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THE GOLD SHEET'S SOLID GOLD ALERT
THIS WEEK’S TWO-UNIT PLAY FROM THE TOP HANDICAPPERS FROM THE
OLDEST AND MOST RESPECTED SPORTS ADVISORY COMPANY IN THE WORLD! NAVY over AIR FORCE
SOLID GOLD ALERT TWO UNIT PLAY FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 2:
COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NAVY +10 over Air Force -Home 11:30 AM Pacific
Navy has dominated the service academies in recent years, winning 15 straight, including 7 straight vs. Air Force.
—Navy is healthy and refreshed following the bye week, with veteran QB Ricky Dobbs back to full strength after being hampered by ankle and groin problems. Dobbs had averaged only 2.4 ypc the 1st 3 games
—Navy outgained Maryland 485-272 in its only loss of season, failing to score on a 4th-and-one from the Terp one- yd. line in the 4th Q and losing two fumbles at the Maryland one-yd line in 17-14 defeat in College Park.
—Navy played its best overall game of year in 37-23 victory at Louisiana Tech before the bye week, rushing and passing for more than 200 yds, and shutting out La Tech in the 2nd H.
—Navy’s long-time defensive coordinator Buddy Green has developed a highly-effective gameplan to slow down the Air Force option, holding Falcons to just 21 ppg during his tenure in Annapolis.
—Navy is 35-18 vs. spread away from Annapolis since 2000. —Navy is 10-3-1 vs. spread last 14 meetings vs. Air Force. —Air Force lost its highly-successful d.c. Tim DeRuyter, who took over the same position at Texas A&M this year.
—Air Force lost its top deep threat 6-5 Kevin Fogler (team-high 25 catches & 5 TDs in 2009 due to a knee injury and he will be out several weeks.
—Air Force defense struggled vs. the limited Wyoming attack last week, giving up 174 yds rushing in 24 carries in come-from-behind 20-14 victory in Laramie.
Florida State vs. Virginia (NCAAF) - Oct 2, 2010 12:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 7/-108 Virginia Pick Title: Florida State vs. Virginia
The jury is still out on this Florida State team. They beat BYU with a solid effort, but the Cougars are way down this season. FSU's wins over Wake Forest and Samford don't tell us anything, and their loss to Oklahoma was by 30. So, it's unclear how good this team is. The Cavaliers played USC to a field goal in a game here early, outgaining the Trojans in the process. So I expect another tough fight from there here, again at home. These teams stack-up even on both offense and defense. The Cavs' defense is ranked No. 19, and the Noles sit at No. 21. On offense, Florida State is ranked 30th while Virginia is ranked 33rd. Granted, the Seminoles have had a more difficult schedule, but the Cavs have shown they are no pushover. Christin Ponder in his fifth year in the program and is not off to a great start. His yards per pass are down 1.5 yards and his INT's, which were limited to seven a year ago, is at three already. Then Seminoles have not been a good road team, especially posted in the favorite’s role from 3.5-10 points, covering just one of their last 11. Then Cavs have been good following a game where they allowed less than 50 yards rushing at 6-1 ATS. The Noles are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine after a a conference win. They are also just 2-6 straight-up the past three seasons when facing a defense that allows 17 or fewer points per game (Virginia has allowed just 12.3 per contest). This one has live dog written all over it, so I'll back Virginia.
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