8-6-11

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JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 7:05 PM EST---
San Diego Padres (+105, action) over PITTSBURGH PIRATES, 5 dimes

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RICHIE CARRERA

PITTSBURGH -120 over San Diego 5 Dimes (Risk 6)
Atlanta -125 over NEW YORK 10 Dimes (Risk 12.5)

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winsportsnow

Saturday Parlay Report
Brewers-145
Rockies-165
Dbacks-150

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Tys Terrific Tips

Play of the Day

Philadelphia Phillies ML -139

3* Atlanta Braves ML -120

Free pick: Detroit Tigers ML -200

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spartan | MLB Total

dime bet 970 BAL / 969 TOR Over 9 Bookmaker.com

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James Patrick Sports

3* Minnesota Twins +105

Despite allowing just three runs over seven innings in his best outing in more than a month on Monday, Peavy was saddled with another loss in a (3-2) Yankees victory. He is (0-4) with a (6.11) ERA over his past six starts. The Twins Carl Pavano career mark of (8-3) with a (3.48) ERA against the Chisox and the fact that the White Sox have a very poor (6-24) mark in the last (30) meetings in Minnesota has us seeing double here. The Twins are (19-9) in their last (28) home games and a solid (5-1) in Pavanos last (6) starts versus White Sox and (7-2) in Pavanos last (9) Saturday starts. The Chicago White Sox are (0-5) in Peavys last (5) starts.

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Paul Leiner

250* Pirates -125

100* Cardinals -125

50* Over 9 Jays/Orioles

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WUNDERDOG (MLB)
MLB 15-8 last 23 picks +$1350
1 OF 5
Game: Washington at Colorado (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Colorado -1.5 runs +120 (runline)

The Washington Nationals have had a much better season than most had thought to this point. They are a young team and the first thing young teams turning the corner do is start winning at home, where the Nats are 32-23. The last thing is learning to win on the road and the Nats simply aren't there yet at 22-35 on the season. Hernandez has not provided help with the Nats at 2-10 in his last 12 starts as a dog and vs. the Rockies the Nats are 0-5 in his last five starts against them. Overall it has been a disaster for the Nats facing the Rockies where they are a dismal 11-30 in the last 41 meetings. I like Colorado on the runline.

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David Banks
Winner yesterday Over Texas

Today no write up
UNDER Philadelphia / San Francisco

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EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Marlins (+118),
Orioles (+130),
Padres (+110),
Giants (+119),
Cubs (+128),
Red Sox (+138),
Mariners (+136),
Twins (+101),
Royals (+187),
Astros (+134).

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Vic Monte

2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - DETROIT TIGERS -200

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Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season

Ben lee won on Friday with the Rays -$157/A's.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Diamondbacks -$150/Nationals.

Mr Chalk" is 73-47 -$151 for the 2011 MLB regular season.

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Saturday Comps.
Sebastian-Houston on the run line
Winner Line-Yankees
OTM-OVER Mets
Metro-Arizona
Kevin Kennedy-Texas

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THE WINNING ADDICT

Cincinnati Reds -138 (Risk 6.9 units to win 5 units) 1:05 P.M. EST
Cueto is about to become the National League ERA Leader, and he simply has been lights out all year. It is fricking shocking knowing that the Cubs are going for their 7th straight win, but they are, even with the horrible bullpen and terrible defense. One note about that bullpen—they are exhausted. I expect Cueto to go very deep into the game, and while Carlos Zambrano has had a ton of recent success against the Reds in his career, he has labored lately—throwing too many balls and getting behind in counts. It is hard to see the Reds competing for the division at this point, as they sit at 54-58, but I know this clubhouse has not given up, and I expect them to finish the weekend strong in Chicago before they come home for a nice homestand. They need a great winning streak if they want to get back in this thing. They haven’t hit well with runners in scoring position, but they are 1 hit away from about 8 more wins this season, and a few converted saves from a few more. This team is much better than their record indicates, and their run differential backs up that fact. Take the Reds and win 5 units.
5 UNIT* MLB* Cincinnati Reds -138 ML

St. Louis Cardinals -130 (Risk 6.5 units to win 5 units) 7:10 P.M. EST
Is it safe to assume after Yadier Molina went nuts on umpire Rob Drake and the Cards dropped their 2nd game in the 3 game set with Milwaukee that the Cards are playing with added energy and tons of fire? Yes it is. I love the way this Cardinals team is playing right now, as they are getting clutch hits from throughout their entire lineup, and I would put the middle of this order up against pretty much anyone right now. Chris Carpenter is a go-to guy. I know he has had a tough year and started 1-7, but I also know he is embarrassed by his last performance in Milwaukee, letting an early game lead slip away, and I can’t see him laying another egg. Ricky Nolasco was unthinkably bad in his last outing at home vs San Diego, but he has rebounded nicely and pitched well around a ton of hits in his last start in Atlanta, a 3-1 Marlins victory. The Fish came into this series playing some very good baseball, but without Omar Infante and Hanley Ramirez—this is a totally different team. The Cardinals are on a mission, and they finish up this series with some solid performances and they get ready for Milwaukee to come to town. The Cards are 3 back of Milwaukee and even further back from the wild card, so they need these wins. Win 5 units on St. Louis and my main man Chris Carpenter.
5 UNIT* MLB* St. Louis Cardinals -130 ML

