7-3-11

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MTI Sports

Oakland A's

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Tom Freese

10* Tigers
10* White Sox
10* Nationals

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Insider Sports Report

4* San Francisco (Vogelsong) +110 over Detroit (Porcello) Range: +130 to -110
3* N.Y. Yankees (Garcia) -125 over N.Y. Mets (Dickey) Range: -110 to -145
3* Baltimore (Britton)/Atlanta (Beachy) UNDER 7.5 Range: 8 to 7

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Sports Wagers aka Randall the Handle

MLB
Arizona +110 over OAKLAND Pinnacle
We find another one of those 50/50 (at worst) propositions here taking back a tag and that makes the D-Backs a solid investment. Ian Kennedy pitches half his games in one of the friendlier pitcher parks in the majors yet he still has put up tremendous numbers. Kennedy has 97 k’s and just 30 walks in 116 frames. He’s 8-2 overall with a solid 3.01 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. On the road it gets even better. Away from Chase Field, Kennedy is 5-0 with an ERA of 2.28 and he’ll face an A’s team that has some of the ugliest offensive numbers in the league. Gio Gonzalez is solid too. His control isn’t as sharp as Kennedy’s but his strikeout rate is. Gonzalez has whiffed 99 in 102 innings while issuing 46 BB. His ERA is 2.38 but it’s been aided by an unusually high strand rate of 83% and that’s one of the highest rates in the league among starters. Gonzalez is a southpaw and that plays into one of Arizona's strengths, as the Diamondbacks .740 OPS against LHP ranks second in the NL. The D-Backs chances of winning here are just as good and probably better than the A’s chances. Play: Arizona +110 (Risking 2 units).

TEXAS –1½ +107 over Florida Pinnacle
C.J. Wilson is quietly putting together a season that puts him in the elite category. Here’s a guy that has struck out 100 batters and walked just 38 in 118 innings. He has a strong GB/LD/FB profile of 47%/20%/33% and he’ll face a Marlins squad that has won just nine of 23 games against southpaws. Furthermore, only the Mariners 53 runs scored are less than the Marlins 61 scored over the last 20 games. Over that stretch the Marlins are batting .223. Even in the unlikely event that the Marlins score a few it should not get in the way of cashing this ticket. Javier Vazquez at this park is a complete disaster waiting to happen. Vazquez has surrendered 99 hits in 83 IP and has a low strikeout rate to go along with his high BAA. In two starts at this park over the past three seasons, Vazquez has an ERA of 9.64. Current Ranger hitters have a combined 108 AB’s against Vazquez and they’re hitting a combined .361 with an OBP of .400, a slugging % of .546 and a OPS of .946. This one has ugly written all over it and it sure doesn’t hurt that the Marlins pen is running strictly on fumes. Play: Texas –1½ +107 (Risking 2 units).

Chicago –136 over CHICAGO Pinnacle
This is a rare wager in that we’re laying more juice in this game than we have in years simply because Rodrigo Lopez and the Cubs are the worst possible combination in baseball and it’s not close. After getting whacked by a weak Giant offense for 10 runs in four-plus IP, the Cubs gave Doug Davis his unconditional release after Wednesday's game and now his MLB career could be over. Enter recently acquired Rodrigo Lopez. Lopez offers less than Davis. He falls behind every hitter and ends up walking a bunch. When he isn’t throwing balls he’s throwing fastballs right down Broadway. He’s made two starts this year and nine relief appearances. In his two starts against San Fran and Houston, he didn’t make it out of the fifth inning in either. He lasted a combined 9.1 innings (4.2 innings in both starts) and gave up 18 hits, two bombs and 10 runs. Again, note the two teams he faced (San Fran and Houston). The South Side should and likely will chew this guy up and spit him out. Frankly, it does not matter who is going for the White Sox, as this game, despite laying 36 cents, is a big underlay because any team anywhere near .500 or better should be a 2-1 favorite over Rodrigo Lopez pitching for the Cubbies. Play: Chicago White Sox –136 (Risking 3 units to win 2.2 units).

CFL
Edmonton +6½ over SASKATCHEWAN Pinnacle
The Eskies were the happiest team in the league last year once the season ended because they didn’t have to endure any more humiliation. It was a year the Eskies and their passionate fans are going to put out of their minds forever. Enter a new coach, a whole lot of returning and proven vets and a few new faces too. Ricky Ray gets a fresh start after a sub par year and he’s surrounded by playmakers. The Esks should feature a decent running game and a strong passing game too. The problem or question marks that surround this guest is defense. They were brutal a year ago with few sacks and little or no pressure on the QB. That has to change and it will. We can’t stress enough how losing takes its toll and it starts with the defense. That defense was running on fumes and zero confidence and it’s not going to take a whole lot to get them right-sided. They have a bunch of quality defenders and in no way are they as bad as last year’s numbers suggest. Saskatchewan could be a team in trouble and transition. They have a whole slew of key injuries right off the bat and a big adjustment period is possible. Darian Durant is good when the team is good but asking him to lead the way and be the key cog in that plan is unlikely to work. Nobody at the QB position makes more bad decisions than Durant. He’s a turnover waiting to happen and will throw it up anywhere and under any condition. Does not matter of he’s at his own five yard line or the opposition’s 20, he’ll make a bad decision and not just one. He's got away with it in the past more times than he should’ve because the Roughies were good enough to compensate. Don’t get us wrong, he can be exciting and spot on too, as he’s had a ton of great games in his career. But in the first game of the year with a lot of question marks, Durant and the Riders are an extremely risky wager laying these significant points. Play: Edmonton +6½ (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

