7-9-10

[spook]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

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Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

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[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

Baseball Crusher 7/9


Washington Nats -140 over the SF Giants

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

Quote

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Friday’s Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Joel Pineiro (9-6, 3.96 ERA), Los Angeles Angels

This 31-year-old righty was 3-6 with a 5.16 ERA on June 2. Things have gone much better for Pineiro and Angels backers since. The Halos are 6-0 in Pineiro’s last six outings and he delivered quality starts in five of those six trips to the bump.

He sports a tidy 1.45 ERA since June 11 and he hasn’t been priced higher than -181 over the hot streak.

Cliff Lee (8-3, 2.34 ERA), Seattle Mariners

You can almost hear the faint sound of cha-ching with each pitch Lee throws. That’s because the price tag for the soon to be free agent is growing with every one of his masterful outings – and there’s been a lot of them lately.

The southpaw hurler was in line for his fourth straight complete game this season but was pulled for being too awesome.

“He gave us eight tough innings on a hot day, and that was enough,” M’s manager Don Wakamatsu told reporters after Lee did his part in an 8-1 win over Detroit. “If the score was different, or it was a little cooler, he would have completed that game.”

Lee allowed one run and struck out 11 batters compared to one batter but was attacked for his overload awesomeness.

"I was definitely not getting the same strike zone as [Lee] did, but I obviously didn't throw the ball well, so I'm not going to make excuses," Tigers starting pitcher Jeremy Bonderman, who was ejected for arguing ball and strikes, told reporters. "It gets in your head, but I'm not going to sit in here and say it was his fault I got beat, because it wasn't."

Not only is Lee using the force against opposing batters, he’s also using Jedi mind tricks to eff up rival hurlers. Now that’s the type of pitcher you wanna back.

By the way, Seattle is 8-1 in Lee’s last nine trips to the hill.

Slumping

Phil Hughes (10-2, 3.83 ERA), New York Yankees

The man starting opposite Lee hasn’t been enjoying the same type of success lately. Hughes got off to a remarkably hot start and was even the Yanks most consistent performer in the rotation for the first month and change of the season.

But batters are now catching up with the Georgia native and making him pay for his mistakes. Hughes has surrendered six homers in his last three starts and carries a bloated 7.03 ERA over his last four outings.

The Bronx Bombers are still 8-2 over his last 10 starts, so fading him might not be the best strategy, especially with the way Alex Rodriguez is hitting these days.

Wagering on the total seems like a better play. The over is 8-1 in Hughes’ last nine trips to the bump.

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

HOT LINES

Today's Best MLB Bets

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals (-145, 6.5)

What should a team do when facing the most lauded pitcher in baseball – K.I.S.S.

No, they shouldn’t get all lovey-dovey and start locking lips but instead – Keep It Simple Stupid. And that will be the Giants’ approach when facing Stephen Strasburg on Friday.

"You don't want to look into the hype and mentally defeat yourself before you get in the box," Travis Ishikawa said.

"Sometimes I try to be more patient. But with guys like him, who come with the fastball, I'm not going to think too much. Just let it go," added Andres Torres.

Strasburg has not received any run support from the offense over his last three starts. The hard-throwing righty is 0-2 in that stretch and the Nats have scored a total of five runs. All five of those runs came in his last outing but only after Strasburg had left the game.

San Francisco is coming off a three-game road sweep of the Brewers and isn’t intimidated by starting pitchers of deity status. The Jints have already defeated Roy Halladay and Ubaldo Jimenez this season as well as Roy Oswalt three times.

Pick: SF Giants


Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers (-145, 9.5)

Brewers outfielder Corey Hart earned the second All-Star selection of his career behind a .285 average, 48 RBI and 12 home run first half in 2010.

But with Milwaukee 12 games back in the NL Central division, the club is shopping around Hart in hopes of trading he young outfielder for some starting pitching.

"I would be disappointed to be traded away from the Brewers, because this is the only team I know," said Hart. "I would like to stick it out here and help to turn things around, but I can't control what happens.”

The Brew Crew’s other All-Star outfielder, Ryan Braun, is slumping going into the break with zero hits in his last 17 at-bats. Manager Ken Macha gave Braun the day off Thursday but called on him to pinch-hit with the bases loaded in a key situation and the slugger grounded out to second base.

The Brewers have lost five in a row and eight of last their last 10 games. As bad as Pittsburgh has been on the road this year, it took two out of three games in Milwaukee earlier this season and has won three of the last four against the Brew Crew.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

AFL NEWS AND NOTES
AFL On The NFL Network: Alabama At Orlando
By Scott Dooley


Alabama Vipers at Orlando Predators (-4, 104)

There are monumental postseason implications on the line in the Arena Football League Game of the Week. Neither the Alabama Vipers (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) nor the Orlando Predators (5-7, 7-5 ATS) can afford a loss in order to remain in the playoff picture.

