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Play of the Day:
Phillies -160 over Dodgers
Play of the Day:
Phillies -160 over Dodgers
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MLB
Write-Up
Monday, August 8
Hot pitchers
-- Florida won Hand's last four starts (1-0, 2.37, 19 IP).
-- Stauffer is 2-2, 2.88 in his last four starts.
-- Garza is 1-1, 2.41 in his last five starts.
-- Kuroda has a 2.49 RA in his last four starts.
-- Halladay is 3-0, 3.27 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 3-0, 2.35 in his last five starts.
-- Danks is 4-1, 2.11 in his last seven starts.
-- Hochevar is 3-0, 3.04 in his last four starts. Hellickson is 3-0, 3.08 in his last four outings.
-- Harrison is 4-1, 2.61 in his last six starts.
-- Baker is 3-1, 2.31 in his last five starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Lowe is 0-3, 9.64 in his last three starts.
-- Pelfrey is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Wang is 0-2, 12.00 in his first two '11 starts.
-- Hammel is 1-3, 9.00 in his last four starts. Bailey is 0-3, 6.55 in his four road starts that weren't in Houston.
-- WRodriguez is 1-4, 6.00 in his last six starts. DHudson is 1-2, 4.43 in his last three starts.
-- Morton is 1-1, 6.53 in his last four road starts.
-- Guthrie is 2-5, 5.60 in his last seven starts.
-- Furbush is 1-2, 8.78 in his first three big league starts.
-- Wakefield is 1-1, 7.30 in his last four starts.
Totals
-- Over is 11-2 in Lowe's last thirteen starts.
-- Five of last six Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Last four Pelfrey starts went over the total. Under is 8-3 in Stauffer's last eleven starts.
-- Over is 11-4 in Garza's last fifteen starts.
-- Six of last seven DHudson starts went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Morton starts went over the total.
-- Over is 9-1 in Guthrie's last ten home starts.
-- Under is 9-4 in Kansas City's last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Harrison starts.
-- Five of last seven Boston road games stayed under the total.
Hot Teams
-- San Diego won its last four games, scoring 38 runs.
-- Cubs won seven of their last eight games.
-- Phillies won 15 of their last 19 games, are 8-1 since the Pence trade. .
-- Kansas City won three of its last four road games.
-- Rangers won three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox won 15 of their last 22 games.
Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost their last four games, scoring 11 runs. Atlanta is 5-7 in its last dozen road games.
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Colorado lost ten of its last fifteen games. Reds lost three of their last four games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Washington lost six of its last nine road games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games. Arizona lost three of its last four games.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last four home games.
-- Giants lost eight of their last ten games. Pittsburgh lost 12 of its last 13 games.
-- Orioles lost nine of their last twelve games. White Sox lost six of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay is 9-13 in its last 22 games.
-- Seattle is 2-10 on the road since the All-Star break.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its last ten games.Comment
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FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball Monday
Play Texas (-220) over Seattle (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST
Seattle has lost 20 of the last 27 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 58 of the last 76 road games as an underdog of +150 or higher. Charlie Furbush is 0-2 in road games this season with an ERA of 8.58 and he has an ERA of 5.83 over his last three overall starts.
Play Arizona (-180) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 9:40 PM EST
Houston has lost 17 of the last 19 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 7 of the last 9 overall games. Wandy Rodriguez has lost 10 of the last 15 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and he is 2-5 vs. Arizona over his career with an ERA of 6.35.
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Play Chicago Cubs (-185) over Washington (Bonus)Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Arizona –1½ +123
The D-Backs snapped a mini three-game losing streak in style yesterday by beating one of the best in Clayton Kershaw. That’s a good win because Kershaw seldom loses and it really instills a positive state of mind heading into this series against the dreadful Astros and Wandy Rodriguez. At the age of 32, Rodriguez has spent time on the DL this season with elbow issues. He’s put up some very decent numbers that include 109 k’s in 127 frames with just 41 walks. He’s also posted a solid 3.69 ERA and an acceptable 1.30 WHIP. However, there are some warning signs. First, Rodriguez's velocity is down over the last three years (90.1 mph, 89.6 mph, 88.8 mph) so this deserves continued observation especially in light of the recent elbow issues. Also note that since his return from the DL, Rodriguez’s strikeout rate is way down. In fact, just once since his return has he struck out more than three batters in a game. He’s also surrendered five earned runs or more in four of his last eight starts and that, too, is a serious warning. Rodriguez is allowing more flyballs than ever and as a result, more balls are leaving the yard too. So, while Rodriguez has good surface stats, there are plenty of warning signs scattered amongst the positives in those pretty surface stats. The Astros have the worst run differential (-141 entering Sunday) in the NL by a lot. Other than the Cubs (about 45 runs better), no NL team's run differential is within 100 runs of Houston. One of the few recognizable names in the Astros lineup is Carlos Lee. But with no protection in the lineup, Lee is in a 2-for-30 slump and now this group will face the blossoming skills of Daniel Hudson. Hudson has quickly ascended to become the club's ace and a big part of the reason they're just a half game out of first place in the NL West. There are few blemishes on Hudson's skill set. Hudson demonstrated solid control in his debut with the D'backs last season and he's only improved on it further this season. He's sacrificed a few Ks for improved control and it's paid off in a stellar command rate that has seen him walk just 34 batters in 154 IP while striking out 120. He’s quietly established himself as one of the most reliable starters in the game and he should dominate this nothing opponent. Play: Arizona –1½ +123 (Risking 2 units).
San Diego –102
The Padres strikeout as a team more than any other in the majors so when they’re facing a guy with a solid strikeout rate they’re usually not playable but that’s not the case here. Mike Pelfrey strikes out about one batter every two innings and rarely does he have a 1-2-3 inning. He has a BAA of .269 and an average WHIP of 1.36. About half his starts are considered to be of the quality variety and therefore the guy is beatable almost every time he takes the mound. Want further proof that he’s beatable? How about six wins in 23 starts. The Padres create offense by stealing bases and steal them they do. They’ll hit and run, they’ll steal anytime and against a non-strikeout pitcher like Pelfrey, they can do a lot of damage on the base-paths. The Padres are also warm at the moment with four wins in a row and five wins in seven games. Over that span, one of their losses was to Clayton Kershaw but when facing three average pitchers in Pittsburgh over the weekend they exploded with 35 runs in three games. Tim Stauffer is a much better pitcher than Mike Pelfrey. He went 6-5 with a 1.85 ERA in 82 IP for the Padres last season and has enjoyed almost as much success this year. His 2.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and 3.25 xERA confirm it has been no fluke. With great command and an elite 54% groundball rate, Tim Stauffer has nothing but starting pitching upside. We also like the fact that the books made the Mets a very enticing tiny favorite here. Play: San Diego –102 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).Comment
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