7-21-10

[spook]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

Baseball crusher 7/21

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CHIC (-150) over HOU

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Wednesday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Brett Myers (7-6, 3.35), Houston Astros

Myers is on the radar of many teams in the trade market looking for a quality starter. The guy isn’t going to pitch no-hit ball every night but he tends to be a bullpen’s best friend.

“He came here with a reputation of being an innings eater and I think now he’s gone and almost taken it to another level,” said Houston manager Brad Mills. “The way he’s gone about it is very special.”

Myers hasn’t given up more than two runs in three July starts, compiling a 2-0 record with a nifty 2.08 ERA. True to form, the right-hander worked no fewer than 6.0 innings in each of those outings and is the only pitcher in MLB to go at least six innings in every start this year.

The under is 3-0 in Myers’ last three starts and he’s 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA against the Cubs this season.

Gavin Floyd (5-8, 4.10), Chicago White Sox

Chicago’s turnaround has directly coincided with Floyd’s resurgence. After accruing a 2-6 record through June 3, the Sox righty has gone 3-2 since but the team won five of those eight starts.

Floyd has not surrendered more than one earned run in seven of his previous eight outings. The start that he gave up more than one was a two-earned run performance. Even more impressive, Floyd has not allowed a single long ball in eight consecutive starts while striking out 46 hitters.

Slumping

Tommy Hanson (8-6, 4.19), Atlanta Braves

The ace of the Braves staff has been far from good over his last five outings. Hanson has gone 1-3 in that stretch, allowing 39 hits and 22 runs (19 earned). He didn’t get past the fourth inning in two of those starts.

“The biggest thing today was, I was just inconsistent with all my pitches,” Hanson said after a 9-3 loss to Milwaukee last Friday. “The second inning, just getting behind too many guys kind of got me in trouble there.”

Some analysts feel that Hanson is playing through a knee injury that could be affecting his pitching. The righty has a career 2-0 record with a 2.25 ERA versus the Padres.

Ted Lilly (3-4, 3.22), Chicago Cubs

Chicago’s lefty is auditioning for a job on a contender but his trade value continues to plummet. Lilly put together a pretty good line in his last outing (7.0 innings, 3 earned) but that performance followed a couple of stinkers.
In July, the southpaw is 0-2 with an 8.95 ERA. Lilly was tagged for nine earned runs, including four homers, in first start of the month. He didn’t get out of the fourth inning in his next outing against L.A. when he gave up seven total runs.

Lilly definitely looked better last Friday after recording 10 strikeouts but this guy is too hot and cold to get behind from a betting perspective.

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

HOT LINES

Wednesday's Best MLB Bets

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (-130, 7.5)

The Giants didn’t let a blatantly-missed call at home plate that cost them the game Sunday halt momentum. San Francisco has won 10 of its last 12 games and moved into second place in the NL West after a 5-2 win over L.A. on Monday.

"After [Sunday’s] deal, we didn't let that affect us," reliever Jeremy Affeldt said.

Trailing the Padres by four games going into Wednesday, the Jints are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They added to their archrival’s recent misery with Monday’s victory.

The Dodgers have dropped five consecutive games and are 4-8 over a 12-game stretch. Los Angeles has only scored 11 runs during the losing streak.

"You get what you earn. Right now we've given a lot away and we have to find a way of getting back on track," manager Joe Torre said. "We've left a lot of men on base lately."

San Fran is 3-0 in Barry Zito’s last three starts and averaged just under seven runs per in those contests. Look for Zito to keep the Manny-less Dodgers bats cool in warm Southern California.

Pick: SF Giants


Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals (-175, 8.5)

Yunel Escobar is making the most of his fresh start in Toronto. After being run out of Atlanta, the 27-year-old shortstop is hitting .471 with two homers and seven RBIs in four games with the Jays.

There must be something in the water up in Canada because Escobar was homerless in 261 at-bats with the Braves before being traded.
"A lot of people were asking him about it…doubting whether he could hit [a home run] or not," Toronto bench coach Nick Leyva said. "He knows he can."

