7-21-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

GOODFELLA
MLB ML - Wednesday, Jul 21 2010 8:15PM
ML 912 STL (-140) Sportbet vs 911 PHI double-dime bet

Analysis: ’

Garcia and Blanton BOTH MUST START

(2*) Double Star Play

(FOR 50 CENT--THANKS FOR ALL YOU DO)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-21-10

Teddy Covers today picks

MIL vs PIT Over 8.5
SD Padres

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

SPORTGENIUS
under 9 mets/ diamondbacks

[JohnnyVegas]

Re: 7-21-10

I have made the switch to the dark side, forum looks great and you guys seem to get all the plays for the most part. I have not seen VR posted here too often. Is this forum in bed with pregame as well?

Thanks for the hard work and I look forward to contributing and calling this place my new home

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

Logical pick

Pick Today is Arizona Diamondbacks.
The game is on at 9:00 PM EST.

64.1 % Win Probability
Our sim shows this line should favor Arizona at -185... The D'backs are 4 games above .500 when they are home favorites and the Mets are 11 games under .500 as road dogs... The mixture of this makes this a very strong play
Over/Under:
Spread:
Moneyline: -120

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

I have made the switch to the dark side, forum looks great and you guys seem to get all the plays for the most part. I have not seen VR posted here too often. Is this forum in bed with pregame as well?

Thanks for the hard work and I look forward to contributing and calling this place my new home

welcome to investwithsports...we post everything my friend including vegas runner...I will try and do a better job of posting vr before game time..

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

POWERPLAYWINS
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY

Arizona Diamondbacks -122 ML (LP) Haren

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

National Sports Service
4* Brewers
3* Boston

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

Chris Jordan
Free play

I honestly thought about giving you the Over in this game, but when I looked deeper at the matchup, it’s clear the play is on the Brewers and Randy Wolf, who is 8-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 16 starts against the Pirates.

The southpaw is 3-0 with a 2.39 ERA in his last four road starts, and comes in after giving up three runs in six innings of a 9-3 win. Thus, momentum shouldn’t be an issue.

On the flipside, I’m going against Zach Duke, who is 3-9 with a 5.38 ERA this season.

Duke produced a sky-high 14.00 ERA in two losses to the Brewers back in April, and checks in with a 3-7 mark and 6.33 ERA in 15 outings against them.

Plus, the Pirates’ southpaw has posted a 7.33 ERA in losing his last five starts overall.

Lay the road chalk in this one, as the Brewers get it done.
2? MILWAUKEE (WITH WOLF AND DUKE)

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

Karl Garrett
Free play

Winner on Tuesday with the Cardinals on the RUN LINE from the G-Man.

For Wednesday night, stick with the Arizona Diamonbacks to sweep the New York Mets out of Phoenix.

The Mets are in a free-fall right now, losers of their last pair, and 8 of their last 10, as their offense is just not coming through right now.

Dan Haren may be showcasing his wares for a trade in the not too distant future, so expect Haren to step up his game a notch and showcase his talent tonight against the silent Mets offense.

Arizona has won 7 of the last 9 meetings against New York dating back last season, and they are on an overall 10-5 series run the last 15 meetings.

With New York pitching not getting much support these days, look for Jon Niese to suffer his third straight losing decision.

G-Man on the Snakes!
2? ARIZONA

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

SPORTS WAGERS

ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.42 over Philadelphia

The Phillies were whacked again last night for the second straight time here and there’s no reason to believe it won’t happen again. The Phillies have now lost three in a row and five of six and its bullpen is running on fumes after the team allowed 26 runs over the last three games and worked eight innings last night. They’re not scoring either and in fact, they’ve scored one run or less in three of its last seven games. Two of its last three wins were by scores of 1-0 so they’re fortunate their losing funk isn’t worse. To make matters worse, Joe Blanton’s chances of going deep into this game is slim to none. Blanton has three wins in 15 starts, a 6.21 ERA, a 7.01 ERA on the road and a BAA of .300. At least he’s consistent, as he’s posted a 5.50+ ERA in each month so far this year and a 1.50+ WHIP in both June and July. Meanwhile the Cards continue to pound out hits and runs. They’ve now won seven straight and scored 41 times over that span and have hit a combined .307. Jamie Garcia is 3-1 at home with an ERA of 1.49. In 48 innings pitched at home he’s allowed just one jack. He has an outstanding groundball rate of 53% and while his strand rate is high also, which reveals some fortune; it’s not a concern here because the Phillies are not stringing any hits together these days and look completely out of sync. Trade rumors are swirling around the Phillies and that leaves an uneasy feeling. Red-hot v ice-cold gets the call. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).


ATLANTA –1½ +1.42 over San Diego

Tommy Hanson has had a rough few outings recently and that includes getting rocked by the South Side and the Tigers in back-to-back games June 22 and June 27. He only has one win in his last five starts and that has his stock lower than it’s been all season. Still, Hanson shows elite control with just 35 walks all season and 109 K’s. He’s issued two or fewer walks in every start since May 31 and last season he was outstanding in the second half. This guy has elite potential and wicked stuff and he’ll be up against the league’s biggest imposter, Jon Garland. Garland’s ERA is 3.45, which is a complete mirage. His ERA on the road is even flattering at 4.53. Garland remains an overvalued pitcher with no upside and he’s been regressing for six weeks now. In three July starts covering 17 frames, Garland has walked 10 and struck out 12. Now for the best news, current Braves hitters have 129 AB’s against Garland and their OPS is an off the charts 1.012. They also have a slugging percentage of .628 and a BA of .349. His ERA against the Braves in his career is 14.04 and once again we should see some batting practice out there against this stiff. Play: Atlanta –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).


Texas –1.03 over DETROIT

Sign me up baby! The Tigers have done a complete 180 and each loss is uglier than the last. The Tigers losing streak has hit seven and over that stretch they’ve scored three runs or less six times. They made a rookie pitcher for the Tribe named Jeanmar Gomez look like C.C Sabathia and they’ve done the same against Carmona, Westbrook, Hunter and Mitch Talbot. Now they’ll face a real pitcher is Colby Lewis. Lewis has allowed just 90 hits in 115 frames for a BAA of .209. Keep in mind that he pitches half his games at that landmine in Arlington. He has 112 K’s and just 39 walks. In 10 road starts his BAA is .171 and now he’ll face a reeling team in a pitcher’s park. Meanwhile the Rangers have won five of six and they just keep beating up on folks. They’ve scored seven runs or more in four of those six wins and they also won in Boston against Lester this past Sunday. They’ll face Max Scherzer here, a guy with lots of upside but also a guy that has never performed well under pressure. With a seven game losing streak and counting, this is not the ideal spot for Max. He can be awfully wild and can be counted on to walk some batters. You simply can’t expect to fall behind these Ranger hitters and get by. Once again, Hot v ice–cold and ugly gets the call. Play: Texas –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

KELSO

10 UNIT* MLB* Saint Louis Cardinals , -145 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Cincinnati Reds, +110 ML
25 UNIT* MLB* San Francisco Giants, +130 ML

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT* MLB* Boston Red Sox , -115 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* Washington Nationals, -120 ML

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

ALATEX

Arizona Diamondbacks under
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers under

[spook]

Re: 7-21-10

MY SPORTS WINNER

10* Chicago cubs
7* Under Cincinnati Reds
7* Atlanta over 8