UNDER 7.5 San Diego/Pittsburgh -110 (Risk 4.4 units to win 4 units) 7:05 P.M. EST
I think this is a really solid spot for the under to come through, as Cory Luebke has been money in the bank on the road for the Padres. This Padres team has actually played some pretty good baseball on the road. Paul Maholm, the PNC Park warrior and king of no run support, goes for the slumping Pirates. This Pirates ship has been hit with seven fucking cannon balls and the shit is sinking fast. In fact, I feel like it’s like movie Titanic when Leonardo and his girl watch the last little bit go under. Anyway, Paul Maholm is going to do a hell of a job today for his Buccos at home, and I think this may be the one they finally break the streak. With that said, Luebke is a nice young lefty arm, and the Bucs haven’t hit lefties well, so I actually see this being a 2-1 or 3-2 game down to the wire. Either way, the game is going under, so pick up 4 units.
4 UNIT* MLB* San Diego Padres/Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 -110

UNDER 6.5 Philadelphia/San Francisco -110 (Risk 4.4 units to win 4 units) 4:05 P.M. EST
Man, watching this game Friday night was the most exciting 9-2 game I have seen in a while. This is going to get nasty throughout the weekend, and these teams definitely haven’t lost any love from last year’s NLCS. We may just have the same thing this October. Cole Hamels is coming off a subpar effort in Colorado, and I think he returns to form here today vs a weak-hitting Giants team. This team can’t hit at all. They need like 4 more Beltrans and that might help. On the other side of the bump is Matt Cain, who has been awful for his standards in his past 2 starts, and again—I expect much better today. The Phillies lineup can be pitched around, and I expect Raul Ibanez to be back in left field vs the right-handed Cain, and that is good for the Giants, because Ibanez is not John Mayberry Jr—who has killed them the past 2 days with 2 home runs into the San Francisco night. I hate taking unders lower than 7, but then again—this is the Giants we are talking about, so take the under with confidence and win 4 units.
4 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies/San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 -110

Texas Rangers RL (-1.5) [even money] (Risk 4 units to win 4 units) 8:05 P.M. EST
CJ Wilson has to start pitching like the ace Texas expects him to be sometime, and I think tonight vs an Indians team that has struggled to hit the ball consistently is a great place to start. This Texas team is never out of a game with the way they hit the ball, and they showed that again with yet another comeback. 2 outs and no one on down by 2, they found a way to tie it and won it on a crazy play that involved great base running and aggression. Fausto Carmona has a great live arm, but he is impossible to figure out. I hate betting against him, because I honestly believe he can go out at any moment and throw a shutout, but he refuses to put it all together. Meanwhile, CJ Wilson doesn’t have great stuff, but his good control and ability to work ahead and the count and work down in the zone always gives him a chance to get guys out consistently. Carmona just doesn’t seem to have it all going between the ears, so I am going to recommend a sizeable play on Texas -1.5 for 4 units.
4 UNIT* MLB* Texas Rangers -1.5 RL EV ML

OVER 9 Washington/Colorado -110 (Risk 3.3 units to win 3 units) 8:10 P.M. EST
Livan Hernandez goes today for the Nationals fresh off a dandy performance against Atlanta—the first win for him in quite some time. His team has not performed well in his starts, but I think they are going to have some nice run support for him today vs a very good young pitcher in Jhoulys Chacin. Chacin is coming off a great performance at home vs the Phillies, a game in which he beat Cole Hamels. Chacin is the lefty of the future for the Rockies, but the right-handed power for the Nationals matches up against him very well. I love the combo of Morse, Zimmerman, and Werth against him, not to mention Espinosa and Desmond. I think it’s fair to say the Rockies will find a way to score some runs off of Livan. I love Livan, I can’t help it, and I hope I am still including him in write ups in 2016, and since Cuban arms seemingly last til about age 57, I think that is a distinct possibility. Play the OVER 9.
3 UNIT* MLB* Washington Nationals/Colorado Rockies OVER 9 -110

UNDER 8 Oakland/Tampa Bay -110 (Risk 3.3 units to win 3 units) 7:10 P.M. EST
Brandon McCarthy has some serious hype when he was coming up through the ranks as a young starter, but he has never reached the potential that many thought he would. So what? I love him in this spot on the road vs the light-hitting Rays. The Rays have been tearing me up lately, because I feel like the Rays are 1-7 when I bet them and 7-1 when I bet against them, and whenever it’s a total—they find a way to make me lose hair follicles. Tampa Bay has not hit well at home all year, yet they found a way to beat the Jays in epic fashion two days ago and they beat up my man Guillermo Moscoso last night. I don’t care. McCarthy will handle them today. The Rays send rookie Alex Cobb to the hill, but as far as I’m concerned, they could send me to the mound and I’d feel good about my chances of keeping the A’s in check. This team can’t hit at all, and that won’t change anytime soon, so the under 8 seems like a good play to me. Win 3 units.
3 UNIT* MLB* Oakland Athletics/Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 -110

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Jimmy Boyd

5* Rockies -1.5

3* Red Sox -1.5