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dime bet 955 COL / 956 FLA Over 9.5 BetUS
Analysis:
MLB "Under the Radar Winner" goes to a Way Over 9.5 Marlins /Rockies. let's break this baby down at 7 10 pm
Lefty Nate Robertson has the ball tonight for the Marlins who will score some runs tonight at home! Let Jr back you into the winners circle as the Over is a sharp play here tonight. Last night's fireworks continue in Fla as a 9-8 final gave the Rockies another loss. Todd Helton from the Rockies provides a punch and the Rockies Hurler is Jeff Francis who is 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA over his last 4 starts, let's back an Over here big time tonight in Fla!! booooooooooom
double-dime bet 955 COL / 956 FLA Under 9.5 Bodog
Analysis:
7:10pm ET / Cplorado Rockies with Francis @ Florida Marlins with Robertson
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
This is am Umpire / Weather play ONLY. If we had some sharper starting pitchers on the mound tonight, it would certainly qualify as a 4* or higher BEST BET. But as it is, we'll rate as a normal 2** selection.
When taking a look at this year's Home Plate UMPIRE stats, the top two 'UNDER' guys are Greg Gibson and Jim Wolf... who both come in with identical 4-13 O/U records on the season. But right there in the #3 spot is tonight's 'Man in Blue' down here in South Florida. And that would be MIKE DIMURO, who comes in with a 4-12 O/U record on the year... and only 7.6 combined runs per game. That 7.6 RPG is even lower than previous two umpire mentioned (Gibson: 8.5 / Wolf: 8.3).
We don't just take a look at YTD stats when we are are studying the Umpires. Just like starting pitchers, it's important to look at CURRENT FORM in regards to the men behind the dish. We call it our 'What have you done for me lately' query. And Dimuro's has been an 'UNDER' machine. He's gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U in his last 4 games (only 5.5 runs per game). And since the middle of May, he's gone a remarkable 1-9 O/U in his last 10 games... with an average of only 6.1 runs per game. His YTD records include 1-4-1 O/U in All NATIONAL LEAGUE games... and 0-2 O/U in "Lefty versus Lefty" pitching matchups. I found that last one intriguing and studied it a bit more. In the last 1.5 seasons, Dimuro has gone a PERFECT 0-6 O/U... with an average of just 6.3 runs per game. He's also gone 0-2-1 O/U in ALL Rockie games the last 12 months... 0-1 O/U in Jeff Francis starts... and 1-4 O/U in ALL Marlin games. Throw in the fact that pre-game Weather forecasts project the winds to be blowing IN from right-center in excess of 18-20 MPH.... and we'll gladly accept an assist from Mother Nature.
Neither starter is in top notch form, but we do note the following: Nate Robertosn is a perfect 0-2 O/U in two career starts vs the Rockies. And Jeff Francis has a very good career ERA 'In THIS Park' (2.25).
2 Unit Play. #958 Take Cincinnati -1 ½ +120 over Washington (7:10 p.m., Tuesday July. 20)
The Red Machine has won three of four since the All-Star break and easily took last night's game 7-2. Tonight we look for the same results as the Reds cover the run-line and we cash a plus money play.
4 Unit Play. #977 Take Over 8 -120 Boston at Oakland (10:05 p.m., Tuesday July. 20)
The last 2 times Tim Wakefield started the Red Sox pitching staff has given up a total of 13 runs. Tonight we look for the Red Sox pitching staff to struggle again as Wakefield will give up his share of easy runs. The last 8 meetings between these two AL teams 7 of them have gone over the total. Oakland is 5-2-1 O/U in their last 8 games and the Red Sox are 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games as an underdog.
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