8-3-10

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Re: 8-3-10

JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Tue, 08/03/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 976 TAM (-150) Bookmaker.com vs 975 MIN
Analysis:
Tampa Bay - 150 and Over 8 -115 tonight at 7:10 pm.. The Minny Twins are banged up J. Morneau and J Mauer will not play We note the Twins 8 game win streak snapped last night, Tonight's Rz banger goes to Mighty Rays - 150 with Neihmann and Over 8. The 66-39 Rays need to keep winning and the Rock Neihmann 9-3 over all and a smooth and slick 3.08 ERA will spin another gem tonight and grab the 10th win !! Minny Twins Hurler Duensing is a false 4-1 over all and 1.83 ERA as wins vs.the lowly O's and Royals padded his stats.. The Rays are a smooth + 2.6 run winner on the power ratings and the Twins are 2-10 in their last 12 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, Rays a smooth 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League Central
Over and Tampa Bay strong!!

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Re: 8-3-10

Dan Bebe | MLB Money Line Tue, 08/03/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 976 TAM (-145) BetUS vs 975 MIN
Analysis: Full write-up coming in the morning, but play posted now, as this line is almost undoubtedly headed North!


The gist of the play is that fading a team off an extended win streak is one of my favorite baseball angles. It worked late last week when we took the Nationals at home against the Phillies, who were coming off a long win streak, and it's set to work here!


Tampa is playing outstanding baseball, they showed that they're betting competition than the teams the Twins had been beating on (the Orioles, Royals, and Mariners), took game one with what appeared to be a pitching disadvantage, and now have the edge in almost every facet here in game two.


This side is going to be getting some money, and the line will probably make its way into the 150's, and maybe as high as 160, so let's get down on it now.


I'll add some more on the pitchers in the morning, but suffice it to say that when a team takes a loss to snap a long win streak, which was the case with Minnesota, yesterday, it generally takes more than one night to "re-energize" the batteries, and the Rays can take advantage of that!

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Re: 8-3-10

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Tue, 08/03/10 - 10:10 PM

double-dime bet 979 TEX (-140) Sportbet vs 980 SEA
Analysis:
Lewis has a 0.78ERA in 3 starts v Sea this season. He is holding opponents to a .215BA in 2010 while posting a 1.13WHIP (5ht best in MLB). He now faces a Mariners club that has dropped 7 in a row and has been outscored 45-14 over that span while hitting .212 w just 1HR. Ichiro himself only hit .246 in July. Vargas is tough at home, though, 2.23ERA in 11 starts at SAFECO this season, holding opponents to a .234BA. But he has given up 13E‰R in 19IP lifetime v Tex for a 6.16ERA. And even though Vlad Guerrero is likely to sit this one out, Josh Hamilton will be back in the lineup for Texas. He is the straw that stirs the Rangers lineup. Sabermetrics likes the value here, as well, as Lewis has a 3.68FIP and 3.92xFIP while Vargas has a 3.94FIP and an alarming 4.74xFIP (18th worst in MLB). Alarming, that is, if you’re a Mariners fan or backer. The fade on that is on. -140 is a very nice price at which to grab the Rangers.

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Re: 8-3-10

King Creole | MLB Total Tue, 08/03/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 973 CLE / 974 BOS Over 9.5 BetUS
Analysis:
7:10pm ET / CLEVELAND INDIANS with Huff @ BOSTON RED SOX with Beckett
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

Last night's Game One of this series went OVER... with both teams combining for 11 runs and 24 hits. That makes it 3 STRAIGHT 'Overs' in this Boston / Cleveland series. The Indians come in on current streaks of 4-1-1 O/U as a big road dog of +200 or higher.... 3-0-1 O/U In their last 4 vs right-handed starters.... 4-1-1 O/U vs the AL East... and 26-12-1 O/U after allowing 5+ runs in their previous game. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 14-6-1 O/U in their last 21 roles as a big fav of -200 or greater... 5-0 O/U vs poor starters with a WHIP of > 1.30... and 5-1 O/U vs the AL Central.

Projected pre-game WIND forecasts are to our liking. Anticipated winds are OUT to straightaway Center Field in excess of 15 MPH. We'll also benefi~t from a top-notch 'OVER' Umpire as well. Amongst all full-time "Men in Blue", TIM WELKE is ranked NUMBER ONE in the League in high-scoring results with an overall YTD record of 14-6-2 O/U. That's 70% of his games that have gone OVER in the 2010 season. For the year, he's also gone 7-2 O/U in all American League games... 9-3 O/U in Righty vs Lefty pitching matchups... and 4-1-1 O/U on this particular Day of the Week (Tuesdays). He's picked up this season right where he left off LAST year... when he went 30-16-3 O/U overall. And he's ALWAYS been strong in 'Junior Circuit' games... going 14-5 O/U last year on the AL... and 23-10-2 O/U in the last two seasons.

