7-23-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

B&S PICKS

League Game Date/Time Game Pick Type Pick Unit Value

MLB 7/23/2010
2:20:00 PM St. Louis at Chi Cubs overunder St. Louis/Chi Cubs o12 -105
TRIPLE DIME SYNDICATE PLAY

MLB 7/23/2010
8:05:00 PM Cincinnati at Houston moneyline Houston/Bud Norris +135
SINGLE DIME PLAY BOLD SPORTS UPSET PLAY OF THE DAY

MLB 7/23/2010
9:40:00 PM San Francisco at Arizona moneyline Arizona/Edwin Jackson -105
DOUBLE DIME BOOKIE BASHER

MLB 7/23/2010
10:10:00 PM NY Mets at LA Dodgers moneyline LA Dodgers/Vicente Padilla -120
SINGLE DIME REGULAR PLAY

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

TRACE ADAMS
Friday's Selections

1000? National League Dead Mortal Lock is a play on San Diego over Pittsburgh. Correia and Maholm are scheduled to go. Both must start, or no action on the release. I also have a

500? Bonus Best Bet on San Francisco with Sanchez over Arizona with Jackson. Again, both listed pitchers must start, or NO action on the release.





The Padres had a tough time of it down in Hot-Lanta, as San Diego was only able to win 1 of the 3 meetings in that series between 1st place clubs. I expect the Pads to fare a little better against the 34-61 Pirates this weekend in the Steel City.

Pittsburgh has been playing some decent baseball at 4-2 their last 6, and starter Paul Maholm is fresh off a complete game shutout of Houston, but I don't see him duplicating that effort tonight against San Diego.

Kevin Correia will counter, and did pick up the win his last time out over Arizona. Correia is being counted on the stabilize the back end of Bud Black's rotation, and he was able to win in Pittsburgh last season in his last start against the Bucs.

San Diego in fact is 6-2 the last 2 years at PNC Park.

Take the Padres to open the weekend with the win.

500? bonus right back again on San Francisco over Arizona.

Last night I gave you the 500? winner on the Giants, and tonight I will give you another 500? winner on the Giants.

Edwin Jackson has surrendered 13 runs over his last 16 innings of work, and his home ERA is at 5.63 for the season.

Jonathan Sanchez has been a "snake charmer" of late, as Sanchez has gone 3-0 the last 3 times he has faced Arizona, including beating them in late May.

San Francisco is on a 12-3 run their last 15 games, and they have gone 17-7 since last season against the Diamondbacks.

Have to stick with 'Frisco to take it again tonight.

[jets2010]

Re: 7-23-10

Anthony Redd
Friday's Card

Friday's Card

75 Dime Play on the Cleveland Indians with Carmona over the Tampa Bay Rays and Niemann. Obvioasly you're specifying both schedculed starters as any change in pitchers would result in the play benng voided. As I release this game at 9:30 PM Pacifc, the Indians are +135 to +140 here in Vegas and where I'm checking offshore so shop around for the best price.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

GREG SHAKER
2* SF Giants/Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9

BIG PLAY ADDED LATER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

MTi SPORTS
ADDED CARD
4* Chicago White Sox +130
4* LA Dodgers -114

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/23/10 - 10:05 PM

dime bet 928 OAK (-130) Bodog vs 927 CWS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

Tony George | MLB Total Fri, 07/23/10 - 7:05 PM

dime bet 923 KAN / 924 NYY Over 10 Bodog
Analysis:
OVER 10 KC / NY Yankees

KC actually had the lead last night after 3 innings and were able to get 4 runs on Sabathia. Actually KCs bats are solid this year for the most part, and add in the fact Brian Bannister is starting who is 2-5 on the road and has a 7.05 ERA on the road this season and a 6.52 ERA his last 3, and you have the makings of an Over here again. Last nights game was 10 to 4 and I think NY can get close to double digits again if not exceed it and KC should put up 4 or 5 runs against Burnett as well. Yankees hit well at home and are 8-0 at home their last 8 games!