Orlando trails Alabama by one game for the fourth and final playoff berth in the American Conference. The Vipers have earned a trip to the postseason three straight years while the Predators are in jeopardy of missing the playoffs for the first time since 1991.

"I hope everybody is pissed off and ready to play ball," Alabama defensive end Eric Scott said. "It's a must-win situation. If we go down there and lose, we won't make the playoffs. We better take care of business."

Calling All Replacements

Alabama has played musical chairs at the quarterback position this season. Starter Kevin Eakin has endured a variety of injuries and the most recent came one quarter into last week’s 62-47 loss to Jacksonville when he broke his left foot.

Eakin was replaced by former Texas Tech gunslinger Tim Hicks, who hadn’t played an arena football game since 2008. Hicks finished the night completing 22 of his 37 pass attempts for 288 yards and five touchdowns but it wasn’t exactly like riding a bike.

"I haven't been hit by anything but a 4 year old, 8 year old or 10 month old," said Hicks, who’s been a stay-at-home dad for the last two years.

The Vipers have struggled mightily since the first month of the season. After getting off to a 3-1 start, Bama is just 3-5 over its last eight games and much of that downfall can be attributed to inconsistency under center.

"Our cohesiveness, or lack of it, has been the main (problem)," Vipers center Lorenzo Breland said. "We've had to play a couple of games with a couple of different quarterbacks. That's been the biggest thing for us as an offense."

Over The Hill

While the Vipers are breaking in a new quarterback, Orlando is still trying to groom its rookie signal caller – 14 starts into the season.

Nick Hill remains a work in progress for head coach Pat O’Hara and is the primary reason the Preds rank second-to-last in the AFL in scoring (53.0 ppg). Hill tossed 12 interceptions over his first eight games and hasn’t had a mistake-free outing since May 15.

“Our quarterback has got to get a lot better. Not the offense, the quarterback,” Orlando defensive back Kenny McEntyre said three weeks ago. “One [person] can't hold up the show."

Hill is baby-stepping his way to proficiency, having only thrown four picks over his last four games. He put together a decent stat line in last Saturday’s overtime loss to Cleveland with 291 yards passing and seven touchdowns, but the offense is still struggling to find consistency in the red zone.

"We've been efficient getting down (inside the 10), it's just once we do, it's really small," Hill said. "Sometimes it's almost better to have more of the field to work with."

Not-So Special Teams

Alabama’s kicking unit has been a revolving door in 2010. The Vipers have trotted out four different placekickers this season and that group has collectively missed 11 PATs while going 2-for-6 on field goal attempts. Three of Alabama’s losses this year have come by three points or less.

Veteran booter Steve Azar is back with the Vipers after being released earlier in the year. Azar went 5-for-7 on PATs last week and has missed eight of his 13 extra point attempts this season.

With a higher crossbar and narrower uprights than in the NFL, extra points are routinely missed in the arena football game and those miscues can make a difference from a pointspread perspective.

Prior Engagement

These clubs met back in Week 7 and the Vipers were dropped, 48-31, as 10-point home favorites. Alabama was playing with a third-string quarterback in that game and only managed one second-half touchdown.

For the Predators, Hill had one of his best outings of the season after not throwing an interception, but the offense still posted a scant 5.2 yards per play. Three Alabama turnovers aided the victory for Orlando – the Preds ran 60 offensive plays compared to 39 from the Vipers.

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

CFL NEWS AND NOTES
Betting The CFL
By Bodog


It’s time once again for football betting fans to cast their eyes to the Canadian Football League, where the balls are indeed bigger. All eight teams will be in action over the weekend, starting Friday night in the town that gave us Anna Paquin.

Friday

Toronto Argonauts at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8:00 p.m. ET)

Because we’re dealing with three-down football and a larger field, quarterbacks are even more important in the CFL than they are in the NFL. And the Blue Bombers (7-11 SU, 9-8 ATS last year) have what looks like a considerable upgrade at that position with Buck Pierce. The former New Mexico State QB racked up a 21-12-1 record in five years with the B.C. Lions, but they let him go after his 2009 campaign produced 10 touchdown throws and a dozen interceptions.

