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Re: 8-9-10
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 6* (Regular Play) St Louis Money Line (-) @ Cincinnati @ 7:10 ET: Carpenter vs Leake – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Chris Carpenter has won eight straight starts against the Reds and compiled a 1.09 ERA during this dominance of Cincinnati. Also, Carpenter enters this start on a role as he’s gone 3-0 in his last five starts overall and he’s compiled a 1.64 ERA in those games. While the Reds do come into this series on a hot streak, there are two key components that must be considered. One is that Cincy has been beating up on the downtrodden Cubs and Pirates in their most recent series. The other key component is that Mike Leake is taking the mound for the Reds tonight and the right-hander has lost each of his last two starts while compiling a 7.94 ERA. Keep in mind, this is no fluke for Leake as we feel the fade is on. Yes, he had a great start to the season and thru early June his numbers looked fantastic. However, there often comes a point where the league catches up with a rookie hurler and that is precisely what has happened here.
The Reds right-hander has allowed 36 earned runs on 68 hits in his last 53 innings of work. As you can see from those numbers, he’s been very hittable and his 6.11 ERA during this stretch certainly does not lie. Look for him to get hammered again here as the Cardinals are hell-bent on tightening up the race in the NL Central Division. Note that the Cardinals are 36-22 in August games the last three seasons. Also, the Cards are 9-2 in Monday games this season. Additionally, note that the Reds are just 41-59 the last three seasons when facing a team with a winning record in the second half of a season. With a huge pitching edge for the Cardinals, and line value since the Cards are on the road, this is the perfect spot to fade the Reds at a value price. Still, since we don’t often play favorites (even in this attractive range) we will hold down our rating on this one in what is a super spot to back to the Cardinals. Play St Louis on the money line as a *6* Regular Play selection on Monday night.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Baltimore vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:05 ET: Matusz vs Jackson – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Each of the three games in this series have stayed under the total but we look for that to change with Monday’s pitching match-up. Edwin Jackson gets the ball for the White Sox and he’s facing an Orioles team that is playing with a renewed sense of urgency and passion as they continue to win ball games since Buck Showalter took over as manager. Jackson came to the White Sox from Arizona and he had the infamous 8-walk no-hitter while with the Diamondbacks. That was back on June 25th. However, look at what he’s done since then. In the month of July, Jackson went 1-4 with a 7.24 ERA as he got hammered at a .330 clip by opposing hitters. Even though Jackson’s first start as a member of the White Sox (and his only start so far in August) saw him allow just one earned run, do note that Jackson gave up 9 hits in his 7 innings of work. Overall, Jackson has a 4.76 ERA this season and he’s been hit at a .276 clip. Again, most recently, he’s proven to be even more hittable.
Look for Jackson to get hit hard again here but, the good news for ChiSox fans is that their sticks should show plenty of life against the struggling Brian Matusz of Baltimore. The Orioles southpaw is coming off of a win against the Angels in his most recent start but he did allow 7 hits in his 6 innings of work and it was a rare victory for him. Matusz had previously recorded just one win since April 19th! Needless to say it’s been a rough and frustrating season for Matusz and that includes his recent stretch before the win over the Angels. Matusz had given up 18 earned runs in just 13 innings of work spanning four very rough starts. In those four starts he walked 13 as well as got hit very hard. Just because he had one good start against a struggling Angels club, it certainly does not mean that all is well for the southpaw. We look for him to struggle here and we point out that righties have hit Matusz 35 points higher than lefties in his career. He will face a White Sox team that is loaded with right-handed pop in their lineup.
