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Re: 10-23-08
teddy june
West Virginia
Air Force under
teddy june
West Virginia
Air Force under
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Re: 10-23-08
DOC
3 Unit Play. #6 Take Over in Auburn @ West Virginia (Thursday 7:45 pm ESPN) Granted Auburn has no offense but the West Virginia defense should allow them to score 20 plus points as this battle in Morgantown takes place. QB White is probable for this game and he is the main component of what makes this West Virginia team tick. The Mountaineers have won three straight games and averaged 23 points per game during this span. Any number is the thirties is too low for college football considering that the clock still stops on first downs and the spread offense of the Mountaineers will make for a four hour game and we will not worry if they can cover the spread and just collect on the over.Comment
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Re: 10-23-08
MIKE HANZELEK
Take the New Mexico Lobos but I'm I say take them @ the key number of + 7 1/2. I feel NM can win this game outright as Head Coach Rocky Long is well versed against the option. Last week, the Air Force attack received the matador defense from the Rebs in the 4th Qtr. vs. UNLV. Don't expect it again against a much quicker Lobos defense who close the gaps quite well. Air Force is 1-2 ATS @ Home & have big-time rival Army on deck. The Falcons are also 3-7 off an ATS loss. Troy Calhoun's Flyboys are 1-6 before taking on the above-mentioned Army Cadets. New Mexico has a breed of confidence going. They're 5-0 on grass ATS their L5 & carry a 17-5-2 ATS road record versus a team with a winning record. The visitor has also covered nicely historically in New Mexico games going 30-18 ATS. The kicker is the Lobos 16-3-1 ATS record as a road dog off back-to-back ATS wins! I say, "Don't knock the Rock" and stick $200 on New Mexico + 7 1/2 on the buy!
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Re: 10-23-08
Lenny Del Genio
25* World Series Game of the YEAR
Play on Tampa Bay
As predicted here, the Phillies got the road win they needed in Game One behind ace Cole Hamels, but asking them to win back-to-back games against the best home team in the majors is too much. Tonight, they have Brett Myers, not Cole Hamels, on the hill. Philadelphia has lost 11 of Myers? 16 road starts this season and his ERA outside the City of the Brotherly Love is a pitiful 6.21. Rays? Game 2 starter James Shields, on the other hand, has been sensational at home this year. Tampa Bay has won 14 of his 17 starts at Tropicana Field. And while the Rays offense struggles vs. lefties (as noted yesterday), they demolish righties to the tune of 5.1 runs/per game. After scoring two runs or less this season, the Rays are 33-12 in their next game. Tampa Bay is our 25* World Series Game of the Year.Comment
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Re: 10-23-08
ASA
College Football Picks
10/23/2008
6:45:00 PM Auburn Tigers (+3)
over WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS
ASA 3-STAR #103 Auburn (+3) over West Virginia, Thursday, October. 23rd - 6:45 pm CST.
Many are down on Auburn and we’re not enamored with their offense, however this is a solid spot to jump on them as a dog. This is only the second time this year that the Tigers are coming into a game and not expected to win. Tommy Tuberville has historically thrived as an underdog racking up a 14-5 ATS record when getting points going back to the beginning of the 2002 season. The Tigers lost their only game in the underdog role this year when LSU scored a come from behind TD with just 1:00 minute left in the game to grab a 26-21 win as a 2-point favorite. These two teams have scared bettors away with their combined 2-10 spread record. However, Auburn is the better team in our opinion despite the fact they have struggled on offense and lost 3 of their last 4 games. First of all, the Tigers are much better and faster on defense. They have a stop unit that matches up very well against the spread option attack that West Virginia runs. They also have a coordinator that knows how to beat it. First year Auburn defensive coordinator Paul Rhoads actually held the same position for the last eight seasons at Pitt. And why is that significant? First of all because he’s coached against the WVU offense for the previous eight years as the Panthers DC. Secondly, he took Pitt to Morgantown last year and held a prolific Mountaineer offense to just 9 points and 183 total yards in last year’s huge Pitt 13-9 upset. That was a West Virginia offense that averaged 39 PPG and 450 total yards per game. This year’s version is MUCH more pedestrian putting up just 22 PPG and 342 YPG on offense. Rhoads has a significantly better defense to work with this year and he is facing an offense that is nowhere near as potent as last year. The Auburn defense should do well in this one. WVU QB Pat White is back in the line up for this game, however he didn’t have the Neer’s really clicking on offense when he was on the field. He’s struggled to move the ball for much of the season averaging just 17 PPG their last five games. Now he faces the best defense he has seen BY FAR this year. In fact, of the five Division 1A teams that West Virginia has faced this year, the highest ranked defense they have seen is Rutgers who is 42nd nationally. Auburn is in the top 15 in yards allowed and the top 10 in points allowed at just 13 PPG. To say the Auburn offense has struggled is definitely an understatement. However, they have now had two weeks since the firing of offensive coordinator Tony Franklin to tweak the offense to their liking. They have also nearly two weeks off since their last game to attempt to get the offense rolling. Franklin implemented the spread however, look for Auburn to go back to their bread and butter which is the running attack. They have two solid RB’s in Ben Tate and Brad Lester and they have been under utilized this year. Not anymore. Auburn has played the tougher schedule and is from the much better conference. We’ll take a great defense from the SEC as an underdog against a team from the weak Big East. Auburn rights the ship and gets back in the winning column on Thursday night.Comment
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Re: 10-23-08
Stu's 50 DIME World Series Game 2 Winner(SF1)
Philadelphia (Myers) at Tampa Bay (Shields) - 8:20 p.m. EST
Bottom line here is that after dropping Game 1 last night, if the Rays want to have any chance of capturing this Fall Classic then tonight is an absolute must win. And they will get it. We’re talking about a team that has won 57 of its last 77 home games and every time this year when its backs were against the wall, the Rays responded. And they will tonight in Game 2 behind James Shields. They have won 15 of his last 22 starts overall and 20 of his last 27 at home. He has surrendered three earned runs or less in 18 of his last 22 starts, including the last five straight. In 20 starts this year at Tropicana Field, he went 10-4 with a 2.74 ERA. For the Phils, it’s Brett Meyers, who has a losing record (12-13) and a bloated ERA (4.59). He hasn’t pitched since Oct. 10 when he got rocked by the Dodgers for five runs on six hits and four walks in five frames. He has a 5.25 ERA in two playoff starts and went 3-8 with a 6.21 ERA on the road this year. The Phils won just five of his 19 road starts and they’re not winning this one as the Rays bounce back and take this Game 2.