It was only a matter of time before Escobar starting heating up. And after being inserted into a free-swinging lineup that looks for the long ball, his production should stay on the rise.

The Jays lead the majors in home runs (141) but suffered a bad beat Monday when closer Kevin Gregg blew his fourth save of the season. He is awful and cannot be trusted while Wednesday’s starter, Mark Rzepczynski, is a reliever getting his second spot start of the season.

Toronto should be able to touch up Zack Greinke for at least a few runs and the Royals will get theirs in what should be a double-digit game when it’s all said and done.

Pick: Over

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

LADY LUCK

Wednesday's Best WNBA Bet

Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics (-4.5, 162)

Atlanta had better not get caught dreaming of home when it finishes a four-game road run in D.C. Wednesday night.

The Dream have lost three straight road contests, most recently dropping a 96-80 defeat to the Connecticut Sun last weekend. Atlanta is 0-3 against the spread as well, posting a 2-8 ATS mark in its last 10 games.

The Dream looked fatigued in their most recent outing, tossing up numerous poor shots and hitting at only 40 percent from the field and going just 3-for-13 from beyond the arc. Atlanta dropped 28 points in the first quarter then was outscored 76-52 in the final three frames.

“I don’t want to use that as an excuse, but sometimes when you are fatigued you make bad decisions, and I thought we had some bad offensive shot selections that led to their points,” Atlanta head coach Marynell Meadors told the Connecticut Sports Examiner. “We got down in that hole and it’s just hard to come back.

“It’s tough, and the commercial travel makes it really tough,” Meadors added. “These are professional athletes and my concern is they are tired and subject to injury and that bothers me because they make their livelihood with their feet, their knees and their legs and their bodies.”

Atlanta is tops in the Eastern Conference with a 14-8 record but is 6-6 away from home. The Dream needed overtime to defeat the Mystics on the road in their last meeting, but won’t have the gas to go deep Wednesday.

Pick: Washington Mystics

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

BETTORS TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Wednesday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Rays at Orioles – The total for this game has jumped from an opener of 9 to 9.5 on most boards.
Indians at Twins – The home team opened as -170 favorites but that number has escalated to as high as -210. The total for the game has moved from 9 to 9.5.
Brewers at Pirates – An opening total of 9 has moved to 8.5.
Rangers at Tigers – Sharps have hit Detroit hard in this contest, moving the team from a +112 underdog to -110 chalk.
Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics – The total for this game has been bet down from an opener of 162 to its current number, 159.5.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Angels at Yankees – A 50 percent chance of rain is called for.
Blue Jays at Royals – The forecast projects a 40 percent chance of rain.
Rockies at Marlins – A 17 mph wind is expected to blow in from right-center field.
Nationals at Reds – A 30 percent chance of rain is called for. Tuesday’s game in this series was delayed because of rain.
Phillies at Cardinals – There is a 40-50 percent chance of precipitation.

Who’s Hot

The Cardinals have won seven games in a row.
Going into Tuesday, the Giants were 8-2 over a 10-game span.

Who’s Not
The Tigers have lost seven straight games.
Atlanta (WNBA) has lost five straight ATS and is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
Seattle in 2-8 over its last 10 games.

Key Stat
13 – Number of inside-the-park home runs in baseball this season.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

The Dodgers placed outfielder Manny Ramirez on the 15-day disabled list for the third time this season on Tuesday, this time for a right calf strain – the same calf strain also landed him on the DL in late April.. Ramirez was hurt in Friday's game against St. Louis and had just come off the 15-day disabled list Thursday because of a strained right hamstring. Ramirez, who is hitting .317 with eight home runs and 39 RBIs this season, was replaced on the 25-man roster by catcher Brad Ausmus.

Tournament Of The Week

PGA: Canadian Open betting preview

Notable Quotable

"We didn't think about it 'cause that's not what we're about. From college I was trying to figure out how to beat Larry Bird."
-- Magic Johnson, echoing Michael Jordan’s previous statement, about how he would never have looked to join forces with Jordan or Bird like LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh have in Miami.

