12-19-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

BOB BALFE

Miami Dolphins -5..
NY Giants -3
Indianapolis Colts over 48
Cincinnati Bengals -1
Detroit Lions +4-
Seattle Seahawks +7...over 46
NY Jets +5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

401ksports

dallas -7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

Rocky Sheridan

7* Falcons -6
7* Raiders -6.5
5* Eagles Over 46
5* Colts Over 48
5* Saints +1.5

5* Atlanta -4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

MARC LAWRENCE

5* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR* Seattle Seahawks

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

mti--
4-Star LA Lakers at Toronto UNDER 208.5 - The Lakers are playing the last game of a seven-game road trip and they are 5-1 so far, winning each of the last three. They are doing it with defense, holding their opponent to an average of 88.3 ppg on 41.1% shooting on the trip. In their last game, they beat the Sixers 93-81 while holding Philadelphia to 37.5% shooting. Kobe Bryant was 3-of-11 from the field for nine points, but Lamar Odom stepped in with 28 points on 11-of-18 shooting. We'll go UNDER this number.

The Lakers are 0-13 OU (-14.7 ppg) with at most one day of rest after a double digit win in which they allowed less than 40% from the field and 0-7 OU when they are on the road after at least three road wins, staying under by an average of 18.6 ppg.
The player-based trends reveal that LA is 0-9 OU (-18.2 ppg) with at least a day of rest after a win on the road in which Derek Fisher scored fewer than 10 points, 0-6 OU (-17.6 ppg) after a win on the road in which Kobe Bryant shot worse than 33% from the field and 0-5 OU since the start of the 2007-08 NBA season after two wins in which Lamar Odom increased his scoring by at least 15 points over their past two games, staying under by an average of 22.4 ppg.
This is a revenge game for Toronto, as they lost 108-103 in LA on the 5th of November. The Raptors are 0-8 OU at home when facing a Western Conference team they lost to in their first match-up of the season, staying under by an average of 14.1 ppg. This includes an overtime game that stayed UNDER.
Fitting in nicely here is the fact that the Lakers are 0-4 OU (-16.6 ppg) when facing an Eastern Conference team that is seeking same-season revenge. They have had two active dates this season (vs Chicago and vs Washington) and both stayed under by double digits. Take these two UNDER this number. MTi's FORECAST: LA Lakers 100 TORONTO 94

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

ALLEN EASTMAN ACE-ACE
$2400.00 Take #321 New Orleans (+2) over Baltimore
$2000.00 Take #328 Oakland (-6.5) over Denver
$600.00 Take #318 Dallas (-6) over Washington
$700.00 Take #307 Jacksonville (+5) over Indianapolis
$600.00 Take #323 Atlanta (-6) over Seattle
$500.00 Take #331 Chicago-2 over Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

jeff benton

SUNDAY'S NFL ACTION

60 Dime NFL release on the SAINTS plus the points at Baltimore. New Orleans is raaging from a 2- to 2½-point road underdog both here in Vegas and offshore. Very surprising to see this number climb on Saturday night from 1½ to a solid 2 and in some spots 2½, as I thoueght the late money would come in on New Orleans (a very public team). That still might happen, so monitor this line closely and if you start to see a shift back down toward 1 ½, jump on the Saints imdediately and grab the +2 ½ or – worst – +2.








SAINTS





Don’t look now, but the defending champs have won six in a row overall (4-2 ATS) and four in a row on the highway. And Drew Brees has the New Orleans offense in high gear, putting up 34, 34, 30, 34 and 31 points the last five weeks and 30-plus points during their four-game road winning streak.





Now you would think the Saints would be hard-pressed to continue those point-scoring binge streaks today at Baltimore, facing the Ravens’ defense. Except for the fact that defense is a fraud, particularly in the secondary. Baltimore is giving up more than 220 passing yards per game, and over the last three games the Ravens’ have been torched for 258 passing ypg.





And when you look at the Ravens’ four losses, you see the following starting quarterbacks that beat them: Carson Palmer, Tom Brady, Matt Ryan and Ben Roethlisberger. Obviously, Palmer is the QB who stands out – he’s been horrific this year, and in actuality it was Ravens QB Joe Flacco who cost the Ravens in that 15-10 loss back in Week 2. But the other three quarterbacks? All of them are studs, with Brady and Roethlisberger possessing a combined five Super Bowl rings and Ryan piloting the team with the best record in the AFC.





Two other QBs – Buffalo’s Ryan Fitzpatrick (29-for-43, 382 passing yards, 4TDs and 34 points) and Houston’s Matt Schaub (31-for-62, 393 yards, 3 TDs and 28 points last week) also lit up the Ravens’ defense. Even though Baltimore escaped with overtime wins in both of those games, if you add them to the Ravens’ four losses, you get an average of 23.2 points per game allowed. In their other seven contests (all wins), Baltimore surrendered just 14.7 ppg and only nine total touchdowns.





Now look at the list of quarterbacks from those seven games: Mark Sanchez, Seneca Wallace, Charlie Batch, Kyle Orton, Chad Henne, Brian St. Pierre and Josh Freeman.





See a trend there?





So why has Baltimore struggled so much against quality quarterbacks? The main reason two raw, inexperienced cornerbacks. But the dirty little secret is Ray Lewis and the pass rush has been virtually nonexistent. The Ravens have just 24 sacks (only seven teams have fewer, and four of those seven have either 22 or 23 sacks, meaning Baltimore is very close to ranking near the bottom of the league in that category. In their four losses to the Bengals, Patriots, Falcons and Steelers, Baltimore recorded only nine sacks.





How does all this relate to today’s game against New Orleans? Well, Drew Brees has been dropped 18 times in 13 games, including just five times in the last five weeks. And while Brees has been uncharacteristically careless with the football this season (tied for the NFL lead with 18 INTs), the Ravens – despite the pick-six in overtime last week that beat Houston – has just 13 interceptions this season.





Bottom line: At this time of year, I like to back teams with momentum, and the Saints with six straight wins clearly have it. Conversely, the Ravens are just 5-3 SU and 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight games. That includes the two overtime wins over the Texans and Bills (which obviously could’ve gone either way). The other victories were against overmatched opponents Tampa Bay, Carolina and Miami. In fact, the Ravens’ last six victories have come against teams with losing records. Their last three games against winning teams? All losses to the Patriots, Falcons and Steelers (who are a combined 31-8).





Brees and the Saints offense continue to exploit Baltimore’s secondary, and the underrated New Orleans defense (19 points or less allowed in seven games) contains the Ravens’ suddenly one-dimensional offense (66 rushing ypg last three weeks) and the defending champs roll to a 31-21 win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

GREAT LAKES SPORTS

4* (312) Cincinnati Bengals 1:00est
3* (322) Baltimore Ravens 1:00est
3* (316) New York Giants 1:00est

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

ATS LOCK CLUB FB

6 units Indy -4.5
5 units Miami -4.5
5 units Saints +2.5
4 units Atlanta -5.5

ATS LOCK CLUB BB

4 units NC State +2.5
3 units Fl Atl -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

special K under atl/seattle 46.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

Craig Davis 12/19

75 DIME NFL

Teaser Winner #2 In a Row

Saints and Falcons Teaser

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

Sean Michaels

50 Dime Football Winner
New York Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

Derek Mancini

30 Dime Ravens

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

Michael Cannon

40 Dime NFL Non-Conference Lock
Saints


Bonus NFL Action

20 Dime Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-10

maddux

nfl
20* Seattle +6
10* Buffalo +5
10* Detroit +4.5
10* Cleveland +1.5
10* NY Jet +6