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Re: 7-17-10
executive comp-cubs
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executive comp-cubs
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Re: 7-17-10
Larry Ness
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals Jul 17 2010 7:10PM
Prediction: Oakland Athletics
Reason: My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Oak A's at 7:10 ET.Comment
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Re: 7-17-10
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay @ 4:10 ET: Burnett vs Neimann – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
With yesterday’s game exceeding the number, the Rays are now on a 10-4 run to the over that dates back to late June. As for the Yankees, they are now 16-6 to the over this season when they are at home and the posted total is 9 or 9.5 runs. The Yanks are also 19-11 to the over in divisional games this season. The Rays are 11-4 to the over this season when they are on the road and the total is 9 or 9.5 runs. Tampa Bay is also 20-12 to the over in divisional games and 24-13 to the over when facing teams with a winning record so far this season. A.J. Burnett is coming off of back to back strong starts but he had previously gone 0-5 in his six prior starts. Also, though he has good career numbers against the Rays, much of that was compiled against the weak Rays teams of years ago. The current Tampa Bay lineup is, of course, much tougher than the Rays of a few years back. As a result, it should come as no surprise that Burnett got pounded by Tampa Bay the last time he faced them.
Burnett went 0-5 in June with an 11.35 ERA. Though he enjoyed success in his last two starts, that came against his former team (the Blue Jays) where he road his emotions to the win and a game against the A’s who are one of the lighter-hitting teams in the league. Now he faces a stout Rays lineup that has averaged 5.2 runs per game in their last 10 games. Tampa Bay will surely need to score well today because we expect Jeff Niemann to struggle on the hill at Yankee Stadium. Even though he has a solid 2.93 ERA against the Yankees, the Bronx Bombers have hit .279 against him in three career appearances. Also, Niemann’s career road ERA is more than full run higher than what he’s produced at home. Additionally, while Niemann is a solid 19-7 in home games in his career, he’s just 3-3 in day games with a 4.03 ERA. In his last four road starts this season, Niemann has allowed six homers and it will be a very hot afternoon in the hitter-friendly Bronx today. He’s allowed 10 earned runs in his last 19 innings on the road. The Rays are 5-1-2 to the over in Niemann’s eight road starts this season. The Yankees are 7-2-1 to the over in Burnett’s ten starts this season where he was opposed by a right-handed hurler. That’s a combined 12-3 (80%) trend supporting the over in this one and we love the power of these two lineups coming together for a hot afternoon of offensive fireworks at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. One final note here, the Yankees bullpen ranks only in the middle of the pack this season while the Rays bullpen has struggled some in recent weeks and they lost yesterday’s game for Tampa Bay too! Play OVER the total in the New York Yankees game as an *8* Regular Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 7* (Regular Play) Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-) @ Chicago Cubs @ 1:05 ET: Hamels vs Wells – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
We lost a tough one with the Phillies yesterday as they had never trailed the entire game until the bottom of the eighth when the Cubs got the game-winning homer. Look for Philadelphia to bounce back behind Cole Hamels who is certainly enjoying a resurgence with the Phillies this season. After stellar seasons in 2007 and 2008, the 2009 season was a tough one for the Phils southpaw. He has certainly regrouped this season and Hamels’ 7-7 record is not reflective of how well he has pitched. The Phillies left-hander had a 2.45 ERA in May. Then, in June, he held opposing hitters to a .218 batting average. This month Hamels has a 2.49 ERA in his three starts. The Phils lefty is 3-1 in his five career starts against the Cubs and he’s held them to a .214 BAA while compiling a solid 2.61 ERA. In his last 7 starts, Hamels has given up just 39 hits in 47.2 innings of work! July has traditionally been one of Hamels best months as he’s 10-5 in July games in his career while compiling a 3.58 ERA and holding hitters to a .228 BAA. While Hamels holds the Cubs bats in check this afternoon, look for the Cubs Randy Wells to get pounded.
