all 3 starts. Stan also looks for Florida to be flat following their big series in LA where they just took 2 out of 3. Expect Arizona to grab Game One of this series as Lopez vs Sanchez should be a Mismatch.
TAKE ARIZONA as STAN'S 2* PITCHER MISMATCH BIG BETComment
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Re: 7-8-2010
dont recall,is the baseball prophet source picks posted here?Comment
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