10-19-08

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

DOC

5 Unit Play. #126 Take Cleveland Browns over Washington Redskins (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS) The Skins got burned last week laying a big number and yet again they are expect to cover around a touchdown spread against the Browns. Cleveland saved their season with a blowout victory on Monday and expect them to follow that up with another outstanding performance on Sunday. The Redskins are still leaning this new offensive system and while I like they can win this game, but will not be by a blowout. Cleveland has weapons with Braylon Edwards to stretch the field and this one will go down to the wire and only be decided by a field goal. Washington 21, Cleveland 20.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

Vegas Sports Experts

VSE NFL Plays for Sunday are:

10* Take Baltimore (+3) over Miami (Power Play)
1:00 PM EST (AFC Power Play of the Year)

Miami
• 0-7 ATS coming off a loss by 6 points or less
• 3-10 ATS in home games when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points
• 1-4 SU vs. AFC North Opponents over the last 5 games
• Averaging only 15 ppg on offense at home this season

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

SEABASS

300 TEN
100 HOU
100 NYG
100 GB
100 CAR/NO OVER
20 Tease BAL/MIA Under & SD/BUF Over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

North Coast Executive Plays

*3' NYG -10'
*3 TEN -9
*3 IND -1

Top Opinions
TB -10
BUF -1
DAL -7
HOU -9'

Totals
CLE/WASH over 42
BAL/MIA under 36'

Phil Steele Plays
*4 NYG -10'
*3 BUF -1
*3 HOU -10'

Dog of the Day
MIN

Sunday Night Marquee
TB-10'

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

NSA
NFL 20* Baltimore +3
NFL 10* Cleveland +7.5
NFL 10* Tennessee -9
NFL 10* NY Giants -10.5
NFL 10* San Diego +1
NFL 10* Green Bay +1.5
MLB 10* Boston -130

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

ASA NFL

Pro Football Picks
10/19/2008
12:00:00 PM BUFFALO BILLS (-1)
over San Diego Chargers
ASA 4-Star # 408 @Buffalo Bills (-1) over San Diego Chargers - 12:00 pm CST

We simply couldn’t ask for a better spot to grab Buffalo and fade the Chargers. The 4-1 Bills have had two full weeks to get ready for this AFC clash. Buffalo is also coming off their first loss in Arizona two weeks ago, thus this is a very important game at home for them to get back in the winning column. They are fresh, rested and ready to go. San Diego, on the other hand, will be “jet-lagged” again for the third time in four weeks. The Chargers stretch has been brutal. They started this string of games @ Oakland, then traveled cross-country to Miami, they were home last week in a HUGE revenge game vs. New England and now they are off to the east again to visit Buffalo. Now that’s a tough stretch of games! Not only that, this San Diego team heads across the ocean to London to play New Orleans next week which has to be a distraction. As we mentioned, this will be San Diego’s second trip to the east coast in three weeks after jetting to Miami and losing 17-10 two weeks ago. It’s ALWAYS tough for teams traveling from the West Coast to the East Coast to play the 1:00 PM Eastern game. One has to remember, it’s really “10:00 AM” on their body clocks. Not only that, getting up at 7:00 AM EST to start their preparation for the game is really like getting up at 4:00 AM Pacific time. Teams simply struggle in that situation. In fact, West Coast teams traveling to the Eastern Time zone to play an early game are 0-6 straight up (1-5 ATS) this year. Going back even further, the last 65 times a team from the west coast (this includes San Diego, Oakland, Seattle, Arizona & San Francisco) has traveled to the eastern time zone to play a 1:00 PM game, they are just 15-50 straight up! It’s definitely not an ideal situation, especially here with the Chargers having to do it in two of the last three weeks. After that this team is off to London to play the Saints. That’s right, England! What a tough way to end an enormously hard stretch of road games. So far Norv Turner’s team is just 1-2 SU on the road. They lost at Denver and at Miami. Their only win came in Oakland and that performance was nothing to write home about. They trailed 15-0 at halftime in that game and rallied for a deceiving 28-18 which included a half point cover. The Charger offense had just 295 total yards in that game and 41 of those came on a LaDanian Tomlinson TD run while he was attempting to run out the clock with just 1:00 remaining in the game. This offense that many so called experts proclaim among the best in the league had just 202 total yards @ Miami in their loss a week later. Those in the “know” around the NFL have said LT is not the runner he was a year ago. He is not nearly as explosive this year. WR Chris Chambers has a bad hamstring which will limit him or keep him out here. That puts a pile of pressure on QB Philip Rivers to carry most of the load which is tough on the road vs. quality opponents. They can’t expect their defense to “keep them in games” as they rank near the bottom of the NFL in overall defense along with pass defense. The Bills get QB Trent Edwards back from a concussion after he was knocked out of the Arizona game early. Edwards has had a very solid year completing almost 67% of his passes. He has a solid rushing attack behind him with Marshawn Lynch who has tallied 330 yards on the season. Buffalo also has solid special teams play and their defense is ranked #9 in the NFL in yards allowed and #8 vs. the pass. This all adds up, along with the scheduling situation, to a great pick with Buffalo at home in an even game. Bills win this one vs. a road weary Charger team.


