7-30-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

B&S PICKS
5 DIME SYNDICATE PLAY Cleveland Indians under 8.5
5 DIME BOOKIE BASHER Oakland A's ML
5 DIME REGULAR PLAY Philadelphia Phillies ML
5 DIME REGULAR PLAY Colorado Rockies ML
5 DIME REGULAR PLAY NY Mets ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

MASTERMIND GROUP
Minnesota -189 vs. Seattle at 8:10pm EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

CAPRI'S THE PLAYERS PARADISE
3 UNIT PARADISE PLAY SL Cardinals -1.5 RL
3 UNIT PARADISE PLAY SF Giants -1.5 RL

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

SPORT BOOK GURU

MLB
2 units Philadelphia -165
2 units NY Yankees/Tampa Bay Under 9
2 units St. Louis/Pittsburgh Under 7.5
2 units Arizona +125

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

SPIT GAME SPORTS
3* MLB* Chicago Cubs ML
3* MLB* New York Yankees ML
3* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 RL
3* MLB* Saint Louis Cardinals -1.5 RL
3* MLB* Texas Rangers ML
5* MLB* PLAY OF THE DAY* Cincinnati Reds ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

SR COMPUTER

Cincinnati Reds -140
New York Mets -140
St. Louis Cardinals -300 ***

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

HOT SHOT SPORTS
3* KC Royals
FROM THE NC LINE

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

NY PLAYERS CLUB
2* NY Mets/Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5
2* Cleveland Indians/Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

STREET ROSENTHAL
*200 New York Mets -140 ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

spartan | MLB RunLine Fri, 07/30/10 - 8:15 PM

double-dime bet 960 STL -1.5 (-142) Sportbet vs 959 PIT
Analysis: The team I know best is without question the St Louis Cardinals, do I nail it every time I play them in a game? Hell no, of course not. However through the years I have been spot on FAR more often than not. There are 3 teams I stay truly dialed in on, the Cardinals, the Missouri Tigers in college and the Green Bay Packers of the NFL.
Tonight is one of those nights I feel Cris Carpenter and the Cardinals will come out and play very well. Carp has been stellar against the Pirates and will in fact be looking for his 11th straight decision over them. The Pirates were tough on the Rockies this week but frankly I just see a mismatch here between Carp and Pittsburgh starter Jeff Karstens, 2-6. The Cardinals are returning back to the friendly confines of Busch Stadium after a pretty forgettable road trip. I think they realize they are in a serious dog fight with the Reds for the division title as the Reds give no appearance of fading yet.
For those who like trends to support the cause Carpenter is now an incredible 15-1 his last sixteen home starts in Busch at night. Pretty funky trend but sometimes numbers don't lie. With big Carp on the bump tonight against a Pittsburgh club he has owned I like our chances here a lot guys.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/30/10 - 7:10 PM

dime bet 954 CIN (-134) Bodog vs 953 ATL
Analysis: 1.5 unit play




Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/30/10 - 7:10 PM

dime bet 954 CIN (-134) Bodog vs 953 ATL
Analysis: 1.5 unit play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

JEFF BENTON

Friday's Winners ...

20 DIME selection on DBacks-Mets game OVER the total in the opener of a weekand series in New York. The consensus total in this contest is 8½ both here in Vegas and offshore. Starting pitchers are automatically listed with baseball totals, so Mike Pelfrey (Mets) and Ian Kennedy (DBacks) must go toenight or this play is VOID!





10 DIME selection on the Braves-Reds game UNDER the total in the opener of a weekend series in Cincinnati. The conrensus total in this contest is 8 ½ both here in Vegas and offshore. Starting pitchers are automatically listed with baseball totals, so Kevin Medlen (Braves) and Johnny Cueto (Reds) must go tonight or this play is VOID!








DBacks-Mets OVER the total There’s a lot about this game that screams 7-5 final score. First and foramost, because of its horrific bullpen and an offense that relies heavily on the long ball, Arizona is the most prolific “over” team in baseball, with a 61-39-2 over/under record, including 29-18-2 on the road. Coming into this one, eight of the DBacks’ last 13 contests have topped the total, with seven of those games reaching double digits.





Meanwhile, the Mets are a compleetely different offensive ballclub at Citi Field, where they hit .270 as a team and average nearly 5 runs per game. New York came home this week and put up 19 runs in its three games against the Cardinals, this immediately after scoring just 23 runs during an 11-game road trip (including four shutouts).