Chicago’s Wells has been pounded at a .293 clip by left-handed batters in his career and he will face a number of dangerous left-handed sticks in this match-up. Also, the Phillies offense could get a boost with the return of Placido Polanco for this afternoon’s game. Even if the infielder is not back in the lineup today, look for the Phils to take advantage of a hurler who is 1-7 in his last 8 decisions. While Wells has pitched better of late, he’s been rocked in day games this season as opponents have hit .317 against him while the right-hander has compiled a 5.47 ERA. The Phillies are 6-3 this season, and 37-17 the last three seasons, when they are on the road and their money line is -100 to -125. As for the Cubs, they are on a long-term run of 62-90 when they are a home underdog of +100 to +125. Since mid-June, the Phillies have only lost three straight games one time and we look for them to bounce back after dropping the first two games in this series. As for the Cubs, they’ve only won three straight games once since late May! They snuck out the win yesterday and they certainly deserve credit for that but, behind a huge performance from Hamels, look for the Phillies to get back into the win column this afternoon. Play Philadelphia on the money line as a *7* Regular Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Baltimore vs Toronto @ 7:05 ET: Guthrie vs Morrow – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Yesterday’s game stayed under the total but today’s pitching match-up sets this one up well to fly over the total. The Blue Jays Brandon Morrow is 0-5 with a 6.80 ERA in his nine road starts this season. He hasn’t recorded a win in a road game since September 12th! Morrow also struggled in his prior start at Baltimore. That was back in April and five walks in just five innings helped lead to five Oriole runs in a short outing for Morrow. The only good news for Morrow here is that his teammates could bail him out again like they did in that April game. The reason we say that is because Baltimore’s Jeremy Guthrie is very likely to struggle in this spot! He hasn’t won a game since May 25th and the Orioles right-hander has gone 0-6 with a 6.32 ERA in his last eight starts. Guthrie also is 2-5 in his career against the Blue Jays. The Orioles are 9-2 to the over this season when they are a home dog in a range of +100 to +125. Baltimore has averaged 11 hits per game in their last 9 games while the Blue Jays have averaged 9.5 hits per game their last 8 games.
Before yesterday’s under, Toronto was 24-16 to the over in their road games this season. Before staying under in back to back games, the Blue Jays were on a 6-0-1 run to the over. Toronto is a dangerous home run hitting team and Guthrie has allowed eight homers in his last eight games! Also, it will be a very warm evening after a hot afternoon in Baltimore. Guthrie has walked 12 batters and struck out just 6 in his last 14.2 innings of work. He’s 2-8 in night games this season with a 4.95 ERA. Morrow is 10-4 at home in his career but 3-14 on the road with a 5.41 ERA in 148 career innings away from home. In Morrow’s starts on natural grass, the Blue Jays are 7-1 to the over this season. As for Guthrie, the Orioles are 5-2 to the over in his last seven starts. Also, the Blue Jays bullpen ERA has been on the rise and they now rank in the middle of the pack in the majors. As for the Orioles, their bullpen has a combined batting average against of .279 and that ranks among the worst marks in the majors. In other words, it’s runs early, often, and throughout this match-up. Play OVER the total in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play selection.Comment
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Re: 7-17-10
MTI Sports
Guaranteed Pick: MTI Sports
Game: Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Jul 17 2010 4:10PM
Prediction: New York Yankees
Reason: A. J. Burnett was struggling, but he has pitched very well in his last two starts. He is a streaky pitcher and we expect another great start from him here. In his last outing, he went seven innings and allowed two runs in a 6-2 win in Oakland. In franchise history, the Yankees are 9-0 at home with Burnett when he is off a road start in which he threw 100+ pitches on the road in his last start. Burnett had a quality start in each of the nine games and NY won by an average of 3.8 runs.
The Rays are excellent at winning the games they’re supposed to win, but they are 0-11 their last eleven as a road dog of more than 100 vs a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings.
Yesterday, the Yankees scored five runs on only seven hits, while the Rays had nine hits and drew four walks of Sabathia but scored four runs. This is no reason to back the Rays. Tampa is 24-70 on the road after a loss as a dog in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent, including 1-5 their last five and the Yankees are 25-1 as a home favorite after a game in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and it is not the first game of a series, as long as they did not lose that game by multiple runs.
Today, NY should win easier than yesterday.
MTi’s FORECAST: NY YANKEES 5 Tampa Bay 1
Guaranteed Pick: MTI Sports
Game: Houston Astros at Pittsburgh Pirates Jul 17 2010 7:05PM
Prediction: Houston Astros
Reason: In Bud Norris’ last two starts, the Astros were shut out by the Padres and Cardinals respectively. Norris’ WHIP was 0.86 and 1.04 in the two games. He should be able to take advantage of the drop in class here.
This is actually a great spot for Houston, as they are a very profitable 13-4 when they lost their starter’s last two starts. In addition, the Astros are 3-0 when Bud Norris starts as a dog when he lost as a home dog in his last start and the Pirates are 0-7 when Ross Ohlendorf starts vs a team that lost their starters last two starts.
