8-28-10

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Re: 8-28-10

Arthur Ralph Sports
501 - 370 run 58 %

Free play Sat: RED SOX + 115

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Re: 8-28-10

Gamblers Data

SATURDAY
Padres over 7.5 -110

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Re: 8-28-10

RW Sports 111-119.5-19.5 (3-7)

Premiere League

spurs - wigan, spurs -1.75, 1.91 @ Pinnacle

blackburn - arsenal, 1st half: draw, 2.38 @ eurobet

blackburn - arsenal, total goals: 2-3, 2 @ bet365

blackpool - fulham, fulham +0, 1.69 @ Pinnacle

blackpool - fulham, over 2.5, 2.01 @ Pinnacle

England Championship

derby - qpr, qpr +0, 1.8 @ bwin

ipswich - bristol city, ipswich, 1.91 @ Pinnacle

millwall - coventry, millwall, 1.95 @ boylesports

sheffield utd - preston, sheffield utd, 1.95 @ victorchandler


Spanish Primera

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Re: 8-28-10

KYLE HUNTER

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Total
7½ over

*3 Star Free Play Total* Barry Zito has been struggling of late, and the Arizona Diamondbacks have always given him trouble. The over is 3-0-1 in Zito's last four starts against Arizona. The over is 4-1 in the Diamondbacks last 5 road games. Daniel Hudson has been amazing for Arizona, but I think he is due for an off start. The Giants bats have been heating up in a big way over the last week or two. The over is 4-0 in the Giants last four home games. The wind is expected to be blowing straight out at 15 mph or more during the game. Given that both teams are hitting well, I think the over is a great value at 7.5 here.

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Re: 8-28-10

Bobby Maxwell
Free play

I just delivered a FREE winner on the gridiron on Friday night when the Saints scored a win and cover over the Chargers in New Orleans. Tonight, I'll hand you another NFL comp winner as I go with the Jaguars on the road in Tampa Bay.

Admittedly, Jacksonville has not looked good this preseason, playing poorly on both sides of the ball. But don’t you know coach Jack Del Rio has been all over these guys for their effort the last week and they will come out tonight against the Bucs and make some things happen?

QB David Garrard has been criticized heavily this exhibition season as backup Luke McCown has looked just as good as the starter, if not better. And the running game has been non-existent so far, managing just 68 total yards in two games, against the Eagles and Dolphins. Some injuries on the O-line are partly to blame for the low number, but that should improve tonight with the return of tackles Eugene Monroe and Eben Britton.

And expect Del Rio to put an emphasis on the running game against Tampa Bay tonight as he is a “run first” kind of coach. RB Maurice Jones-Drew is healthy for this one and should get between 5 and 8 carries and backup Rashad Jennings will get a nice long look in this one.

The Jags have made some moves to try and strengthen their defense with Rod Wilson coming in with his 36 NFL games under his belt with the Bears and Bucs.

Tampa has backup QB Josh Johnson playing tonight’s contest with starter Josh Freeman sidelined with his broken thumb. Johnson went 0-4 in his opportunities as a starter last season and completed just 54 percent of his throws. He did complete 6-of-10 passes for 113 yards and a TD against the Chiefs last week but his inconsistency will show up against the hungry Jags defense.

I’ve been a fan of Del Rio’s since he took over the Jacksonville team and think he will get that team straightened out and headed in the right direction this season. They are farther along than the Bucs and they’ll win tonight’s Florida battle by two TDs. Play the Jags.
2? JACKSONVILLE

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Re: 8-28-10

Scott Delaney
Free play

First Eli Manning got blasted in the forehead during the annual Giants-Jets game, which this season took place in Week 1 of the exhibition campaign, rather than this week; then he sat out so the stitches could heal better, and the wound wouldn't get irritated with a helmet on.

Now he's taking the field in what is supposed to be dress rehearsal, but against one of the most aggressive defenses in the league.

And quite frankly, I don't believe the Giants have had enough continuity this preseason, and will be ready this week with their starting rotation, which normally is supposed to play about three quarters.

I know Manning is a Super Bowl MVP and veteran in this league, but he still needs his reps, and he simply hasn't gotten them so far. Not like he should have.