We also note that Welke has gone 6-1 O/U in all Cleveland Indian games in the last 3 years... and 1-0 O/U in career David Huff starts. In Boston Red Sox games, Welke has gone 2-0 O/U in the same time frame. And he's also gone a PERFECT 2-0 O/U in career Josh Beckett starts in the last 5 years.

David Huff was called up from Triple-A Columbus to make Tuesday's start for the Tribe. He didn't perform very well at the Minor League level as well... with an ERA of 5.62 in his last 4 starts. In the BIGS, his ERA id 6.04 on the year... and even worse on the road (7.51 ERA / .417 opponent team batting average.

Josh Beckett is only two starts removed from his long stint on the DL. For the season, he's gone 3-1 O/U in all home starts (ERA of 7.88). And 'under the lights', his ERA for the year is 7.31 (and 6-2 O/U).

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Re: 8-3-10

power play wins

reds -122

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Re: 8-3-10

Ben lee had the splitz's on Monday losing with the Yankees -$180/Blue Jays and winning with his "Pure Chalk" play on the A's -$220/Royals.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes Buck Showalter's boys the Orioles Pk/Angles.

"Mr Chalk" is 69-49 -$1150 for the 2010 MLB season.

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Re: 8-3-10

BIG MONEY
(MLB 73-45)
OAKLAND

BILL BAILEY
(MLB 70-44)
50* BRAVES

BOBBY CASH
(MLB 111-108)
15* TEXAS
15* UNDER TEXAS

COMPUTER KIDS
(MLB 52-57)
PHILLIES UNDER

DEREK SHARP
(MLB 155-119)
PERSONAL PERCEPTION - YANKEES
HOME STAND - ARIZONA
SECURE SPREAD - PHILLIES -1.5

DIAMOND STAR
(MLB 64-45)
CUBS

DOLPHIN
(MLB 65-67)
3* REDS

EXPERT
(MLB 53-57)
DODGERS

FINAL SCORE
(MLB 70-40)
BREWERS UNDER

GARDEN STATE SPORTS
(MLB 65-46)
3* RAYS

GATOR
(MLB 58-54)
3* WHITE SOX

GUARANTEED
(MLB 59-53)
4* ORIOLES

INSIDERS EDGE
(MLB 63-45)
PADRES

INSIDE STEAM
(MLB 55-55)
ROCKIES

LV INSIDERS
(MLB 60-51)
300* BREWERS

LV LOCKLINE
(MLB 56-53)
25* CUBS

LV SPORTS
(MLB 112-106)
10*PHILLIES -1.5
10* TWINS

NY SPORTS
(MLB 57-57)
7* YANKEES
7* METS UNDER
7* BRAVES

PANAMA CITY SYSTEMATIC
(MLB 56-64)
4* TIGERS (GAME 1)
4* WHITE SOX (GAME 2)

