9-26-10

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Gold Medal Club:
10* Carolina
10* Tampa Bay
25* Giants
50* Minnesota

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

BEN BURNS

EARLY SHOCKER
Carolina Panthers

NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK
UNDER Colts-Broncos

SITUATIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR
St Louis Rams

NON-CONFERENCE BEST BET
Seattle Seahawks

BLUE CHIP O/U
10* UNDER SF 49ers/KC Chiefs

TOP DIVISIONAL PLAY
10* Miami Dolphins

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 6-5-1 +1.50% (5-6-1 -4.80% with Sports Monitor)

3% TENNESSEE +3
3% ATLANTA +3.5
3% WASHINGTON -3.5
3% PHILADELPHIA -3
3% NY JETS +2.5
3% INDIANAPOLIS/DENVER UNDER 48

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Re: 9-26-10

THE EDGE

3* Atlanta
3* Jets
5* Green Bay

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Re: 9-26-10

Boston Blackie
NFL TOP TOTALS

OVER 33.5 Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh
Costly turnovers and interceptions

UNDER 47.5 Indianapolis @ Denver
Ball control and short passes

5*****
OVER 35.5 New York Jets @ Miami
Jets defense with injuries

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

The ProSource
Wk 3 Plays
Atlanta - opinion at less than +4
Dallas
UNDER Minnesota
Washington ** TOP Play ** up to -4

GL


Atlanta + 4 NO PLAY at less than +4
at New Orleans 1 pm et
If history in the NFL means anything, it means that Atlanta will most
likely cover this game.
Atlanta has covered 21 of the last 25 at New Orleans.
That's 84% for, well, 25 seasons.
Here's more history. The Saints are 14-41 as division home favorites.
that's 75% for 18 seasons.
Bad scheduling spot for the Saints who face a short week and long
travel too off the Monday nite game at San Francisco. it was a hard
fought win in a game that they were outgained in by 130 yds.
On the flip side, the Falcons breeze in off an easy home win vs AZ
in nearby Atlanta. History also tells us Atlanta will come to play, with
a 15-2-1 mark as a road dog when playing with revenge vs a division
team that is playing off a non- division game


Dallas +3
at Houston 1 pm et
Houston is off TWO very tough games in a row and will be sure
to letdown a bit today. The Texans got the Indianapolis monkey
off their backs in the big opening home win. Now they come in
off a furious comeback win at Washington, finally winning almost
halfway into overtime. That's a tough two weeks.
Dallas will be playing this one like their Super Bowl off the 0-2 start.
NFL teams which lost to a non-division opponent by 7 pts or more
when they were favored by 7 or more, rebound strongly the following
week. These teams are 71- 40 ATS S1980.
Houston is a perfect 0-10-1 ATS in their franchise history when their
WL% is 500%(+) and they are playing a team that is off a SU loss
That's 100% for 8 seasons.
On the flip side, Dallas HC Wade Phillips is 8-2 ATS in his career
when his team has been an underdog vs an undefeated opponent.
Hou in Sept, 3-10 as favs of 5 or less, or dogs of 6 or less
Dallas 4-0 off BB SU losses vs opp off BB SU wins


Minnesota UNDER - waiting
vs Detroit 1 pm et
Play UNDER in SEPTEMBER, Home teams in this spread range,
and with the posted total in this range, that are playing again at
home after suffering a loss at Home the week before as a Favorite,
that are also playing a team that lost it's last game.
2-12 UNDER S1999. 86% for 11 seasons.


Washington - 3 -120 ** Top Play- NFC GOM ** up to - 4
at St Louis 4:05 et
We played the Skins last week and caught a very unliuck push in
a game in which they blew a 27-10 lead. We like them today again.
We've won two weeks in a row playing on the Rams, but they were
in very strong situational system spots. In this game, we feel this
line is a bit of a gift. Arizona was laying 4.5 pts here in Wk 1, and
Washington has a much better defense, a much better QB, and a
much better running game. The Rams have been extremely close
to wins on the scoreboard 2 weeks in a row, but statistically, they
have been horrible. Last week, Oakland outrushed them by close
to 100 yds, 173 to 75, and the Skins can run the ball. Their last 9
games, the Rams are scoring just a bit over 11 ppg , which will not
be enough to keep up today.
The Rams keep are 1-27 SU their last 28 games, and we only really
have to clear a FG.