Play 1 Unit on the Over. BONUS PLAY – Play a half unit on Minnesota -140. Thanks and best of luck tonight. TG

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

spartan | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/23/10 - 10:05 PM

triple-dime bet 928 OAK (-130) Sportbet vs 927 CWS
Analysis: Mark Buehrle has simply not fared well at Oakland guys, he is a miserable 0-6 in his 10 career starts out there. After considerable deliberation I have decided this is without a question in my mind our best opportunity for tonights action.
The A's are playing loose and confident and have Trevor Cahill on the bump tonight. He's a rock solid 9-3, 3.19 this season and the A's have now prevailed in 7 of the last 8 games continuing to exceed pre season expectations. Chicago ended the first half of the season the hottest team in the game and a cooling off period was inevitable, I don't expect any prolonged slump from Ozzie's guys but I strongly favor Oakland to get this one at home tonight behind Cahill. Triple Star on Oakland guys!!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | MLB Total Fri, 07/23/10 - 10:10 PM

double-dime bet 929 BOS / 930 SEA Over 7.5 Bodog
Analysis: For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "over":

Josh Beckett gets the nod for the visitors; Beckett returns to play after a 15-day DL; he hasn't pitched in the majors since May 18th and posted a dismal 7.29 ERA in eight starts before getting injured.

Important to note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the posted number in 40 of 70 "night games" this year; also in all three games they've played in the second half of the season against teams with losing records.

In the other dugout: Jason Vargas heads to the hill for the home side; Vargas has pitched well this year, but hasn't received much run support from his team; I believe he will today though as the Mariners will look to take advantage of Beckett's first start back.

Vargas is 6-4 with a 2.97 ERA on the year.

Bottom line: Boston is looking to win back to back games for the first time since July 2-3 and try to gain some ground on Tampa Bay for the Wild Card spot.

Seattle will look to tee off on Beckett here in this spot; when coupled with all of the above factors, we have enough edges to pull the trigger on an *8* WEST-COAST TOP TOTAL on the OVER!

[spook]

Re: 7-23-10

Roz's July Baseball Game of the Month - Friday


Out is Nick Blackburn for the Twins and in is Brian Duensing, tonight's starter. Duensing makes his first start of the season though he is 3-1 this year with a 1.67 ERA. Duensing was 5-1 with a 2.73 ERA in nine starts last year. Good news for Duensing is that he faces a weak Baltimore team that has dropped six of its last seven. In addition, the O's have scored two runs or fewer in five of those games. And guess what, Minnesota has pitched a shutout in the last two games. And, against the Twins it's even worst for the O's, having scored a total of one run while losing all three games. Looks like trouble here on Friday for the Orioles, don't see them doing much at all. Take the Twins and enjoy the win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

Glenn's NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR!!!


NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR - New York/Los Angeles UNDER...... Los Angeles Dodgers (51-45) opened their four-game weekend series with the New York Mets (49-47) by defeating the east coast visitors 2-0 on Thursday evening. Both teams are really struggling offensively right now, with the New Yorkers having scored just 21 runs total over their last dozen contests (1.75 rpg) and Los Angeles plating just 20 runners over their last 8 contests (2.5)! Not surprisingly, last year these two combined for just 16 runs in a three-games series at Dodger Stadium. Friday's contest will feature to very hot pitchers, Johan Santana (7-5, 2.87) for the hosts and Vincente Padilla (4-2, 3.65) for the visitors. Santana again pitched brilliantly to no avail this past Sunday in San Francisco, absorbing a no-decision after limiting the Giants to a single run in eight innings. Still, Santana is 2-0 with a 0.58 ERA over his past four starts. He threw six shutout innings against the Dodgers in April and stands an eye-opening 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA in three career starts vs. the Dodgers. Meanwhile, Padilla hasn't allowed a run over his past two starts, a span of 14 innings, and he hasn't allowed more than two runs IN ANY START besides his first since coming off the disabled list in June. The 32-year old Nicaraguan has gone an impressive 4-1 over his last eight starts, posting a spectacular 2.38 ERA. Padilla has won 10 of 13 lifetime decisions over the New Yorkers, manufacturing a 3.54 ERA. When you add in the fact these two clubs have two of the National League's better bullpens to back up these two strong starters, it's easy to make a major play on the under. Play New York/Los Angeles UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-23-10