And then you have backup Jim Sorgi, who is sidelined due to a shoulder injury, and he's still listed as out. That means third- stringer Rhett Bomar will
take the bulk of the second- half snaps.

Additional injuries leave me convinced this team isn't ready to tangle with a Ravens defense that has allowed a mere 7.5 points per game in the preseason.

Love the Ravens here.
2? BALTIMORE

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Re: 8-28-10

Stephen Nover Comp

I cashed my last free preseason selection taking the underdog Oakland Raiders last week against the Chicago Bears. Tonight I'm backing another underdog - the New York Giants against Baltimore.

The Ravens actually opened a touchdown favorite against the Giants. But with word out that Eli Manning would play the line has dropped down to Baltimore minus 4. Anything above a field goal still is decent value with the Giants.

The Giants are treating this game as their dress rehersal. Manning suffered a 3-inch cut on his left side of his forehead two weeks ago against the Jets. But he practiced this week after missing last week's game and is ready to go. Manning has been fitted with a special helmet and should play at least the first half.

The Ravens are overrated right now. They are averaging 20 points in their two preseson games. Their offense has yet to really click. They have offensive line injuries and their defensive backfield is extremely vulnerable due to injuries. Manning and his host of underrated wide receivers can take advantage.

Rhett Bomar probably will play the rest of the game when Manning departs. He's not a great quarterback by any means. But he did get valuable game experience last week playing the entire game against a tough Steelers defense with Manning and backup Jim Sorgi both out.

Bomar was a respectable 13-for-26 for 167 yards against Pittsburgh. He should be able to keep the Giants within the spread when the reserves finish the contest.
4? N.Y. GIANTS

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Re: 8-28-10

Karl Garrett Comp

G-Man with a Friday comp play winner on the Phillies +125.

For Saturday night in the NFL look for the Seattle Seahawks to stay inside of the generous impost at Minnesota.

The Vikings have a boatload of issues they are working through right now, as Brett Favre has played just one series thus far this preseason, and his favorite targets of Rice and Harvin are both sidelined.

This is Minnesota's home opener this preseason, and you have a case of an "inlfated" line being thrown out there by the linemakers.

Seattle has gotten some positive reps in this preseason for both Matt Hasselbeck and Charlie Whitehurst, and they do own a phenomenal 20-7 spread mark on week three of the preseason their last 27.

A closer look shows the Seahawks at 6-1 the last 7 years when playing game three in the month of August.

Minnesota did clobber Seattle during the regular season last year at the Metrodome, so look for Seattle to save a little face in this preseason affair.

G-Man grabbing the points as Seattle keeps it close.
1? SEATTLE

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Re: 8-28-10

Stephen Nover Comp

I am now on a 61-40-2 run with my baseball free picks, after my hot streak continued last night with the underdog Orioles beating the Angels. Tonight I'm going to lay the favored Yankees on the road against the Chicago White Sox.

Only four times all season have the Yankees lost three games in a row. Don't look for it to happen a fifth time. The proud Yankees will be in a bounce back mode after being embarrassed by the White Sox last night.

The price is fair enough to back CC Sabathia, the American League leader in wins and winning percentage. Sabathia hasn't given up more than three earned runs in a game since May 29. He is 15-4 lifetime against the White Sox.

White Sox starter John Danks has been good, but he's not in Sabathia's elite level. Danks has allowed at least five earned runs during three of his past 10 starts. He has just one win this month. Danks has a 5.48 career ERA versus New York.

The White Sox bullpen is extremely vulnerable. Bobby Jenks has worked once in the last seven days and Matt Thornton, who leads AL relievers in strikeouts, and J.J. Putz both are on the DL.

There's a huge class difference between these two teams. The Yankees' powerful AL East Division is 44 games above .500 versus non-division foes. The White Sox's AL Central Division is 14 games under .500 against non-division opponents. The Yankees are 45-18 in their last 63 games versus AL Central foes.

Since July 4, the White Sox have played only 11 games against teams with a winning record going 4-7. Class will prevail here. That means Sabathia and the Yankees.

