6-24-11

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Sport System Specialists

PHI -1.5 +135 risking 3

NYY -1.5 +150 risking 2

BOS -1.5 +105 risking 4,5

ATL -1.5 +170 risking 2

CIN -1.5 +135 risking 6,75

STL -1.5 +200 risking 6,75

TEX -1.5 +135 risking 4,5

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BASEBALL PROPHET

Arizona Diamondbacks-Detroit Tigers OVER 9.5

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THESE ARE COMP PLAYS

Vegas Experts

Cleveland Indians at San Francisco Giants

The Indians have some really terrible numbers when visiting NL parks dating back to 2008, losing 21 of 27 with only 3.8 runs per game. Opponents have hits just 27 homers in San Francisco's AT&T Park this season and AL teams have scored just 16 runs total here in 64 innings. The Giants are 21-7 at home after allowing one run or less in their previous game.

Play on: San Francisco

Rocketman

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: Los Angeles Angels

LA Angels are 31-14 last 3 years in Inter-League play. LA Angels bullpen has a 3.52 ERA overall this year. LA Dodgers are scoring only 3 runs per game at home this year. Dan Haren is 6-5 with a 2.96 ERA overall this year and 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA on the road this season. Rubby De La Rosa is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA at home this year. LA Angels are 5-1 at the LA Dodgers the past 3 years. Haren has a 3.11 ERA overall vs LA Dodgers since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Angels tonight!


Steve Merril

Rockies vs. Yankees
Play: Under 9

The Yankees return home after a 4-2 road trip thru Chicago and Cincinnati. Now they welcome the Rockies to town on Friday night. A.J. Burnett gets the start. He's 7-5 with a 4.05 ERA in 15 starts. The righty has given up 3 runs and nine hits over his last 13 innings of work while striking out 16 and walking only four. Burnett last faced the Rockies way back in 2004 and gave up 1 run and five hits in eight innings while striking out 14. Jason Giambi (5-23) and Ty Wigginton (8-38) have terrible numbers against Burnett. Even with Colorado's recent road outburst, they are still hitting .237 as a team away from Coors Field. They have gone Under the total in 19 of their 36 road games. The Yankees’ bullpen is 5-3 with a 3.06 ERA at home converting 11 saves out of 15 chances. Ubaldo Jimenez may be struggling this season, but he has pitched much better on the road. Jimenez is 1-2 with a 2.06 ERA in five road starts striking out 33 while walking only 14. Jimenez has given up 7 earned runs over his last 17.3 innings of work. He has never started against the Yankees, but he's had success against Andruw Jones (1-5), Chris Dickerson (1-6) and Mark Teixeira (0-8). The Yankees have scored just 29 runs over their last seven games with 10 of those runs coming in one game. Colorado's bullpen is 5-8 with a 3.26 ERA on the road converting 14 of their 21 save chances. We’ll recommend the Under in this game as we expect a low-scoring game between the Rockies and Yankees.


Tony George

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Play: Milwaukee Brewers

Maybe a set up as Minny is hot, 8-2 their last 10, but the Twins not a great road team and I will back Randy Wolf to have a good outing tonight after some solid starts as of late, and a 1.31 ERA his last 3. Scott Baker is a solid pitcher for Minny, but this game falls into a category I like to look at on FRIDAY SERIES OPENING GAMES.

I like to go against teams who do not start weekend series off with a win. Many teams, especially HOME TEAMS like to really focus in on that opener and win the first game out of the gate but in this case I look at the road team who in the last 15 Friday series opening games, Minnesota has won just 4 of them, and they are playing over their heads right now in my opinion and I like the Brew Crew who have won 36 out of their last 53 home games to get over on Minny with Wolf going 7 innings.

No doubt Minnys bullpen has been stellar as of late, but home teams in Interleauge have an advantage. The Twins behind Baker as a starter have won just 3 out of his last 9 roadies.


Tom Freese

Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction: Boston Red Sox

This line is a little bit higher than I typically play, but the Red Sox should roll behind Jon Lester tonight at Pittsburgh. Lester is 6-0 on the road this season and the Boston offense simply scores at way too high a rate for the Bucs to compete. Boston averages 5.4 runs per game while the Pirates are at just 3.3 per game here at PNC and 3.8 vs. lefties. Bucs starter Maholm is one of the bigger money losers in MLB at 4-11 and -7.1 units. 10* on Boston.

