7-16-10

[harley1]

Re: 7-16-10

teddy covers


mets

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Cleveland vs Detroit @ 7:05 ET: Westbrook vs Scherzer – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


While it is true that the Indians are currently battling through a number of injuries, it is also true that they’ve seen a number of hitters step up as replacements. That’s why we won’t hesitate to step out with a play on the over here as the Indians continue to battle through injuries. While Jayson Nix isn’t hitting for average, he’s coming up with some big hits including 3 doubles and 6 homers in his 59 at bats. Catcher Carlos Santana has a .568 slugging percentage! First baseman Matt LaPorta is hitting .357 since he was recalled from the minors. It’s guys like this that are stepping up and helping to make up for the absence of guys like Grady Sizemore, Shin-Soo Choo, and Asdrubal Cabrera. As for the Tigers, they are averaging nearly 11 hits per game in the month of July and that certainly has helped play a role in their recent run of going 5-1-1 to the over in their last 7 games. Detroit is 23-15 to the over this season when facing a team with a losing record on the season. Also, the Indians are 12-7 to the over as a home dog of +100 to +125 this season. Cleveland is also 30-20 to the over this season when they are coming off of a loss.

As for the pitching match-up here, note that the Tigers Max Scherzer since he was recalled from the minors. However, a number of his starts since then have come against struggling clubs and/or National League teams that weren’t familiar with him. He now faces an Indians team that just saw him about two months ago and Cleveland pounded him for five earned runs on nine hits in just five innings of work. Additionally, Scherzer is 5-2 at home this season but note that he’s gone 1-4 on the road with a 5.44 ERA. Also, Scherzer has a 2.81 ERA in day games this season but a 6.06 ERA in night games. The Tigers bullpen also has faltered some of late and that has certainly played a role in Detroit allowing a total of 80 hits in their last 7 games. The Indians have their own pitching issues to be concerned with here.

Cleveland’s bullpen has an ERA this season that ranks them among the worst pens in the majors! Additionally, the Indians are sending a “suspect” Jake Westbrook to the mound tonight. We use the word “suspect” when describing Westbrook because he’s been very inconsistent in recent outings. This includes allowing three homers in his final start before the All-Star break. Of significant concern here is the fact that Westbrook has not enjoyed success against the Tigers in his career. The Indians right-hander has gone 5-8 against Detroit while compiling an ugly 5.69 ERA and been rocked on the mound to the tune of a .299 batting average by Tigers hitters. Uncharacteristically, Westbrook did enjoy success against the Tigers the last time he faced them but he’s now catching them at the wrong time. The Detroit lineup rolls into this game with plenty of confidence based on their recent results at the plate. Knowing that they’ve enjoyed success in their careers against Westbrook also certainly helps the confidence level and they should have little trouble scoring early and often in this one as they improve to 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 games! Play OVER the total in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play selection

[harley1]

Re: 7-16-10

dave cokin

Houston Astros

there you go spook

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

man that worked out good already on houston and teddy cover mets awesome!!!

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

King Creole | MLB Total Fri, 07/16/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 973 TEX / 974 BOS Under 9.5 BetUS
Analysis:
7:10PM ET / Texas Rangers with Lewis @ Boston Red Sox with Doubront
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

In last night's Game One of this series, Texas put up a 6-spot in the FIRST inning... and the game STILL went Under the Total. That result played right into the OU tendencies of this series. Texas and Boston have gone 3-11 O/U in the last 14 meetings in this series... with an average of only combined runs per game. That includes 2-6 O/U 'In this Park.

Felix Doubront makes his second start of the season for the host Red Sox. We were on the UNDER in his debut last week, and the result was a final score of 3-2 in his start vs the Tampa Bay Rays... in which he allowed only 2 earned runs. One of the nicer aspects of Doubront is that he is a lefty.... and the Rangers have been having their share of problems hitting against southpaws as of late (.238 vs lefties last 10 games).

He'll be facing Colby Lewis of the Rangers... who come in with FIVE Quality Starts in his last 6 outings. In those games, he has allowed 3 earned runs or less in five of 'em... with an ERA of only 2.85 and a fantastic K/BB ratio of 46 to 10. He's actually been a BETTER pitcher in his road starts this season, with an ERA of 3.26 and a 2-7 O/U record overall. And he's been a MUCH better pitcher in NIGHT starts (2.87 ERA / 3-9 O/U)... than in DAY starts (4.85 ERA).

Behind the dish tonight at Fenway Park will be PAUL EMMEL... one of our favorite 'UNDER' Umpires. His YTD record stands at 5-11-2 overall with a 2.46 to 1 K/BB ratio... and an average of only 7.2 combined runs per game. And he's done even BETTER as of late. Emmel has gone a PERFECT 0-5-1 O/U in his last 6 games dating back to the middle of June. Average combined runs in those games is only 6.6.