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Maximum Football - 10* NFL Sunday - Sep. 26

10* #400 NY Giants -3 over Tennessee 12:00 PM







BEST Football - NFL 15* Sunday Sep. 26

15* #421 Indianapolis Colts -5.5 over Denver Broncos 3:15 PM CT

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Sports Rumble

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mr A


Sunday, September 26th, 2010 1:00 p.m. est
Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1)
M&T Bank Stadium - Baltimore, Maryland Baltimore Ravens -11
Oddsmakers line:
Baltimore as a -11 point home favorite over Cleveland with the total listed at 37'over'



Sunday, September 26th, 2010 4:05 p.m. est
Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1)
Jacksonville Municipal Stadium - Jacksonville, Florida Jacksonville Jaguars +3
Oddsmakers line:
Philadelphia as a -3 point road favorite over Jacksonville with the total listed at 44½'over'



Sunday, September 26th, 2010 4:15 p.m. est
San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)
Qwest Field - Seattle, Washington San Diego Chargers -4½
Oddsmakers line:
San Diego as a -4½ point road favorite over Seattle with the total listed at 44½'over'



Sunday, September 26th, 2010 8:20 p.m. est
New York Jets (1-1) at Miami Dolphins (2-0)
Sun Life Stadium - Miami Gardens, Florida Miami Dolphins -2½


Monday, September 27th, 2010 8:30 p.m. est
Green Bay Packers (2-0) at Chicago Bears (2-0)
Soldier Field - Chicago, Illinois Chicago Bears +3

GINA

NFL Schedule
Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 1:00 p.m. est.
Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1)
M&T Bank Stadium - Baltimore, Maryland

Cleveland Browns are dreadful both on offense and defense. Look for the Ravens to have a good day at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday bulldozing the Brown. Baltimore has won the last four meetings versus Cleveland, going 4-0 ATS.

Baltimore Ravens - 11




Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 1:00 p.m. est.
Detroit Lions (0-2) at Minnesota Vikings (0-2)
Mall of America Field - Minneapolis, Minnesota

Detroit Lions offense lead by quarterback Shaun Hill will have a big task against the stingy Vikings defense. Contrary, look for old man Brett Favre to have a lovely day in Minneapolis and get his rhythm back. Go with the Favre and company to shred the Lions with a relentless passing attack. Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings verus the Vikings in Minnesota.

Minnesota Vikings -11



Sunday, Setember 26, 2010, 4:05 p.m. est.
Washington Redskins (1-1) at St. Louis Rams (0-2)
Edward Jones Dome - St. Louis, Missouri

The Skins’ deplorable defense will get a break facing St. Louis’ horrible offense. Go with McNabb to put up the most of the points in a low scoring contest. The total has gone 'under' in five of the last 6 meetings and I believe we will see another low scoring battle. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in St. Louis.

Washington Redskins -4
Over -39

SR COMPUTER PICKS 17-12-3 ATS YTD

Sunday, September 26th, 2010 (Eastern Time)
1:00 p.m. San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Cheifs San Francisco 49ers -3

1:00 p.m Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings -11
1:00 p.m Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots New England Patriots -14 ***
1:00 p.m Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints -4
1:00 p.m Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants Tennessee Titans -3
1:00 p.m Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens -11
1:00 p.m Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans Dallas Cowboys +3
1:00 p.m Pittsburgh Steelers @Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
1:00 p.m Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers +3
4:05 pm Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Philadelphia Eagles -3
4:05 pm Washington Redskins @ St. Louis Rams St. Louis Rams +3½
4:15 pm Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos Indianapolis Colts -5½
4:15 pm Oakland Raiders @ Arizona Cardinals Oakland Raiders +4½

4:15 pm San Diego Chargers@ Seattle Seahawks San Diego Chargers --5½
8:20 pm New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins New York Jets +2
Monday, September 27th, 2010 (Eastern Time)
8:30 pm Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears Green Bay Packers -3

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Doc's Sports

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San Francisco at Kansas City - the Chiefs have been a pleasant surprise so far this year. They are taking a big step up in class this time, though. San Francisco was good enough to win on Monday night, and they took massive steps forward from their opening debacle. I look for another step forward from them here, and a win. Take the Niners.

Detroit at Minnesota - I’ve been pretty impressed by the Lions - they deserve to have at least one win under their belts. The Vikings, on the other hand, have been a total disaster. Still, they are a far more talented team and they are playing at home, so this should be when they break their goose egg. Take the Vikings.

