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MLBPredictions
Kevin
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals –TIGERS TO WIN (-122)
(Note: I’m risking 3.66 units to win 3 units)
Like I do most Sundays, I might make this write up a little shorter, so I can enjoy a partial day off watching some baseball and golf. Max Scherzer is on the mound for the Tigers. He is 11-6 with a 4.23 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .271 opponents average. Max is pitching well, allowing 2 earned runs or less in each of his past 5 starts. In his career he is a solid 4-2 with a 2.34 ERA against Kansas City. Bruce Chen is on the mound for the Royals, and is 5-5 on the season with a 4.37 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. Batters are hitting .289 against Chen, who is 3-3 lifetime against the Tigers with a high 6.00 ERA. Note that the Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall, and 7-0 in their last 7 as a road favorite. The Tigers are also 10-4 in their last 14 road games overall, 13-4 in their last 17 road games vs a left handed starter, and 36-17 in their last 53 vs AL Central opponents. Also take note that the Tigers are 7-3 in Scherzer’s last 10 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 Sunday starts, and 9-1 in Scherzer ‘s last 10 starts during Game 3 of a series. On the other hand, the Royals are 23-48 in their last 71 games as an underdog, 6-15 in their last 21 games as a home underdog, and 8-19 in their last 27 vs AL Central opponents. The Royal’s are just 2-5 in Chen’s last 7 starts, and 3-7 in his last 10 vs a team with a winning record. The Tigers love playing the Royals, as they are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City. This Tigers team is playing like a playoff team, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them on top of the AL Central division at the end of the season. They are playing good baseball, and are behind Scherzer who is pitching very well as of late. I’m behind the Tigers with a generous line, as they get things done and sweep the Royals this afternoon.
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