10-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

SR COMPUTER PICKS

Sunday October 3rd, 2010
1:00 p.m. NY Jets @ Buffalo Bills --- New York Jets -5½
1:00 p.m. Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams--- Seattle Seahawks -1½
1:00 p.m. Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints -- New Orleans Saints -13½
1:00 p.m. Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers --- Green Bay Packers -14½
1:00 p.m. Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns--- Cincinnati Bengals -3
1:00 p.m. Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers--- Pittsburgh Steelers -2½ ***
1:00 p.m. Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans--- Tennessee Titans - 6½
1:00 p.m. San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons--- Atlanta Falcons -7
4:05 p.m. Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars --- Indianapolis Colts -7
4:05 p.m. Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders--- Oakland Raiders +3
4:15 p.m. Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles --- Philadelphia Eagles -5½
4:15 p.m. Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers--- San Diego Chargers -8½
8:20 p.m Chicago Bears @ NY Giants--- New York Giants -3½

Monday October 4th, 2010
8:30 p.m. New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins--- New England Patriots -1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR

Indianapolis Colts -6.5*

*MARKED SYSTEM PLAY

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

The Boss 700% Round Table swept 4-0 Saturday


500% "Untouchable Play" Cincy
300% Parlay Cincy Hou Pitt
200% Dog Pound Denver
100% "Silent Assassins" OVERSeattle Jets Saints

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

TEDDY COVERS

BIG TICKET NFL BLOWOUT
20* SD Chargers

NFL TRIFECTA
Cleveland Browns
SF 49ers
NY Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

HRC PREMIUM NFL ACTION-October 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[206] Green Bay |8*|Bet B|-13.5|B+1/2|FOX|1:00 pm EST

[210] Atlanta |5*|Bet A|-6.5|B+0|FOX|1:00 pm EST

[213] NY Jets |5*|Bet A|-6.5|B+0|CBS|1:00 pm EST

[215] Indianapolis |5*|Bet A|-6.5|B+1/2|CBS|4:05 pm EST


note*
This is the "NFL SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads




HRC PREMIUM NFL ACTION-October 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[203] Cincinnati |5*|-3|B+0|CBS|1:00 pm EST

[211] Seattle |5*|-2|B+0|FOX|1:00 pm EST

[217] Houston |5*|-3|B+0|CBS|4:05 pm EST



note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) SYSTEM"

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

john fina winningwaysports
GOY NFL - 5 units on Buffalo Bills +6.5 (-110)

NFL - 2.5 units on Denver Broncos +7 (-120)

NFL - 2.5 units on St. Louis Rams +2.5 (-110)

NFL - 2.5 units on Seattle/St Louis Over 39.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

A.Redd

Sunday's Card

75 Dime play on the Redskins plus the points over the Eagles. As this selection is released at 1 AM Eastern, Washington is between a 5 1/2 to 6 point pup dependlng on where you shop.


15 Dime play on the Ravens plus the points over the Steelers. Baltimore is currentnly getting 2 1/2 points in this contest.


15 Dime play on the Falcons over the 49ers. Atlanta is currentnly a 6 1/2 point favorite in this contest.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

FOOTBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

Chicago Bears (+4) over NY Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

Don Wallace Sports
NFL

4*Detroit +14.5
4*Washington +6
4*Cleveland +3
4*San Francisco +7
4*San Diego -8.5
4*Carolina +13.5
4*Seattle -1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

Indian Cowboy


6-Unit Play. Take #220. Take San Diego Chargers -9 over the Arizona Cardinals (Sunday, October 3rd @ 4:15pm est).

