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MLBPredictions
Kevin
Winner yesterday Texas
1* Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs – CUBS TO WIN (101)
2* San Diego Padres @ Pittsburgh Pirates – PADRES TO WIN (+131)
Playoff hopes for the Pittsburgh Pirates are slipping away, as they have now lost 7 straight games heading into tonight. Pittsburgh was swept in Philadelphia, and then came home in a big series against the Cubs, only to be swept in a four game series. The Padres have continued their struggles throughout the season, coming into tonight's game with a 48-64 record. Interesting to note that the Padres are actually better on the road (25-28) than they are at home. Aaron Harang will get the start for the Padres tonight, who is 9-3 on the season with a 3.76 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and 2.60 opponents batting average. Harang has pitched 23 starts against Pittsburgh in his career, going 13-6 with a 4.19 ERA. Note that the Padres are 4-0 in Harangs last 4 starts with 5 days rest, 6-1 in his last 7 road starts, and 5-1 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. The Padres are also 9-4 in Harangs last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game. On the mound for the Pirates will be tough righty Jeff Karstens, who is 8-5 on the season with a 2.49 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and .242 opponents batting average. In his three starts and two relief appearances against the Padres Karstens is 0-3 with a 5.89 ERA. Karstens' hasn't fared too well on 4 days rest, with the Pirates going 5-13 in his last 18 starts on just 4 days rest. The Pirates are also just 1-6 in his last 7 starts vs National League West opponents, and 8-21 in his last 29 starts after the team allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take note that the Padres are 35-17 in these two teams last 52 meetings, and 20-7 in their last 27 meetings in Pittsburgh. We have a solid pitching match up tonight, but the difference should come down to confidence. Bouncing back after being swept at home in a 4 game series and 7 straight losses will be tough for a Pirates team that seemed to have everything going good for them and a shot at the playoffs just a week ago. I think the Padres can take advantage of the Pirates behind Harang, and I like the value here at +131. The Padres seem to love playing in Pittsburgh, and I like their shots of taking the first game in this series. Take the underdogs here on the moneyline with some confidence.Comment
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