7-3-11

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Today's CFL Picks
Edmonton at Saskatchewan

The Eskimos look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in the last 7 meetings between the two teams. Edmonton is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+7). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 3
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (6/29)

Game 497-498: Edmonton at Saskatchewan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 107.794; Saskatchewan 113.504
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 5 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 7; 53
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+7); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks
Seattle at Washington

The Storm look to take advantage of a Washington team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. Seattle is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-4). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 3
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Seattle at Washington (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 115.307; Washington 108.662
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 6 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 4; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-4); Over

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Today's MLB Picks
Cleveland at Cincinnati

The Indians look to build on their 5-2 record in Mitch Talbot's last 7 starts as a road underdog. Cleveland is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+160). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 3
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Correia) 15.524; Washington (Marquis) 15.214
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Over

Game 903-904: San Francisco at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.153; Detroit (Porcello) 15.865
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Under

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.478; Toronto (Reyes) 14.396
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-180); Under

Game 907-908: NY Yankees at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.878; NY Mets (Dickey) 16.973
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Over

Game 909-910: Cleveland at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Talbot) 16.089; Cincinnati (Leake) 15.251
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+160); Over

Game 911-912: Baltimore at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 13.501; Atlanta (Beachy) 15.938
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Under

Game 913-914: St. Louis at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 16.044; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 14.873
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Under

Game 915-916: Boston at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 16.110; Houston (Lyles) 13.807
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Over

Game 917-918: Milwaukee at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Greinke) 15.820; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.855
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-130); Over

Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.651; Cubs (Lopez) 14.518
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-145); N/A

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.734; Colorado (Hammel) 14.637
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-135); Under

Game 923-924: LA Dodgers at LA Angels (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.665; LA Angels (Santana) 15.702
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135); Over

Game 925-926: Arizona at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.433; Oakland (Gonzalez) 14.133
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100); Under

Game 927-928: San Diego at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 15.663; Seattle (Beavan) 15.203
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 929-930: Florida at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Vazquez) 14.997; Texas (Wilson) 14.074
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-210); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-180); Over

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Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day:
Rockies -150 over Royals

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Soccer Crusher

Play of the Day:
CarolinaRailhawks + MontrealImpact OVER 2.5
This match is happening in United States

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Yankees, Mets Complete Subway Series At Citi Field
By: Jeff Grant



New York Yankees at New York Mets (+105, 8.5)

The 2011 Subway Series comes to an end Sunday and features a pair of right-handed starters with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 a.m. (PT) on TBS.

The New York Yankees assured themselves of at least a tie in the season series versus the Mets in capturing a 5-1 victory Friday night at Citi Field. The Bronx Bombers have also won a season-high six consecutive games heading into Saturday.

Daytime baseball has been a profitable situation for the club over the course of the year, registering a Major League-best 23-4 mark under the sun. The pitching staff has been a main proponent of that success by owning an American League-low 2.79 daytime ERA.

The Bronx Bombers have also enjoyed their time away from Yankee Stadium, moving their record to 21-13 after capturing the series opener. During interleague action, the team is 11-4 in its last 15 interleague road games versus right-handed starters.

Veteran starter Freddy Garcia (7-6, 3.28 ERA) is set to make his 16th appearance (15th start) for the Yankees and comes in on a two-game winning streak. New York’s offense has provided 16 runs of support in those outings, as he has surrendered four runs (two earned) and 11 hits over 13 innings.

Garcia has compiled an even 2-2 mark and 2.83 ERA in six road outings (five starts), surrendering just two home runs in 35 frames.

He has also been a major proponent in helping the squad’s daytime dominance, entering with a 4-1 record and 1.62 ERA in six daytime starts. Opposing hitters are hitting just .199 against him in those contests compared to .306 at night.

The New York Mets still possess a 126-119 all-time mark against American League opponents despite dropping their first game of an abbreviated three-game homestand. Since 2004, the Mets are 2-1-4 in the season series versus the Yankees.

After starting the year 1-8 at home, the club has gone 17-13 in its last 30 games at Citi Field. The catalyst for that revival has been expected All-Star Jose Reyes, who collected two hits Friday.

Reyes leads the major leagues with a .352 batting average heading into the holiday weekend, while also pacing the Senior Circuit with 65 runs scored.

Knuckleballer R.A. Dickey (4-7, 3.77 ERA) hopes to continue his strong pitching of last month and tally a second straight victory. The former first-round selection proved victorious in a 14-3 road win over the Tigers last time out, allowing three runs and 10 hits over seven innings.

Dickey finished June with a 2-1 mark and 2.57 ERA in five starts, but his career numbers during this calendar month suggest a major drop off in performance today. He has tallied a lackluster 3-9 record and 4.16 ERA in 30 lifetime appearances (16 starts) in July.

Yankees slugging third baseman Alex Rodriguez is a key player in this matchup, going 6-for-11 with an RBI against him.

Home plate umpire Bob Davidson will likely serve as a handicapping edge for the Mets, as hosting teams have garnered a 15-6 record in his last 21 Sunday games behind the dish.

Weather forecasts suggest game-time temperatures in the mid-80s and a 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms. The wind is expected to be 5-10 mph out of the southwest.

