10-2-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Robert Ferringo

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
Play. Take #191 Louisville (-4.5) over Arkansas State (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 2)
Note: This is our College Football Game of the Month. It was originally going to be a 6-Unit Play, but the injury to Louisiville's top wideout was enough to make me drop it a Unit.


Play. Take 'Over' 48.0 Florida at Alabama (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 2)

Play. Take #177 Washington (+10) over USC (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 2)
.

Play. Take #176 Iowa (-7) over Penn State (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 2)

Play. Take #188 Hawaii (-8) over Louisiana Tech (11:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 2)
.

Play. Take #168 Rice (+12.5) over SMU (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 2)

Play. Take #111 Ball State (+16) over Central Michigan (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 2)

Play. TEASER: Take #172 Alabama (-1) over Florida (8 p.m.) AND Take #155 Ohio State (-10.5) over Illinois (Noon)

PLAY. TEASER: Take #159 Northern Illinois (-6.5) over Akron (6 p.m.) AND Take #131 Texas Tech (Pk) over Iowa State (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 2)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Jason Sharpe

Saturday October 2nd 2010:

Take #145 Navy +10 over Air Force (2:30pm est):


Take #189 Florida International +17.5 over Pittsburgh (3:30pm est):

Take #149 Notre Dame -2.5 over Boston College (8:00pm est):

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Rocketman

(#126) Rutgers -17

(#122) North Carolina -14

(#153) Washington State +24


(#168) Rice +12.5



* NY Mets -115 (Maya/Valdes) Listed

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Football Prophet

1. Kentucky/Mississippi over 58 -120 buy 1/2 point

2. Stanford/Oregon over 65

3. Hawaii -9

4. Ohio State/Illinois over 50

5. TCU/Colorado State over 53 -120 buy 1/2 point

6. Kansas/Baylor over 51

7. Nevada/UNLV over 62

8. Boise State/New Mexico State over 60

9. Michigan/Indiana over 65

10. Georgia Tech/Wake Forest over 60

11. Miami/Clemson over 51

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Anthony Redd

Saturday's Plays

75 Dime play on Washington plus the points at Southern California. As this selection is released at 1 AM Pacifinc, the Huskies are currently a 10-point road dog versus the Trojans.

50 Dime play on Stanford plus the points at Oregon. As this selection is released at 1 AM Pacifinc, the Cardinal is currently a 6 1/2 to 7-point road dog versus the Ducks dependlng on where you shop.

15 Dime play on Buffalo plus the points at Bowling Green. The Bulls are currently a 3 to 3 1/2 point road dog in this contest.

15 Dime play on Wyoming plus the points at Toledo. The Cowboys are currently a 3 1/2 to 4 1/2 point road dog depending on where you shop. With 4 1/2 points being the most dominant number.

15 Dime play on SMU over Rice. The Mustangs are currently a 12 1/2 point road favorite in this contest.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

ron meyer..


College Upset of the Year

Saturday, October 02, 2010
20*Nc State (+3½) over Virginia Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Football Crusher

Play of the Day:
Clemson +3 over Miami

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Bobby Maxwell
Saturday's winners...
600-Unit College Pac-10 Book Buster - OREGON DUCKS

I’m not quite sure anybody can keep up with Oregon right now. The Ducks play a fast-paced style of offense and they are leading the football subdivision with 57.8 points a game and they’re tied for third in rushing yards and total yards per game. And don’t forget, the Ducks can play some defense too, sitting as the No. 3 defense in the nation allowing just 11 points per game.

When they get going, the offense just starts steamrolling people. The Ducks turned things around in a hurry on Friday with a major boost from the committees. The Ducks trailed 24-14 in the fourth quarter at Arizona State last weekend and rallied back for a 42-31 victory.