Buffalo at New England - Let’s look at this one - we have an angry, very talented New England team looking to turn things around playing at home against a pathetic Buffalo team that has some QB drama. Shouldn’t be difficult - take the Patriots.

Atlanta at New Orleans - These are two talented rivals playing fairly well. They both have some kinks to work out, but they have both shown some sparks. The difference here should come down to the location. Take the Saints.

Tennessee at New York Giants - The Titans were a total mess last week, and the Steelers gave the Giants a blueprint for shutting them down. The Giants were pretty lousy Sunday night, but they should bounce back well at home. Take the Giants.

Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay - The Bucs have been a very pleasant surprise so far - this is a tough team that won’t give up. They haven’t played a defense that looks anything like the incredible one the Steelers have put together this year, though. That will be too much for them. Take the Steelers.

Cincinnati at Carolina - Jimmy Clausen is starting. I don’t need another reason to like the Bengals and feel good about it.

Cleveland at Baltimore - I don’t know what has been wrong with the Ravens on offense so far, but it’s nothing that playing the Browns shouldn’t be able to fix. Cleveland has been lousy. Take the Ravens.

Dallas at Houston - The Cowboys should be a very good team. They sure haven’t looked like one, though. The Texans, on the other hand, have - they beat up on the Colts, and posted a stunning comeback against the Redskins. They are serious, and they will be looking to make another statement. Take the Texans.

Washington at St. Louis - I have to pick the Rams. I can’t help myself. They have played tough, they are playing at home, and they are up against a team that could be pouting and frustrated after their stunning loss last week. Take a risk and take the Rams.

Philadelphia at Jacksonville - The most interesting part of this game is that every Philly fan in the world will be hoping that their starting QB is still too hurt to play in this one. That’s good drama. Philly has more on both sides of the ball, and should be fine here. Take the Eagles.

Indianapolis at Denver - The Colts are the better team, and they got back on track in Week 2 after a tough opening week. They will exert their superiority in this one and come out on top. Take the Colts.

Oakland at Arizona - The Raiders improved dramatically in their second week, and have shown enough to beat an Arizona team that has serious QB issues. Maybe it’s time that they go back to Matt Leinart - oh, wait. Take the Raiders.

San Diego at Seattle - I believe that the San Diego team we saw in Week 2 was the real version. I think the same thing about the Seahawks team we saw in Week 2. That means that San Diego should come out on top. Take the Chargers.

New York Jets at Miami - A lot of people are surprised that the Dolphins are 2-0. I’m not. That defensive front led by the incredible and incredibly underrated Cameron Wake is the real deal. They are going to make things miserable for Sanchez and the Jets. Take the Dolphins.

Green Bay at Chicago - these two teams have been as good as any so far. I only believe that one of them can sustain it, and it isn’t the one with Jay Cutler under center. Take the Packers.

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Info @ NFL PICKS

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TODAY'S FREE PICKS
(161-93 last 6 years)

Saturday's Free College Pick - West Virginia +10
Sunday's Free NFL Pick - Atlanta +3.5

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Doug Williams

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Atlanta Falcons +3.5 at New Orleans Saints -3.5
The NFC’s top teams do battle this weekend as the Atlanta Falcons head to New Orleans to face the New Orleans Saints. Atlanta easily covered the -7 point spread against the Arizona Cardinals. New Orleans followed up a close win over Minnesota on the opening day of the NFL season with another close win Monday night, this time on the road against San Francisco to go 0-2 ATS. I think they will easily cover the 3.5 at home in this matchup.

Pick: NO to Cover the -3.5



New York Jets +2 at Miami Dolphins -2
The first game for the Dolphins at home this season, and the Jets are hitting the road for the first time.
I think the Dolphins are still underrated, even after they beat the Vikings on their home field last week.
However, in their last action, New York was a 28-14 winner at home against the Patriots. They covered the 3 point spread as underdogs.
This will be a close one, hense the 2 point spread. The Dolphins listed as 2-point favorites versus the Jets and I think that they'll cover that.
Pick: Miami to Cover the -2

Detroit Lions +11.5 at Minnesota Vikings -11.5
The Vikings are listed as -11.5 point favorites versus the Lions, that is a huge line. Last week Detroit covered the 6.5 point spread as underdogs against the Eagles, so we know they're not as bad as their reputation.
Minnesota will win this, but not by that margin, so get on Detroit to Cover this before the line moves.
Pick: Detroit to Cover the +11.5


