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Re: 9-12-10
GAMBLERS DATA
Titans -6
GAMBLERS DATA
Titans -6
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Re: 9-12-10
BENTON
Sunday's Action
50 DIME selection on the DALLAS COWBOYS over the Redskins in the Sunday night primetime NFL game. The Cowboys are laying 3½ points on the road, and you know I’m a big beliaver in not getting “hooked” on key numbers like 3, 4 and 7. Because of that, I want you to purechase the half-point and drop the Cowboys from -3½ to -3.
10 DIME selection on the HOUSTON TEXANS over the Colts in early NFL action. Houston is a 1 1/2 to 2-point home underdog both here in Vegas and offshore.
COWBOYS
Let’s start here: The entire NFL community is beyond giddy about Mike Shanahan’s arrival in Washington D.C., and I say rightfully so – I mean, have you seen the list of the Redskins’ recent head coaches? For once, Daniel Snyder hit a home run with a sideline leader. But if we’re going to examine this objectively, it’s important to review what Shanahan did in the first year of his previous head coaching stops.
Here’s what such an examination reveals: In 1988, Shanahan took over a Raiders franchise that was 5-10 the year prior to his arrival (a strike-shortened 1987 season). In his first year, the Raiders went 7-9. An improvement? Sure. A savior? Hardly. Then after being unceremoniously – and inexplicably– dumped by Al Davis after just that one 7-9 season, Shanahan eventually landed in Denver in 1995, when he took over a John Elway-led Broncos program that had gone 7-9 the year prior to his arrival. Well, Shanahan’s first year with the Broncos yielded an 8-8 record – just a one game improvement from the previous year. The three ensuing seasons? Denver went a combined 39-9 in the regular season and won two Super Bowls.
The point? Fans in the nation’s capital should NOT expect immediate miracles with their Redskins. It takes times to turn around an NFL franchise in despair, and while I do believe Shanahan can get the job done eventually, it’s not going to happen overnight. In fact, if you take Shanahan’s first-season results with the Raiders and Broncos and assume a similar impact in Washington, you’re looking at an improvement of one to two games from last year. Which would put the Redskins (4-12 last year) at no better than 6-10.
OK, so the question now becomes this: Do you see one of those six wins coming tonight against Dallas, a legit Super Bowl contender? Clearly, I don’t. First off, forget about the Cowboys’ preseason struggles – they had some injury issues on the offensive line, and there was no way coach Wade Phillips was going to put Pro Bowl QB Tony Romo at unnecessary risk (for once, Phillips made a bright decision). Now that the bullets are flying for real, you’re going to see a Cowboys squad that much more resembles the one that won the NFC East last year by closing the regular season on an 8-3 run, capped by a 24-0 rout of the Eagles in Week 17.
The very next week, Dallas pounded Philadelphia once again in the playoffs, rolling 34-14 as a 3½-point home chalk. Throw in a 20-16 win in Philly in early November, and the Cowboys went 3-0 SU and ATS against the Eagles last year. Surely you’re aware that the Eagles’ quarterback in those three games was Donovan McNabb, who is now guiding the Redskins’ offense. So in three games against the Cowboys last year, McNabb went 0-3 SU and ATS, leading his offense to a grand total of 30 points, including just one touchdown.
Need I remind you that the weapons McNabb had in Philadelphia last year were FAR more explosive than the ones he now has in Washington? Need I also remind you that McNabb missed a bunch of critical training-camp practices (and three preseason games) this summer because of a bum ankle – an ankle this is still far from 100 percent, an ankle that the Cowboys will undoubtedly target tonight with their fierce pass rush?
Bottom line: McNabb and Shanahan instantly upgrade the Redskins’ talent portfolio. But it takes a lot more than an aging former All-Pro quarterback and a coach who has been away from the game for two years to turn chicken crap into chicken soup. And when you consider that Dallas went to D.C. last December and waltzed to a 17-0 win as a 7-point road favorite – outgaining the Redskins 393-208 in winning their third straight in this rivalry – there’s no doubt who the right side is in this contest.
Oh, by the way: The Redskins (3-11 ATS last 14 home games) have mustered up a whopping 16 total points in those three losses to Dallas!
TEXANS
I smell a trap. Stick with me here: The Texans have dropped five of their last six season-openers (all SU and ATS). The Texans faced the Colts 16 times since the Houston franchise was reestablished in 2004, winning exactly once. The Texans are missing a key defense member in linebacker/reigning Defensive Rookie of the Year Brian Cushing (suspended for PEDs), and injuries will force Houston to start a rookie cornerback … against Peyton Manning.
And, despite all this, the Colts are laying less than a field goal today. Why is that? Oh, I don’t know, perhaps because Vegas is trying to entice big Indy money because it knows the right side is the Texans? Well, those suckers who do bet the Colts deserve what they’re about to get, because Houston is winning this football game – in part because it HAS to win it (if ever there was a must-win game in Week 1 of the season, this is it for Houston) and in part because they’re simply a better all-around team.
You read that correctly: The Texans have more talent than Indianapolis. It’s a fact. They just don’t have a Hall of Fame quarterback (but they do have a very good one in Matt Schaub).
Funny thing is Houston has shown many times that it can hang with the Colts – in fact, if football were a 3½-quarter game, the Texans would be much better than 1-15 against Indy. They just need to learn how to close, and now that they’re much more mature than they’ve ever been – and now that the Texans’ improving defensive line can take advantage of a depleted Colts offensive line and pressure Manning consistently – I’m convinced today is the day the Texans come of age.