The key that makes the Oregon offense move is the play of RB LaMichael James, who is second in the country with 475 rushing yards. He ended up running for 125 yards and a TD against the Cardinal last season and he caught four passes for 89 yards. QB Darron Thomas is grateful for all of James’ hard work as he’s thrown for 822 yards, 10 TDs and 3 INTs.

Over on the other side is Stanford QB Andrew Luck who is up to 912 yards and 11 TD passes. He has looked very good this season against mostly bad opposition. The Ducks haven’t been held to less than 42 points in any game this season and at home in a big one against Stanford, they won’t be held tonight either.

Oregon had a seven-game streak in this series snapped last year, but they have won big the last three games at home against Stanford, and will blow out the Cardinals in this one.

The Ducks have cashed in 16 of their last 21 October games, and they are 5-2 ATS as a home favorite. Oregon has taken six of the last eight against the Cardinals and I’m looking for the Ducks to come together and help me at home with a big winner over Stanford.



100-Unit College Smart Play - GEORGIA BULLDOGS

This is one of those cases that happen in college football where you have to play the average SEC team to beat any other average team from any other conference. The SEC is just so much ahead of the other conferences, that you’ll see the average squad there destroy an average squad from the Big 12 tonight.

Georgia is just 1-3 on the season, but with losses on the road to SEC foes South Carolina and Mississippi State and a tough home loss to Arkansas. All of that without their superstar WR A.J. Green. Well, the suspension is over and Green will be in the lineup tonight in Colorado. He’s going to see the ball a lot and he’s going to make big plays. It’s what he does.

The average team from the Big 12 is Colorado who come in to this one 2-1, but the wins are over lousy squads Colorado State and Hawaii. In their one test that could have showed something, the Buffs went to Cal and got crushed 52-7 as 10 ½-point underdogs.

All-SEC receiver Green will make life easier on the TEs in the Georgia lineup as coverages are rolled to his side of the field. Look for good things down the middle from Aron White and Orson Charles tonight. QB Aaron Murray has already thrown for 879 yards, 5 TDs and just 2 INTs, and getting his primary target back is only going to improve those numbers.

Defensively, the Bulldogs have been very good against the run, allowing just 2.9 yards per carry. Colorado needs offense from the running game because QB Tyler Hansen has been a mystery this season with his 558 yards, four TDs and four INTs.

Georgia comes into this one on ATS surges of 3-1-1 as a road favorite of 3 ½ to 10 points, plus they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference tilts. Colorado is on some negative ATS trends, including 1-4 against losing teams, 3-8 after a straight-up win and 2-8 as an underdog of 3 ½ to 10 points.

The Bulldogs have faced the stiffer competition and that will be clearly evident in this one. Lay the chalk and play the road team Bulldogs. Go with Georgia to win this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Point Train 6-Unit Underdog Special - Navy (+10) over Air Force

6-Unit

Navy (+10) over Air Force

Saturday, October 2 – 1:30 PM CST



Navy has won seven straight games over Air Force and are extremely undervalued as 10 point underdogs here. Other than an 11-point victory by Navy in 2007, every matchup has been decided by a touchdown or less. Both teams run a similar run-oriented offense and both are extremely good at it. Air Force averages 394 rushing yards per game (1st in nation) while Navy averages 272 (9th). Last year, Air Force ran for just 183 yards (3.5 YPC) and Navy ran for 173 (3.1). These two teams are extremely familiar with each other and there is no way that Air Force wins by double digits tonight.



