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My free play streak is now at five in a row after the Dolphins went into Jacksonville and scored the one-point win against the Jaguars on Saturday night. Tonight, I am back on the gridiron for another comp play as I go with the Niners at home to win and cover against the Vikings.
It’s been a media circus around the Vikings all week since the ageless Brett Favre made his return to the Vikings for his second year with Minnesota. He came back on a plane followed by the media on Tuesday and was at practice the rest of the week, but second-year RB/WR Percy Harvin was sent to the hospital on Thursday after a seizure on the field due to migraine headaches.
Distractions too numerous to overcome and get real football practice in for the Vikings this week.
The Niners got outstanding play from their backups in Indy last week, winning 37-17 and getting 34 points from the backup QBs. Now it’s time for starting QB Alex Smith to lead the first-team offense down the field a few times for scores. He’ll likely play most of the first half and should be able to produce at least 10 points. Then I really like the backups and the effort they showed and the experience they have with QB David Carr.
I’ll lay the chalk and go with San Francisco in this one.
San Diego is 73-48 overall this year and leads the NL west division. Milwaukee has a 58-64 overall on the season. San Diego is 14-5 this year when playing on Sunday. San Diego is 23-12 this year against left handed starters. San Diego is 71-47 overall on grass this year. San Diego is 26-13 this year in day games. San Diego bullpen has a 2.85 ERA overall this year and a 3.21 ERA on the road this season. Milwaukee bullpen has a 5.09 ERA at home this year. Jon Garland is 12-8 with a 3.19 ERA in all starts this year and 2-1 with a 0.90 ERA his last 3 starts. Manny Parra is 3-9 with a 5.36 ERA overall this year. Garland is 2-0 with a 1.77 ERA overall vs Milwaukee since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on San Diego today
50* Play Florida (-190) over Houston
Game starts at 1:10 PM EST
Florida has won 5 consecutive games and they have also won 8 of the last 9 games vs. Houston at home. Ricky Nolasco has won 7 of the last 9 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has also won 14 of the last 18 games after allowing one run or less in his last outing.
Detroit has won 13 of the last 16 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games vs. Cleveland at home. Justin Verlander has won 12 of the last 13 day home games and he has also won 18 of the last 23 games when pitching on a Sunday.
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