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STREAKING

Cliff Lee (9-5, 2.66 ERA), Philadelphia Phillies

This lefty just finished off a one of the most memorable months for a pitcher in baseball history. Cliff Lee went 5-0 with three complete game shutouts and a 0.21 ERA in June. That ERA is the sixth-lowest in the National League for a pitcher in a month since the statistic began being tabulated in 1912, according to ESPN.com’s Stats & Info.

Yeah, so dude’s been okay, I guess.

"It's been a good run, no doubt about it," Lee told the Associated Press after tossing a complete game two-hitter at Fenway Park against arguably the best batting order in baseball. "I've had a few in my career, but I don't look back and compare them. I want to throw a shutout every time out there. I never want to give up a run."



SLUMPING

Rick Porcello (6-6, 5.06 ERA), Detroit Tigers

Manager Jim Leyland desperately needs someone besides Justin Verlander to produce from his starting rotation. Porcello, along with a few others, isn’t delivering.

He’s been shelled for 28 hits and 18 runs over his last 11 and 1/3 innings of work (that’s a 14.30 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP for those of you scoring at home).

"He threw some bad pitches that they hit, and he threw some good pitches that they hit," Detroit manager Jim Leyland told reporters after the Mets tagged Porcello for seven runs in his last outing. "They were aggressive and they beat us up pretty well."

The big righty just isn’t fooling any hitters these days. He’s struck out just two batters over his last three starts and he’s still throwing his fastball over 70 percent of the time, according to ESPN’s Insider Edge.

At least over bettors can take solace knowing this guy knows how to put up crooked numbers on the scoreboard. The over is 4-0 in his last four appearances.

Zack Greinke (7-3, 5.63 ERA), Milwaukee Brewers

Greinke’s numbers are more difficult to figure out than a rubick’s cube wrapped in an enigma. The former Cy Young winner has close to an 8-1 strikeout to walk ratio and the Brew Crew are 8-3 in all games he’s started this season.

But what about that ugly ERA and the fact that the over is 8-1-2 in his starts with Milwaukee? You kind of get the sense that he’s been more lucky than good so far.

"It was just a real bad game," Greinke said after surrendering seven runs in just two innings of work against the Yankees. "I wasn't executing anything, and when I did just a couple of times, they took some good pitches, and I wasn't able to make another good pitch after that. I couldn't pitch any worse than I did."

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HOT LINES

Sunday's Best MLB Bets

New York Yankees at New York Mets (+105, 8.5)

Alex Rodriguez doesn’t know how to open his mouth without saying something stupid. Even compliments seem awkward when uttered off his lips. A-Rod recently told the New York press members that Mets shortstop Jose Reyes is baseball's best player.

Now there’s nothing wrong with respecting an opposing player, but if you’re going to shower a guy with the “best player in the world” tag, shouldn’t you be doing that with someone on your team – especially when you play for the Yankees and you play alongside like nine or 10 All-Stars every day?

Despite a week filled with A-Rod making bad headlines (Rodriguez was named in an illegal, high-stakes, celebrity, poker game), the Yankees keep marching on. Entering Saturday’s games, the Bronx Bombers have won six straight and covered the runline in each of those contests too.

The Mets are sending out R.A. Dickey to the mound, but it doesn’t seem like even a knuckleballer can slow down the Yanks’ offensive attack.

PICK: Yankees


Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves (-170, 7.5)

The Braves are playing some of their best baseball this season and there are reasons to think things will only get better for Tomahawk choppers. Jason Heyward, the club’s most talented player, hit a home run on Friday and snapped a 33-game homer-less drought.

Heyward has been back since the middle of June but has been moved around in the lineup because of his inability to knock in runs. The outfielder finished Friday’s contest with two RBIs, pushing his total up to six since returning to the lineup.

"I know I can't get it all back in one game or one series," Heyward told the Associated Press after the win against Baltimore. "I've been swinging the bat pretty well and feeling pretty comfortable."

That’s bad news for the Braves’ opponents.

PICK: Braves

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LADY LUCK

Sunday’s Best WNBA Bet

Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics (+4, 146)

The defending WNBA champions Seattle Storm are hugely disappointing their backers. The club owns one of the worst ATS (against the spread) marks in the league and it’s pretty clear why.

Starting pivot and three-time WNBA MVP, Lauren Jackson, is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery on her left hip. Seattle has only played two games with Jackson but, to be fair, didn’t look herself even when she was on the court.

The Storm were told there’s a good chance Jackson could return before the end of the season but other players will have to step up and produce until Jackson can get back on the court.

Former Shock All-Star Swin Cash is chipping in with her best season since her rookie campaign and Sue Bird is doing her thing. Bettors might want to hold off on backing the Storm until oddsmakers properly adjust Seattle’s odds without Jackson.

The Washington Mystics aren’t much but it seems like a stretch that they are 4-point home underdogs against the Jackson-less Storm. Remember, the Mystics are 3-0 ATS in their last three games against Seattle.

PICK: Washington

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Arthur Ralph Sports

668- 506 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one SUN: SF Giants + 115

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Hondo

Hondo's wing-ding with the Orioles was no cause for celebration last night as they flopped in Atlanta to boost the IOUs back up to 1,520 lonborgs.

Today, he'll give the ball to Beckett, that card -- 10 units on the Sawx over the 'Stros.

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Angels -140

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ultimate

washington

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Cappers Access

Tigers -125
Rays -1.5
Cubs +145