PLATINUM
(MLB 56-57)
PIRATES

POWER PLAYS
(MLB 117-98)
10* BREWERS
10* ANGELS

PRIMETIME
(MLB 50-60)
GIANTS

PROFITABLE SPORTS
(MLB 60-52)
3* INDIANS +1.5

RAIDER
(MLB 63-46)
10* NATIONALS OVER

REED HARRIS
(MLB 53-56)
2* BRAVES

RENO TOTALS
(MLB 64-50)
5* UNDER METS

SILVER STAR
(MLB 55-54)
ASTROS +1.5

SYCAMORE SPORTS
(MLB 55-58)
3* ORIOLES

SPORTS AUTHORITY
(MLB 72-40)
3* CUBS

SPORTS NETWORK
(MLB 96-151)
WHITE SOX (GAME 2)
GIANTS
METS

SUPER LOCK LINE
(MLB 60-52)
TEXAS

SUPER SYSTEMS
(MLB 83-50)
YANKEES
RED SOX

THE SPORTS GURU
(MLB 59-53)
30* PADRES

THE SPORTS COMMISSIONER
(MLB 65-48)
3* NATIONALS OVER

TIPPS
(MLB 188-108 ~ 20* 11-2)
10* RED SOX
10* YANKEES
10* PHILLIES
10* OAKLAND

TJ FILLINGHAM
(MLB 58-52)
7* BREWERS

TOP DAWG
(MLB 48-67)
METS

TRU-LINE
(MLB 68-45)
PHILLIES

VEGAS CONNECTION
(MLB 68-43)
GIANTS

VEGAS PIPELINE
(MLB 55-51)
CUBS

WIZARD
(MLB 54-54)
ANGELS

JON STARZ SPORTS EXCHANGE
(MLB 43-52)
1* ROYALS +1.60

EZ WINNERS
(MLB 163-223 ~ 5* 5-10 ~ 10* 1-0)
10* PARLAY - RED SOX + CARDS
3* DODGERS

LARRY NESS
(MLB 145-126)
9* CLUB 80 - YANKEES
8* WEEKLY WIPEOUT - TEXAS

BEN BURNS
(MLB 159-116)
10* ARIZONA

BENJAMIN LEE ECKSTEIN
(MLB 66-48)
ORIOLES

MTi
(MLB 12-37 Last 49)
4* MARLINS
4* WHITE SOX GAME 1

TEDDY COVERS
(MLB 106-62)
10* BREWERS OVER

AAA SPORTS
(MLB 51-34)
3* ROCKIES OVER

STEVE MERRIL
(MLB 120-116)
5* RAYS
3* ARIZONA

MATT FARGO
(MLB 73-107)
5* ANGELS
4* METS OVER
4* PADRES

MIKE ROSE
(MLB 84-109 ~ 5* 1-12)
MLB PASSING AGAIN
HE IS DONE DESTROYING PEOPLE FOR BASEBALL

ROCKETMAN
(MLB 72-53)
PASSING

MIKE LINEBACK
(MLB 91-71) (5* 2-1)
3* OPINION - ANGELS OVER
3* OPINION - METS UNDER
3* OPINION - MARLINS
3* OPINION - RAYS

AL DeMARCO
10* CARDS -1.5
5* ARIZONA
5* ORIOLES
5* ROCKIES

DAVE COKIN
SOLID GOLD - CUBS
TOP PLAY - PADRES

MICHAEL CANNON
20 DIME - PADRES
10 DIME - GIANTS

NSA
20* TEXAS
20* YANKEES
20* BRAVES

SCOTT RICKENBACH
10* OVER RAYS

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Re: 8-3-10

David Malinsky

4* MILWAUKEE over CHICAGO CUBS

The chance to take some loose change with the better team, better starting pitcher and much-better positioned bullpen is impossible to pass up in this one, as the floundering Cubs sink deeper into a season of huge disappointment. But we will have to sit back patiently as the edges unfold, since it is the latter stages of the game where we get this one.

There is nothing special to say about Chris Narveson and the Milwaukee bullpen, except that Narveson is more than functional at this price point, and the relief corps does not bring a single fatigue rating. For Narveson the key is to throw strikes, and in 17 IP over three starts since the All Star break he has only issued two W’s. That helps to keep the Brewers in the game while their bats gradually bring it home.

Lou Piniella will return to Chicago today after missing Monday’s game to attend a funeral in Florida, but he will not likely be in any hurry. His team has been out-scored by 46 runs in a current 0-5 slide, and the pitching is simply a mess. Now it is up to journeyman Minor Leaguer Thomas Diamond to get his first start, at the age of 27, and he is not in the right place at the right time for this setting. Diamond is more of a middle reliever being tried in a starter’s role, averaging only 5.1 IP per start at the AAA level, and his four July starts lasted only 17 frames. Now he is being asked to eat a big chunk of innings to salve the wounds from a bullpen that is bleeding badly, and that is not his game.

Where does Piniella turn after Diamond tonight? You certainly scratch Casey Coleman (63 pitches last night), Brian Schlitter (44), and Justin Berg (24 last night, off of a full inning at Colorado on Sunday). Carlos Zambrano is a no-go after working both Saturday and Sunday, including 53 pitches in the latter, and they may be holding him back for a start anyway. James Russell would be a reach, 27 pitches on Friday and 46 more on Sunday. Andrew Cashner threw 18 on Friday and 25 on Sunday, yet becomes one of the freshest options available. It leaves basically Sean Marshall, who threw 22 pitches on Friday and 18 on Saturday, as the only one near a clean fatigue rating from the middle relief corps, and of course Carlos Marmol if they can patch the game to that point, which we doubt. After what had been an under-achieving Milwaukee offense got a confidence boosting breakout last night (seven different Brewers had multiple hits), the door is wide open for plenty of good swings once again.

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Re: 8-3-10

Al DeMarco

10 Dime St Louis -1.5
5 Dime Arizona
5 Dime Baltimore
5 Dime Colorado

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Re: 8-3-10

KIKI SPORTS

2 Units Atlanta -135

1 Unit Colorado -134

1 Unit LA Dodgers -105

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Re: 8-3-10

Bruce Marshall

Rangers at Mariners
Pick: Rangers -1.5

With Josh Hamilton expected back in the lineup tonight, look for the Rangers' offense to reawaken and do some serious damage this evening in Seattle. Starter Colby Lewis could use a bit of run support after getting very little in his last two starts, but note he has domianted the Mariners this season, posting a 2-0 mark and microscopic 0.78 ERA in three starts vs. Don Wakamatsu's club. As for Seattle, it enters on a 7-game losing streak, its season deteriorating even further as the season progresses. The Mariners have been outscored 45-14 in their current 7-game losing streak and have been outscored 62-22 while losing all eight this season vs. Texas, which recorded a sweep in its last visit to Safeco Field April 30-May 2. Play Rangers on Run Line