San Diego Chargers -5.5 at Seattle Seahawks +5.5
The Chargers covered the 7 point spread as favorites 38-13 in their most recent outing at home against the Jaguars. Seattle was a 31-14 loser on the road against the Broncos. This was opposite fortunes for both sides in comparison to week 1.
This week I think the Chargers are going to bounce back and pummel the Seahawks at Qwest Field.
Pick: San Diego to Cover the -5.5

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Wunderdog

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Game: Detroit at Minnesota (Sunday 9/26 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 42.5 -110


The Detroit Lions were supposed to be better this year. Instead, they are again losing games. While they are 0-2 straight up, they have covered the number twice. But, things just never seem to change for this team, especially on the road. They have now dropped their last 21 games on the road, and the defense takes center stage as the culprit. The Lions defense allowed 33.7 points per game on the road a year ago, so this should be the breakout week for the Vikings. Minnesota has scored just 19 points in two games but their average simply isn't going to stay there. And, getting the Lions at home is the recipe for a change. If Minnesota gets their expected 30+ here, it doesn't leave much scoring to be done by the Lions to push this one over the total. The Vikings managed a minimum of 27 points per game at home a year ago, and following an ATS loss the OVER has cashed in at 24-10-2 in their last 36. The Lions are 17-7 to the OVER when posted as a dog of 10.5 or more in their last 24. In their last ten games when allowing 28+ points, the Lions have gone OVER nine times. Under Brad Childress, this Vikings team is 20-10 OVER after an ATS loss and 10-2 OVER following a back-to-back ATS losses. This one goes OVER the total.

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

PointSpread Pros

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Year Wins Losses Pct
2010 14 16 47%
2009 132 104 56%
2008 149 95 61%
2007 130 98 57%


Favorite Spread Underdog Simulator Pick % Confident Of Covering
NO 4.5 ATL ATL
CIN 3.0 CAR CIN
MIN 10.5 DET DET
WAS 3.5 STL STL
SF 2.5 KC KC
ARZ 4.0 OAK OAK
BAL 10.5 CLE CLE
MIA 2.0 NYJ MIA
SD 6.0 SEA SEA
NYG 3.0 TEN TEN
IND 6.0 DEN DEN
GB 3.0 CHI GB
PIT 2.5 TB TB
HOU 3.0 DAL HOU
PHI 3.0 JAX JAX
NE 13.5 BUF BUF

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

THE GOLD SHEET'S SOLID GOLD ALERT
THIS WEEK’S TWO-UNIT PLAY FROM THE TOP HANDICAPPERS FROM THE
OLDEST AND MOST RESPECTED SPORTS ADVISORY COMPANY IN THE WORLD!
Updated 9/24/2010 11:00 AM

Two Units CINCINNATI BENGALS (-3½) over Carolina -Home
Sunday, Sept. 26 10:00 AM Pacific
— Cincy has a big edge at QB, with veteran Carson Palmer vs. rookie Jimmy Clausen, who will be
making his first NFL start. Clausen is 7 of 15 with no TDs and 1 interception so far this season.
— Clausen is likely to be confused at times vs. the Cincinnati zone-blitz defense, which is excels
in coverage and is difficult even for veterans to read.
— The Bengals are especially good at CB, with veterans Leon Hall, Johnathan Joseph and Adam
Jones.
— The Bengals picked off Baltimore's Joe Flacco four times last week.
— Insiders report Clausen has still not regained 100% mobility after offseason toe surgery. He
could be vulnerable to a pass rush after the Panthers have given up eight sacks in the first two
games.
— The Carolina defense misses the excellent pass rush of DE Julius Peppers, now with Chicago.
The Panthers have collected only one sack in the first two games.
— Cincinnati's pass offense has received a big boost this season with an improved receiving
corps that now includes Terrell Owens and highly-regarded rookie slot man Jordan Shipley and
top draft pick TE Jermaine Gresham.
— The Bengals are stepping down in class after having to open the season vs. Super Bowl
contenders New England and Baltimore.
— Cincy's kicking game appears improved with the addition of Mike Nugent, who is 6 of 6 on FGs
so far this season.
— The Bengals have one of the best kickoff and punt return games in the NFL, with Bernard Scott,
Adam Jones, and Quan Cosby.
Predicted Score: CINCINNATI 27 - Carolina 10
GOOD LUCK!