10/19/2008
3:05:00 PM HOUSTON TEXANS(-9)
over Detroit Lions

ASA 7-STAR NFL Game of the Year - #422 Houston Texans (-9) over Detroit Lions Sunday, Oct 19th 3:00 pm CST

The Houston Texans have started the season 1-4, but they may be one of the top 10 teams in the NFL. They started the season with three road games, @Pittsburgh, @Tennessee, and @Jacksonville, teams with a combined 12-4 record after week 6. The Texans quietly have had one of the best offenses in the NFL this season, ranking 5th in total offense (362 yards per game), and 7th in passing yards (248 yards per game). Houston won a big game last week in the final seconds vs. Miami and we see them continuing to build momentum into this week, and getting a big win against the cellar dwelling Detroit Lions is just what the doctor ordered. The Lions nightmare season continues, leading by one point with less than a minute left in the game, the Lions committed a pass interference penalty against the Vikings, and Minnesota kicked the game-winning 26 yard field goal with 9 seconds on the clock. That loss puts the Lions at 0-5 for the year, ranking last, or close to last, in every offensive and defensive category. Detroit hasn’t had consistent quarterback play all year long despite having two of the most talented receivers in Roy Williams (who now is in Dallas with the Cowboys) and Calvin Johnson; they also have had little production running the ball to compliment their passing woes. The Texans’ are hoping that quarterback Matt Shaub has finally turned the corner from being an average quarterback, to being on of the NFL’s premier passers. In his last two games Shaub threw for 307 yards and 379 yards, with 4 touchdowns. The Lions are giving up an average of 31.8 point per game second to last in the NFL having allowed 31+ points in every game but one. Now Detroit is facing a Houston team that is 5th in the league in total offense and coming off three straight games of scoring 27, 27 and 29 points. The Lions are just 2-11 ATS their last 13 away and they struggle again this Sunday. Look for Houston, who is coming off their first win, to build off that this week when Detroit comes to town. Houston 38- Detroit 10.


10/19/2008
3:15:00 PM UNDER 41,OAKLAND RAIDERS
-vs-New York Jets
ASA 3-Star Under the total, #423 NY Jets vs. #424 Oakland, 3:15 PM CST

Two pedestrian offenses vs. two fairly solid defenses add up to an under play in this game. While the Jets overall scoring numbers look impressive at 28 PPG, they are very deceiving. That’s because they put up 56 points a few weeks ago vs. Arizona who was a turnover machine on that day. The Cards gave the ball away SEVEN times in that game allowing New York to light up the scoreboard. The Jets only had 383 yards in that game which means they put up one point for every 6.8 yards which is a ridiculous rate of return. Last week they put up 26 points on Cincinnati, however the Jets only had 252 total yards in that game. This team averages just 296 yards per game on offense which ranks them 22nd in the NFL. However, they are 6th in points scored in the league which means they are doing it with smoke and mirrors. This is the game where they come back to earth and their points are more in line with their yardage gained. The Raiders offense is one slot down from the Jets at #24 in the league (293 YPG). Their 16 PPG average is much more in line with a team that averages less than 300 YPG. Oakland has topped 20 points just twice in six games and they are coming off a game where they scored just one field goal against a New Orleans defense that was near the bottom of the NFL in many categories. QB Jamarcus Russell had completed just 50% of his passes on the year so Oakland has had to rely on their running game. Their rushing attack is 4th in the NFL and keeping it on the ground obviously eats up clock. Expect more of the same on Sunday. Both defenses are solid. The Jets give up just 306 YPG so don’t expect a pedestrian Oakland offense to do much in this game. They allowed just 14 points last week vs. Cincy and 7 of those came on a fumble returned for a TD. The Raiders defensive numbers don’t look great, but they are a solid stop unit. The problem is they faced off against two of the top offenses in the NFL their last two games (San Diego & New Orleans). They will have a much easier time slowing down the Jets here. We’ll call for this one to stay well under this posted number.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

vegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
419 SFX 11.0 (-110) Bodog vs 420 NYG
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **



Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
408 BUF 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 407 SDC
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **



Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
418 CAR -2.5 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 417 NOS
Analysis:
** 2* WAGER **
(Buy the 1/2 to -2.5)





Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Total Single-Dime Bet
412 MIA / 411 BAL Over 36.5 BetUS
Analysis:
* 1* TOTAL *


Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Double-Dime Bet
411 BAL (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 412 MIA
Analysis:
** 2* TEASER BET **



RAVENS +10 & VIKINGS +10 (2*) Teaser...



BONUS NASCAR SUNDAY :



1.) DENNY HAMLIN +800 (1*)



2.) JEFF BURTON +1700 (1*)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

Mike Lineback

Saints / Panthers Over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

M@linsky Sund@y
4* Miami -3 released wed
4* houst/det Under 47 released tuesday
4* sf/nyg Under 46.5 released sunday
4* Minny +3 released sunday

3* dallas/wash teaser released saturday

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-19-08

Feist goy

houston