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

Lance's Lock


Pick: the Dbacks +105

Overall: 987-879-35

Current streak: 1 loss

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/16/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 955 COL (+115) Bodog vs 956 CIN
Analysis: Bronson Arroyo... There is nothing overpowering here, but, the guy does have a great slider and is very tough on righties. Unfortunately, he struggles against lefties, and the Colorado Rockies are ALL lefties. Anytime I see a right handed pitcher who can't pitch effectively against both sides matched up against the Rockies, the game is instantly circled. It definitely doesn't hurt that the Rockies ended the first half on a 10-3 run. This is a team that is making a push, right here, right now. It just so happens that today's pitching matchup is one that can definitely sustain that push.

With Jason Hammel, there is definitely some concern with his road/home split. He has not been effective on the road this year, well, at least at the beginning of the year he wasn't. His last three road starts have been OK, ones that we'd certainly take again tonight in terms of quality. But the key for me is the fact that in his career he's actually been a guy who has had a better ERA on the road than at home! Meaning that this season's lack of road success isn't necessarily mental or routine-based, but could be nothing more than an unfortunate coincidence. Hammel really doesn't have much success against the Reds, he's only faced the team once, and pitched into the 8th inning. Very successful start.

When it comes down to the bullpens, the Reds sent down Herrara, and as a result they're mostly righties. Meaning that once again that left-handed Rockies lineup has an edge. Not to mention, as a whole, the Rockies lineup is a full run better in terms of bullpen ERA, almost two.

I like the ERA advantage, especially assuming the Rockies can ride that momentum from before the break. But most of all, I think Arroyo is in for it today against a gang of lefties ready to take him deep in a park where balls certainly fly out to right field on summer nights. Take the Rockies for 2 units!

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

Indian Cowboy's



4-Unit Play. Take #968. Take Under 8.5 between Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians (Friday @ 7:05pm est).

Both of these pitchers have an opportunity to pitch well today. Scherzer has been a good addition for the Tigers as although he is 6-6 its a bit decieving as he is 4-0 over his last five starts and has steadily brought down his era now to 4.61 overall. Scherzer has put together five of six straight quality starts and that has shown as he has pitched in 5 of 6 unders currently. The Tigers are 48-38 and are indeed in the hunt as the fall approaches so each quality start they get from the members of their rotation is vital. Jake Westbrook is one of my favorite pitchers, not the least of which he has stayed loyal to the Indians and is from Georgia. Westbrook comes off giving five runs to the Rays on the road as it was a non-quality start and returns home. He had pitched very well against Oakland and Toronto in his two previous starts giving up just three runs in 12 innings. The Under is 4-0 in Scherzer's last four starts and the Under is 9-3 in Westbrook's last 12 starts as a home underdog

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

NSA

20 Boston Red Sox+115
20 NY Yankees-175
20 SF Giants-130

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

Bill Marzano

Matchup: Tampa Bay at N.Y. Yankees
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) SHIELDS, J vs. (L) SABATHIA, CC

Play: N.Y. Yankees (-1.5 +106)

I really like the NY Yankees in this game vs the TB Rays...big pitching advantage here for the Yankees with CC Sabathia on the hill...CC has eight straight victories while allowing just one earned run or less in each of his last five starts...the Yankees are 23-5 in Sabathias last 28 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance...13-3 in Sabathias last 16 starts during game 1 of a series...J.Shields has really struggled as of late...Shields has just one win in his last nine starts and has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last four starts...the Rays are just 1-10 in Shields' last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game...1-10 in Shields' last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game...0-6 in Shields' last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5...0-7 in Shields' last 7 starts as a road underdog of +151 to +200...0-9 in Shields' last 9 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200...I like the Yankees run line

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

Scott spreitzer
3*white sox
from the nc line

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

usa sports consultants

Philadelphia (J.Blanton) +115 at Chicago Cubs (T.Lilly) - 1 unit

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

Bookiemonsters
atl -175

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

ATS LOCK CLUB
4 UNIT* MLB* Cincinnati Reds, -130 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* New York Yankees , Over 8.5
5 UNIT* MLB* Washington Nationals, -120 ML

[spook]

Re: 7-16-10

KELSO
10 UNIT* MLB* Atlanta Braves, -1.5 RL +121 vs. Milwaukee
15 UNIT* MLB* Washington Nationals, Florida Marlins Under 7
25 UNIT* MLB* Kansas City Royals, -145 ML vs. Oakland Athletics