TAMPA BAY (Shields) (-150) 50 Dimes
Stu's Thursday 50 DIME CFB Winner #1 (SF2)
Auburn (38) at West Virginia (-2') - 7:45 p.m. EST
Points will be at a premium tonight in Morgantown and this SEC-Big East game is destined to stay under the posted price. Both teams are struggling on the offensive side of the football and but getting the job done defensively. Auburn ranks 107th in the country in total offense and 97th in scoring offense. But defensively, the Tigers are big and fast and rank ninth in the country in scoring defense. A big reason for that is they ranked second in the country in third down defense. The Mountaineers rank 79th in total offense and 82nd in scoring offenses, while their underrated defense ranks a solid 15th in scoring defense. Auburn has already fired in offensive coordinator this year as this Tiger offense is totally out of sync. They scored just three points at Mississippi State and 13 at Vanderbilt. Tonight, they’re changing quarterbacks as the hardly-tested Kodi Burns gets the start under center. His stats for the season aren’t impressive as he is 17-for-43 for 198 yards with no scores and three picks. Look for Auburn to turn to its running attack and play ball-control offense. The Mountaineers have a solid QB in Pat White, but he’s back from a concussion and did not play in West Virginia’s most recent game, a lackluster 17-6 win over Syracuse when the Mountaineers needed a long TD run late in the game to ice it. Even with White playing, the Mountaineer passing game this year has very sub-par. Auburn’s defense will come to play tonight. Oh, and the Tigers defensive coordinator, Paul Rhoads, served in that same capacity last year at Pittsburgh when he developed a game-plan that limited a far more potent Mountaineer offense to just 183 yards and nine points in Pitt’s upset win in the regular season finale. Auburn has stayed under in seven of its last nine overall, six of eight on the road and five of seven non-conference games. The Mountaineers have stayed low in all five lined games this year and six of their last seven non-conference tilts. This too will be a low-scoring affair as it stays under with ease.
UNDER (38) 50 Dimes
Stu's 50 DIME Mountain West GOW (SF3)
New Mexico (+5) at Air Force (45') - 8 p.m. EST
Key Mountain West Conference game tonight as the winner will have the inside track to the conference’s fourth bowl tie-in behind league heavyweights Utah, TCU and BYU. This game will be close, but take the points as New Mexico will be in this one throughout and will have an opportunity in the fourth quarter to steal this one outright. Everyone knows how potent the Falcon rushing attack, but the Lobos face this offense every year and they’ve been stout against the run this season. New Mexico, which has won three of its last four (played gamely in 21-3 loss at BYU) with last week’s 70-7 trashing of San Diego State, is allowing just 104.4 yards per game and 3.2 yards per rush. They’ve also come up with 17 sacks and 17 takeaways this season as this is unit that has come up with big plays all yaer. Coach Rocky Long has a very fast defense and look for them to stretch the Falcons’ triple-option attack more east-west than north-south. The Lobos, who have covered four straight, can run the football rather well, too, as they piled up 419 yards on the ground last week and are averaging 293 yards on the ground the last four weeks. Air Force key defensive end Jake Paulson injured his shoulder in last week’s comeback win at UNLV. He should be able to go tonight, but he’s not 100 percent by any means and that hurts the Falcons’ defense. The Lobos have also found they can pass it some too as QBs Brad Gruner and Tate Smith can make plays downfield if the Falcons bottle up the Lobo run game. Air Force has also been sub-par on third down defense (41%). New Mexico got to rest a lot of starters in last week’s 63-point win over the Aztecs and they enter this game on series’ runs of 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS after last year’s three-point home win over Air Force. They’re on ATS runs of 4-1 in MWC play, 19-9-2 on the road and 18-8 as a highway pup. Long knows how to get his troops to play well away from home. The Falcons have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 of a non-covering victory and this is just too many points for them to cover tonight. The Lobos have their swagger and they will stay inside this price.
NEW MEXICO (+5) 50 DimesComment
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