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969 | BOSTON RED SOX | +116 | 10:05 est | @ LA Angels
Lots are jumping on Haren and quite frankly we don't see the value here. Mr. Buchholz is poised to make a great start and get 6+ innings after a shaky outing @ Oakland.
We like the numbers here with LA Angels hitting .211 with 1 HR in 71 AB vs. Mr. Buchholz. Look for Boston to strike early and pull this road win out
VR's Morning Moves | MLB Totaltriple-dime bet 962 CLE / 961 NYY Under 9 BodogAnalysis: *** MLB 3* "ISOLATED" BEST BET OF THE DAY ***
UNDER 9 (-105) CLE/NYY....(3*)....Vazquez vs Westbrook
Unless I'm able to get a strong Confirmation on some "Late Steam"...we will look to keep the win streak going with this Isolated 3* Best Bet on the UNDER...on what was scheduled to be the ESPN Prime-Time Match-Up...but was dropped for the DET/TB Match-Up...
Bottom Line...Based on my projections/model, we are truly getting the best of it by being able to go Under this "Key Number" of "9"...This one opened up at 9.5, and was immediately STEAMED "Under"...and after the Outfits had some more time to work on the game...they came right back and went UNDER 9 as well...
Their last match-up in NY has forced the oddsmakers to Inflate the Total, in order to create some Balance with the Sharps on the Under and the Public on the Over...I still feel we are getting way too much Value not to Isolate it and look to cash another 3* BOMB...VR
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[965] Minnesota |10%|-101|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[970] L.A. Angels |10%|-102|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST
[957] Florida |10%|-175|+1.5 Runs|Network N/A|10:15 pm EST
Angels -125 4-dime POD)
*****pitching change with harem play stands! This had more to do with the way these two teams have hit
I really like the Angels and feel they are going to go on a run in the AL West now that they are back at home. Team should be juiced a little after acquiring Dan Haren from Arizona and I see their bats waking up here against Clay Bucholz who is 2-3 in his career vs. LA with a 6.09 ERA. Bucholz is favored mainly because of his body of work this year but I think the wrong team is favored. This is just Bucholz 2nd start since coming off the DL in his first it was another West coast start 4 IP 5 ER @ Oakland. At least that was a day game and Bucholz was prepared time wise, but this one coming at 10:15 his time should be another major challenge as he is not used to this as he did not make a single start a year ago out West. Red Sox are making their 8th straight game on the West coast and it's taking its toll as they are hitting just .218 with 2.2 runs per 9 vs. RHP in their last 10. 2.99 overall.
Pineiro makes the start for the Angels and he's 7-2 with a 2.37 ERA at home and the Angels are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts. He's got a start against Boston this year 6 IP 8 hits and 2 ER in Boston and he's backed by a line up hitting .317 in their last 10 vs. RHP and scoring 5.66 runs per 9. I think the edge is with the Angels who are 12-4 in their last 16 home vs. a RH starter. LA will be happy to be home and I believe Bucholz gets knocked out early enough for the Angels to win this game
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