Hollywood Sports' 25* MLB OVER/UNDER SABERMETRICS SPECIAL (*62%* 54-33 MLB run!)


At 8:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers listing both pitchers Craig Stammen and Chris Narveson. Washington (42-54) is heating up with their bats after scoring 22 runs over their last three games. They are hitting .275 against left-handers which should leave them chomping at the bit when traveling to Milwaukee to face the left-handed Narveson. For the year, Narveson is 8-6 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.54 ERA. Narveson is struggling over his last three starts as evidenced by his 9.42 ERA and 1.74 WHIP over that span. Narveson also does decidedly worse at home in Milwaukee this season where he has a 6.12 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and an opponent's batting average of .312 as opposed to his 5.58 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .280 opponent's batting average when on the road. The deeper sabermetrics are troubling as well for Narveson. Narveson is giving up a disproportionate amount of extra-base hits as indicated by his high .201 ISO (ISOlated power, slugging pct minus batting avg). Furthermore, Narveson is allowing his opposing hitters to have a high line-drive BABIP (Batting Average for Balls put Into Play) of a high .813 as compared to the .723 National League LD BABIP average at the moment. Line-drives typically are the result of the batter winning the “hitter-versus-pitcher” battle. Batters are finding more than average success in placing their line-drives as base hits against Narveson which indicates hitters have been able to zero-in on him. The Brewers enter this game coming off a 3-2 win in Pittsburgh yesterday -- and Milwaukee (44-53) has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total coming off a win.

Washington sends out Craig Stammen who is 2-4 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.48 WHIP for the season. Like Narveson, Stammen is struggling even worse as of late given his 7.36 ERA and 1.91 WHIP over his last three starts. Stammen is particularly vulnerable on the road where he has a 6.15 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and .205 opponent's batting average as opposed to his 4.94 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .293 opponent's batting average when at home this season. Stammen has also struggled in his two career starts against Milwaukee last season where he had a 6.55 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .311 opponent's batting average in eleven innings of work. And in the Brewers' last 31 games when facing a right-hander, the Over is 20-8-3. Stammen's deeper sabermetrics also spells trouble for him. He has a high .185 ISO which indicates that he is also giving up too many extra-base hits. Not surprisingly then, his LD BABIP of .770 (versus that NL LD BABIP average of .723) is evidence to the fact that hitters have been able to take advantage and place their base-hits against him. Additionally, Stammen has a low ground ball BABIP of .205 as compared to the Nationals' (52-43) overall GB BABIP team mark of .246 which suggests that he has actually experienced some good luck regarding the balls he is allowing into play being hit at his infielders. As this number regresses up towards Washington's team mean, he will be then surrendering even more base hits. Washington enters this game coming off a 7-1 win in Cincinnati -- and they have gone Over the Total in 5 straight games with Stammen on the mound after they scored at least five runs in their previous game. Additionally, in their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their previous game, the Nats have continued that momentum by going Over the Total 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 35-11-3 combined winning angle for this situation. 25* MLB Over/Under Sabermetrics Special with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers listing both pitchers Craig Stammen and Chris Narveson. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

[spook]

Re: 7-23-10

Hollywood Sports' 25* MLB OVER/UNDER SABERMETRICS SPECIAL (*62%* 54-33 MLB run!)