Two things to keep in mind: 1) Indy has limped out of the gate the last two years, losing 29-13 as a 10-point favorite to the Bears two years ago and barely getting by Jacksonville 14-12 as a seven-point chalk last year (and the Colts were at HOME for both those games); and 2) the Texans have had this game circled the entire offseason – this is their statement game, and they’ll hit the field with even greater intensity than they normally would for a season opener.Comment
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Re: 9-12-10
axiumsports
September 12th 2010
*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*
Current Bankroll=$1,529.18
Pick #19-NFL-
19)Bet 41.96 to win 40.74 on Detroit/Chicago UNDER 44 -103
Pick #20-NFL-
20a)Bet 20.25 to win 18.75 on Arizona/St Louis OVER 39.5 -108
20b)Bet 88.12 to win 81.59 on Arizona/St Louis OVER 39.5 -108
Pick #21-NFL-
21aa)Bet 20.49 to win 18.80 on Dallas/Washington OVER 39.5 -109
21ab)Bet 42.53 to win 39.01 on Dallas/Washington OVER 39.5 -109
21ba)Bet 20.24to win 18.54 on Dallas/Washington OVER 39.5 -109
21bb)Bet 185.05 to win 169.77 on Dallas/Washington OVER 39.5 -109Comment
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Re: 9-12-10
FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
Sunday Baseball
50* Play Atlanta (-235) over St. Louis
Game starts at 8:00 PM EST
Atlanta pitcher, Tim Hudson has won 21 of the last 24 home games when pitching on a Sunday and he is 10-4 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.97. St. Louis pitcher, Kyle Lohse has lost 13 of the last 16 road games and he has also lost 8 of the last 9 games as an underdog of +175 to +250.
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50* Play Cincinnati (-265) over Pittsburgh
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST
Pittsburgh has lost 23 of the last 26 road games when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they have also lost 34 of the last 47 games when playing on a Sunday. Brian Burres has lost 12 consecutive road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he is 1-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 7.77.Comment
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Re: 9-12-10
Wunderdog Sports
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans - Sunday September 12, 2010 1:00 pm
5 units ATS: Indianapolis Colts -1.5 (-110)
The Indianapolis Colts will once again be led by Peyton Manning. What does that mean? Lots of wins. He will again lead a talented team back into the playoffs. Here his team is only asked to lay a couple of points. Again, people are expecting more out of the Texans than they are likely to deliver. Indy went 16-3 last year while the Texans, in a supposed break-out year, went 9-7 and were .500 at home. In division games, they were 1-5! Meanwhile, the Colts are 12-2 vs. conference foes thepast two seasons and 7-1 on the road over that span. I like Peyton and the Colts here.Comment
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Re: 9-12-10
401ksports 30 unit football guarantee day 2
NFL
4* 49ers -3 over seattle (4pm et) Top play
This 49ers team has alot more talent than do the Seahawks who come into this year with 27 new players. That's half the roster and they will also be without their tackle Russell Okung. it just is alot of turnover for a team coming into week #1. The offensive line isn't that strong and your number one wideout is Mike Williams who in the past has shown nothing. The 49ers looked very good in the preseason and coach Singletary wanted to instill that winning attitude right from the preseason. They have lots of talent here and I see them winning the NFC west this season as long as Qb Alex Smith continues getting better. This could be a very good team come the playoffs but for now lets just stick to week #1 and our top play on sunday is the 49ers say lay the points and cash the winner!!!
3* MIAMI -3 over buffalo (1pm et)
The Bills start another season with a new coach and not a whole lot of weapons on offense. They do how ever have a homerun threat in C.J Spiller, but this offensive line is pretty thin. The biggest change for the bills will be running a 3-4 defense instead of the 4-3 they have been running. In a 3-4 you need a nose tackle to take up space and the Bills just don't have it as Kyle Williams is somewhat undersized. I believe the Dolphins will be able to run on this Bills defense which was poor last season. With the new weapons given Qb Henne, I think the Dolphins will start with a win and cover!!
2* PITTSBURGH +105 over atlanta (1pm et)
For everyone who has read my plays in the past then you know I love playing the Steelers at home when they are and underdog. Since Mike Tomlin took over the Steelers are 19-5 SU at home. I know that they have a young Qb Dixon running the team, but that probably is not a bad thing seeing as that the Steeler offensive line needs time to gel. The mobility of Dixon, the fact that he will be in front of the home crowd and this Steelers defense starts the season off healthy will all help the Steelers QB transition easier. The defense ranked #5 last season in total yards allowed and were not healthy like they are here and should put heat on Falcons Qb Ryan. I will back the Steelers at home as a dog everytime now lets just try and cash another winner here!!
MLB
1* Toronto -140 over Tampa bay(1pm)
1* Toronto -1.5 runs +150 - Niemann looks like he has a dead arm right now. Maddon says it is just command. 23 ER in just 10 inn is more than command issues. Niemann hasn't pitched well the last 2 months. I would imagine Jeremy Hellickson will be ready to go after another rough outing. Marcum has been throwing the ball well lately. He had a few rough outings while shaking off the rust after coming off the DL, but now is in fine form. I look for him to pick up where he left off against Tampa 11 days ago when he went 6 inn of 1 ER ball.Comment
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