[spook]

Re: 9-26-10

Larry Ness' 10* LEGEND Play-NFL (2-0 in FB 2010!)
My 10* LEGEND Play is on the Ari Cardinals at 4:15 ET.

The Arizona Cardinals may not look any worse the entire season than they do right now, after that embarrassing 41-7 loss to the Falcons last week. While some bettors may be scared off by Arizona now, I think this is a great time to back Ken Whisenhunt's club. Whisenhunt has done a great job in Arizona, leading this club to two straight postseasons (including the Super Bowl following the 2008 season), after the Cards had made just one playoff appearance from 1988 (when the team relocated in Phoenix) through 2007! His team is clearly in transition (particularly on defense) but Whisenhunt still has enough pieces to contend for the NFC West title once again (San Fran's 0-2 start hasn't hurt!). The offense has nice weapons in WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Steven Breaston plus I'm not as sour on QB Derek Anderson as most seem to be. He was a productive 22-41 for 297 yards in the team's Week 1 win at St. Louis (17-13) and I'm not going to 'jump ship' on him after a bad game in Atlanta (I was "all over" the Falcons LW!). RB Tim Hightower topped 100 yards against the Falcons last week and the Cards are averaging 115.0 YPG on the ground after two games, heady territory for a team which has averaged 90.0, 73.6 and 93.4 YPG in Whisenhunt's first three seasons. I'm giving the Cardinals a 'pass' in that Atlanta loss, as the Falcons were primed for a big rebound game in their home opener after that tough OT loss to the Steelers the week before. Arizona walks into a similar position here, as it looks to bounce-back from a road loss with the team's first home game of the 2010 season. I don't like what I am seeing with the Oakland Raiders, which should come as little surprise to anyone. Has coach Tom Cable already hit the panic button by benching QB Jason Campbell for Bruce Gradkowski? Campbell was hailed a savior for this franchise when he was signed as a free agent to provide some veteran leadership at the QB position after the disastrous JeMarcus Russell era was declared over. After just two games, is Campbell really being dumped for the journeyman Gradkowski? While he did bring a fighting spirit into the game when he played last season for the Raiders, Gradkowski still ended the season with a mere 54.4% completion percentage while averaging only 6.9 YPA. If Gradkowski was a capable answer, then why sign Campbell at all? Why is Gradkowski suddenly the more viable QB now? He is completing only 50% of his passes this year while just slightly raising his yards-per-attempt average to 7.4. This smacks of desperation. Internal discord can never be dismissed when discussing the dysfunctional environment of this franchise under owner Al Davis. Oakland does come off a gutty 16-14 win over St Louis last week but on the road the week before in Tennessee, the Raiders fell behind by a 24-6 halftime score, on the way to their 38-14 loss to the Titans. Oakland committed 10 penalties for 77 yards in that loss to Tennessee and followed that up with 12 penalties for 90 yards against the Rams. Oakland is averaging only 15.0 PPG which is right on target with its 12.3 PPG average last year. That '09 mark made Oakland the 31st offense in the NFL in scoring which matches its 31st ranking in total yards (266.1 PPG) as well. The defense was not much better either, as it ranked #23rd in scoring (23.7 PPG) and #26th in yardage (361.9 YPG) in '09. To make matters worse, Oakland currently has seven players listed as questionable for this game including star defensive end Richard Seymour and former first-round pick Robert Gallery at guard. I think that the Oakland team that lost at Tennessee by 24 points is closer to the one we will see on Sunday than the one which beat the lowly Rams last week. Let me close with what I wrote when I used the Titans over these Raiders for my biggest play of Week 1. "The Raiders went to the Super Bowl following the 2002 season (11-5 regular season) but lost 48-21 to the Bucs. The team hasn't won more than five games in ANY of the last seven years, going a combined 29-83 (.259). Oakland went 4-28 on the road (including two, 0-8 seasons) from 2003 through 2006 and has since gone 2-6, 3-5 and 3-5 away from home the last three seasons, respectively. Let's note that Oakland's six road losses in 2007 averaged 16.2 PPG, its five road losses in 2008 came by 16.0 PPG and the team's five road losses in 2009 averaged 19.8 PPG." Well, after that 24-point road loss at Tennessee in Week 1, Oakland's road woes are "right on schedule" for 2010.