2? N.Y. YANKEES

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Re: 8-28-10

Great Lakes Sports
Free play

New York Giants at Baltimore
Play: Baltimore Ravens

The Baltimore Ravens are a perfect 2-0 ATS overall this year, and the Baltimore Ravens is an outstanding 3-0 ATS where the total is between 35.5 to 38 points last three years. The New York Giants are a terrible 0-3 ATS when playing on Saturday's the last three years, and the New York Giants are a dismal 1-4 ATS when playing with six or less days rest. We look for the Baltimore Ravens to roll over the New York Giants and grab the home ATS Win & Cover tonight.

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Re: 8-28-10

Cincinnati Kid
Free play

CIN -3 vs BUF

Bengals and Bills collide on the pre-season gridiron this evening...Buffalo off the north-of-the-border win last week in Canada facing Cincy entering off BB SU wins...Bengals qualify as a Playoff Virgin (clubs who made the playoffs the previous year and were spectators the year prior) and these clubs are an astounding 16-2 ATS vs. clubs off a DD SU win during the 2000 decade...in this role the Fav is 9-1 and the Dog is 7-1...and when facing a .500 or better club the tally is 11-1 ATS. Playoff Virgins are 9-2 ATS when playing off BB home games and they are 4-1 off a SU win playing into DBL revenge...home teams are 28-50 ATS facing clubs off BB SU wins...in Week 3 they are 9-24 ATS in the same roll including 0-7 ATS L7 games...

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Re: 8-28-10

TRENDS

CLEVELAND at DETROIT, 5:30 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 15-9 ATS after 1+ SU losses
DETROIT: 0-8 ATS after a 2 game road trip

CINCINNATI at BUFFALO, 6:30 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 11-2 ATS Away against conference opponents
BUFFALO: 3-10 ATS at home when the total is 35 or less

JACKSONVILLE at TAMPA BAY, 7:30 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 8-0 ATS Away in week 4 of the preseason
TAMPA BAY: 6-1 Under after gaining 6+ yards/play

NY GIANTS at BALTIMORE, 7:30 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 3-13 ATS in week 4 of the preseason
BALTIMORE: 7-1 Under in non-conference games

DALLAS at HOUSTON, 8:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 14-34 ATS when the total is between 35.5 and 42
HOUSTON: 10-2 Under at home after 1+ SU losses

SEATTLE at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
SEATTLE: 11-2 ATS after a loss by 6 or less
MINNESOTA: 4-1 Over after a 2 game road trip

TENNESSEE at CAROLINA, 8:00 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 15-5 ATS as a road underdog
CAROLINA: 0-6 ATS in all games

ARIZONA at CHICAGO, 8:30 PM ET
ARIZONA: 1-4 ATS after a non-conference game
CHICAGO: 5-1 Over as a favorite

SAN FRANCISCO at OAKLAND, 9:00 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 8-0 UNDER Away after 2+ SU wins
OAKLAND: 7-0 UNDER at home after allowing 17 or less in BB games

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Re: 8-28-10

CAPPERS ACCESS
Lions
Texans
Yankees

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Re: 8-28-10

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 37 between the Giants and Baltimore

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Re: 8-28-10

DWAYNE BRYANT
Free play

BOSTON RED SOX +114

* Buchholz owns a 2.23 ERA in 11 road starts this season (Boston is 9-2)
* Buchholz also owns a 1.79 ERA & 1.08 WHIP in 16 nighttime starts this season (Boston is 13-3)
* Buchholz owns a 1.93 ERA in 6 career starts against the Rays
* Garza owns a 3.95 ERA in 19 nighttime starts this season (Rays are just 10-9)
* Garza owns an 11.25 ERA & 2.38 WHIP in 2 home starts against Boston this season
* The Red Sox are 7-0 in Buchholz's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record
* The Red Sox are 6-0 in Buchholz's last 6 starts as a road underdog
* Over their last 5 games, the Rays are averaging 3.5 runs per game against righties
* Over their last 5 games, Boston is averaging 4.9 runs per game against righties
* Boston's bullpen owns a 0.00 ERA & .098 BAA in their last 5 games