6-19-11

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Brewers
Rockies
D'Backs

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Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day:
Indians -150 over Pirates

Sportsbook Investing

Play of the Day:
Indians -150 over Pirates

Soccer Crusher

Play of the Day:
PortlandTimbers + NewYorkRedBulls UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in United States

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MLB
Write-Up


Sunday, June 19

Remember as interleague play starts, there are DHs used in games in the American League ballparks; pitchers bat in National League parks.

AL teams are 39-31 vs NL teams so far in interleague play.
Over is 18-17-1 in AL parks, 13-18-3 in NL parks, 31-35-4 overall.

Hot pitchers
-- Norris is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Karstens is 2-1, 1.42 in his last five starts.
-- Toronto is 5-0 when Villanueva starts (3-0, 4.76), scoring 39 runs.
-- Niese is 3-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
-- Jakubauskus is 1-0, 3.48 in two starts for the Orioles.
-- Gallardo is 3-1, 2.25 in his last five starts.
-- Shields has a 2.15 RA in seven home starts this season.
-- Liriano is 2-1, 1.73 in his last four starts. Moseley is 1-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
-- Garcia is 1-1, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 1.08 in his last three starts.
-- Humber is 3-0, 2.68 in his last five starts. Collmenter has a 2.65 RA in his last three starts.
-- Cain is 3-0, 2.78 in his last three starts.
-- Hamels is 5-0, 1.57 in his last six starts.
-- Sabathia is 5-1, 3.23 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Kuroda is 0-5, 5.65 in his last five starts.
-- Masterson is 0-5, 5.08 in his last seven starts.
-- Arroyo is 2-3, 7.64 in his last six starts.
-- Chatwood is 0-2, 5.25 in his last four starts.
-- Jurrjens is 1-2, 4.82 in his last three starts. Ogando has a 5.02 RA in his last four starts.
-- Gorzelanny was 0-2, 7.63 in his last three starts before going on DL.
-- Wakefield is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Volstad is 0-6, 6.39 in his last nine starts.
-- Duffy is 1-2, 5.57 in his last four starts.
-- Cook is 0-1, 3.97 in two starts this season.
-- Cahill is 0-5, 6.35 in his last seven starts.
-- Vargas is 1-2, 5.52 in his last five starts.
-- Wells is 0-1, 7.50 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Six of last nine Houston road games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Wells starts went over the total.
-- Five of last six Masterson starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Washington home games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Arroyo's last three home starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten games at Citi Field.
-- Nine of last twelve Tampa Bay home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Jurrjens starts.
-- Six of last eight San Diego games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven St Louis games.
-- Nine of last twelve games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona home games stayed under total.
-- Nine of Giants' last eleven games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in Hamels starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Bronx won seven of its last nine games. Cubs won four of six.
-- Pirates won nine of their last fourteen road games, but lost last two, both by 5-1 scores. Indians won three of their last four games.
-- Washington won its last eight games, allowing 18 runs.
-- Red Sox won 12 of their last 14 games.
-- Toronto won four of its last five games.
-- Mets are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
-- Minnesota won 13 of its last 15 games.
-- Tampa Bay is 8-4 in its last twelve games.
-- Colorado won its last four games, scoring 30 runs.
-- A's won their last four games, allowing nine runs.
-- Phillies won eight of their last nine games. Mariners won 11 of their last 17 home games.

Cold Teams
-- Astros lost 11 of their last 15 games, but won last two. Los Angeles lost its last six home games.
-- Orioles lost six of their last seven games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last six games.
-- Cincinnati lost its last three home games, scoring three runs.
-- Angels lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Florida lost 17 of its last 18 games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last seven games. Braves lost five of their last six games.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last eight games. Royals lost 11 of their last 16 road games.
-- Tigers lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona is 2-3 in its last five games, scoring total of 11 runs in its last four ballgames.
-- Giants are 6-9 in their last fifteen road games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.

Umpires
-- Hst-LA-- Home team won five of last six Nelson games.
-- Blt-Wsh-- Favorites won eight of last nine Drake games.
-- Mil-Bos-- Six of last eight Miller games stayed under the total.
-- Tex-Atl-- Four of last five Blaser games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-Clev-- Eight of last ten Kulpa games stayed under the total.
-- SD-Minn-- Six of last eight Layne games stayed under the total.
-- Fla-TB-- Underdogs won five of last seven Runge games.
-- LAA-NY-- Three of last four Everitt games stayed under total.
-- Tor-Cin-- Six of last eight Iassogna games went over total.
-- KC-StL-- Five of last six Hickox games stayed under the total.
-- Det-Col-- Five of last six Cederstrom games went over the total.
-- Chi-Az-- Five of last six West games went over the total.
-- SF-A's-- Over is 9-2-2 in Barry games so far this season.
-- Phil-Sea-- Over is 11-2 in last thirteen Demuth games.
-- NY-Chi-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Tichenor games.

