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JIM FEIST COMP
(965) NEW YORK METS
(966) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Take "(965) NEW YORK METS"
The Mets and Giants play game two of their series here on Friday. The Mets are chasing Atlanta for first place in the NL East. Jose Reyes was a late scratch from Thursday's game because of a oblique muscle. Carlos Beltran has returned though. Beltran is returning from surgery to his knee back in January. This will likely mean less playing time for Jeff Francoeur. One big disappointment thus far is Jason Bay. Bay has only six home runs at the break after slugging 36 last year in Boston. It's a Wild Wild NL West as four teams are all close to the top with San Diego leading and fourth place San Francisco just four games back at the break. There has been talk of the Giants getting Corey Hart from Milwaukee, but the price is steep, either pitchers Jonathan Sanchez or Madison Bumgarner. They Giants may not be able to fill the spot if they part with Sanchez especially. Still, the Giants could use some offense to a team that is ranked pretty much middle of the pack in the main categories. Pitching is the main stay of this club and other teams will want to steal a good, young pitcher like Sanchez for any substantial player. As for today's matchup I'm siding with the Mets. Jonathon Niese is 6-3 with a 3.61 ERA and has won five of his last six decisions. Niese has allowed more than three earned runs just one time since May 16th. Zito is having a fine season with a 7-4 mark and 3.76 ERA, but he's been a big erratic of late. Zito has only gone past 5 1/3 inning once in his last four starts and has allowed 15 earned runs in his last 20 innings. Take the Mets here on Friday.
CHW +122: How is a team on a 9 game winning streak verse a team that has lost 7 of last 10 games favored? Loriano's #'s are good on the season but his last 5 starts he is 0-4 for MIN. Over those starts his ERA 6.75 and averaging nearly 3 walks while not making it past the 6th inning but once. He is 0-3 with an 8.27 ERA in four starts against the White Sox in his career as well. Floyd will start today for the CHW and he has been great going 3-0 in last four starts. Floyd has surrendered one run or fewer in six of seven starts, and the White Sox have won the last five times he's taken the mound. Morneau will be out again for MIN and since he has been missing they have really struggled putting up consistent runs. CHW on the other hand have blown up at the plate and no reason they won't continue today at a nice dog price.
Atlanta has won all four meetings with the Brewers so far this season. Tommy Hanson will get the start tonight and try for the Braves’ fifth win against Milwaukee. Hanson is 8-5 with a 4.13 ERA in 18 starts this season. He has struck out 104 batters and walked only 34 which is a terrific ratio. One of those wins came against the Brewers in Milwaukee back in May. In that game, Hanson gave up just four hits in eight innings of work, striking out eight while walking only one. Craig Counsell (2-8), Rickie Weeks (0-4), Corey Hart (0-3), Alcides Escobar (0-3), and George Kottaras (0-2) all struggle with the Braves starter. Hanson is backed by an Atlanta bullpen that has an 11-0 record at home and an ERA below three.
Milwaukee’s Randy Wolf has had an inconsistent season. He's 6-8 with a 4.56 ERA in 19 starts. The lefty has a terrible history against Atlanta as he is 4-12 with a 5.34 ERA and a WHIP of 1.55 in his career. In his last three starts against the Braves, Wolf has given up 14 runs and 24 hits in 18 innings pitched. Chipper Jones (20-51), Matt Diaz (7-13), and Brian McCann (4-9) all hit the lefty well. Milwaukee’s bullpen has an ERA over five on the road with nine losses and seven blown saves, and since Wolf struggles against the Braves as well, we’ll recommend playing Atlanta on the run line in this game tonight.
The Twins will send Francisco Liriano to the bump on Friday night to face the Chicago White Sox and Gavin Floyd. The oddsmakers have made the Twins a substantial favorite in this contest even though Liriano has struggled of late and Floyd has been solid. Minnesota is 44-21 the last sixty-five times they were installed as a favorite. The Sox are 1-10 in Floyds last eleven road starts versus a team with a winning record and 2-8 their last ten as a road underdog. Chicago has found the going tough in the Twin Cities posting a record of 6-20 their last twenty-six there. We are going to back the host as Liriano and the Twins grab a victory in Game Two of this series.
PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Minnesota Twins 5 Chicago White Sox 2
I nailed my FREE play on Thursday night when the Cardinals took care of the Dodgers in St. Louis. The win improved my comp play record to 120-107-3. I'm ready for another winner tonight as I grab the plus-money with the Mets in San Francisco.
The Mets have beaten the Giants 12 of the last 18 clashes, but they dropped a tough 2-0 decision on Thursday in San Francisco. Today, they’ll get the victory behind left-hander Jonathon Niese (6-3, 3.61 ERA).
Niese is 3-1 on the road this season and he’s gone 2-1 in his last three outings with a 1.74 ERA. In his last roadie, he held the Nationals to one run in seven innings, striking out eight in a 5-3 victory in Washington. He’s held the opposition to three runs or less in three straight road outings and he’s held all his opponents to three runs in less in seven of his last eight starts.
The Giants’ Barry Zito has been a little shaky lately and they have lost two of his last three home starts. He has a 5.62 ERA in his last three starts and he’s given up eight runs in his last 10 innings of work. The Giants have dropped three straight outings when Zito has taken on the Mets, including last year when he gave up three runs in five innings of a 3-0 loss.
San Francisco is on slides of 3-8 against teams with winning records, 2-6 in the second game of a series and 2-5 at home. New York is on positive streaks of 12-4 after a loss, 5-1 on Friday and 6-1 in Niese’s last seven outings overall.
New York has won five of its last eight visits to San Francisco and I’m banking on the Mets doing it again tonight behind Jonathon Niese. Play New York.
2? N.Y. METS
Made it two straight winners with my free plays on Thursday when the Rangers went into Boston and scored the victory over the Red Sox. Tonight I have a third straight winner as I go with the Twins at home to get the job done against the White Sox.
The Twins need a win and I’m banking on Francisco Liriano to deliver that win tonight. He has a 2.89 EA at home and he looked very good in front of the home crowd on July 3 when he held the Rays to one run in seven innings and struck out 10 Rays.
On April 8, Liriano faced the White Sox and gave up three runs in six innings of a 4-3 victory and he’s held the opposition to three runs or less in seven of his last nine starts.
Gavin Floyd starts for Chicago and with him on the hill, they are on slides of 3-9 on the road, 2-7 against A.L. Central teams and 2-8 as road ‘dogs.
Minnesota is on streaks of 39-16 on Friday and 36-17 against A.L. Central squads, plus the Twins are 20-7 in their last 27 against the White Sox in Minnesota and 12-4 in their last 16 meetings overall. Pay the price and play the Twins tonight.
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