The question is whether Pierce can stay healthy. But for now, the results look good: Pierce led Winnipeg (+3 on the CFL odds) to a 49-29 victory over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in Week 1. The Argonauts (3-15 SU, 6-11 ATS) hope they have their QB problems solved as well with NFL cast-off Cleo Lemon, but he was limited to 192 yards passing in Toronto’s 30-16 loss to the Calgary Stampeders (-13.5). The transition from the NFL to the CFL often takes time and isn’t always a smooth one – just ask Vince Ferragamo and Timm Rosenbach.

Saturday

Calgary Stampeders at Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Canadian football is also a haven for place-kickers, since the goalposts are still on the goal line, just like they were in the NFL up until 1974. Calgary (10-7 SU, 7-9 ATS) drafted Rob Maver fifth overall this year out of the University of Guelph, and he kicked five field goals against Toronto in his debut. Maver could be called upon frequently given the patchwork offensive line and the departure of co-ordinator George Cortez.

Maver is replacing Sandro DeAngelis, who bolted for Hamilton (9-9 SU, 12-5 ATS) after five successful seasons in Cowtown, including three All-Star nods and a Grey Cup in 2008. DeAngelis was a quiet 2-for-2 in his Ti-Cats debut, while QB Kevin Glenn was held to 197 yards passing. The score would have been even more lopsided if it hadn’t been for Hamilton kick returner Marcus Thigpen and his two TDs – the returner being another hallowed position in Canadian football. Better results are expected from Glenn and the Ti-Cats this year.

Saskatchewan Roughriders at British Columbia Lions

The Roughriders (10-7 SU, 8-8 ATS) lost the 2009 Grey Cup to the Montreal Alouettes because of a too-many-men penalty. The West Division is loaded with talent, but Saskatchewan is in a good position to build on last year’s success. And they started with a wild 54-51 overtime win over the Als (-3.5), who led 33-12 early in the third quarter. The key player for the Green Riders: QB Darian Durant, who threw five TD passes and no picks. Durant is in his second full season as Saskatchewan’s starter and improved tremendously over the course of the 2009 campaign.

This could be another mediocre year for the Lions (8-10 SU, 8-8 ATS). The offense looks good with the return of 2004 Most Outstanding Player Casey Printers as the starting quarterback, but the defense was bad last year and should get worse with the departure of DE Ricky Foley to the Seattle Seahawks. Foley led the league last year with 12 sacks. Yet the Lions (+4) were able to beat the Edmonton Eskimos 25-10 in their season opener on six field goals by 40-year-old kicker Paul McCallum.

Sunday

Sunday: Montreal Alouettes at Edmonton Eskimos

This is the second of three straight road games to start the season while Montreal (15-3 SU, 11-6 ATS) upgrades Molson Stadium, so a sluggish start can be expected. This is still the cream of the CFL crop and the 2-1 favorite to win another Grey Cup, led once again by three-time MOP Anthony Calvillo at quarterback. However, he is missing one important player in front of him: center Bryan Chiu, who announced his retirement at the start of training camp.

These are nervous times in Edmonton (9-9 SU, 6-12 ATS). The Eskies still have tons of star power at QB with Ricky Ray and Jason Maas, but the defense was poor last year under co-ordinator Jim Daley, so his job has been taken over by coach Richie Hall. He may be stretching himself too thinly in his second year as a CFL coach; Edmonton couldn’t stop B.C.’s Jamal Robertson from rushing for 168 yards on 11 carries in Week 1. Things could get ugly very quickly against the Als.

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

BETTOR'S TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Friday's Wagering Tips
By Covers Staff


Lines To Keep An Eye On

Marlins at Diamondbacks – The total for this game has dropped to 9 on most boards after opening at 9.5.
Orioles at Rangers – Texas opened as a -230 favorite but a few markets have moved that moneyline down to -215.
Alabama Vipers at Orlando Predators – The home team surfaced as 3-point favorites but that number has jumped to 6. The total in the game has also moved from an opener of 104 down to 101.5.

Weather Report

(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Orioles at Rangers – The forecast calls for a 60-70 percent chance of rain throughout the game.
Padres at Rockies – A 30 percent chance of rain is in the forecast

Who’s Hot

Houston has won four of its last five home games.
Ten of the Giants’ last 13 road games went over the total.
Winnipeg (CFL) is 4-1 ATS in its last five games versus Toronto.

Who’s Not

The Brewers have lost five in a row.
Anaheim has dropped six of its last seven games and is 3-7 over a 10-game stretch.
Alabama (AFL) is 0-3 ATS in its last three games.

Key Stat

47 – Number of home runs hit by MLB players on Wednesday, the over/under went 8-6-1. They say this is the year of the pitcher but hitters are starting to heat up, having blasted 42 bombs on Tuesday.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Yankees second baseman Robinson Cano is day-to-day with an ailing back. He was not in New York’s lineup Wednesday or Thursday and the team may end up resting him through the All-Star break. The Yanks’ brass already informed Cano that he could not participate in the Home Run Derby. Cano is batting .337 with 16 home runs and 55 RBIs.