Navy is 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog of 10 points or more and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 vs. MWC. The Midshipmen are also 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings with Air Force. There are three games on the schedule each year that Navy is always well-prepared for: Army, Notre Dame, and Air Force. This rivalry is too big for one team to win in blowout fashion. Go with Navy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Keith Martin Sports

oregon -7
hawaii -8
iowa -7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

David Banks
Saturday October 2, 2010


NCAAF
12:00 Clemson +3.5
12:00 Ohio State -16.5
12:00 Auburn -35
3:30 Texas +3.5
3:30 Michigan State +2
8:00 Stanford +7
8:05 Iowa

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

ATS
Grand Slam weekend

8 Units on Navy +9.5 over Air Force, 2:30pmET
8 Units on Georgia -4.5 over Colorado, 7pmET
8 Units on Stanford +7 over Oregon, 8pmET
8 Units on Washington +10 over USC, 8pmET
2 Unit Round Robin Parlay on all 4 Teams (6 Two Team Pars for 2 Units Each)
6 Units on North Texas -4 over UL-Lafayette, 7:30pmET

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Handicapper: Cajun Sports
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -7/-107 Texas Tech Play Title: Cajuns 5-Star CFB Black Label Marquee 15-0 ATS
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Texas Tech takes to the Big 12 road for a meeting in Ames with the hometown Iowa State Cyclones on Saturday evening. ISU is 4-19 straight up and 6-17 against the spread versus teams from the Big 12 South division. Texas Tech is coming off a bye week after their disappointing performance against the Longhorns losing 24 to 14 at home. Iowa State on the other hand was busy defeating in-state rival Northern Iowa 27 to 0. That win and final score are very misleading because the Cyclones offense only managed 13 points while their defense returned two INT’s for touchdowns including one for 94 yards. Iowa State’s defense forced five turnovers including a fumble at their own one-yard line, held the Panthers on downs at their own twenty-yard line, blocked a Northern Iowa field goal attempt and converted a fake field goal into a touchdown drive. Everything went the Cyclones way against the Panthers last week and they were still outgained 320 yards to 210 yards in total offense. Texas Tech has dominated this series posting a record of 7-1 straight up and 5-1 against the spread. The favorite in this series is a perfect 6-0 against the number winning by an average of twenty-three points per game. The Tech defense has been solid allowing 100 yards rushing per game on 3.1 yards per carry, getting to the QB with twelve sacks, and forcing eleven turnovers to this point in the season. Our situational database looks at teams playing their fourth game of the season and coming off a bye week. The search reveals a powerful angle when teams coming off a bye lost both SU and ATS the previous week, these teams are 30-20 ATS in their next game. If that loss was their first loss of the season, their record improves to 17-5 against the spread in their next game and if they were a favorite of underdog of three or fewer points in their last game their record is a mind boggling 13-1 against the spread. The Red Raiders qualify in each aspect of our bye week angle. A check of the database reveals a league-wide system that tells us from Game 3 on, Play AGAINST a home team (not an underdog of more than 11 points) with five or more days rest before playing Utah and coming off a home game. Playing against these teams has produced a record of 15-0 ATS since 1996 and averages covering the spread by 11.6 points per game. Lay the points with the Red Raiders on Saturday night.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Texas Tech Red Raiders 37 Iowa State Cyclones 20

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Texas vs. Oklahoma (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-113 Texas Play Title: 10* College Value Play Game of the Week
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Look for Mack Brown and Texas to be prepared this week after a pathetic showing against UCLA at home last week. Both teams have new QB's but I really like Texas Longhorns QB Garrett Gilbert. Texas expects to get the speedy D.J. Monroe more involved, either in the backfield or as a receiver, and the Texas defense is very tough. I'll take the better defense and QB in this rival and play on TEXAS as a 10* play on Saturday afternoon.




Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Vanderbilt vs. Connecticut (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-101 Vanderbilt Play Title: 5*
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Both of these teams remind me of each other as they both look to run the ball first. Both have okay defenses, and just look to not make mistakes and keep the game tight. With that said Vanderbilt is coming off a bye week which is something they did not have a year ago. I think this is huge as they get healthy after some big games in SEC play
Vanderbilt’s defense has not crumbled yet and they are solid against the run so far. Take the points with the SEC team and Vandy to cover the number.




Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Miami Florida vs. Clemson (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-117 Clemson Play Title: 4*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

ATS Lock Club

North Carolina -14 over East Carolina