Tips And Notes

- Most casual bettors aren’t aware of the MLB game prop: Will there be a run scored in the first inning? The odds are usually favored toward the answer of “NO” and they get even higher if a couple of aces are on the mound. But if a bettor placed a one unit wager on every Rangers game this season he would be well in the black. In 94 Texas games, there has been a run scored in the first inning in 52 of them. As of today, the Rangers or their opponent had scored in the first inning of five of their last six games.

- The Atlanta Dream of the WNBA are a weary bunch. They’ve been on the road for a week and haven’t covered the spread in five straight tries while winning just one of those games. Head coach Marynell Meadors said the team was “fatigued” in its last game which led to “some bad offensive shot selections.” She also went on to say that “commercial travel makes it really tough.” That’s right, they ride on the same aircraft we do, not the charter planes real professional get transported around in. The Dream are just 4-point dogs in Washington Wednesday and could be longing to get out of D.C.

- Toronto will trot out spot starter Marc Rzepczynski Wednesday versus the Royals. Rzepczynski will be pitching on three days' rest after making a 0.2-inning relief appearance Saturday. Before that, he hadn’t pitched since July 10 and came out of the bullpen for 0.1 innings of work. The Jays called up Rzepczynski from Triple-A on July 7 for a start and he went 5.2 innings with four earned runs. This guy probably doesn’t know his head from his feet right now and could be out of sync with this unusual pitching schedule.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

Baseball Prophet

Philadelphia/St. Louis over 8.5 POD.

also

ChiSox/Seattle over 7
San Diego/Atlanta over 8
Cleveland/Minnesota over 8
TB/Balt over 9.5
St. Louis ML -160

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

Dave Cokin

LA Angels

Brewers Solid Gold play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

KIKI SPORTS

Wednesday July 21st

3 units Milwaukee -135
1 unit NY Mets +115
1 unit Boston -115

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Oakland vs Boston @ 3:35 ET: Gonzalez vs Buchholz – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


The Red Sox lost 5-4 in ten inning yesterday but they tallied 12 hits in the game. Boston has been dealing with injury issues but that hasn’t stopped them from hitting the ball quite well in recent road games. In their last six games away from home, the Red Sox have averaged 10.3 hits per game. As for the A’s, though they have been mostly an “under team” this season, we’ve seen a change in those trends recently. Oakland, with yesterday’s over, now has recorded just two unders in their last nine games! The Athletics have scored at least five runs in seven of their last eight games. Also, Boston is 10-6 to the over this season when they are on the road and the posted total is 8 or 8.5 runs. Though Gio Gonzalez of the A’s and Clay Buchholz of the Red Sox each have impressive numbers so far this season, there is more than meets the eye in the case of each of these hurlers!

Buchholz is 10-4 with a 2.45 ERA so far this season but let’s not lose sight of the fact that this will be his first MLB start since June 26th. He’s coming back from injury and his rehab start in the minors was not overly impressive. Also, this is still a hurler who went 9-13 the last two seasons and recorded a 4.21 ERA last season and a 6.75 ERA the year before that. In his only career start against Oakland, Buchholz held the A’s to just two earned runs in 5.2 innings of work. However, the A’s had nine hits and two walks in that game and easily could have done a lot more damage against the Boston right-hander. Also, in day games in his career Buchholz is 3-5 with a 5.46 ERA and he’s been hit at a .313 clip in those starts! Also, the Red Sox right-hander has been hit 38 points higher on the road than at home in his career and Buchholz has an ERA that is a full run higher when on the road compared to at home. Also, left-handed hitters have given Buchholz more trouble than righties in his career and the A’s have a number of dangerous left-handed sticks in their lineup. Oakland will load up on that side of the plate with their lineup today and we look for Buchholz to have a tough time coming back from his hamstring injury.