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THESE ARE COMP PLAYS

Marc Lawrence

Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals
Prediction: Kansas City Royals

The Royals and Cubs meet in Kansas City in the opener of this three-game Interleague matchup Friday night where Bruce Chen matches serves with Ryan Dempster. Chen gains his 'born again' chance into the starting rotation knowing his ERA at home (3.060 is a full two runs better than his road ERA (5.23) this season. On the flip side, Dempster has struggled away from home this season, where his road ERA (7.53) is more than three runs worse than his home ERA (4.21). With that look for the Cubs to slip to 4-13 against the A.L. Central here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Kansas City.


Matt Fargo

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: Los Angeles Angels

The Angels remain a better road team than a home team as they are three games over .500 on the road following three straight 2-1 series wins on this current roadtrip. This 6-3 run has got them back to two games under .500 for the season and they now trail the Rangers by just three games in the American League West. The Dodgers meanwhile took two of three from Detroit to help improve its recent homestand after starting 0-5 in their first five games at home. The loss on Wednesday dropped them to eight games under .500 overall and four games under .500 at home as they are now in fourth place in the National League West, trailing Arizona by eight games. Dan Haren is coming off his worst start of the season and that only means he is prime for a bounceback tonight. He allowed six runs in just four innings against the Mets and that was just his third non-quality start of the season. He followed up his other two poor performances with quality games, both resulting in Angels wins. The Dodgers counter with Rubby De La Rosa who is also coming off his worst start of the season. The difference here however is that he has made only three starts this season and we have yet to see how he is going to react coming off a rough outing. The Angels are 23-10 in their last 33 interleague games against right-handed starters. 3* Los Angeles Angels


Frank Jordan

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees
Play: New York Yankees

Colorado has Ubaldo Jimenez on the mound, who after last season was unhittable is anything but this year as he is just 2-7 with an era over 4.65. In 2010 Jimenez had just eight total losses has seven right now and heading into Yankee Stadium an eighth is likely to happen. AJ Burnett is going for the Yankees and most thought in this matchup he would have the worse of the two numbers, but he has pitched well going 7-5 thus far this year with an era just over 4. Look for Jimenez's struggles to continue as Burnett throws a gem and the Yankee bats explode. Play NY Yankees


David Chan

Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres
PICK: Atlanta Braves

I bet value where I see it and look for the Braves to scalp the Friars on Friday night.

Derek Lowe (3-5, 4.10 ERA) gets the start for Atlanta.

Lowe is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up four runs off seven hits over five frames of work in his teams' 5-4 loss over 10 innings to the Rangers last Saturday; he finished with two K's and no walks.

He'll look to return to form against a team that he had plenty of success against last season though; Lowe had a 3.00 ERA to go along with eight K's vs. the Padres last year.

Tim Stauffer (2-5, 3.13 ERA) gets the start for San Diego.

Stauffer allowed one run on six hits with five K's over seven frames of work in a 1-0 loss to the Twins on Saturday.

Stauffer has been throwing the ball well, but has just a single win over his last three starts.

But Stauffer has been the victim of poor run support, and I expect this to be a factor again on Friday night (note that San Diego has scored a combined two runs over his last 22-innings of work).

The starters are a "wash"; the difference is at the plate and the Braves enjoy the significant advantage in that department on Friday; all signs point to a comfortable Atlanta victory!


Nick Parsons

Oakland Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies
PICK: Philadelphia Phillies

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:

Coming into Thursday the A's are 34-41; 19-16 at home and 15-25 on the road; Oakland played a three game set vs. the Mets and won Game 1, 7-3; it dropped Game 2, 3-2; the third and final game was played on Thursday and that result is not known as of this posting.

Guillermo Moscoso (2-3, 3.30 ERA) gets the start for the visitors; Moscoso gave up two runs on three hits on Saturday vs. the Giants; he issued three walks over 4 2/3's innings of work and did not factor into the decision.

One of Moscoso's biggest weaknesses is his strikeout-to-walk ratio which is a brutal 12-to-14.

The reason he's in the rotation at all is because of injuries to many of the A's starters.

In the other dugout: Coming into Thursday the Phillies are 47-28; 28-12 at home and 19-16 on the road; Philadelphia took the first two games of its' series vs. the Cardinals, 10-2 and 4-0; Game 3 is on Thursday and the result of that contest is not known as of this posting.

Vance Worley (2-1, 3.41 ERA) gets the start for the Phillies; Worley earned a no-decision in his last outing; Worley gave up one run off five hits over five innings of work vs. the M's last Saturday.

Bottom line: Consider laying the price on this dominant home side and superior pitcher.