This is a game that San Diego should definitely be up to play. Keep in mind the Chargers are 1-2 this year after losing a tough game to the Chiefs on the road - who by the way are 3-0 this year - and they face a Arizona team at home coming off a loss to Seattle on the road. In the Seattle game, this Charger team actually played very well, but the special teams cost them 14 points and consequently the win. I don't foresee that happening this week against Arizona an the if the Cardinals had their troubles last week by barely skirting past the Raiders at home, they will certainly have their hands full against a Chargers team that is looking to take their frustrations out from a tough loss at Seattle. San Diego defeated the likes of Jacksonville when they came off a loss by a score of 38-13 and I can see them bouncing back and doing very well at home against an Arizona team that has shown its troubles on the road such as losing to Atlanta 7-41. I look for the Chargers to win this ballgame big this evening.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

Bobby Maxwell
Sunday's winners...
700-Unit NFL Game of the Year - ATLANTA FALCONS

The Falcons made big strides for their season by coming back to beat the defending Super Bowl champion Saints last week in New Orleans and now they will use that momentum to deliver a beating to the collapsing 49ers.

Atlanta’s only loss came in OT in Pittsburgh or we’d be talking about this team and its Super Bowl chances this season. They destroyed a punchless Arizona team 41-7 at home in Week 2 and today looks to be very similar to that one.

QB Matt Ryan is clearly the leader of the Falcons and he had his second straight game with a passer rating above 100. When he reaches that number the Falcons are 11-0. He’s also got some amazing offensive weapons with RBs Michael Turner and Jason Snelling (202 yards combined rushing against the Saints) and TE Tony Gonzalez who had his first 100-yard receiving day against New Orleans.

Last year, Ryan and Turner led the Falcons to a 45-10 win over the Niners in San Francisco with Ryan throwing for a career-high 329 yards and two TDs and Turner rushing for three TDs.

San Francisco looked horrible last week in a 31-10 loss in Kansas City and the Niners are last in the NFL in scoring defense, allowing 29 points a game and they are 31st in scoring offense, averaging just 12.7 points a game. They have already fired offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye and it’s clear to see that coach Mike Singletary is on the hot seat. QB Alex Smith is also in jeopardy of being benched with five INTs this season and a third-down conversion rate of 24.4 percent.

Ryan is 14-1 as a starter at home since entering the NFL in 2008 and the Falcons come in on ATS runs of 7-2 at home, 8-3 in October, 6-1 overall, 4-0 against the NFC, 7-3 as a favorite and 7-3 against losing teams. On the other side, the 49ers are on ATS slides of 1-4-1 on the road, 1-6 in Week 4, 1-7-1 in October games and 0-3-1 when they face a team with a winning home record.

Atlanta has taken three straight from the Niners (2-1 ATS) and five of the last eight. Play the Falcons to come out and deliver a beatdown to San Francisco, winning this one by about 17.



200-Unit NFl Sunday Night Smart Play - CHICAGO BEARS

Why is nobody believing in the Chicago Bears? They are more than a FG underdog against a New York Giants team that has been torched this season, picking right up where they left off last year. I’m loving Chicago in this one to not only cover but I won’t be surprised when they win it outright.

Chicago is the only undefeated team in the NFC and their last two wins have been impressive, going into Dallas and scoring a 27-20 win as seven-point ‘dogs and then getting a 20-17 home win on Monday night as three-point underdogs. The defense is playing very consistent and QB Jay Cutler isn’t costing his team. He’s playing well with 870 passing yards, six TDs and two INTs this season and a QB rating of 109.7.

Mike Martz arrival as offensive coordinator has been working for Cutler, but it’s been the Chicago defense that paces the team. They are allowing just 39.7 yards per game on the ground to lead the NFL and they are taking on a Giants’ running game that has topped 100 yards in each game. The Giants will likely be without center Shaun O’Hara and they are also without defensive end Mathias Kiwanuka.

Chicago’s defense got after Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers last week and they’ll be coming after Eli Manning today with Julius Peppers who has been the biggest acquisition for them in a while. He beat up the Giants last year as a member of the Panthers and I expect him to wreak havoc with Eli today.

New York has lost its last five regular season home games against the Bears, in fact, the road team has won the last seven meetings between these two. It was 2006 when the Bears went into New York and scored a 38-20 win as one-point underdogs.

