7-26-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
San Francisco Giants At Philadelphia Philles MLB Betting Preview
By: Jeff Grant

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies (-115, 7)

The San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies will meet up for the first time since facing each other in last year’s National League Championship Series. The first pitch of the three-game series is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. (PST) Tuesday night at Citizens Bank Park.

San Francisco moved past Philadelphia in six games last year before downing the Texas Rangers to win the World Series. Many experts believe that the Senior Circuit race is setting up for another showdown between these teams in October.

The Giants will briefly be reminded of last year’s accomplishments, visiting the White House on Monday and meeting president Barack Obama. The club has played well following an off day in the past, posting a 15-7 record in the last 22 opportunities.

Starting pitcher Tim Lincecum (8-8, 2.90 ERA) has thrown the ball incredibly well over his last three outings, picking up victories in two of those contests. He has allowed three runs and 12 hits over his last 19 innings over that span. The former Cy Young Award winner comes in with a respectable 5-4 mark and 2.44 ERA in 11 road starts, as opponents are hitting just .225 against him.

Lincecum will be facing the Phillies for the eighth time during the regular season, posting a 2-1 record and 3.17 ERA, issuing just 12 walks and registering 54 strikeouts in 48 1/3 frames.

If Lincecum is unable to go the distance, San Francisco’s bullpen is certainly capable in filling the void, entering the series with a 0.28 ERA since the All-Star break.

Philadelphia will not have the luxury of a day off before the series, playing the final game of a series against San Diego Monday. The Phillies have been dominating opponents at home in leading the majors in wins at Citizens Bank Park.

Manager Charlie Manuel also has a great ability in getting his team to focus down the stretch, notching a 187-113 record after the break since 2005.

Vance Worley (6-1, 2.02 ERA) has stepped into his starting role in a major way, picking up four consecutive victories, with the club outscoring opponents 19-4 over that span. He has not surrendered a home run in that span, holding opponents to just 15 hits in 27 1/3 innings.

The rookie right-hander has been even more impressive in front of the home faithful, coming in with a perfect 3-0 record and 1.50 ERA, as opponents are hitting a meager .171 against him.

It’s not surprising that the ‘under’ is 5-1 in Worley’s last six starts, but total players will also notice that the ‘over’ is 7-2 in Lincecum’s last nine starts versus the Phillies.

Weather forecasts suggest a perfect night for baseball, with sunny skies and a game-time temperature in the low-80s. The wind will be out of the west at 5-10 mph (out to right).

[Mr. IWS]

Tuesday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels (13-4, 1.81 ERA)

It was just another day at the office for Weaver in his last trip to the hill as he chucked seven shutout innings in a 1-0 win over the mighty Texas Rangers. The 6-foot-7 ace struck out six while walking a pair of batters.

Weaver hasn’t been tagged with loss since May 18 and the Angels are 6-1 in his last seven starts.

Vance Worley, Philadelphia Phillies (6-1, 2.02 ERA)

Worley just threw a career-high eighth innings in a 9-1 blowout of the Chicago Cubs last week and is now 4-0 with a 0.94 ERA in his last six starts.
He fired 122 pitches in the win, which was the sixth time he topped the 120-pitch mark.

“We felt like getting him up in his pitch count on a day like today, that definitely ought to help him,” manager Charlie Manuel said. “We’ll see how he reacts the next time out.”


SLUMPING

Jhoulys Chacin, Colorado Rockies (8-7, 3.60 ERA)

Chacin’s slide continues as the team has lost each of his last five outings.

He gave up five runs over 4 2/3 innings in a 9-6 loss to the Atlanta and struggled with his control from the first batter he faced. Chacin ended up walking seven batters and serving up a couple of dingers.

That was the worst start I've had throughout my career," Chacin said. "I couldn't throw anything over the plate. I have to work and find what I need to do to keep the ball over the plate."

Jordan Zimmerman, Washington Nationals (6-8, 3.00 ERA)

Zimmerman hasn’t allowed a run in three of his last five outings, but everything went wrong in his last start when he gave up six earned runs over five innings against the Houston Astros.

The six runs were the most he’d allowed all season.

“I just didn’t have a good feel for much of anything,” Zimmermann told reporters. “My slider was pretty terrible tonight and I had a rough time locating the fastball. When you have nights like that, you’re going to get hit around.”

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Tuesday's Best MLB Bets

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres (-110, 7)

San Diego supporters got a nice boost to their bankroll when the Padres upset the Phillies 5-4 on Monday as big +225 underdogs.

Chris Denorfia stole home and added an RBI single while Chase Headley added three hits to help the Padres avoid a series sweep. San Diego banged out 11 hits against Cliff Lee and company.

"We came out swinging. We knew we had a challenge with one of the best pitchers in the game. We did some nice things; we got some big hits ... ran the bases aggressively," said Padres manager Bud Black. "We tried to keep Lee from settling in."

