7-17-11

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Paul Leiner

500* Astros -125

100* Padres -110

50* Over 7.5 Nats/Braves

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Dave Essler | MLB Money Line

dime bet 966 ARI (-150) Bookmaker.com vs 965 LOS

Analysis: I am playing a unit on the ML and the RL, yes. Write ups to follow. Hopefully. IN the end the D'backs eith lose this game outright or win by more than one. Obviously I suspect they will win by more than one or I wouldn't make this play. It is a fade of Lilly ( a LHP) versus the D'backs as well as a play ON the D'backs starter, who the Dodgers barely have a hit off of in a few at bats, which also creates the unfanilarity with him. I do know the Dodgers have a better bullpen, but by my calculations it shouldn't come to that.

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MVPCapper

(3 Units) Pittsburgh Pirates +115

(2 Units) Kansas City/Minnesota Under 8.5

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Tom Freese

10* Marlins
10* A's
10* Red Sox

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Marc Lawrence

3* Red Sox

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MTI Sports

Reds

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David Banks (comp)
Winner yesterday UNDER Yankees / Toronto

Today no write up
UNDER Boston Red Sox / Tampa Bay

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MLBPrediction
Kevin
Fail yesterday with the Pirates

1*St Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds – CARDINALS TO WIN (+100)
[1:00 PM EST START]

In today’s rubber match of the NL Central show down the Cardinals will send Jaime Garcia to the mound. Garcia is 9-3 on the year with a 3.22 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Batters are hitting .254 against Garcia, who has struck out 100 batters and walked 32 on the season. Garcia comes into today’s game winning his last three starts, which included a 8-1 win over Cincy just 12 days ago. Note that lifetime against the Reds Garcia is 5-0 with a 3.82 ERA. Homer Bailey is on the mound for Cincinnati, and brings a 3-4 record, 4.13 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Batters are hitting .269 against Bailey. After a solid start to the season Bailey is 0-4 in his last 5 starts. Lifetime against the Cardinals Bailey is just 1-4 with a 6.03 ERA. Take note that the Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record, and 20-8 in their last 28 Sunday games. The Cardinals are 4-1 in Garcia’s last 5 starts and 8-1 in his last 9 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. The Reds are just 2-6 in their last 8 Sunday games, and 3-7 in their last 10 games vs NL Central opponents. The Reds are also 0-4 in their last 4 games vs left-handed starters. Also note that the Reds are not only 0-5 in Bailey’s last 5 starts, but also 3-9 in Bailey’s last 12 home starts vs a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 1-6 in Bailey’s last 7 starts vs the Cardinals. Albert Pujols has gone deep in both games to open the series, and I look for him to swing a hot bat today. The pitching match up favors the Cardinals in my opinion, and Pujols and the Cardinals know how important this divisional game is in a tight NL Central. Take the Cardinals as underdogs.

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Sport System Specialists
Yesterday 3-3 +3,60
Overall since jun.17 +112,19

PHI -1,5 +180 risking 10,13

NYY -1,5 +140 risking 22,79

BOS -1,5 +125 risking 3

ATL -1,5 +120 risking 4,5

CIN -1,5 +190 risking 40

TEX -1,5 +125 risking 4,5

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EasyBaseballBetting

Giants [105] versus Padres (1.0 Units) - The Padres scored double digits yesterday but we do not feel that erases all the troubles that they have had. In games after having faced a lefty they are 8-19, -10 units. They are positive units in every other case. Wow, so the key to betting against the Padres is when they are coming off a game versus a lefty? Not only that, they are pretty bad coming off a win. 15-25, -7.3 units. Not too bad off a loss 25-29 and breaking even. So they are pretty much in the worst of possible positions. Coming off facing a lefty in which it takes their offense off their groove. And take advantage of the fact that these Padres struggle to keep any type of streak going. Action regardless of pitcher.

Pirates [118] versus Astros (1.0 Units) - We'd stated in an earlier article about how we like taking these Pirates this season. They are the #1 moneyline team in baseball and it is not because of their great record. Just that they are consistently under valued. They are +10.5 units facing a lefty, more than 2/3rds of their units won this season comes in today's spot. You can not expect to blindly bet any angle (like Oh these Pirates are good ML) and win. Because things can change. You just have to optimize the situation in which you do take that team. Like the Padres are in a double go-against angle situation. And these Pirates are strong offensively or so we hope. The Astros are a weak home team so you're getting an undervalued divisional rival dog in a prime hitting spot. Not a bad play. Action regardless of pitcher.

Tigers [-114] versus White Sox (1.0 Units) - We hate taking divisional rival favorites so we double check the pick before we really make a committment. The Tigers are coming into this game off a shutout loss. And are looking to fend off a sweep at home against a divisional rival. So the Tigers in theory should play as if they need to win this game. The White Sox could really just be happy they already got the series win. Last of all the last angle we are looking at when taking this game is the fact that the Tigers start off series' slow anyways. They are 28-33, -9 units in the first two games of a series. But to end off a series in the third and fourth games, they are 20-10, +9.7 units. So again, we are getting a Tigers team in a bounce back spot. In a prime revenge spot. In a state of a series they have proven to do well in. Action regardless of pitcher.

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JOHN CHANG


---Start Time 1:35 PM EST---
Cleveland Indians (-105, list both pitchers) over BALTIMORE ORIOLES, 5 dimes

---Start Time 4:10 pm EST---
Texas Rangers (-140, list both pitchers) over SEATTLE MARINERS, 5 dimes

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JACK HOWARD

MLB:
San Francisco/San Diego Over 5.5(-105) 10 Dimes

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winsportsnow

Sunday MLB Parlay Report
Dbacks-150
Over 8 Red Sox
A's-135

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The Delawarian

4* Nationals/Braves OVER 7
2* Pirates/Houston UNDER 7.5

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Sports Handicapper King

MLB BASEBALL
10* ST.Louis Cardinals
10* Oakland A's

comp Boston Red Sox