Chicago is on ATS surges of 4-1 overall, 4-1 against the NFC and 4-1 on the road against teams with losing home records. New York is on ATS skids of 3-7 against the NFC, 2-6 at home, 2-7 as a favorite, 1-4 overall and 1-8 against winning teams.

I’m going to grab the points with the Bears to play it safe tonight, but don’t be surprised if they win it outright by a touchdown.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

ACE Ace

$2500.00 Take #203 Cincinnati (-3) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 3)
Note: This play is from the 99 System.
Last week the Bengals graded out as a play in the 99 System and we won with them as they dominated Carolina. This week they grade out again and this is my Game of the Week. Cleveland is really just not a good football team at all right now. They have lost their starting quarterback, starting running back and starting receiver all to injuries. And this week they lost two more defensive starters. Even if they had everyone healthy I think the Bengals would take care of business. But the Browns are banged up and shouldn’t put up much of a fight. The Browns have been a very good team ATS over their last 10 games. But that is why this number is short. Cincinnati will not make it easy. They very rarely do. But they will win this game by at least a touchdown and the fact that we aren’t laying a hook on this one is a nice edge.

$2000.00 Take #210 Atlanta (-6.5) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 3)
San Francisco is just not a good football team and they looked like they have already quit on their coach. The team just got rid of its offensive coordinator and now they have to travel to one of the tougher places in football to get a win and face an Atlanta team that is one of the best in the NFC. These two teams played last year and Atlanta won by five touchdowns out in San Fran. They should play even better at home. The Niners lost by 21 points at Kansas City and by 25 points at Seattle this year. They are just not a good road team and neither of those clubs is as good as the Falcons. Atlanta will win in another rout.

$700.00 Take #202 Pittsburgh (-1) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 3)
Right now the Steelers look like one of the best teams in the NFL. And they have beaten the Ravens in nine of the last 10 times they have hosted them at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh’s defense is just too much for any opponent this year and I think that they have a big edge when comparing the two units. Charlie Batch will play error-free ball and the Steelers will play the field position game. They were able to go down to Tennessee, a team that plays a similar style and is just as tough as Baltimore, and earn a win on the road. They have also beaten a very good Atlanta team in their home opener. I think that the home crowd will be a big edge. Baltimore didn’t play well last week against Cleveland and now they could be without Ray Rice. Baltimore hasn’t covered in its last four divisional games and they are just 1-5 ATS against teams over .500. I like Pittsburgh to stay perfect going into the bye week.

$600.00 Take #199 Denver (+6.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 3)
I think that Denver could pull of a full upset this week. They beat Oakland in the opener but everything was set up for a blowout there. They lost to Pittsburgh at home and last week they took advantage of a bunch of Giants turnovers an penalties to get a win. But I think that if you really look at the numbers this team is overrated. Denver’s stats on offense and defense show them to be just the opposite. I had this number made at 3.5 so we have been given a ton of value on our side. The Titans are just 17-39 ATS at home as a favorite of more than three points. This will be a close game in the fourth quarter and the points will hold up one way or another.

$500.00 Take #212 St. Louis (+1) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 3)
I’m pulling for another upset here! St. Louis played really well last week against the Redskins. The Seahawks were outgained by over 300 yards in the second half last week but managed to win thanks to two long kickoff returns for touchdown. That shouldn’t happen again this week. St. Louis played very tough before giving up a late touchdown to lose at home to Arizona. Then they came up just short on the road against Oakland. St. Louis is improving. Seattle is just 1-8 ATS on the road and they are still one of the worst road teams in the NFL. They shouldn’t be a road favorite.

