10-2-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

CAJUN SPORTS

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -7/-107 Texas Tech Play Title: Cajuns 5-Star CFB Black Label Marquee 15-0 ATS
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Texas Tech takes to the Big 12 road for a meeting in Ames with the hometown Iowa State Cyclones on Saturday evening. ISU is 4-19 straight up and 6-17 against the spread versus teams from the Big 12 South division. Texas Tech is coming off a bye week after their disappointing performance against the Longhorns losing 24 to 14 at home. Iowa State on the other hand was busy defeating in-state rival Northern Iowa 27 to 0. That win and final score are very misleading because the Cyclones offense only managed 13 points while their defense returned two INT’s for touchdowns including one for 94 yards. Iowa State’s defense forced five turnovers including a fumble at their own one-yard line, held the Panthers on downs at their own twenty-yard line, blocked a Northern Iowa field goal attempt and converted a fake field goal into a touchdown drive. Everything went the Cyclones way against the Panthers last week and they were still outgained 320 yards to 210 yards in total offense. Texas Tech has dominated this series posting a record of 7-1 straight up and 5-1 against the spread. The favorite in this series is a perfect 6-0 against the number winning by an average of twenty-three points per game. The Tech defense has been solid allowing 100 yards rushing per game on 3.1 yards per carry, getting to the QB with twelve sacks, and forcing eleven turnovers to this point in the season. Our situational database looks at teams playing their fourth game of the season and coming off a bye week. The search reveals a powerful angle when teams coming off a bye lost both SU and ATS the previous week, these teams are 30-20 ATS in their next game. If that loss was their first loss of the season, their record improves to 17-5 against the spread in their next game and if they were a favorite of underdog of three or fewer points in their last game their record is a mind boggling 13-1 against the spread. The Red Raiders qualify in each aspect of our bye week angle. A check of the database reveals a league-wide system that tells us from Game 3 on, Play AGAINST a home team (not an underdog of more than 11 points) with five or more days rest before playing Utah and coming off a home game. Playing against these teams has produced a record of 15-0 ATS since 1996 and averages covering the spread by 11.6 points per game. Lay the points with the Red Raiders on Saturday night.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Texas Tech Red Raiders 37 Iowa State Cyclones 20

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Craig Davis

50 Dime Stanford

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

VegasBuster

IRON PLAY 8* (first one this year)

Penn St @ Iowa -7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

401k sports - Highest rated play

Utep -15

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Street Rosenthal

*200 Clemson +3.5
*200 Illinois +17
*200 North Carolina -14
*200 michigan/INDIANA UNDER 66
*300 Louisville -4
*300 Florida +

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Kelso's 50 unit pick is Iowa (-7) over Penn State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Northcoast
4* Navy + 9 1/2
4* Ohio St. -16 1/2
4* Rice + 11 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

mti-
4-seatt

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Mike Neri

4* Hawaii
3* Michigan
3* Baylor
3* Alabama

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

OC Dooley:
1 UNIT” PRIMETIME COLLEGE SYSTEM (Wyoming +4’ at Toledo in a 7:00 eastern kickoff): It is easy to see why the line of this game has risen significantly from an opening figure of 3 points as host Toledo is coming off 3 shocking underdog outright upsets including twice where the oddsmakers were giving them “double digits” to work with. The problem with those 3 triumphs though is that they all came on the highway, so one must consider that Toledo’s only home game so far resulted in an ugly “41-2” LOSS against an opponent (Arizona) who operates out of the western time zone. The bottom line is that visiting Wyoming is in the midst of a killer schedule (Texas, Boise State, Air Force past 3 games) which will not get any easier as they have nationally ranked TCU along with dangerous Utah on deck. Wyoming is also playing out this season in memory of a fallen teammate who was tragically killed in an automobile accident near the beginning of the campaign. According to my database research the fact that Toledo has pulled off 3 consecutive outright upsets actually plays AGAINST them this evening beginning with a 70-PERCENT SYSTEM (70-30 past decade during weeks 5-through-9) which plays AGAINST home favorites like Toledo off of consecutive road triumphs. The situation is different for Wyoming who has COVERED SIX IN A ROW ON THE ROAD if their last game was against a “conference” opponent. To add more fuel to the fire my research indicates that teams like Toledo off 3 consecutive underdog outright upsets are a disastrous 1-11 ATS when laying “less” that 6 points as a favorite

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Northcoast
4* Navy + 9 1/2
4* Ohio St. -16 1/2
4* Rice + 11 1/2
4* Florida St.
3* Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

10* Iowa-7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Bruce Marshall

Louisiana Tech at Hawaii
Pick: Hawaii -7.5

Ever try booking a round trip from Ruston, LA to Honolulu with your travel agent? If you have, you wouldn't wonder why the road team has had so much trouble in this series between far-flung WAC foes Hawaii and La Tech, as the visitor has failed to cover the last six meetings. So, it's edge to the host Warriors this week, especially with the Bulldogs just 8-20 as a road underdog since 2005.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Mike Lineback

4* North Carolina State +3.5

NC State 4-0 SU & ATS this season, are coming off quality road win vs. Georgia Tech (not an easy place to play). Team is much improved on defense. They held Georgia Tech to a season low 247 rushing yards, and should match up well vs. VirginiaTech's ground oriented offense as well, missing their best running back Ryan Williams. NC State veteran QB Wilson is off to a fast start (11-1 TD/Int ratio; 1100+ Pyds), and has more talented skill players to work with. More importantly, V-Tech are off to alarming start to season. They lost their two first home games to Boise State and James Madison. Yes, James Madison?? And were outplayed by both East Carolina and Boston College in the first half. Plus, Wolfpack playing with revenge after getting trounced in Blacksburg last season. NC State turned the ball over (4-1) and fell behind early last year, and couldn't generate any offense as a result. With home field and current level of play, I don't anticipate the Wolfpack losing the turnover battle Saturday afternoon. Take the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-10

Youngstown Connection

NCAA Afternoon Play #1

Vanderbilt +7.5 12PM Eastern

Line from Carib

Line as of 430AM Eastern 10/2/10