Of course, whenever you play a baseball total you first look to the starting pitchers. In this one, Arizona’s Ian Kennedy matches up against Mike Pelfrey for the second time in 11 days. Back on July 19 in the desert, Kennedy was dominant, allowing a run on four hits in five innings. Pelfrey was the complete opposite of dominant, surrendering six runs on seven hits in just 1 1/3 innings. Final score: Arizona 13, New York 2.





Although Kennedy has a decent 4.10 ERA on the season, he’s just 2-5 with a 4.70 ERA in 10 road starts, and he averages less than six innings when he’s on the road (which leaves at least three and somrtimes four innings for the worst bullpen in baseball to come in and light the mound on fire). And over his last five starts, the right-hander has gone 5 1/3 , 5 2/3, 5 1/3, 5 and 6 2/3 innings. Over those 28 innings, Kennedy has surrendered 18 earned runs for a 5.79 ERA.





As for Pelfrey, he is coming off his best start in a month, holding the Dodgers to two runs on six hits in five innings. That’s the positive. Here’s the negative: Even including that outing, he’s got a 10.53 ERA in his last five starts, allowing 23 runs, 36 hits and 12 walks in 19 2/3 innings. And with that disastrous outing at Arizona on July 19, Pelfrey is now 0-5 with a 6.75 ERA in six career starts against the DBacks, with the “over” going 3-1-1 in the last five.





Finally, there have been 29 runs scored in the first three games of the Mets’ homestand, while Arizona has topped the total in four of six overall, five of six as a visitor, seven of eight in series openers and 12 of 17 on Friday.








Braves-Reds UNDER Love these two starting pitchers in this one. Despite little fanfare, the Braves’ Kris Medlen has been outstanding this year, going 6-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 29 games (12 starts). In his dozen starts, he’s held nine opponents to three earned runs or fewer.





As good as Medlen has been, Reds right-hander Johnny Cueto has been even better. He’s 10-2 with a 3.18 ERA, and going back to June 18, Cueto has made seven starts and given up a total of six runs (five earned) in 46 2/3 innings (0.64 ERA). And while Medlen is facing the Reds for the first time ever, Cueto has dominated Atlanta twice in his career, giving up a total of three runs, seven this and three walks with 12 strikeouts in 13 innings (2.08 ERA).





Cincinnati won both games by scores of 6-2 and 4-2, both staying “under” the total. The Braves just stayed under the total in all three games of their series at Washington (scoring just six runs) and they're also on “under” streaks of 7-1-1 when opening a series, 10-4 against right-handed starters and 11-5 against winning teams, while the Reds are on “under” stretches of 4-1 against winning teams, 3-1-1 in series openers, 4-1 when Cueto pitches on Friday and 16-6-1 when Cueto is coming off five days of rest.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

NSA

20 under 7 sf
20 under 7 sd
20 philly -170

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

Scott Rickenbach’s


National League *GAME OF THE MONTH* Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Washington vs Philadelphia @ 7:05 ET: Stammen vs Oswalt – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Of course the Phillies acquisition of Roy Oswalt from the Astros is making a lot of noise. However, don’t be surprised if he struggles in his first start in a Phillies uniform. The last time Oswalt faced the Nationals he gave up four earned runs on four hits and three walks in an outing that lasted just 2.1 innings! Also, Oswalt comes into this start having allowed 8 earned runs on 16 hits in his last 9 innings of work! Despite having solid overall numbers on the season, Oswalt has been roughed up in five of his last ten starts. We believe the fade is on for Oswalt right now and that it may take him some time to “settle in” with the Philles after getting hammered in each of his last two starts with the Astros. Note that Oswalt is facing a Nationals team that has scored an average of 4.7 runs per game in their last 9 games. Considering that we’re working with a low total here that 4.7 average is nothing to sneeze at!
The Phillies bats have also been hot. They’ve averaged 5.8 runs per game in their last 8 games and that has helped lead the way to an 8-game winning streak that Philadelphia carries into this match-up. We don’t expect the Phils to slow down either! The Phillies are averaging 11.3 hits per game during this hot streak and they should have no trouble with the offerings of Craig Stammen. The Nationals right-hander faced Philadelphia in each of his first two starts this season and the results were atrocious. Stammen walked away with a 15.63 ERA and a .485 BAA in his two starts versus the Phillies this season. Also, Stammen comes into this start having allowed four earned runs or more in 6 of his last 11 starts. In his last nine starts the Nats right-hander has given up 60 hits in 50.2 innings of work. He’s very hittable and he’s facing red-hot Phillies lineup tonight. The Phils are 10-7 to the over this season when they enter a game with a winning streak of three games or more in progress. Additionally, the Phillies are 14-10 to the over the last three seasons when they are a road favorite of -150 to -175.