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Re: 8-3-10

Spartan 8/3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas

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Re: 8-3-10

Jeff Benton

20 DIME NEW YORK YANKEES

10 DIME NEW YORK METS


Yankees

The Blue Jays, who knocked off the Yankees last night 8-6, have yet to win consecutive games at new Yankee Stadium. Meanwhile, New York – which is 34-17 in the Bronx – has lost as many as two in a row at home just three times all season. On top of that, the Yankees, who have lost their last two games to Tampa Bay (Sunday) and Toronto, haven’t dropped three in a row since June 16-18 in interleague play (a stretch of 38 games). And they haven’t lost three in a row to American League opponents since May 18-20.

So that right there tells you the odds are heavily in New York’s favor tonight. What also favors the Yankees here is the pitching matchup. Toronto lefty Ricky Romero has had a very strong season when pitching in Canada, where he’s 5-2 with a 2.18 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP and 65 strikeouts in 66 innings. Take him south of the border and it’s a completely different story, as he’s 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA, a 1.57 WHIP and 59 strikeouts in 72 innings.


Romero’s worst and shortest road outing of the season? You guessed it: at Yankee Stadium on July 3, when he yielded eight runs on seven hits in 2 2/3 innings of an 11-3 loss. For his career, he’s 1-2 with a 6.91 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP (47 baserunners in 27 1/3 innings) in five starts against the Bronx Bombers. Going back to Sept. 3 of last season, he’s faced the Yankees three times and surrendered 17 runs (15 earned) in 15 innings.

Clearly the Yankees – who are batting .292 against southpaws at home this season and .324 against lefties over their last 10 games – have figured out Romero. And I don’t expect anything different tonight. As for New York’s Dustin Moseley, he was terrific in his first start of the season on Thursday at Cleveland, giving up just one run, four hits and two walks in six innings, earning an 11-4 victory. That came on the heels of a stellar 4 2/3-inning relief appearance against Kansas City on June 24 (he faced 16 batters and yielded just one hit and one walk).

Take away one pour outing against Tampa Bay (four runs in three innings), and the right-hander has allowed just two runs and six hits in 13 2/3 innings with New York. Also, he has three career appearances (one start) against Toronto, and he’s allowed just two runs in eight innings (2.25 ERA).

Despite last night’s result, New York is still on positive runs of 18-8 overall, 75-27 at home, 6-0 against left-handed starters and 56-26 against A.L. East foes. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have dropped eight of 10 as an underdog in any venue, 13 of 17 as a road underdog, five of Romero’s last seven starts overall, six of his last eight road starts and five straight when he takes the mound as an underdog.


Mets

Obviously, the Mets aren’t playing very good baseball right now, having lost 16 of their last 22 games, including three of four to the Braves. But then again, Atlanta isn’t exactly red hot either, as it is just 5-7 in its last 12 contests and 8-9 since the All-Star break. Also, despite the Braves’ recent run of success in this rivalry, they’re still 4-5 against the Mets this season.

But more than anything what has me on the Mets today is the fact they have a big edge on the mound. The numbers don’t lie: Knuckleballer R.A. Dickey is 7-4 with a 2.32 ERA in 14 starts for the Mets, and that includes a 2.81 ERA on the road. Atlanta’s Derek Lowe is 10-9 with a 4.58 ERA overall, including a 4.15 ERA at home and a 5.27 ERA in night games.

When you look at recent form, Dickey outshines Lowe by a mile. He posted a 1.51 ERA in six July starts, giving up just seven earned runs, 33 hits and nine walks in 41 2/3 innings. In his last six starts dating to June 29, Lowe has a 5.03 ERA, yielding 19 runs, 40 hits and 12 walks in 34 innings. What’s more, the Braves have lost six of Lowe’s last seven starts, producing just 12 runs total in the six defeats. And Lowe is not only 0-2 against New York this season (3-2 home loss; 3-0 road loss), he’s gotten plastered in his last five starts against the Mets, allowing 18 runs in 23 innings.

Atlanta has not had consecutive victories on consecutive days since prior to the All-Star break, and in addition to going 1-6 in Lowe’s last seven outings, the Braves have lost his last five starts against N.L. East rivals. Meanwhile, the Mets, for whatever reason, have excelled on Tuesdays, going 12-3 dating back to mid April.

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Re: 8-3-10

Indian Cowboy

6 units Over 161 Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream

4 units New York Liberty +7.5 over Indiana Fever

4 units Seattle Storm -12 over Tulsa Shock

4 units Take Under 7 Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners

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Re: 8-3-10

Picktherightbet / J.W. Leonard

San Diego ML -105