As for the A’s Gonzalez, we certainly realize that he’s produced some very impressive numbers this season. However, we also want to make note of the fact that this is still a hurler who has gone 15-17 with a 5.04 ERA in his MLB career. He’s coming off of a strong start at Kansas City in his most recent outing but in the last start he made at home he got pounded by the Yankees and it marked the third time in his last six games that Gonzalez had allowed at least four earned runs in a start! He’s winless with a 5.23 ERA and an ugly 1.94 WHIP in his two career starts against Boston. Also, Gonzalez has been hit 109 points higher by righties than lefties this season and he will see almost all right-handed bats in the Red Sox lineup this afternoon. Before shutting down the Royals in his most recent start, Gonzalez had walked at least four batters in three straight starts and command of pitches continues to be an issue for the southpaw. Oakland’s bullpen ERA only ranks in the middle of the pack this season while the Red Sox have an ERA that places them among the worst bullpens in baseball. Also, Boston has a .465 slugging percentage against left-handed pitchers this season and that ranks #1 in the majors. Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *10* Top Play selection.




Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Baltimore vs Tampa Bay @ 12:35 ET: Bergesen vs Shields – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


Even if Carl Crawford is out for this game for Tampa Bay, let’s not forget that he left last night’s game in the first inning and yet the Rays still ended up scoring ten runs in the game! Yesterday’s game ended up going 13 innings and was an 11-10 thriller. The fact that the game went four extra frames certainly did not do any favors for either bullpen and, of course, that’s good news for an “over” player. As for the starting pitching match-up here, look for both hurlers to struggle. James Shields gets the start for the Rays and he’s been struggling. Tampa Bay has lost 9 of his last 11 starts and Shields ERA has gone from a 2.99 in late May to a 4.86 entering this start. The Rays right-hander has given up 12 homers in his last 11 starts and he’s been hit at a .285 clip on the road this season and a .318 clip in day games! In his career, Shields’ ERA is more than a full run higher on the road compared to at home. The Rays right-hander has enjoyed success against the Orioles in his career but we feel his current form (coupled with Baltimore riding the momentum of their 11-run outburst yesterday) will lead to Shields getting pounded today.

As for the Orioles starting pitching situation today, Brad Bergesen gets the start. The Baltimore right-hander is facing a Rays team that continues to pound the ball. Tampa Bay has averaged six runs per game in their last 14 games and they face a starting pitcher today who is 3-7 with a 6.37 ERA. Bergesen has been knocked around at a .324 clip this season and he’s also 0-2 (and has been rocked) in his two starts versus the Rays in his young career. In his career, Bergesen has an ERA that is more than a full run higher in day games compared to what he’s compiled in night games. The Orioles are 4-0 to the over in Bergesen’s day game starts this season. The Rays are 13-5 to the over this season when they are on the road and the total is 9 or 9.5 runs. Tampa Bay is 11-5 to the over this month. The Rays are also 23-13 to the over in divisional games this season. Tampa Bay is 11-3 to the over in Wednesday games this season. On a humid afternoon in Maryland, look for the ball to continue to carry well here (7 homers last night) and we look for another slugfest to erupt. Play OVER the total in Baltimore as an *8* Regular Play selection

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

Logical pick

Pick Today is Arizona Diamondbacks.
The game is on at 9:00 PM EST.

64.1 % Win Probability
Our sim shows this line should favor Arizona at -185... The D'backs are 4 games above .500 when they are home favorites and the Mets are 11 games under .500 as road dogs... The mixture of this makes this a very strong play
Over/Under:
Spread:
Moneyline: -120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

Beatyourbookie pod

Play St. Louis (-150) over Philadelphia (POD)
8:15 P.M. EST

Philadelphia is 3-8 in road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
Joe Blanton is 2-14 in road games when pitching on a Wednesday
Joe Blanton is 1-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 7.06

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

POWERPLAYWINS
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY

Arizona Diamondbacks -122 ML (LP) Haren

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

Paul Leiner

50* DBacks -125

25* Milw/Pitt Over 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

National Sports Service
4* Brewers
3* Boston