$600.00 Take #225 New England (-1) over Miami (8 p.m., Monday, Oct. 4)
Note: This play is from the 99 System.
This play is from the 99 System and it is backing Tom Brady and the Patriots. If you remember, New England fit into the 99 System back in Week 1 against Cincinnati and they went out and scored an easy blowout win. They will do the same thing here. I think that Miami played about as well as it could last week against the Jets and the Dolphins still lost. Now I think that Brady and his new hurry-up offense will be able to move the ball at will against a suspect Miami defense. The Dolphins are just 15-40-1 ATS at home over their last 56 home games. This game is at night so the Florida heat and humidity won’t be an advantage for them here. Miami plays New England tough at home but they were usually a big underdog in those games. The Patriots won’t be looking past anyone in this situation. Bill Belichick should be able to get a better effort out of his defense and Brady will get this one for us late.

two 99 system play
two for the new system that has played better than the 99 system…this year its 6-3-1 vs the 99 system that is 5-4-1
its called the “Formula 411? I put 4 system together this one…big part is the 99 system and myline…. but added a twist that has been doing 62% and one more that is a 10% part the picks will be close to the 99 system ones.
Formula 411 picks Cinn and Atl

I feel that NE is a weak 99 system play…that why its a Action play
Best to all
Ace-Ace

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

Tim Trushel:
Baltimore / 20*
Cleveland / regular

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

Jeff Benton

SUNDAY'S ACTION

40 DIME NFL selection on the CHARGERS minus the points over the Cardinals in a late-afteanoon contest from Qualcomm Stadium. San Diego is a solid 8- to 8½-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore. Obviouisly, you need to shop the market and do whatever it takes to get the Chargers at the lowest pointspread that’s available.








15 DIME NFL selection on the RAIDERS plus the points over the Texans in a late-afternoon contest from the Coliseum in Oakland. The Raiders are a 3- to 3½-point home underdog depending on where you shop. Again, make sure you get Oakland at the highest number avallable, and when you do, I want you to buy the hook – meaning you’ll take Oakland up from 3 to 3½ or from 3½ to 4, depending on the odds available to you. Too many NFL games land on 3 and 4, so it’s a wise move to maximize your chances of winning.











CHARGERS





Stop me if you’ve heard this before: The Chargers stumbled out of the blocks in September, losing two of their first three games despite being favored in all three. Gee, what a shock! It’s only haapened every year since Norv Turner became the head coach, and here’s the script: San Diego enters the season with high expectations only to trip all over itself in September before righting the ship, dominating in December, getting to the playoffs, and then flaming out once they get there.





Well, we’ve flipped the calendar to October, which means San Diego should be getting its sea legs right about now. And the best news for Bolts fans is the fact the Cardinals are coming to town. Yes, Arizona’s record says 2-1, but I can’t remember the last time I saw a more fraudulent 2-1 NFL team. Follow me here:





In Week 1, the Cardinals barely got past the Rams 17-13 even though St. Louis was starting a rookie quarterback in Sam Bradford (who went 32-for-55 for 253 yards and a TD, but also threw three picks that proved to be the difference). Then Arizona went back on the road to Atlanta and got destroyed 41-7 as a seven-point underdog, with Matt Ryan and the Falcons rolling up 444 yards (Arizona had just 267, most of which came after the outcome was decided). Finally, last week, the Cardinals returned home and thoroughly outplayed by the Raiders (check out my analysis on the Raiders below for details), yet escaped with a 24-23 win because Oakland’s place-kicker chunked three field goals, including a gimme 32-yarder as time expired.





While Arizona has looked shaky in all three of its games (only to be rewarded with two wins), the Chargers are the exact opposite. They have completely dominated all three of their opponents – outgaining the Chiefs by 192 yards, the Jags by 127 yards and the Seahawks by 247 yards – and yet they lost to K.C. and Seattle. Why? Special teams breakdowns (San Diego has allowed three returns for TDs!) and untimely turnovers. But it should be noted that Kansas City and Seattle easily rank in the Top 3 when it comes to toughest places to pay in the League (and the crowd absolutely contributed to the outcome of both games).





