7-17-10

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King Creole

2* Blue Jays / Orioles Over 9

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Marc Lawrence

Texas Rangers -140

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Street Rosenthal

*200 Tampa Bay Rays +126
*200 Minnesota Twins -150
*200 Toronto Blue Jays -136
*200 Texas Rangers -151

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B&S PICKS

1 DIME Philadelphia Phillies -130 ML
1 DIME Philadelphia Phillies/Chicago Cubs Under 9 -120
1 DIME Texas Rangers -145 ML

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del genio triple play:

yanks
tor
tex

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goodfella 7/17

Texas -ml

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Beatyourbookie pod 7/17

Play St. Louis (-165) over LA Dodgers (POD)

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The Sharp Side 7/17

Braves -1.5 (-103)

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CT Sports Picks

Cin -120

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Vegas Sports Informer's



WNBA PLAYS

6 Unit Play. #605 Take Over 192 Tulsa at Phoenix (Saturday 7/17 10:05 PM)

(Game of the Month) I told myself no matter what this number was going to be this play would be my Game of the Month. I thought this total would be between 195-190 and this is because the last 2 meetings this season the scores have been 116-84 and 110-96. I see the same outcome in tonights game in Phoenix and one or both will hit the century mark. Tulsa is a PERFECT 4-0 O/U following a SU win and the Mercury is 9-1 O/U in their last 10 home games. The last 4 meetings between these two teams all 4 games went over the total.




MLB BASEBALL PLAYS

5 Unit Play. #930 Take LA Angels -1 ½ +105 over Seattle (9:05 p.m., Saturday July. 17)

Had this exact play on Thursday and cashed with the Halos on the run-line so we go back to the well and try it with our GOTW.The Halos have owned the Seattle Mariners this season going 9-2 including 7 straight Ws in this series. Angels starter tonight is Joe Saunders and he will try to continue his success over Seattle. In 13 career starts against the Mariners, Saunders is 8-1 with a 3.58 ERA. Tonight we look for the Halos to continue to beat a horrible Seattle team and we continue to cash Game of the Week plays.

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Re: 7-17-10

Mike Hook | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/17/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 927 TEX (-150) BetUS vs 928 BOS
Analysis: The Texas Rangers -150 is the DOUBLE STAR Play of the Day for Saturday, July 17th!

Cliff Lee is on the bounceback, and i feel he is likely to dominate the Boston Red Sox tonight. I'm a big fan of backing a world class starter after an embarrassing performance. That is exactly the situation we are getting when backing Cliff Lee tonight. I happen to think his last start was doomed from the start, as it was against an inferior opponent that also saw him travel all over the map at the last second to even make the start to begin with. He's had some time to settle it with his new team, and he's going to be locked in due to the fact he's facing the Boston Red Sox.

If you take a step back and look at the setup of this line and the ensuing line movement, it's hard not to see just how strong a position both the oddsmakers and the sharps are taking with the Rangers. I think oddsmakers have set such a strong line in favor of the Rangers, that it's impossible to ignore them tonight. After all, the Red Sox have one of the biggest public followings in all of sports. Oddsmakers know they are going to take extra action from Red Sox Nation regardless of who their opponent is. So, this line was set high, yet the line is only getting higher.

I love the Rangers today. I think some people are scare off by the past performance from Clif Lee and for the fact the Rangers are trying to win their 3rd straight against the Red Sox. However, i tend to believe that the Rangers are simply playing better than Boston right now, and proof of that is their domination of the Red Sox in this series.

I see no reason that this trend doesn't continue for one more day. In fact, i'm quite confident Cliff Lee has one hell of a bounceback tonight. The Texas Rangers -150 is the DOUBLE STAR Play of the Day!

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Re: 7-17-10

spartan | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/17/10 - 8:35 PM

triple-dime bet 914 SDP (-155) Sportbet vs 913 ARI
Analysis: This is a little steeper than I typically will go but frankly I have a real difficult time seeing this game go down on us. Southpaw starter Clayton Richard is one of those guys who seems to kick it up a notch when dealing from his home mound, much like the Cardinals Adam Wainright. Everything about Richard is a little more dialed in when performing at home. His location is sharper and even his velocity seems to be elevated. He has struggled some lately during the Padres recent road trip but back home in the friendly confines I look for Clayton to get it done for us.
Personally I feel D'Backs starter Rodrigo Lopez is better than most give him credit for but the bottom line is that this is a bad match up here for him. Much like last night with our winner on the Angels with Weaver, everyone knows what Felix Hernandez is capable of but it was just a bad draw for him.
The Padres have just kept on surprising folks all summer and I fully suspect they will be in the thick of things come the crucial last week of the regular season. On the flip side this Arizona team also has some similarity to last night loser to the Angels, the Mariners. Arizona is looking squarely at a long second half with players pretty much playing for themselves and their next contract negotiation. Although not as dire as I see the Seattle situation I do feel the D'Backs are in for a tough, long haul in their quest to once again truly contend.
Bottom line guys is that Arizona basically just flat out sucks on the road, they are a lousy 13-31 on the road this season thus far. Think about that for a moment, here we are in the second half of the season on july 17th and this club has prevailed on the road in a whopping 13 games!
I learned long ago nothing is ever, ever a lock. You have my word you will never, ever here me state such nonsense as that. However, sometimes a certain game just feels so right, I have that feeling with this game. Like I mentioned at the outset, a little chalky but every once in awhile you just have to grin and bear it. I truly feel this is the safest play on the board for today guys. Triple Star on the Padres and Clayton Richard!