At 8:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers listing both pitchers Craig Stammen and Chris Narveson. Washington (42-54) is heating up with their bats after scoring 22 runs over their last three games. They are hitting .275 against left-handers which should leave them chomping at the bit when traveling to Milwaukee to face the left-handed Narveson. For the year, Narveson is 8-6 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.54 ERA. Narveson is struggling over his last three starts as evidenced by his 9.42 ERA and 1.74 WHIP over that span. Narveson also does decidedly worse at home in Milwaukee this season where he has a 6.12 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and an opponent's batting average of .312 as opposed to his 5.58 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .280 opponent's batting average when on the road. The deeper sabermetrics are troubling as well for Narveson. Narveson is giving up a disproportionate amount of extra-base hits as indicated by his high .201 ISO (ISOlated power, slugging pct minus batting avg). Furthermore, Narveson is allowing his opposing hitters to have a high line-drive BABIP (Batting Average for Balls put Into Play) of a high .813 as compared to the .723 National League LD BABIP average at the moment. Line-drives typically are the result of the batter winning the “hitter-versus-pitcher” battle. Batters are finding more than average success in placing their line-drives as base hits against Narveson which indicates hitters have been able to zero-in on him. The Brewers enter this game coming off a 3-2 win in Pittsburgh yesterday -- and Milwaukee (44-53) has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total coming off a win.

Washington sends out Craig Stammen who is 2-4 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.48 WHIP for the season. Like Narveson, Stammen is struggling even worse as of late given his 7.36 ERA and 1.91 WHIP over his last three starts. Stammen is particularly vulnerable on the road where he has a 6.15 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and .205 opponent's batting average as opposed to his 4.94 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .293 opponent's batting average when at home this season. Stammen has also struggled in his two career starts against Milwaukee last season where he had a 6.55 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .311 opponent's batting average in eleven innings of work. And in the Brewers' last 31 games when facing a right-hander, the Over is 20-8-3. Stammen's deeper sabermetrics also spells trouble for him. He has a high .185 ISO which indicates that he is also giving up too many extra-base hits. Not surprisingly then, his LD BABIP of .770 (versus that NL LD BABIP average of .723) is evidence to the fact that hitters have been able to take advantage and place their base-hits against him. Additionally, Stammen has a low ground ball BABIP of .205 as compared to the Nationals' (52-43) overall GB BABIP team mark of .246 which suggests that he has actually experienced some good luck regarding the balls he is allowing into play being hit at his infielders. As this number regresses up towards Washington's team mean, he will be then surrendering even more base hits. Washington enters this game coming off a 7-1 win in Cincinnati -- and they have gone Over the Total in 5 straight games with Stammen on the mound after they scored at least five runs in their previous game. Additionally, in their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their previous game, the Nats have continued that momentum by going Over the Total 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 35-11-3 combined winning angle for this situation. 25* MLB Over/Under Sabermetrics Special with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers listing both pitchers Craig Stammen and Chris Narveson. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

[spook]

Re: 7-23-10

TOUT TALLY

COL - 0
PHILLY - 7
OVER - 0
UNDER - 2


SD - 11
PITT - 5


ATL - 9
FLOR - 10


CINCI - 16
HOUST -2


WASH - 2
MILW - 5


SF - 14
ARIZ - 6


METS - 3
LA DOD - 11

OVER - 0
UNDER - 7


TOR - 7
DET - 6


MINNY - 17
BALTY - 4


TB - 10
CLEVE - 6

OVER - 4
UNDER -1

KC - 2
YANKS - 8

OVER - 5
UNDER - 5



ANGELS - 0
TEX - 8

OVER - 1
UNDER -3


WXOX - 5
OAKL - 18 ( fuk )


BOST - 7
SEATTLE - 7

[spook]

Re: 7-23-10

PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS
ROCKY SHERIDAN

10* Mets Under
10* Cincinnati
7* Yankees R/L