Game Of The Day

Alabama Vipers at Orlando Predators

Notable Quotable

“Honestly, [LeBron] would make the Timberwolves contenders. He only needs a couple players around him. Whether they mesh or not is out of my hands as an oddsmaker.

-- Director of race and sports operations at Wynn Las Vegas John Avello said of the LeBron James’ free agency saga.

Tips And Notes

- With the All-Star Break just around the corner, bettors really need to start monitoring lineups before placing a wager. Overnight betting lines are precarious at this point in the season because key players can be absent from a lineup card for no reason the next day. Pitching rotations are being shuffled around and search MLB news and you will see a handful big name hitting being rested on different teams every night. With the three-day break from Monday to Wednesday coming up, managers are parlaying off days with that to maximize recuperation time for their players heading into the second half of the 2010 campaign.

- Winnipeg Blue Bombers head coach Paul LaPolice and offensive coordinator Jamie Barresi vowed to open up the offensive playbook this season. The Bombers had traditionally been a run-heavy offense in the past but installed a five-receiver system going into 2010. Tailback Fred Reid said the “offense has opened up now” where he is in motion out of the backfield a lot. Winnipeg throttled Hamilton, 49-29, in Week 1 while posting 502 yards of offense and the game easily sailed over the total of 50.5. The Bombers face Toronto on Friday with a total of 46.5.

- In case you hadn’t heard, Cliff Lee is being courted by just about every contending MLB team. And with every quality outing Lee puts together, the asking price for the southpaw elevates another million. Lee is well aware that he is being scouted during every start and is pitching like he’s in a final audition for American Idol. The lefty has won four straight starts and is 7-1 over his last eight outings. He has four complete games in his last six starts. Roy Oswalt, who is also on the trading block, tossed a complete game, one-hitter so these guys are definitely doling out their best stuff to land on a contender and get paid. Lee and the Mariners are priced at -110 at home versus the Yankees Friday.

[harley1]

Re: 7-9-10

greek sports picks lock

chi ws

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

Hondo

Hondo slipped further into the abyss yesterday when the Bucs were stopped by Roy Harvey Oswalt, which caused the NRN (nasty red number) to grow to 835 milners.

Tonight, he was going to call off the 'dogs but the Metamucils R.A. lock against Los Bravos -- 10 units on Dickey

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

Arthur Ralph Sports
475 - 351 run 58 %

Free play FRI Wash Nationals -150

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Re: 7-9-10

Bet.Powa.Fr 66-35 (yesterday not posted)

RUP Sibir - Dinamo Moscow 2 . 2.05

RUP Rubin Kazan - Samara + 2.5 . 1.95

RUP FK Rostov - Spartak Moscow + 2.5 . 2.25

RUP Alania - Zenit Petersburg 2 . 1.65

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

FOXSHEETS

Favoring: ST LOUIS on the money line.
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (HOUSTON) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts
(65-7 over the last 5 seasons.)
The situation's record this season is: 12-5

Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the run line.
Play On - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL)
(29-14 over the last 5 seasons.)
The situation's record this season is: 3-1
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the run line.

Play On - Any team against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 5 starts
(58-21 since 1997.)
The situation's record this season is: 0-1 -

Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the run line.
Play On - Any team against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 5 starts
(58-21 since 1997.)
The situation's record this season is8-3

Favoring: OAKLAND on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (OAKLAND) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts
(58-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%,

Favoring: NY METS on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games
56-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%,
The situation's record this season is: 7-4

Favoring: NY METS on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts
56-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%,
The situation's record this season is: (7-4

Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL)
(65-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-3



Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts
(66-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (12-8


Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the money line.
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, in the second half of the season
(49-8 since 1997.) (86.0%,
The situation's record this season is: 1-0

Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, in the second half of the season
(49-8 since 1997.) (86.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-0

Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
(37-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.5%, +
The situation's record this season is: (5-1


Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (NY METS) - average offensive team (4.3 to 4.8 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA=3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
(40-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-0

Favoring: OAKLAND on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (OAKLAND) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts
(74-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (8-4

Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.
Play On - Home teams (TORONTO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings
(110-54 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (17-12

Favoring: NY YANKEES on the run line.
Play Against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
(37-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (4-

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

CAPPERS ACCESS
Reds
Cubs

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Re: 7-9-10

GAMBLERS DATA
LAA/Oakland under 8

[spook]

Re: 7-9-10

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 9 runs bet. Florida and Arizona