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CAROLINA SPORTS CONNECTION

MLB GAME OF THE YEAR
1:05pm - St. Louis Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Rays -130
Risk 13.0 units to Win 10.0 units

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TodaysPicks

1. Dodgers

2. Padres

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Sunday Comps.

Winner line-Colorado
OTM-OVER Dodgers
Metro-UNDER Florida
Kevin Kennedy-OVER Florida

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Sunday Highest Rated Inter League Play with a system that has never lost and wins by 4 runs per game + Dog with Bite that has a solid system and a 100% Perfect Angle. MLB 42-22 Run. Free MLB System Play below.

On Sunday the MLB Free System Play is on the Brewers. Game 917 at 2:10 eastern. The Brewers fit a system that has cashed 11 of ...the last 13 times and plays on road favorites with a total of 8 or less that are off a road favored win if both teams scored 5+ runs on 10+ hits and had 5 or more men left on base. The Twins are a streaky team this season. They are 1-4 at home in rubber games and average just 2.7 runs the past week. The Brewers have Greinke on the mound and have won 8 of his 9 starts when favored. Look for the Brewers to get the win. On Sunday its the release of the Highest Rated Inter League Game that has a perfect system that wins by 4 runs per game. I also have a Perfect Power Angle Dog with Bite play that has a nice system and holds the edges in every major category. o Jump on and end the week on the right sides. For the Free Play take the Milwaukee Brewers. RV

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Dave Essler | MLB Money Line

dime bet 903 SFG (+120) Betjamaica vs 904 DET

Analysis: Write up shortly. I leaned this way last night, and now I see the Martinez is likely OUT for the Tigers. How do you not fade Porcello, whose given up 18 runs in about his last ten innings pitched. Especially against a team that scored 15 runs last night, with a pitcher going in Vogelsong that Detroit hasn't seen. I can't.

Not when the Tigers bullpen has an ERA well over EIGHT in the last week. That means that all things being equal, the only way the Tigers should win this game is if Porcello pitches lights out against a team that's won nine of eleven games. And the Tigers have given up double digit runs several times lately, and to teams in the Giants and the Mets that you'd not expect to happen, at least not at HOME.

This is a Giants team that's now over .500 on the road, and like I said last week, have GOT to be feeling good about where they are since the Posey injury. And this is a Tigers' team that's lost four out of five and has now fallen three games behind the Indians in the loss column. So, clearly the pressure is on the Tigers, and I don't don;t trust them!

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WUNDERDOG (MLB)
MLB 17-12 last 29 picks +$1360
1 OF 5

Game: Phialdelphia at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto +1.5 runs +100 (runline)

Cliff Lee is going like gangbusters, but this is a talented Toronto offense he's facing. And the Skydome is a tough pitcher's park. Lee has been dominant at home, but far less on the road, at 2-4 with a 4.30 ERA on the road. He's also 2-4 in his career against Toronto with a 3.81 ERA, allowing more hits than innings pitched. As a team, Philadelphia plays its best at home, but just 21-17 on the road and the Phillies are 1-4 in Lee's last five road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Blue Jays rank No. 8 in runs scored and No. 7 in slugging. The Blue Jays are 6-2 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter and have more than enough offense at home to keep this close or even steal a win.
Play the Blue Jays.

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Sport System Specialists

Yesterday 3-4 -7,40
Overall since jun.17 +107,51

PHI -1,5 +100 risking 3,00

NYY -1,5 +130 risking 2,00

BOS -1,5 -110 risking 4,50

ATL -1,5 +140 risking 3,00

CIN -1,5 +120 risking 15,19

STL ml +130 risking 6,75

TEX -1,5 +105 risking 10,13

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BETTORS EDGE SPORTS

2 UNIT* MLB* New York Yankees -130 ML
2 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 RL -115
1.5 UNIT* MLB* San Francisco Giants +120 ML

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KEITH GLANTZ

100* MLB* Colorado Rockies ML
25* MLB* Arizona Diamondbacks ML

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MATT FARRGO

8* MLB* Atlanta Braves -155 ML

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CHASE DIAMOND

30 Dimes BREWERS -1.5 +125