Additionally, note that Jackson’s last start stayed under the total but, with his prior team, he was on an 8-1 run to the over in his last 9 starts as a member of Arizona. Also, Jackson’s team is 3-0 to the over this season when he gets the starts and is opposed by a southpaw. As for the Orioles with Matusz on the mound, note that Baltimore has not recorded a single under in any of his last five starts. A 4-0-1 run to the over. That means we’ve got a combined 7-0-1 (100%) streak in favor of the over that is on the line here. We’ll gladly test that with this pitching match-up as well as how well each of these teams has been playing. Both lineups step to the plate with plenty of confidence in this one. Play OVER the total in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 6* (Regular Play) St Louis Money Line (-) @ Cincinnati @ 7:10 ET: Carpenter vs Leake – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Chris Carpenter has won eight straight starts against the Reds and compiled a 1.09 ERA during this dominance of Cincinnati. Also, Carpenter enters this start on a role as he’s gone 3-0 in his last five starts overall and he’s compiled a 1.64 ERA in those games. While the Reds do come into this series on a hot streak, there are two key components that must be considered. One is that Cincy has been beating up on the downtrodden Cubs and Pirates in their most recent series. The other key component is that Mike Leake is taking the mound for the Reds tonight and the right-hander has lost each of his last two starts while compiling a 7.94 ERA. Keep in mind, this is no fluke for Leake as we feel the fade is on. Yes, he had a great start to the season and thru early June his numbers looked fantastic. However, there often comes a point where the league catches up with a rookie hurler and that is precisely what has happened here.
The Reds right-hander has allowed 36 earned runs on 68 hits in his last 53 innings of work. As you can see from those numbers, he’s been very hittable and his 6.11 ERA during this stretch certainly does not lie. Look for him to get hammered again here as the Cardinals are hell-bent on tightening up the race in the NL Central Division. Note that the Cardinals are 36-22 in August games the last three seasons. Also, the Cards are 9-2 in Monday games this season. Additionally, note that the Reds are just 41-59 the last three seasons when facing a team with a winning record in the second half of a season. With a huge pitching edge for the Cardinals, and line value since the Cards are on the road, this is the perfect spot to fade the Reds at a value price. Still, since we don’t often play favorites (even in this attractive range) we will hold down our rating on this one in what is a super spot to back to the Cardinals. Play St Louis on the money line as a *6* Regular Play selection on Monday night.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Baltimore vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:05 ET: Matusz vs Jackson – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Each of the three games in this series have stayed under the total but we look for that to change with Monday’s pitching match-up. Edwin Jackson gets the ball for the White Sox and he’s facing an Orioles team that is playing with a renewed sense of urgency and passion as they continue to win ball games since Buck Showalter took over as manager. Jackson came to the White Sox from Arizona and he had the infamous 8-walk no-hitter while with the Diamondbacks. That was back on June 25th. However, look at what he’s done since then. In the month of July, Jackson went 1-4 with a 7.24 ERA as he got hammered at a .330 clip by opposing hitters. Even though Jackson’s first start as a member of the White Sox (and his only start so far in August) saw him allow just one earned run, do note that Jackson gave up 9 hits in his 7 innings of work. Overall, Jackson has a 4.76 ERA this season and he’s been hit at a .276 clip. Again, most recently, he’s proven to be even more hittable.
Look for Jackson to get hit hard again here but, the good news for ChiSox fans is that their sticks should show plenty of life against the struggling Brian Matusz of Baltimore. The Orioles southpaw is coming off of a win against the Angels in his most recent start but he did allow 7 hits in his 6 innings of work and it was a rare victory for him. Matusz had previously recorded just one win since April 19th! Needless to say it’s been a rough and frustrating season for Matusz and that includes his recent stretch before the win over the Angels. Matusz had given up 18 earned runs in just 13 innings of work spanning four very rough starts. In those four starts he walked 13 as well as got hit very hard. Just because he had one good start against a struggling Angels club, it certainly does not mean that all is well for the southpaw. We look for him to struggle here and we point out that righties have hit Matusz 35 points higher than lefties in his career. He will face a White Sox team that is loaded with right-handed pop in their lineup.
Additionally, note that Jackson’s last start stayed under the total but, with his prior team, he was on an 8-1 run to the over in his last 9 starts as a member of Arizona. Also, Jackson’s team is 3-0 to the over this season when he gets the starts and is opposed by a southpaw. As for the Orioles with Matusz on the mound, note that Baltimore has not recorded a single under in any of his last five starts. A 4-0-1 run to the over. That means we’ve got a combined 7-0-1 (100%) streak in favor of the over that is on the line here. We’ll gladly test that with this pitching match-up as well as how well each of these teams has been playing. Both lineups step to the plate with plenty of confidence in this one. Play OVER the total in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play selection.
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