San Diego returns home after going 4-3 on its road trip, but home hasn’t been kind to the team this season. While the Padres are 11-2 in their last 13 home games against Arizona, they’re also just 20-30 on home turf this season.

We’ll jump on the D-Backs here.

PICK: Arizona


Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (-135, 8.5)

It may have taken a while, but the Chicago Cubs finally managed to win three straight games this season by sweeping the lowly Houston Astros over the weekend.

Now the Cubs head out on a 10-game road trip against division rivals Milwaukee, St. Louis, and Pittsburgh. Chicago is well out of the pennant race again this year and you’re starting to hear some loveable loser talk already.

"We're not where we want to be, but we're going to make it difficult on (other teams) all year long," center fielder Marlon Byrd said. "Playing tough teams in the division, we owe it to the rest of the division to battle."

Not to mention the club’s supporters.

The Cubs might be a terrible team to watch these days but Ryan Dempster could help push their winning streak to four games on Tuesday. Chicago has won seven of its last eight games against Milwaukee with Dempster on the bump.

PICK: Chicago

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA NEW AND NOTES
Silver Stars - Mystics Preview
By Associated Press

San Antonio Silver Stars at Washington Mystics (6.5, 155)

Despite being near the top of the Western Conference going into the All-Star break, the San Antonio Silver Stars stumbled in their last six games after a hot start.

The Silver Stars look to start regaining their early season form Tuesday night when they visit the Washington Mystics, one of the WNBA's worst home teams.

San Antonio (9-5) dropped four of six going into the break as it was unable to maintain the pace it set in its first eight games. The Silver Stars averaged 92.1 points during their 7-1 start, but scored 70.8 per game in the last six.

Their latest contest was particularly alarming, as they fell 73-55 to Seattle on Thursday. San Antonio posted its lowest point total of the season in suffering its most lopsided loss of the year.

''This is one of the most physical teams in the league, if not the most physical, and we just didn't handle it very well,'' guard Becky Hammon said. ''It was one of those nights where everything went wrong. They came out with a purpose and really focused and put it on us.''

With a roster that was revamped in the offseason, the Silver Stars' fast start may have unrealistically raised expectations.

"When you consider we have six out of 11 as new players and three rookies, we're probably in a position that maybe we'd hoped that we'd be (at the break)," coach Dan Hughes said.

One of those players is rookie forward Danielle Adams, who along with Hammon represented San Antonio as All-Stars. Adams is averaging 14.6 points and 4.7 rebounds, but she totaled eight points in the last two games.

Washington's All-Star forward fared much better going into the break. Crystal Langhorne had 24 points and five assists in each of her last two contests and totaled 24 boards in that span.

Her outstanding performance Wednesday wasn't enough to keep the Mystics (3-11) from losing for the third time in four games, 86-79 to Atlanta. Langhorne also had three steals versus the Dream and ranks among the league leaders with 18.4 points a game.

Washington has lost five of its last six contests decided by single digits.

"They have a huge heart,'' coach Trudi Lacey said. ''They play so hard. They're disappointed, but like I told them, the mental mistakes just have to stop in order for us to win these close games."

The Mystics are 1-5 at home, with the only victory coming against league-worst Tulsa. The Silver Stars have won four straight in Washington, taking last year's meeting at the Verizon Center by a 79-75 score July 29.

The Mystics won the second matchup 76-66 on Aug. 17.

[Mr. IWS]

LADY LUCK

Tuesday's Best WNBA Bets

San Antonio Silver Stars at Washington Mystics (6.5, 155)

So who exactly are these San Antonio Silver Stars anyway? Are they the club that got off to a terrific start to the season to pad their supporters’ pockets or are they the team that stumbled heading into the All-Star game? Probably somewhere in between.

San Antonio has a long way to go to find its identity.

"When you consider we have six out of 11 as new players and three rookies, we're probably in a position that maybe we'd hoped that we'd be (at the break)," coach Dan Hughes said of his overhauled roster.

San Antonio should get back on track to begin the second half of the season with a road victory Tuesday.

The Mystics are in over their heads in this matchup and are only 1-7 against the spread in their last eight home games.

PICK: San Antonio


Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky (-3, 150.5)

A blowout loss to the Indiana Fever wasn’t the way Chicago Sky coach Pokey Chatman wasn’t the way she wanted her team to head into the break – and she wasn’t shy about sharing her thoughts either.

''We're at the turning point where we need to grow up, step up and recognize opportunities.” Chatman told reporters. "It's mental to physical. We played like a young team (Thursday).''

That won’t happen in this spot. The league’s leading scorer, Sylvia Fowles, always plays Connecticut tough. She scored the game-winning bucket in overtime the last time these two clubs hooked up and has scored at least 20 points in each of her last four games.

With seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams playing over the total, we see this one turning into another shootout.