As for the Nationals, when facing a team with a winning record they are 8-5 to the over in the 2nd half of this season. As you can see, the Nats have been doing a better job of scoring runs against good teams since we’ve got past the midway point of the season. However, the trouble for the Nats has been stopping the opposition from scoring runs too! Recently the Nationals have benefited from getting some good outings from their starting pitchers but, with Stammen on the mound tonight, we certainly don’t see that continuing. In Stammen’s last 9 starts, only 1 of them has stayed under the total! As for Oswalt, even though he was pitching for the offensively challenged Astros, six of his last ten starts have gone over the total. Now, with the powerful Phillies offense backing him, look for a bigger “over trend” to develop and that starts tonight! Play OVER the total in Washington as a *10* Top Play selection.



Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees @ 7:10 ET: Davis vs Hughes – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


Since reaching the midway point of the season, the Yankees are 5-0 to the over when facing teams with a winning record on the season. Also, with yesterday’s over winner, the Yanks are now 32-16 to the over this season when the posted total on their game is 9 or 9.5 runs. Also, on the road with a money line of -100 to -125, the Yankees are 7-3 to the over this season. The Yanks are also 21-11 to the over against AL East opponents and a perfect 3-0 to the over in games played in domes this season! The Rays are 23-14 to the over against divisional opponents this season. Tampa Bay is also 27-16 to the over this season when facing a team with a winning record on the season. The Rays, when Wade Davis starts, have mostly been an “under team” but note that they are 4-2 to the over when Davis is on the mound and Tampa Bay is the underdog in the match-up. Additionally, the Yankees are an amazing 12-3 to the over in the last 15 starts that Phil Hughes has made.

The Yanks Hughes is 12-3 on the season and, of course, that is a very impressive record. However, the right-hander has allowed 32 earned runs on 58 hits in his last 47.2 innings of work. As you can see, Hughes is not only getting hit hard over his last 8 starts, he’s also compiled a 6.04 ERA during this nearly two month stretch of work! In other words, his impressive full season numbers are masking the fact that he really hasn’t been pitching all that well of late. In fact, Hughes has given up 11 homers in his last 7 starts spanning just 41.2 innings of work. That’s an average of a homer every 4 innings and he is likely to continue to get pounded here by a Rays team that has averaged 5.5 runs per game in their last 22 games. As for the Yankees, their offense has also been red hot as they’ve averaged 6.3 runs per game in their last 22 games! In fact, the Yanks are on a 9-4-1 run to the over entering this game.

The Yankees certainly should have no trouble with the offerings of Davis. The Rays right-hander went on a 2-8 run from early May through the end of June. Even though July has seen the Rays win all four of his starts, he’s still given up 26 hits in his 25.2 innings of work. In other words, he’s been far from dominant and he’s now facing a Yankees team that has pounded him at a .317 clip in his career. In his career, Davis has an ERA in night games that is nearly a full run higher than what he’s produced in day games. With the way these two offenses have been producing of late AND the way they’ve produced in divisional games this season, we feel this total is posted below where it should be and we won’t hesitate to step in and take advantage. Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay as an *8* Regular Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

The Duke's Sports

LA Angels (-120) for 2 Units

The Angels, 9 games behind TX in the AL West, are in dire need of winning this series to gain some ground. We'll look for Ervin Santana to deliver the goods again. He was sharp Saturday holding the Rangers to just 2 ER over 8 innings, and he sports an impressive 1.57 ERA over his last 3 starts. We'll look for his mates to give him the needed run support. The Angels lit up tonight's starter - Tommy Hunter- to the tune of 7 ER in 2 1/3 innings September 28th -- the last time he was in Anaheim. Los Angeles is 5-0 following a day off and 5-0 in Santana's last 5 at home vs a winning team. And Santana is a strong 31-15 vs the ALW. With TX just 2-5 at Anaheim, we'll grab the desperate Angels.