[spook]

Re: 7-17-10

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/17/10 - 4:10 PM

double-dime bet 918 NYY (-130) Bodog vs 917 TAM
Analysis:
Play on NY Yankees at 4:05 – the Yankees are only a short home favorite today as the Rays send Niemann to the hill. He’s been perfect on the road this season with a 8-0 team start record. However, we look for NY to snap that streak this afternoon. The Yankees are scoring 5.3 runs on the season and this is a bad sign for the Rays. Tampa Bay is 0-11 in the second half of the season against these high scoring type of teams. Another very good sign for the Yankees is that they are a very strong 16-2 against teams like Tampa who’s hitters draw 4 or more walks per season. NY starts Burnett and throughout his career as pitched very well against the Rays with a 12-5 record and 2.98 ERA. We’re backing the Red Hot Yankees who have won nine of the last 10 games. Play on NY Yankees.




Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/17/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 927 TEX (-130) Bodog vs 928 BOS
Analysis:
Play on Texas at 7:10 EST – Lee gets his second start tonight for the Rangers. His first wasn’t what Texas had expected as he was shelled by the O’s allowing six earned runs in a 6-1 loss. However, look for the lefty to come back strong tonight. On the road this season Lee has a very strong 2.24 ERA and impressive 0.941 WHIP. The last time Lee faced the Red Sox he pitched eight innings of shutout baseball, and that was the powerful Red Sox. Boston has been hit with major injuries and is a shell of their normal team. Boston gives the ball to Lackey tonight and he’s been nothing special this season with a 4.78 ERA and 9-9 team start record. Boston was beat up last night by this Texas lineup and we expect a similar result today. Boston is an awful 3-15 against teams like Texas who score 5.2 runs per game or more in the second half of the season. As we said Boston has a number of injuries and are averaging less than 2.75 extra base hits. Lee is extremely tough against teams like this posting an 18-5 team start record. Lee gets his first win as a Ranger. Play on Texas!




Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/17/10 - 7:05 PM

double-dime bet 919 TOR (-130) BetUS vs 920 BAL
Analysis:
Play on Toronto – The Blue Jays beat the O’s last night for the seven straight time this season. Today, the pitching matchup has Morrow for the Jays while Baltimore counters with Guthrie. The Baltimore right has been struggling of late with a 7.98 ERA in his last three starts. When he throws against a division opponent is it a disaster as he has an 8-30 TSR. Morrow hasn’t pitched very well of late but he is allowing 5.5 or less hits per start. Baltimore this season is 3-19 against pitchers that allow 5.5 or less hits per start. We’re backing Toronto make is eight in a row over Baltimore. Play on Toronto.

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LANCES LOCK

Pick: the Royals +105

Overall: 987-880-35

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Re: 7-17-10

THE PREZ

7* Tampa Bay +122

Jeff Niemann won't have any restrictions when he starts today, convinced, and convincing to the coaches, that the back tightness that forced him out of Sunday's game is no longer an issue. The Tamp Bay righty shut down the Diamondbacks in his last start allowing just 1 ER in 7 1/3 while striking out 8 batters. All those strikeouts are refreshing considering the warm summer temps in New York and Boston during August and September, this if the Rays won't to challenge for the top two spots in the East. Niemann recorded 14 Quality Starts in his first 18 chances and has a 2.54 BB/9 mark (compared to 2.84 in ’09). The righty is 1-0 against the Yankees in his career with a 2.93 ERA in three starts. That Niemann has pushed his K’s into an acceptable range to go along with the rest of his good skills, 2.5 BB/9 and a 45% GB% he is a perfect fit against a patient Yankees lineup, as his career number suggest.

AJ Burnett put up an ERA of over 11.00 for the month of June and after five straight starts of the non-quality variety he was able to shut the Blue Jays out over 6 2/3 innings in his last start. He walked three and struck out six. It is true that Burnett has had some bad luck on balls in play this year but his velocity and control issues persist, and his contact rate against has gotten steadily worse, especially over the last two seasons. The Yanks right-hander is one of the top five pitchers in the American League, despite his age, that has shown a serious declining skill set. He is a play against for the remainder of the second half, especially against lineups that know him well, like the Rays and Red Sox.

Backing road underdogs (Tampa) with a bullpen that sports a WHIP of 1.150 or better coming off a blown save with a starter that sports an FIP of 3.50 or less when oddsmakers open the money line on the home team at less than -139. The trend is 40-17 (70%) over the last 13 seasons and the Yankees lose two out of every three games in this situation (understanding public shade) over the last decade.