PICK: Over

[Mr. IWS]

Tuesday’s Betting Tips: Yanks Huge Faves vs. Sinking M’s

Who's Hot

MLB: Cleveland has won 13 of Josh Tomlin’s last 16 home starts.

MLB: Boston has won 23 of its last 31 home games.

WNBA: Atlanta has covered 10 of its last 14 games at home.

Who’s Not

MLB: The Seattle Mariners had lost 15 straight games heading into Sunday’s action, the longest slump in the club’s 35-year history. They’re set as huge +285 underdogs in New York against the Yankees.

MLB: Texas is 1-7 in its last eight meetings with Minnesota.

WNBA: Washington has covered the spread in only four of their last 16 games overall.

Key Stat

2.44 – The San Diego Padres are giving Dustin Moseley just 2.44 runs of support this season, leaving the righty with a 3-9 record. The Padres are just 5-14 in Moseley’s starts putting his supporters down 8.04 units on the year.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Lance Berkman, St. Louis Cardinals – Berkman sat out Monday’s game with a strained rotator cuff and is considered questionable for Tuesday’s game against Houston. The right fielder leads St. Louis with 27 home runs.

Game Of The Day

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies (-110, 9)

Notable Quotable

"We've had a rough start, but we like our chances going into August. We're definitely not down. If anything, we're looking at the upside. I think a lot of people are going to be surprised in the second half of the season how much better basketball we're going to play." – Swim Cash on her Seattle Storm heading into Tuesday’s road date in Phoenix. The Storm are currently set as 7-point underdogs.

Tips And Notes

The Baltimore Orioles expect to have Vladimir Guerrero back in the lineup Tuesday after he successfully completed a rehab stint in the minors. Guerrero suffered a fracture in his right hand earlier this month and was hitting .279 with seven homers and 31 RBIs before landing on the shelf.

According to a New York Post report, the Philadelphia Phillies are actively looking for bullpen help ahead of the trade deadline and are “aggressively” pursuing San Diego Padres relievers Heath Bell and Mike Adams. Philadelphia ranks 13th in the bigs with a 3.42 bullpen ERA.

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Seattle at Phoenix

The Mercury look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 home games. Phoenix is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, JULY 26
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST Game 601-602: San Antonio at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 108.033; Washington 109.572
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 157
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 152
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Over Game 603-604: Connecticut at Chicago (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 113.865; Chicago 113.573
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 145
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3 1/2); Under Game 605-606: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 110.714; Minnesota 116.801
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 160
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+8); Under Game 607-608: Atlanta at Tulsa (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 110.708; Tulsa 99.295
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 11 1/2; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 156
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-9); Over Game 609-610: Seattle at Phoenix (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 112.608; Phoenix 121.409
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 168 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

Arizona at San Diego

The Diamondbacks look to take advantage of a San Diego team that is 1-6 in Dustin Moseley's last 7 home starts. Arizona is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, JULY 26
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST Game 901-902: Florida at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.119; Washington (Zimmermann) 14.715
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+130); Over Game 903-904: San Francisco at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.347; Philadelphia (Worley) 16.483
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 14.005; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.343
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-180); Over Game 907-908: NY Mets at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 15.911; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.005
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+145); Under Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 15.904; Milwaukee (Narveson) 14.733
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under Game 911-912: Houston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Myers) 13.438; St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.983
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); Over Game 913-914: Arizona at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Saunders) 16.443; San Diego (Moseley) 15.156
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100); Over Game 915-916: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 13.815; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.923
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Under Game 917-918: LA Angels at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.466; Cleveland (Tomlin) 14.597
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135); Over Game 919-920: Seattle at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Fister) 13.431; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 17.014
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 3 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-320); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-320); Under Game 921-922: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Arrieta) 15.643; Toronto (Morrow) 15.220
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+160); Over Game 923-924: Kansas City at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 15.492; Boston (Miller) 16.114
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Under Game 925-926: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 13.905; Texas (Wilson) 16.295
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-210); Under Game 927-928: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.061; White Sox (Peavy) 14.846
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-155); Over Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.948; Oakland (McCarthy) 15.826
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Reds Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Nationals. The deficit is 2511 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Mr. Aitch would like to extend heartfelt apologies to the Reverse Hondo Brigade, which suffered a very painful double-flusher yesterday due to his success with the Padres and Pirates, a couple of heavy 'dogs. Tonight, with the negative numeral all the way down to 1,425 monteleones, Mr. Aitch will give the nod to The Good Weaver -- 10 units on the Angels over the Tribe. Also, he'll try a 10-unit plunge on The American Idle to menace Mr. Wilson and the Rangers.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play TUESDAY

Angels -140

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Nats -150 over Marlins

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

685- 513 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one 12-4 run Tues: Cinci Reds -165

[Mr. IWS]

Khaliagent sports free plays (8-3 +7.26 units)

Tuesday July 26

Brewers ml -139 (medium bet to win 2 units)

brewers -1.5 (small bet 1 unit to win 1.56 units)