7-14-11

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FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

MLB Baseball Thursday
Play New York Yankees (-140) over Toronto (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST
Bartolo Colon has won 4 of the last 5 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has also won 3 of the last 4 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Bartolo Colon is 9-4 vs. Toronto over his career with an ERA of 3.84 and he is 4-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.53.

Play Minnesota (-155) over Kansas City (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST
Kansas Cityhas lost 3 of the last 4 games and they have also lost 23 of the last 27 road games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Kansas City has lost 10 of the last 12 games after scoring one run or less in their last game and they have also lost 11 of the last 12 games when revenging a loss vs. an opponent where they scored one run or less.

Play Colorado (-140) over Milwaukee (Bonus)
Starts at 8:40 PM EST
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Canadian Football Thursday
100* Play Winnipeg (+3.5) over Calgary
Starts at 8:00 PM EST
Winnipeg has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games as a home underdog and they have also covered the spread in 12 of the last 16 non-conference games. Winnipeg has covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games after gaining 250 yards or less in two straight games and they are only allowing an average of 16 points a game on defense this season.

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Today's CFL Picks
Calgary at Winnipeg

The Stampeders look to take advantage of a Winnipeg team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games in Week 3. Calgary is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-3). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 14
Time Posted: 7:30 p.m. EST (7/12)

Game 491-492: Calgary at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 113.809; Winnipeg 107.895
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6; 48
Vegas Line: Calgary by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-3); Under

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CAROLINA SPORTS CONNECTION

10 UNIT Brewers +115 ML

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MATT FARRGO

10* CFL* Calgary -3

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JOHN HARRISON

2 UNIT Brewers +125 ML

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Sports Wagers

Cleveland –107 over BALTIMORE Pinnacle
Everything points to a win by the Indians. Baltimore lost seven in a row before the break and is just 1-12 in its last 13 games. The Orioles' primary woes have been on the mound, where O’s pitchers have been banged around to the tune of a 7.50 ERA since June 25. Sub-30% hit rates have resulted in sub-4 ERAs in three recent seasons for Jeremy Guthrie but his xERA has always been well above 4 and it was well above five in ’09. Guthrie is a fly-ball pitcher with good control but history is skeptical and at the age of 32 there are no favorable signs. He’s good for 200+ innings and he’ll win some games but he’ll never stand out and he’s beatable. Justin Masterson has been good on the road this year (2.36 ERA), good against BAL (7 IP, 4H, 1R) and good as of late (0.53 ERA in last 17 IP). In 81 career plate appearances against the Indians right-hander, current Orioles hitters are batting just .173/.295/.272 (.566) with a 16% strikeout rate. With the Tribe having a nice edge everywhere, we’ll gladly lay the small price. Play: Cleveland -107 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).

Milwaukee +125 over COLORADO Pinnacle
Here’s the problem with Ubaldo Jiminez: he throws too many pitches per batter and per inning and ultimately gets burned out early in games. He recently threw 117 pitches in five innings against the Braves, 119 pitches in 7 IP against the Yanks, 103 pitches in 5.1 innings against the Dodgers, 104 pitches in 7 innings against the Padres and the list goes on and on and on. Jiminez has just four wins in 17 starts and he’s nibbling. His skills are good and he’s a solid pitcher but he’s trying to strike out every batter and again, he’s throwing way too many pitches to do it. Furthermore, Jiminez is 1-5 at Coors with an ERA of 6.24 so things get much worse for him when he’s home. The Crew get Ryan Braun back and that’s big. Yovani Gallardo is coming on big time. He’s had some shaky outings but they were due to an extremely high 37% hit rate and while some pitchers give up lots of hits, Gallardo’s history and skills say he should not. His skills remain electric. He has 104 k’s and 44 walks in 117 innings. He has a high groundball rate and his GB/LD/FB profile over the past 31 days is also electric at 52%/14%/34%. The Brewers are too good to keep losing on the road at the same pace that they did in the first half and that awful road record has resulted in us getting a pretty sweet tag with Gallardo going against a team that has been average all season. Play: Milwaukee +125 (Risking 2 units).

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LT Profits

Yankees/Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -105

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SNIPER PICKS
5 UNIT* MLB* Minnesota Twins -150 ML 8:10 pm est
1 UNIT* MLB* New York Yankees-Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 7:05 pm est

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NickeltoDime

"TOP RATED 10 UNIT MLB PLAY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT"
$$$$$ - TEXAS RANGERS -110 - $$$$$

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EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Marlins (+107),
Giants (+102),
Brewers (+129),
Royals (+142),
Rangers (-113).

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MLBPredictions
Kevin
1*CLEVELAND INDIANS @ BALTIMORE ORIOLES – INDIANS TO WIN (-106)

Justin Masterson has a career high 7 wins heading into tonight’s game with a 7-6 record. On the season Masterson has a 2.64 ERA (6th in the AL) and 1.22 WHIP, with batters hitting just .245 off of him. Despite the team going 1-5 in his last 6 road starts, Masterson has an ERA of 2.34 on the road. Justin has allowed just 1 earned run over his last 23.2 innings of work. Jeremy Guthrie will go for the Baltimore Orioles, and looks to have a much better second half. Guthrie is 3-12 on the season with a 4.18 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and batters hitting .272 against him. When Guthrie starts the Orioles are just 6-12. Baltimore has been struggling as a team all together going just 6-21 in their last 27 games heading into the break. Note that the Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 games to open a series, and 11-5 in their last 16 games following an off day. The Indians are 35-17 in their last 52 games as a favorite, and 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Baltimore is 1-4 in their last 5 home games, and 1-6 in their last 7 games with a total set at 7-8.5. The Orioles are also 16-37 in their last 53 games as an underdog, and 14-38 in their last 52 vs a team with a winning record. The Orioles are 8-18 in Guthrie’s last 26 starts as a home underdog, and 2-6 in his last 8 starts overall. Cleveland swept these two teams first series of the season, and I expect Masterson to continue on his recent success bringing the Indians to 4-0 against the Orioles on the season.
Take Cleveland money line at a solid price.

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David Banks (comp)

No writte up
OVER Kansas City Royals / Minnesota Twins

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spartan
Courtesy Winner
Record 170-131

#909 Yankees over Jays

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Chase Diamond (ksp)

30 Dimes Baltimore Orioles ML +100

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Sport System Specialists
Overall since jun.17 +147,36

NYY -1,5 +115 risking 15,19

TEX -1,5 +145 risking 2