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SPORTS WAGERS

Houston +140 over LOS ANGELES

Bud Norris has a 90+ BPV in the first, second, and third times he goes through lineups. This consistency bodes well for his development into one of the game's premium young pitchers and his sub-4.00 xERA confirms that his current 3.67 ERA is no fluke. In 88 innings, Norris has struck out 90 batters. In June he’s made three starts thus far and in 21 innings over that span he’s allowed 13 hits, six runs and struck out 17 for an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.05. The Dodgers offense has been anemic all season at home (.627 OPS) and they’ve scored three times on the Astros in the first two games of this series. By contrast, the Astros have scored seven runs two games in a row here and will face Hiroki Kuroda. The Dodgers have lost Kuroda’s last five starts and they've lost seven if his last nine starts overall. In his last two starts at Chavez Ravine, Kuroda has allowed 17 hits and nine runs in 12 innings. Overall, the Dodgers have dropped five in a row and eight of their last 10 games. L.A. appears to be going through the motions lately, they’re now 10 games under .500 and they’re in an awful state of mind. Astros offer up great value here with their best hurler going. Play: Houston +140 (Risking 2 units).


Detroit –1½ +129 over COLORADO

What Justin Verlander is doing right now is just plain sick. He’s dominating every line-up he faces and over his last two starts he’s struck out 22 batters while walking two. Verlander’s BAA is .185 and he’s struck out 105 batters overall in 111 frames. The Tigers have lost once in Verlander’s last eight starts and that lone loss was against the Red Sox, 4-3. Verlander got a no-decision. Overall, he has a 0.89 WHIP but in three June starts that WHIP is even lower at 0.68. The man is putting up Koufax-like numbers and his mound opponent is an old stiff that can’t throw strikes consistently anymore and can’t do much of anything else either. Aaron Cook has made two starts since coming off the DL but starts were against the Padres. In 11.1 innings Cook walked six, gave up 11 hits and five runs and struck out six. That was against the worst offense in the league. Against the Tigers he has two chances for success, slim and none. His skills have always been suspect, especially his low strikeout rate. In prior years he always managed to limit the damage and escape several jams each game. Those days are gone and Cook is a guy you should always be looking to wager against because the absolute only reason the Rocks are using him is because they have to pay him 10M this season. Play: Detroit –1½ +129 (Risking 2 units).


TAMPA BAY –1½ +117 over Florida

Losing takes its toll big time and right now the Marlins can’t find a single win nor can they find a place to run and hide. The Marlins have one win in 18 games. They’ve lost nine in a row and only one of those losses were by a single run. They’re getting beaten up on a daily basis and that makes coming to the park near intolerable. The Fish will have to face James Shields here and Shields is coming off one of the most dominating performances of the year by anyone when he threw a complete game, five-hit shutout against the then scorching bats of the Red Sox. Shields has always been a skilled pitcher. Yet his 2010 stats failed to reflect his skills. So far in 2011, the stats and skills are more closely aligned, as Shields has an outstanding strikeout rate, a GB tilt and elite command. It’s no mystery as to why his ERA is 2.60. At the Trop, Shields’ ERA is 1.99. For the Marlins, Chris Volstad is 2-7 with an ERA of 6.07. On the road he’s 0-3 with an ERA of 8.57. The Marlins have lost Volstad’s last four starts and over that stretch have been outscored 30-9. In the frame of mind that the Marlins are in, they know they’re going to lose this one before they even step between the lines and they’re right. Play: Tampa Bay –1½ +117 (Risking 2 units).

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COMPUTER PLAYS

SUNDAY COMPUTER PLAY
50* MLB CINCINNATI REDS -125 OVER Toronto Blue Jays

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JOE WIZ

DAILY FREE PICK

Under 9 runs bet. Arizona and Chicago

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Silver Key

Free Pick for Sunday ML Baseball

MINNESOTA -150 over San Diego

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Chris Jordan

200 TB Rays RUN LINE + 110

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Owad

double guarantee
tigers

5* mlb best bet
mets

3* mlb best bet
twins

3* mlb best bet
rays runline -1.5

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RICKENBACH

3 for 1 Totals Trifecta -
8* Toronto Over
8* Boston Over
8* Baltimore Over

Top Play Slugfest -
10 * Arizona Over

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FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

MLB Baseball Sunday
Play Tampa Bay (-185) over Florida (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 1:40 PM EST

Florida has lost 17 of the last 18 games and they have also lost 3 consecutive games as an underdog of +175 to +250. Chris Volstad is 0-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 8.51 and he is 0-3 over the last three overall starts with an ERA of 6.51.

Play St. Louis (-190) over Kansas City (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 2:10 PM EST

Kansas City has lost 20 of the last 24 road games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 36 of the last 50 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Danny Duffy has lost 4 consecutive games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he is 1-2 over the last three starts with an ERA of 6.00.
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Play NY Yankees (-170) over Chicago Cubs (Bonus)

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Richie Carrera

Milwaukee +100 over BOSTON 5 Dimes

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Benton


40 dime TIGERS
20 dime NATIONALS

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Blasscyk

Winning day for Blasscyk yesterday.

Game #1

Los Angeles (34-38) at New York (35-36) 1:10pm est
907 Los Angeles Angels ML +129 *3 UNITS* (The Greek)

Game #2

Houston (27-45) at Los Angeles (31-41) 4:10pm est
901 Houston Astros ML +137 *2 UNITS* (The Greek)

Game #3

Milwaukee (40-32) at Boston (42-28) 1:35pm est
914 Boston Red Sox ML (-110) *5 UNITS* (The Greek)

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TNTSPORTSPICKS

Executive Club
Texas -106 (play of day)
Tampa -195
Oakland -107