As a team, the Astros are terrific at taking advantage of a struggling squad. Houston is 12-3 as a dog vs a team that has lost at least their last three games and it is not the first game of a series.
Pittsburgh is 0-7 vs a divisional foe that is ahead of them in the standings and a gutless 0-9 at home when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers.
Finally, the Pirates have a lot of trouble rebounding from a poor hitting performance, as they are 2-17 when seeking immediate revenge for a three-plus runs loss in which they had six or fewer hits.
MTi’s FORECAST: Houston 4 PITTSBURGH 2Comment
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Re: 7-17-10
25 Dime Play, 7/17/2010
Steven Budin-CEO
SATURDAY'S PICK
The Freehold, New Jersey Wise Guys have a play on the New York Yankees with Burnett over Tampa and Niemann. Go ahead and specify both scheduled starterss as the play would be voided if there is a pitcheng change. At this time (10:30 AM Eastern), I see the Yankees are -135 both in Las Vegas and offshore.Comment
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Re: 7-17-10
Vegas Sports Informer's
WNBA PLAYS
6 Unit Play. #605 Take Over 192 Tulsa at Phoenix (Saturday 7/17 10:05 PM)
(Game of the Month) I told myself no matter what this number was going to be this play would be my Game of the Month. I thought this total would be between 195-190 and this is because the last 2 meetings this season the scores have been 116-84 and 110-96. I see the same outcome in tonights game in Phoenix and one or both will hit the century mark. Tulsa is a PERFECT 4-0 O/U following a SU win and the Mercury is 9-1 O/U in their last 10 home games. The last 4 meetings between these two teams all 4 games went over the total.
MLB BASEBALL PLAYS
5 Unit Play. #930 Take LA Angels -1 ½ +105 over Seattle (9:05 p.m., Saturday July. 17)
Had this exact play on Thursday and cashed with the Halos on the run-line so we go back to the well and try it with our GOTW.The Halos have owned the Seattle Mariners this season going 9-2 including 7 straight Ws in this series. Angels starter tonight is Joe Saunders and he will try to continue his success over Seattle. In 13 career starts against the Mariners, Saunders is 8-1 with a 3.58 ERA. Tonight we look for the Halos to continue to beat a horrible Seattle team and we continue to cash Game of the Week plays.Comment
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Re: 7-17-10
Ferringo 7-17-10
2-Unit Play. Take #927 Texas (-135) over Boston (7 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #927 Texas (-1.5, +125) over Boston (7 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #912 Atlanta (-1.5, -105) over Milwaukee (7 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #930 L.A. Angels (-1.5, +110) over Seattle (9 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #901 Philadelphia (-115) over Chicago Cubs (1 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #931 Detroit (-150) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #908 Florida (-1.5, -115) over Washington (7 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
Todays Totals
2.5-Unit Play. Under 9.5 Tampa Bay at N.Y. Yankees (4 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
2-Unit Play. Under 8.0 Detroit at Cleveland (1 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
2-Unit Play. Over 8.5 Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (7 p.m., Saturday, July 17)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 7.0 Washington at Florida (7 p.m., Saturday, July 17)Comment
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Re: 7-17-10
Marco D'Angelo
double-dime bet 906 PIT (-120) Bodog vs 905 HOU
Analysis: PLAY: PITTSBURGH
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAYComment
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Re: 7-17-10
DAVID BANKS
July 17, 2010
MLB
1:05 Phillies
7:10 Reds -120
7:10 Rangers -138
7:10 Royals +107
8:35 Padres -154
9:05 Mets +140Comment
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Re: 7-17-10
TOTALS 4 U
TOP PLAYS
NYY OVER 9
REGULAR PLAYS
Pitt OVER 8-
KC UNDER 8-
Minn OVER 8
SD OVER 7Comment
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Re: 7-17-10
PLATINUM PLAYS
TOP PLAY
SD Padres
REGULAR PLAYS
Cards
Oak
RSox
NY MetsComment
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Re: 7-17-10
KELSO
10 UNIT* MLB* GM1* Detroit Tigers , -150 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Oakland Athletics , -115 ML
3 UNIT* MLB* Saint Louis Cardinals , -1.5 RL
50 UNIT* MLB* Texas Rangers , -140 MLComment
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Re: 7-17-10
MVP LOCKS
Rays/Yankees under 9.5 -115 (lock of the day)
Tigers -150 GM 1
Nationals/Marlins under 7
Astros/Pirates over 8Comment
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