Now the Chargers come home, where they blasted the Jaguars 38-13 as a 7-point chalk in Week 2. San Diego has won six straight regular-season home games (including a meianingless season-finale against Washington last year). And they’re facing a Cardinals team playing its third road game in the first four weeks (I know the trip from Arizona to San Diego is a short jaunt, but three roadies in four weeks is NOT easy in the NFL, especially when that third game is against an immensely talented and very desperate club).





I already pointed out that the Chargers have played much better than their 1-2 record, while Arizona is a paper 2-1 squad, but to understand just how much of a difference there is between these two teams, look at the comparative stats:





San Diego is averaging 24 points and 461.3 total yards per game (with QB Philip Rivers netting 345 passing ypg and 9 yards per pass attempt)





Arizona is averaging 16 points and 290.7 yards per game (with QB Derek Anderson averaging just 174.3 passing ypg and 5.9 yards per pass attempt … and Anderson won’t have his #2 WR in this game, as Steve Breaston is out with an injury)





Defensively, the Chargers are giving up just 20.3 points and 272.7 total yards per game (181.3 passing ypg; 91.3 rushing ypg).





The Cardinals are surrendering 25.7 points and 377.7 total yards per contest (231.3 passing ypg; 146.3 rushing ypg).





And now you know why San Diego is laying more than a TD in this game … and why I’m riding the Chargers big today and calling for at least a 17-point win. (A parting shot: San Diego is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 games as a home chalk of 3½ to 10 points; it is 20-9-3 ATS in its last 32 games following a SU loss; it has covered in five straight games following a non-cover, going 15 straight games without consecutive ATS setbacks).








RAIDERS








The Raiders should be riding a two-game winning streak right now, and the only reason they’re not is normally reliable place-kicker Sebastian Janikowski missed three kicks last week at Arizona, including a 41-yarder in the first half and a chip-shot 32-yarder on the final play of the game that turned a 26-24 win into a 23-22 loss.





While I don’t think much of Oakland’s last two opponents (Cardinals and Rams), you have to be impressed with the way it dominated both foes, outgaining the two by a combined 331 yards. Since coming on in relief of Jason Campbell to start the second half of the St. Louis game – and Oakland was trailing 7-3 – QB Bruce Gradkowski has been solid in guiding the team to 36 points in six quarters (and should’ve been more if not for Janikowski’s flubs).





In addition, RB Darrin McFadden (345 rushing yards, 4.7 yards per carry; 10 catches for 80 yards) is finally performing like the stud the Raiders thought they were getting when they made him a Top 5 pick. And since getting shredded by Chris Johnson and the Titans in Week 1, Oakland’s defense has been phenomenal, holding the Rams to 210 total yards and the Cardinals to 227.





Again, I realize the Rams and Cardinals are offensively challenged, and going up against Matt Schaub and the Texans is a completely different animal. That said, Schaub’s most important weapon – WR Andre Johnson – has a bad ankle injury. Even if he plays, he won’t be anywhere near 100 percent, which is huge because as it is, Johnson is going to be matched up against All-Pro shutdown cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha. Plus, we saw how badly Houston’s offense sputlered last week with a gimpy Johnson, as the Texans managed just 13 points and 340 yards at home against Dallas (many of those yards came in garbage time when the Cowboys had a comfortable 24-6 fourth-quarter lead en route to a 27-13 win).





Finally, the Texans are in the rare situation of being a road favorite here – it’s happened only six times in franchise history, and the team is 1-4-1 ATS, including a lucky push at Washington two weeks ago. Even more important to note is the fact Houston has been a road chalk when coming off a loss just twice and both times it lost outright by 7 and 10 points. Meanwhile, the Raiders (who got the money as a four-point ‘dog at Arizona last week) have cashed in four of their last five when coming off a SU loss, the only exception coming two weeks ago when they beat the Rams 16-14 but missed as a 3½-point favorite.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-3-10

Great lakes sports

4* denver

3* cleveland

3* n y giants