Jim Feist

New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers
Take: New York Mets

Reason: The Mets are quietly playing well, 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. One reason is righty Mike Pelfrey, who has a 2.05 ERA his last three starts walking none in 22 innings! And the Texas Rangers have never faced him before. The Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter and 3-7 in Matt Harrison's last 10 starts. And the Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Play the NY Mets.


Freddy Wills

Cleveland Indians vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: Cleveland Indians

Well we are backing once again the team that is facing the Giants. We lost 2-1 with the Twins +175 on Thursday and we look to come back with the Indians as our best hot starter is Carlos Carrasco who has been just outstanding over his last three starts he is 3-0 with a 0.78 WHIP and 0.42 ERA. What's even more impressive is his ability to continue to win on the road as he's 4-0 with a 2.88 ERA as well as at night starts where he is 5-2 with a 2.86 ERA. Most of his issues have been at home and during his day starts, but still his actual 3.87 ERA is impressive for a younger and his FIP 3.29 seems to indicate more solid pitching in the future. The Giants continue to struggle to score runs just a .212 average and 2.45 runs per 9 over their last 10 vs. RHP while the Indians have been hitting left handed starters hard all year.

Indians have a .276 average on the road vs. lefties and that's what they get when they face Jonathan Sanchez. Sanchez has really struggled of late with walking guys which pretty much is the story with him, but it's been worse of late with 23 walks over his last 5 starts. His FIP is 4.11 which states he's been lucky in many starts to not pitch even worse than he has. Cleveland off an off day is 10-4 in their last 14 coming off an off day and the Giants were one of 10 teams that played on Thursday so I like the Indians chances coming in fresh to take game #1 against the struggling bats of the Giants.

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Vic Monte

#5 in a Row

6000* PRIVATE PLAY GAME OF THE YEAR - BOSTON RED SOX -160

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EXPERTCAPPER

COLLEGE BASEBALL RECORD 31-16 (+42.7 UNITS)

Free play for today is Vanderbilt (+155) for 2** units

They also have a paid play for the max 5***** with a 100% guarantee

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Richie Carrera

Boston/PITTSBURGH UNDER 8- 5 Dimes (Bet 6 to Win 5)

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John Chang

---Start Time 10:15 PM EST---
Cleveland Indians (+110, list both pitchers) over SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, 5 dimes
Cleveland/SAN FRANCISCO under 7 runs, 5 dimes

I expect a very low scoring game out west tonight between San Fran and Cleveland. Both pitchers have thrown well this year, especially Carlos Carrasco. Carrasco has won three straight starts with an ERA of .42 over that span. In his last road start, he shut down the powerful pinstripes by giving up zero runs and only allowing 5 hits. The guy is in the zone, and it's hard for me to believe that San Fran's mediocre offense is going to be able to get anything going against him. Their batting average is horrible, and at home their offense seems to get worse. If Carrasco can't go the distance, the Indians have a reliable bullpen to which they can turn. Sanchez has been having some control issues over his last few starts, and I expect this to be the deciding factor in a close game. Let's take Cleveland at the nice price as well as the under.

[timbob]

PRO BETTING SYSTEM

Game: Cleveland @ San Francisco
Pick: Cleveland (+117)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 50 Units

Game: Chicago C @ Kansas
Pick: Chicago C (+102)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 50 Units

Game: LA Angels @ LA Dodgers
Pick: Over 7 (-110)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 77 Units

Game: Colorado @ NY Yankees
Pick: NY Yankees (-130)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 130 Units

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DAQsports

Yesterday: (0-1-0) - 100 units, Week (monday - sunday): (4-9-1) -603 units

Today's Selections:

MLB:
Cardinals (ML) -107, Cardinals (RL) +187,
Cubs (ML) -103,
Indians (ML) +108,
Rangers (ML) -161, Rangers (RL) +122,
dbacks/tigers over 9 total runs (+100)

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benton

40 dimes PHILLIES RL (-1.5)
15 dime ROCKIES

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JOE WIZ SPORTS

100K PARLAY* MLB* San Francisco ML/San Francisco UNDER

$5,000,000 LOCK OF THE MLB SEASON* San Francisco UNDER

PAY AFTER YOU WIN* MLB* San Diego Padres

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Mike Hook |

MLB Money Line

Buried Treasure

dime bet 976 LOS (+118) Bodog vs 975 ANA

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chris jordan:


300 ATL BRAVES

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Charlie Sports

500* Clev/SF under 7

30* Det

20* Wash

10* Devil Rays (free play)